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MVSU

Mississippi Valley State 14 at Eastern Michigan 61

EMU
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2016 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadMVSU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreMVSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:46 · Justin Read punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Pregame prior+49.1Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Blowout margin+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:38: Shaq Vann run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — MVSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:37: Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:43: Todd Porter pass complete to Lavonte Robinson for 4 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:28: Todd Porter pass complete to Antoine Porter for 13 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:35: Austin Bray run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ruben Piraquive KICK) — MVSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: MVSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MVSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00EMU 4th & 16 at EMU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:46MVSU 4th & 14 at MVSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:24MVSU 4th & 9 at MVSU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:20EMU 4th & 13 at MVSU 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00MVSU 4th & 13 at MVSU 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:07EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 45, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:08MVSU 4th & 16 at MVSU 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:54MVSU 4th & 3 at EMU 44, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:40EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00MVSU 4th & 6 at MVSU 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:24MVSU 4th & 15 at MVSU 4, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:11EMU 4th & 8 at MVSU 8, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:33MVSU 4th & 7 at EMU 44, down 47
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MVSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:38EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:37EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:43EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:28EMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:32EMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:33EMU Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:08EMU Touchdown, up 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:28MVSU Touchdown, down 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:42EMU Touchdown, up 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:35MVSU Touchdown, down 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.4%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-11
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 52 yds, downed at the MsVly 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Thomas Stokes Jr. run for no gain to the MsVly 25Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Austin Bray pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Austin Bray pass complete to Thomas Stokes Jr. for 1 yd to the MsVly 26Similar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
99.3%
MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MsVly 21Similar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.3%
Justin Read punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:2699% → 99%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.2%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+19
99.2%
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 19 yds to the MsVly 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.2%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 6 yds to the MsVly 28Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
99.2%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the MsVly 25Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+1
99.2%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the MsVly 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
99.2%
Todd Porter run for 3 yds to the MsVly 21Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+14
99.2%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 14 yds to the MsVly 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.2%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the MsVly 1Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.0%
Austin Bray pass complete to Grant Simms for 1 yd to the MsVly 22Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-7
99.0%
Austin Bray sacked by Pat O'Connor for a loss of 7 yards to the MsVly 14 Austin Bray fumbled, recovered by EMich Maxx Crosby , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:0299% → 99%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the MsVly 11Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+1
99.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the MsVly 10Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+5
99.0%
PORTER, Todd pass incomplete to HOLDER, Isaac, PENALTY MVSU offside (JARMAN, Slade) 5 yards to the MVSU5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
99.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:071% → 1%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.1%
Austin Bray pass incomplete to Booker ChambersSimilar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.1%
Andre Eubanks run for 1 yd to the MsVly 25Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Austin Bray pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:24
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
Justin Read punt for 38 yds , Blake Banham returns for 5 yds to the EMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7MISSED FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:0999% → 99%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+34
99.1%
Todd Porter pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 34 yds to the MsVly 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
99.1%
Todd Porter run for a loss of 3 yards to the MsVly 27Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 13
OPP 27
0
99.1%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 13
OPP 27
0
99.1%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+44
99.0%
Paul Fricano 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.0%
Austin Bray pass incomplete to Grant SimmsSimilar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+10
99.0%
Thomas Stokes Jr. run for 10 yds to the MsVly 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.0%
Thomas Stokes Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MsVly 36Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-5
99.0%
MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the MsVly 31Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+11
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the MsVly 4 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EMich Jeremiah Harris , return for 11 yds to the MsVly 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.3%
Todd Porter pass complete to Lavonte Robinson for 4 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:361% → 1%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.2%
Charlie Crenshaw run for 2 yds to the MsVly 28Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+8
99.2%
Austin Bray pass complete to Jessie Bryant for 8 yds to the MsVly 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.2%
Austin Bray pass complete to Joshua Banks for 6 yds to the MsVly 42Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+8
99.2%
Austin Bray pass complete to Steven McIntosh for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
50
+7
99.2%
Austin Bray pass complete to Jessie Bryant for 7 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
99.1%
Austin Bray pass incomplete to Steven McIntosh, broken up by DaQuan PaceSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-10
99.1%
Terrence Barron run for a loss of 10 yards to the MsVly 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
99.2%
Justin Read punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
99.3%
Shaq Vann run for 18 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
99.3%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 35Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Marquis GreenSimilar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+10
99.2%
Todd Porter run for 10 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
99.2%
Austin Barnes punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Charlie Crenshaw at the MsVly 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.2%
Austin Bray pass incomplete to Booker ChambersSimilar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
99.2%
Andre Eubanks run for 1 yd to the MsVly 15Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+15
99.2%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Maxx Crosby) to the MsVly 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.1%
Booker Chambers run for 5 yds to the MsVly 35Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+7
99.1%
Booker Chambers run for 7 yds to the MsVly 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.1%
Austin Bray pass incomplete to Grant SimmsSimilar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.2%
Austin Bray run for 11 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
99.1%
Austin Bray sacked by Pat O'Connor for a loss of 7 yards to the EASTMICH 46 MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 17
OWN 46
-4
99.2%
Austin Bray pass complete to Grant Simms for a loss of 4 yards to the MsVly 42Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 21
OWN 42
+5
99.2%
Austin Bray pass complete to Andre Eubanks for 5 yds to the MsVly 47Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 16
OWN 47
0
99.2%
Justin Read punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.2%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Todd Porter pass intercepted Nicholas Everett return for no gain to the MsVly 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.0%
Austin Bray pass complete to Grant Simms for 9 yds to the MsVly 46Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-1
98.9%
Thomas Stokes Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MsVly 45Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+4
99.0%
Austin Bray run for 4 yds to the MsVly 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.0%
Austin Bray pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.0%
Austin Bray pass complete to Grant Simms for 7 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
99.0%
Austin Bray pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
99.0%
Justin Read punt for 35 yds, downed at the EMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 3:3899% → 100%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+31
99.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 31 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
99.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+3
99.3%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sam Browning for 3 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+7
99.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 7 yds to the MsVly 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.4%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sam Browning for 4 yds to the MsVly 40Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+13
99.4%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sam Browning for 13 yds to the MsVly 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.4%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the MsVly 23Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-5
99.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MsVly 28Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+15
99.4%
PORTER, Todd pass incomplete to DAUGHERTY, Eddie (BROWN, Corey), PENALTY MVSU pass interference (BROWN, Corey) 15 yards to the MVSU13, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.8%
Todd Porter pass complete to Antoine Porter for 13 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.8%
Charlie Crenshaw run for 5 yds to the MsVly 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Austin Bray pass incomplete to Steven McIntosh, broken up by Jeremiah HarrisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Austin Bray pass complete to Steven McIntosh for 4 yds to the MsVly 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Austin Bray pass incomplete to Steven McIntoshSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Justin Read punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:36100% → 100%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
99.8%
Shaq Vann run for 12 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.8%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the MsVly 49Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+13
99.8%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 13 yds to the MsVly 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.8%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the MsVly 34Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-5
99.8%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Jake Hurcombe) to the MsVly 39Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+10
99.8%
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 10 yds to the MsVly 29Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+21
99.8%
Shaq Vann run for 21 yds to the MsVly 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.8%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the MsVly 6Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.8%
Todd Porter run for 3 yds to the MsVly 3Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 3 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-5
99.8%
STOKES JR., Thomas rush for loss of 4 yards to the MVSU5 (DAWSON, Dion;CROSBY, Maxx), PENALTY MVSU holding (OWENS, Melvin) 5 yards to the MVSU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 15
OWN 4
0
99.8%
Thurston Rubin Jr. pass incomplete to Steven McIntoshSimilar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 15
OWN 4
+1
99.9%
Thomas Stokes Jr. run for 1 yd to the MsVly 5Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 14
OWN 5
-1
99.9%
Thurston Rubin Jr. sacked by Ike Spearman and Jason Beck for a loss of 1 yard to the MsVly 4Similar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 15
OWN 4
0
99.9%
Justin Read punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the MsVly 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20FG
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
99.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 28 yds to the MsVly 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q3 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 2 yds to the MsVly 8Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Nigel KilbySimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+35
99.9%
Paul Fricano 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 21SF
7 plays · -20 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Thurston Rubin Jr. run for 5 yds to the MsVly 25Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-16
99.9%
Thurston Rubin Jr. sacked by Jeremiah Harris and Ike Spearman for a loss of 14 yards to the MsVly 3 Thurston Rubin Jr. fumbled, recovered by MsVly , return for 0 yards MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, IK (-2 Yards) to the MsVly 3Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 27
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Thurston Rubin Jr. pass incomplete to Joshua Banks, broken up by Jalen PhelpsSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 27
OWN 3
-1
99.9%
MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, delay of game (-1 Yards) to the MsVly 2Similar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 28
OWN 2
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Blake Banham run for 4 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Charlie Crenshaw run for 8 yds to the MsVly 33Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Charlie Crenshaw run for 5 yds to the MsVly 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Charlie Crenshaw run for no gain to the MsVly 38Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
99.9%
BRAY, Austin pass incomplete to MCINTOSH, Steven, PENALTY EMU pass interference (McGILL, Kevin) 15 yards to the EMU47, 1ST DOWN MVSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Charlie Crenshaw run for 2 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Austin Bray pass complete to Joshua Banks for 1 yd to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Austin Bray pass incomplete to Steven McIntoshSimilar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Justin Read punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+58
99.9%
Shaq Vann run for 58 yds to the MsVly 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
99.9%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the MsVly 31Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+5
99.9%
MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the MsVly 26Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+13
99.9%
Shaq Vann run for 13 yds to the MsVly 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Kevin Davis for 5 yds to the MsVly 8Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 25TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
100.0%
Thomas Stokes Jr. run for 4 yds to the MsVly 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+47
100.0%
BRAY, Austin pass incomplete to SIMMS, Trey, PENALTY EMU pass interference (SANDERS, Austin) 47 yards to the EMU34, 1ST DOWN MVSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
100.0%
Austin Bray pass complete to Tre Simms for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Austin Bray pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+13
100.0%
BRAY, Austin pass incomplete to SIMMS, Trey, PENALTY EMU pass interference (PHELPS, Jalen) 13 yards to the EMU26, 1ST DOWN MVSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Austin Bray pass incomplete to Grant Simms, broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+10
100.0%
Austin Bray pass complete to Tre Simms for 10 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Austin Bray pass incomplete to Natron BrooksSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
100.0%
Thomas Stokes Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
100.0%
Austin Bray pass complete to Joshua Banks for 13 yds for a TD, (Ruben Piraquive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
100.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 9 yds to the MsVly 35Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+1
100.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the MsVly 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
100.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 13 yds to the MsVly 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
100.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 12 yds to the MsVly 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 9 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 27TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 4:580% → 0%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
100.0%
Andre Eubanks run for 3 yds to the MsVly 22Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Austin Bray pass incomplete to Joshua BanksSimilar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+11
100.0%
Austin Bray pass complete to Tre Simms for 11 yds to the MsVly 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-9
100.0%
EUBANKS, Andre rush for 8 yards to the MVSU41 (MOODY, Justin), PENALTY MVSU holding 9 yards to the MVSU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 19
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
Andre Eubanks run for 4 yds to the MsVly 28Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 15
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Austin Bray pass incomplete to Tre Simms, broken up by Jalen PhelpsSimilar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+21
100.0%
Austin Bray pass complete to Steven McIntosh for 21 yds to the MsVly 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
100.0%
Andre Eubanks run for 7 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
Austin Bray pass complete to Steven McIntosh for 4 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Andre Eubanks run for no gain to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+39
100.0%
Austin Bray pass complete to Joshua Banks for 39 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Austin Bray run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ruben Piraquive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28END OF GAME
9 plays · 49 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
100.0%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+11
100.0%
James Pensyl pass complete to Antoine Porter for 11 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
100.0%
Blake Banham run for 6 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Alec Hullibarger run for 2 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+16
100.0%
James Pensyl pass complete to Antoine Porter for 16 yds to the MsVly 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
100.0%
Alec Hullibarger run for 9 yds to the MsVly 28Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+5
100.0%
Alec Hullibarger run for 5 yds to the MsVly 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MsVly 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:28
Todd Porter pass complete to Antoine Porter for 13 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 2:43
Todd Porter pass complete to Lavonte Robinson for 4 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 8:38
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com