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M-OH

Miami (OH) 21 at Iowa 45

IOWA
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:14 · Billy Bahl run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+18.0Home team on offense+27.4Score differential+20.2Garbage-time factor+6.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.3Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:42: Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK) — M-OH win probability +1.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:15: Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:37: C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:41: Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK) — M-OH win probability +1.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:43: Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK) — M-OH win probability +5.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 5M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:03M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:17IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 29, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:19M-OH 4th & 4 at M-OH 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:23M-OH 4th & 16 at IOWA 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    42% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:15IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:37IOWA 4th & 6 at M-OH 12, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:20M-OH 4th & 1 at IOWA 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:53IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:14M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:04IOWA 4th & 3 at M-OH 3, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:07IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:14IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:41IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:42M-OH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:15IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:37IOWA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:41M-OH Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:43M-OH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:08IOWA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:473% → 3%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.2%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 7 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
97.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
97.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 9 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-2
96.9%
Maurice Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
96.8%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q1 12:03
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+15
96.8%
Justin Martin punt for 37 yds , Desmond King returns for 15 yds to the IOWA 42 IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards - Josey Jewell ejected for targeting) to the Iowa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:5197% → 97%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
96.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 6 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+23
96.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 23 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+33
96.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 33 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
96.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
96.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:123% → 4%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.6%
Billy Bahl run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
96.5%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Ryan SmithSimilar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
96.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
96.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Maurice Thomas for no gain Maurice Thomas fumbled, forced by Jack Hockaday, recovered by Iowa Parker Hesse , return for 28 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4TD
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:2697% → 97%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
96.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 1 yd to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
97.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:403% → 3%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+67
96.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 67 yds to the Iowa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
96.6%
Billy Bahl sacked by Anthony Nelson for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 19 Billy Bahl fumbled, recovered by Iowa Matt Nelson , return for 0 yards , return for 4 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6TD
2 plays · 81 yds · 0:2997% → 98%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+38
96.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 38 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
97.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 43 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:423% → 4%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.3%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
97.3%
Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
97.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
97.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 8 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+6
97.3%
Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
97.4%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+12
97.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Alexx Zielinski for 12 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
97.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 12 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
97.4%
Billy Bahl run for 2 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+1
97.4%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the Iowa 16Similar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+13
97.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 13 yds to the Iowa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4296% → 96%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
96.4%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Jt Jones for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 12 C.J. Beathard fumbled, recovered by Iowa Akrum Wadley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 20
OWN 12
+12
96.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 12 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+5
96.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 5 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q2 11:17
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
96.2%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:584% → 4%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
96.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+6
96.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 6 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
96.0%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Kenny YoungSimilar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 9
OWN 22
-5
96.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 14
OWN 17
+10
96.1%
Billy Bahl run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
96.0%
Justin Martin punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:5796% → 98%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
96.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 14 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
96.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+7
96.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 7 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
96.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+36
96.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 36 yds to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11MISSED FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 3:372% → 1%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.7%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
97.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 16 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.6%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
97.6%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+22
97.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 22 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.5%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
97.6%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-6
97.8%
Billy Bahl sacked by Anthony Nelson for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 36Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 16
OPP 36
+53
98.7%
Samuel Sloman 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5898% → 98%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Iowa 36Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
98.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to LeShun Daniels Jr. for 1 yd to the Iowa 37Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+4
98.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 4 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
98.4%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 10 yds · 1:001% → 2%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
98.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+2
98.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:0998% → 100%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
98.4%
Jerminic Smith run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
98.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
98.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+23
98.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 23 yds to the MiaOh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
98.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+1
98.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+12
99.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:460% → 2%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
99.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 5 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+8
99.7%
Maurice Thomas run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 6 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+5
99.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-5
99.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 13
OPP 44
0
99.7%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+12
99.8%
Maurice Thomas run for 12 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+3
99.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.7%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
99.8%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Kenny YoungSimilar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+29
98.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:2798% → 99%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
98.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 9 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
98.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
98.7%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
98.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Ronald Nash for 6 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-10
98.8%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Junior McMullen for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 35Similar
Q3 1:53
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
98.8%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 39 yds , Jared Murphy returns for no gain to the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 6:581% → 7%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
98.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 13 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
98.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-5
98.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+10
99.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
99.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+2
99.0%
Billy Bahl run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
50
+10
99.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 10 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.1%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the Iowa 39Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+17
99.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 17 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.0%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+6
99.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the Iowa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
99.0%
Billy Bahl run for 4 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
93.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:2997% → 98%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
96.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 8 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+3
96.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
96.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 7 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+12
97.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+40
97.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 38 yds to the MiaOh 4 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (2 Yards) to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
97.1%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q4 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
97.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
97.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to George KittleSimilar
Q4 6:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+22
97.9%
Keith Duncan 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:542% → 2%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.8%
Maurice Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-6
98.3%
Billy Bahl sacked by Anthony Nelson for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 18 Billy Bahl fumbled, recovered by Iowa Sam Brincks , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20TD
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4699% → 100%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
98.5%
Toks Akinribade run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+2
98.7%
Toks Akinribade run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+7
98.7%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.8%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:580% → 1%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Travion Banks for 6 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
99.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.7%
Maurice Thomas run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+10
99.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 10 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.6%
Grant Niemiec run for 2 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+15
99.6%
Bahl, Billy pass incomplete, PENALTY IOWA pass interference 15 yards to the IOWA24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMIOH.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
99.5%
Grant Niemiec run for 3 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:43
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)
-5.6
TD · Q2 7:15
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 13:42
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com