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VMI

VMI 24 at Akron 47

AKR
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadVMI aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreVMI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:57 · Bill Hogan punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Pregame prior+41.4Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:50: Al Cobb pass complete to Ryan Swingle for 3 yds for a TD, (Reed King KICK) — VMI win probability +10.8 pts (now 22%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 2:49: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 14 yds for a TD Jerome Lane fumbled, recovered by Akron JoJo Natson for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +6.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:10: Al Cobb pass complete to Ryan Swingle for 10 yds for a TD, (Reed King KICK) — VMI win probability +14.8 pts (now 28%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 14:25: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 34 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +13.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:26: Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 19 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +5.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 7VMI made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00VMI 4th & 8 at VMI 42, tied
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:50VMI 4th & 8 at VMI 43, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:57VMI 4th & 18 at VMI 44, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:53AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 47, up 5
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00VMI 4th & 1 at VMI 24, down 5
    Close callPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:46VMI 4th & 5 at AKR 32, down 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.3%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:46AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 40, up 12
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:29VMI 4th & 10 at VMI 46, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:50VMI 4th & 16 at AKR 20, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:35AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 31, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:53AKR 4th & 7 at VMI 48, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:18VMI 4th & 1 at VMI 28, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:26VMI 4th & 6 at VMI 29, down 16
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:23AKR 4th & 1 at VMI 47, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.3%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:34VMI 4th & 12 at AKR 27, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:34AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 49, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:34AKR 4th & 5 at VMI 44, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 6VMI made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:29VMI Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:56AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:03AKR Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:32AKR Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:50VMI Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:10VMI Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:25AKR Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:26AKR Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:10AKR Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VMIDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
95.7%
Quan Myers run for 13 yds to the VMI 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
95.7%
Quan Myers run for 4 yds to the VMI 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-9
95.7%
Al Cobb run for a loss of 9 yards to the VMI 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+7
95.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 7 yds to the VMI 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 42
-15
95.7%
Bill Hogan run for a loss of 15 yards to the VMI 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
95.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 2 yds JoJo Natson fumbled, recovered by VMI Matthew NicholsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 3TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:365% → 6%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
95.3%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 3 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
95.3%
Quan Myers run for 4 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+36
95.3%
Al Cobb pass complete to Quan Myers for 36 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
95.2%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 8 yards to the AKRON26 (HAUSER, Andrew;BELL, Brian), PENALTY AKRON offside 5 yards to the AKRON29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 5
OPP 29
+1
95.2%
Brice Tucker run for 1 yd to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+13
95.2%
Brice Tucker run for 13 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-6
95.2%
Al Cobb run for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 19 Al Cobb fumbled,Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 14
OPP 19
+5
95.2%
AKRON Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Akron 14Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+11
95.2%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 11 yds to the Akron 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
95.2%
Quan Myers run for 1 yd to the Akron 2 AKRON Penalty, personal foul (1 Yards) to the Akron 1Similar
Q1 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.9%
Quan Myers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Reed King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:2494% → 94%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
94.1%
Warren Ball run for 14 yds to the VMI 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
94.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 46 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
94.3%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Aaron Sanders, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the VMI41, 1ST DOWN VMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
94.2%
Quan Myers run for a loss of 3 yards to the VMI 38Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 13
OWN 38
-4
94.3%
Pete Reed run for a loss of 4 yards to the VMI 34Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 17
OWN 34
-5
94.4%
VMI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VMI 29Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 22
OWN 29
+5
94.4%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 8 yards to the VMI37 (BOXEN, Brock), PENALTY AKRON offside 5 yards to the VMI34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 17
OWN 34
+9
94.4%
Quan Myers run for 9 yds to the VMI 43Similar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 8
OWN 43
-6
94.4%
Bill Hogan punt for 36 yds , JoJo Natson returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:1193% → 94%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
93.4%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 11Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+38
93.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 38 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
93.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 21 yds to the VMI 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
94.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 30 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
93.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 3 yds to the VMI 37Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-1
93.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Daz Palmer for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 36Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+16
93.8%
Al Cobb run for 16 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-12
93.5%
Al Cobb sacked for loss of 12 yards to the VMI40 (COPELAND, D.), PENALTY VMI intentional grounding 12 yards to the VMI40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 22
OWN 40
+6
93.8%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 6 yds to the VMI 46Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 16
OWN 46
-2
93.8%
Al Cobb sacked by Jamal Marcus for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 44Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 18
OWN 44
0
93.9%
Bill Hogan punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 1:53
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
92.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dane Forlines at the VMI 15Similar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+21
92.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 21 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
93.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to JoJo Natson, broken up by Greg SandersSimilar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
92.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 9 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
93.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:507% → 7%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
92.7%
Quan Myers run for 4 yds to the VMI 19Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 19
-2
92.7%
Quan Myers run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+7
92.6%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 7 yds to the VMI 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+12
92.7%
Bill Hogan punt for 39 yds , JoJo Natson returns for 12 yds to the Akron 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:2992% → 95%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
92.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 18 yds to the VMI 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
92.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
92.6%
Warren Ball run for 4 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+12
92.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Warren Ball for 12 yds to the VMI 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
94.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 17 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 11MISSED FG
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:367% → 6%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
93.5%
Quan Myers run for 4 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+12
93.4%
Al Cobb pass complete to Quan Myers for 12 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
93.4%
Dane Forlines run for 5 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-1
93.2%
Quan Myers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+1
93.4%
Al Cobb pass complete to Quan Myers for 1 yd to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+49
93.7%
Dillon Christopher 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
94.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 3 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
94.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+5
94.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 5 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
94.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dane Forlines at the VMI 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
93.6%
Daz Palmer run for 8 yds to the VMI 37Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+9
93.4%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 9 yds to the VMI 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.4%
Al Cobb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
93.5%
Daz Palmer run for no gain to the VMI 46Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
93.6%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Daz PalmerSimilar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+38
93.8%
Bill Hogan punt for 38 yds , JoJo Natson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14INT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
94.0%
Warren Ball run for 4 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+2
94.1%
Thomas Woodson run for 2 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+7
93.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 7 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
94.1%
Warren Ball run for 9 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+3
94.2%
Thomas Woodson run for 3 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
94.3%
Warren Ball run for 3 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+48
94.3%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Riuq Trotman return for 48 yds to the Akron 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 15FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:428% → 8%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
92.4%
Dane Forlines run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 15Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
92.5%
Al Cobb pass complete to Quan Myers for no gain to the Akron 15Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 11
OPP 15
-5
92.8%
Al Cobb sacked by Jamal Marcus for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+37
91.6%
Reed King 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:0792% → 91%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
91.6%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+1
91.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 22Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+9
91.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 9 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-5
91.4%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Ryan Francis for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+5
91.2%
FITSCHEN, Jerry punt 12 yards to the AKRON38, out-of-bounds, PENALTY VMI roughing the kicker 5 yards to the AKRON31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
91.4%
Jerry Fitschen punt for 29 yds, downed at the VMI 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 17END OF HALF
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:189% → 10%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.6%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Aaron SandersSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
90.7%
Quan Myers run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
50
+6
90.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 6 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+61
90.5%
Dillon Christopher 61 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Brock BoxenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
91.2%
WOODSON, Thomas pass complete to LANE, Jerome for 20 yards to the AKRON41 (Brian Lipscomb), PENALTY AKRON ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the AKRON16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 15
OWN 16
0
91.1%
Warren Ball run for no gain to the Akron 16Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 15
OWN 16
0
91.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome Lane, broken up by Matthew NicholsonSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 15
OWN 16
+18
90.7%
Thomas Woodson run for 18 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
91.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 15 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
91.8%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-10
91.7%
BALL, Warren rush for 17 yards to the VMI35 (M. Nicholson), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 21
OWN 38
+1
91.4%
Warren Ball run for 1 yd to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 20
OWN 39
+13
91.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 13 yds to the AKRON 48 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
90.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 47 yds, downed at the VMI 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 19TD
16 plays · 99 yds · 5:179% → 22%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
90.7%
Quan Myers run for 3 yds to the VMI 4Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+29
90.8%
Al Cobb pass complete to Chad Jacob for 29 yds to the VMI 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
90.2%
Al Cobb pass complete to Rohan Martin for 8 yds to the VMI 41Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+3
89.6%
Quan Myers run for 3 yds to the VMI 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
89.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 15 yds to the AKRON 41 VMI Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the VMI 44Similar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
89.7%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Quan MyersSimilar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
89.9%
Quan Myers run for 2 yds to the VMI 46Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+20
90.1%
Daz Palmer run for 5 yds to the AKRON 49 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
88.8%
Rohan Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+20
89.6%
Al Cobb pass complete to Daz Palmer for 5 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
88.6%
Al Cobb pass complete to Quan Myers for 7 yds to the Akron 9Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 3
OPP 9
0
88.6%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Dane ForlinesSimilar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+5
89.2%
Al Cobb pass complete to Quan Myers for 5 yds to the Akron 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
88.6%
Quan Myers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 6Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
88.6%
Quan Myers run for 3 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Ryan Swingle for 3 yds for a TD, (Reed King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0181% → 91%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
81.4%
Warren Ball run for 8 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST down VMI Penalty, face mask (16 yards) (16 Yards) to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
83.5%
Warren Ball run for 23 yds to the VMI 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
84.5%
Warren Ball run for 6 yds to the VMI 22Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 4
OPP 22
-10
84.5%
BALL, Warren rush for 13 yards to the VMI9 (Greg Sanders;M. Nicholson), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the VMI32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 14
OPP 32
-1
83.2%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 33Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+20
82.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 20 yds to the VMI 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
84.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-2
84.5%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 15Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
91.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 14 yds for a TD Jerome Lane fumbled, recovered by Akron JoJo Natson for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 21TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 2:379% → 28%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+53
90.6%
Al Cobb pass complete to Quan Myers for 53 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
88.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 12 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
87.7%
Quan Myers run for 4 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
87.7%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Aaron SandersSimilar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+2
88.6%
Quan Myers run for 2 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+5
89.4%
Reed King field goal attempt from 37 GOOD, clock 00:43, PENALTY AKRON roughing the kicker 5 yards to the AKRON15, 1ST DOWN VMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
87.2%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Dane ForlinesSimilar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
87.2%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 2 yds to the Akron 10 to Quan Myers for 3 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
72.4%
Al Cobb pass complete to Ryan Swingle for 10 yds for a TD, (Reed King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4578% → 91%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
77.8%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+42
77.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 42 yds to the VMI 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
91.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 34 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
89.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Quan Myers for 6 yds to the VMI 25Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-2
89.3%
Quan Myers run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 23Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+5
90.4%
Quan Myers run for 5 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 1
OWN 28
-1
90.4%
Ryan Francis run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:0391% → 97%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.4%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+13
91.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 13 yds to the VMI 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
91.4%
Thomas Woodson run for a loss of 5 yards to the VMI 19 Thomas Woodson fumbled, recovered by Akron Van Edwards Jr.Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+19
97.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 19 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
95.7%
Daz Palmer run for a loss of 4 yards to the VMI 21Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
95.8%
Daz Palmer run for 3 yds to the VMI 24Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
95.9%
Austin Coulling pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 5 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+3
95.9%
Bill Hogan punt for 30 yds , JoJo Natson returns for 3 yds to the Akron 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:1397% → 99%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
97.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Anthony Young for 4 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+5
97.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Anthony Young for 5 yds to the VMI 47Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+43
96.8%
Warren Ball run for 43 yds to the VMI 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
97.1%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 5Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.4%
Warren Ball run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 27MISSED FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:361% → 1%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Austin Coulling pass complete to Mason Dermott for 5 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+32
99.4%
Austin Coulling pass complete to Mason Dermott for 32 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.4%
Austin Coulling run for 3 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
99.3%
Daz Palmer run for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+5
99.3%
Daz Palmer run for 5 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
99.3%
Mason Dermott run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
99.3%
Austin Coulling pass incomplete to Pete Reed, broken up by Zach GuiserSimilar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 12
OPP 27
0
99.4%
Austin Coulling pass incomplete to Mason Dermott, broken up by Andrew HauserSimilar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+48
99.5%
Dillon Christopher 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 28DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+12
99.4%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Anthony Young for 12 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Anthony Young for 6 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Anthony Young, broken up by Jon StrozykSimilar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+3
99.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the VMI 44Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Anthony YoungSimilar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 5
OPP 44
+4
99.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the VMI 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.5%
Tyain Smith run for 5 yds to the VMI 45Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
99.5%
Tyain Smith run for 4 yds to the VMI 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:10
Al Cobb pass complete to Ryan Swingle for 10 yds for a TD, (Reed King KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q4 14:25
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 34 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q3 5:50
Al Cobb pass complete to Ryan Swingle for 3 yds for a TD, (Reed King KICK)
-10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com