Try the model
KENT

Kent State 13 at Penn State 33

PSU
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Beaver Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-1.9PSU 81.8%Tyler Davis 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 16 · Q2 1:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:47 · Tyler Davis 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Pregame prior+25.5Home team on offense+3.2Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:33: Shane Hynes 43 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +2.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:02: Saquon Barkley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:05: Justin Agner pass intercepted for a TD Amani Oruwariye return for 30 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 4:22: Tyler Davis 28 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:53: Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 30 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00PSU 4th & 2 at PSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:54KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:55PSU 4th & 7 at PSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:25KENT 4th & 7 at PSU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:28PSU 4th & 3 at PSU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:57KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:47PSU 4th & 12 at KENT 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:30KENT 4th & 18 at PSU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.7%
    42% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:06PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:05KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:07PSU 4th & 1 at KENT 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    85.9%−1.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−6.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:59KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 17, down 10
    Close callPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:22PSU 4th & 10 at KENT 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−5.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00PSU 4th & 12 at PSU 33, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−1.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:40KENT 4th & 18 at KENT 35, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:17PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 36, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:40KENT 4th & 14 at PSU 41, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%
    32% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:53KENT 4th & 17 at KENT 18, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 1:56PSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    85.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:02PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:05PSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:53PSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.1%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
91.1%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
91.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 5 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
91.1%
Blake Gillikin punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
90.5%
Kavious Price run for 3 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
90.5%
Justin Agner pass complete to Justin Rankin for 6 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 1
OWN 27
0
90.5%
Justin Rankin run for no gain to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 1
OWN 27
-2
90.5%
Derek Adams punt for 41 yds , John Reid returns for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.0%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
90.0%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
89.9%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mike GesickiSimilar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+3
89.9%
Blake Gillikin punt for 44 yds , Nick Holley returns for 3 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:3110% → 12%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
89.6%
Justin Rankin run for 5 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, personal foul (Marcus Allen) to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
89.5%
Justin Agner run for no gain to the KntSt 46Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
89.5%
Justin Agner run for 2 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+11
89.5%
Justin Agner pass complete to Nick Holley for 11 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
89.4%
Justin Agner pass incomplete, broken up by Nyeem Wartman-WhiteSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
89.4%
Justin Agner pass complete to Kris White for 12 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
89.4%
Justin Agner run for 16 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
89.4%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the PnSt 10Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
89.4%
Justin Agner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
89.4%
Justin Agner run for no gain to the PnSt 10Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+26
87.7%
Shane Hynes 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:2388% → 88%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
87.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 25Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+8
87.6%
Trace McSorley run for 8 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+26
87.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 26 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
88.1%
Saquon Barkley run for 9 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+4
88.3%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
88.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 7 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+9
88.3%
Trace McSorley run for 9 yds to the KntSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
88.3%
Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the KntSt 4Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
88.2%
DaeSean Hamilton 4 Yd pass from Trace McSorley (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 5:2312% → 16%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
87.6%
Justin Agner run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, personal foul (Robert Windsor) to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
87.1%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
87.0%
Mylik Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+8
87.2%
Mylik Mitchell run for 8 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
86.9%
Mylik Mitchell run for 13 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+28
86.0%
Kavious Price run for 28 yds to the PnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
85.9%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the PnSt 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
85.9%
AGNER, Justin rush for no gain to the PSU3 (Reid, John;Allen, Marcus), PENALTY KENT face mask 15 yards to the PSU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
-5
86.1%
KENT ST Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
-3
86.2%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Trey Harrell for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 26
0
86.6%
Justin Agner run for no gain to the PnSt 26Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 0
OPP 26
+43
84.0%
Shane Hynes 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
84.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 14 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
85.1%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
85.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-2
85.5%
Andre Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
84.7%
Blake Gillikin punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
83.0%
MITCHELL, Mylik pass incomplete to WHITE, Kris, PENALTY KENT holding 10 yards to the KENT10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 20
OWN 10
0
83.1%
Mylik Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+9
83.2%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Myles Washington for 9 yds Myles Washington fumbled, forced by Marcus Allen, recovered by PnSt Marcus Allen , return for 6 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:4185% → 89%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
85.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
88.8%
Saquon Barkley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-7
87.4%
George Bollas run for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 17 George Bollas fumbled, recovered by KntSt Justin RankinSimilar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 17
OWN 17
0
87.6%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 17
OWN 17
+9
88.0%
Justin Rankin run for 9 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
88.1%
Derek Adams punt for 43 yds , John Reid returns for no gain to the PnSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11FUMBLE TD
1 play · -11 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
82.8%
Trace McSorley sacked by Terence Waugh for a loss of 11 yards Trace McSorley fumbled, recovered by KntSt Elcee Refuge , return for 0 yards , return for 20 yds, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:1883% → 82%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
83.2%
Trace McSorley run for 6 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+21
83.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 21 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
84.3%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+7
84.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 7 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+4
83.8%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
84.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 6 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+2
84.3%
Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+8
83.8%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (James Alexander) to the KntSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
84.3%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mike GesickiSimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-6
84.3%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 12Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
83.7%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris Godwin PENN ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
81.8%
Tyler Davis 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13MISSED FG
13 plays · 39 yds · 1:1718% → 17%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.0%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
81.9%
Justin Agner pass complete to Nick Holley for 15 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
80.6%
Justin Agner run for 8 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+21
79.7%
Justin Rankin run for 21 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
78.7%
Justin Rankin run for no gain to the PnSt 28Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
79.9%
Justin Agner pass incomplete to Justin Rankin, broken up by Nyeem Wartman-WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-8
81.1%
Justin Agner sacked by Garrett Sickels and Nyeem Wartman-White for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 36Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 18
OPP 36
+54
83.2%
Shane Hynes 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:2483% → 81%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.1%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mike GesickiSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
82.8%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris Godwin, broken up by Demetrius MondaySimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+6
82.2%
Saquon Barkley run for 6 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
81.4%
Blake Gillikin punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15INT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5519% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.3%
Justin Agner pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.4%
Justin Agner run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+30
88.1%
Justin Agner pass intercepted for a TD Amani Oruwariye return for 30 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.7%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
87.3%
Justin Agner run for 3 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-10
87.6%
Justin Agner sacked by Shareef Miller for a loss of 10 yards to the KntSt 22Similar
Q3 14:05
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+21
88.7%
Derek Adams punt for 46 yds , John Reid returns for 21 yds to the PnSt 43 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the PnSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 47 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+28
89.2%
Saquon Barkley run for 28 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
89.6%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+8
89.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 8 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+6
89.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 6 yds to the KntSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
89.6%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
89.6%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+5
89.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 5 yds to the KntSt 8Similar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 1
OPP 8
0
88.5%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 10 Trace McSorley fumbled, recovered by PnSt Trace McSorley , return for no gain to the KntSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
88.3%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 12Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-4
88.4%
Justin Agner pass complete to Kavious Price for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 8Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 12
OWN 8
+9
89.1%
Justin Rankin run for 9 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
89.2%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by John Reid at the PnSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:3990% → 93%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
89.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 3 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
89.6%
Trace McSorley run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 1
50
+2
89.2%
Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+43
89.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 43 yds to the KntSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
89.9%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
89.8%
Barkley, Saquon rush for 5 yards to the KENT0, clock 05:12, PENALTY PSU holding (Nelson, Andrew) 10 yards to the KENT15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+5
89.7%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 10Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
89.3%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton, broken up by Najee MurraySimilar
Q3 4:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
93.0%
Tyler Davis 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20INT
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.7%
Justin Agner pass complete to Justin Rankin for 9 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
90.7%
Justin Agner pass complete to Raekwon James for 7 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
90.9%
Justin Rankin run for 16 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
90.3%
Justin Agner pass incomplete to Raekwon James, broken up by Malik GoldenSimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
90.5%
Justin Agner pass complete to Nick Holley for 8 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+19
90.2%
Justin Rankin run for 19 yds to the PnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-8
89.5%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 24Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 18
OPP 24
-8
90.1%
Justin Agner sacked by Kevin Givens and Shareef Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 32Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 26
OPP 32
0
91.2%
Justin Agner pass intercepted Brandon Bell return for no gain to the PnSt 32 KENT ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
94.6%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saeed BlacknallSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+5
94.5%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+17
94.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 17 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
94.8%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+1
94.6%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
94.5%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mike GesickiSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
94.1%
Blake Gillikin punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
93.3%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Nick Holley for 11 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
92.9%
Mylik Mitchell sacked by Parker Cothren and Antoine White for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+3
93.3%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+14
93.5%
Mylik Mitchell run for 14 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
92.4%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 4 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
92.2%
Mylik Mitchell pass incomplete to Nick HolleySimilar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-12
92.4%
Mylik Mitchell sacked by Garrett Sickels and Antoine White for a loss of 12 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 18
OWN 35
0
93.6%
Derek Adams punt for 29 yds, downed at the PnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
95.6%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
95.8%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris Godwin, broken up by Demetrius MondaySimilar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
95.7%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins, broken up by Najee MurraySimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 5
OWN 41
-5
95.2%
PENN ST Penalty, illegal procedure (Von Walker) to the PnSt 36Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+44
95.0%
Blake Gillikin punt for 44 yds , Nick Holley returns for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:436% → 3%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
94.1%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Brice Fackler for 7 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
93.1%
Mylik Mitchell pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+37
93.5%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Raekwon James for 37 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
92.9%
Mylik Mitchell run for 1 yd to the PnSt 36Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-5
92.9%
MITCHELL, Mylik pass complete to FACKLER, Brice for 18 yards to the PSU18, PENALTY KENT ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the PSU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 14
OPP 41
-6
93.1%
Mylik Mitchell sacked by John Reid and Antoine White for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 47Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 20
OPP 47
-5
93.9%
KENT ST Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 48Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 25
OWN 48
+11
94.0%
Mylik Mitchell run for 11 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 14
OPP 41
+8
96.8%
Mylik Mitchell run for 8 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:3897% → 100%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
97.3%
Trace McSorley run for 7 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+6
97.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 6 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
97.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
97.5%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Brandon Bell, broken up by Jerrell FosterSimilar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+7
97.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 7 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.5%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saeed Blacknall, broken up by Jerrell FosterSimilar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+14
97.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 14 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 30 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Mylik Mitchell pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Mylik Mitchell pass incomplete to Johnny Woods, broken up by Manny BowenSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.5%
Mylik Mitchell sacked by Ryan Buchholz for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 18Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+3
99.5%
Derek Adams punt for 45 yds , John Reid returns for 3 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:05
Justin Agner pass intercepted for a TD Amani Oruwariye return for 30 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
+6.7
FG · Q3 4:22
Tyler Davis 28 yd FG GOOD
+3.7
TD · Q2 8:02
Saquon Barkley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com