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BGSU

Bowling Green 10 at Ohio State 77

OSU
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:22 · Joseph Davidson punt for 48 yds , Corey Smith returns for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 29 Corey Smith fumbled, recovered by OhSt
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 170Pregame prior+15.7Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+30.1Blowout margin+18.0Garbage-time factor+7.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:49: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:05: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 79 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:57: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +1.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:26: J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:45: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 21 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BGSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 14:01BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:41BGSU 4th & 8 at OSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:58BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:15BGSU 4th & 1 at OSU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00BGSU 4th & 14 at OSU 23, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:23OSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:37BGSU 4th & 10 at OSU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:22BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 25, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:30BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 21, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:30OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 34, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:55BGSU 4th & 18 at BGSU 24, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:22BGSU 4th & 21 at BGSU 14, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:35BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 48, down 67
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 11 of 11BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:19BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:40OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:49OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:05OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:57OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:26OSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:45OSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:03OSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:35OSU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:50OSU Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:10OSU Touchdown, up 59 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:23OSU Touchdown, up 66 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:544% → 4%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
96.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
96.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+5
96.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q1 14:01
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
96.0%
Joseph Davidson punt for 38 yds, downed at the OhSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2INT TD
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:1896% → 96%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
96.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 9 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+3
96.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
95.8%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+63
95.6%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted for a TD Brandon Harris return for 63 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:2696% → 95%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
95.5%
Mike Weber run for 18 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
95.4%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+7
95.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 7 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
95.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+47
95.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 47 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 1:465% → 5%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 11 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
95.2%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+12
95.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 12 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.0%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
95.0%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-10
94.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 17
OWN 46
+9
94.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 9 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
94.9%
Joseph Davidson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dontre Wilson at the OhSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 3:3195% → 95%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
94.8%
Curtis Samuel run for 6 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+10
94.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 10 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 9 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
94.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+17
94.6%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
94.7%
Curtis Samuel run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
94.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+4
94.5%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
94.4%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+3
94.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+7
94.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
95.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:205% → 5%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
94.7%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
94.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
94.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
94.8%
Joseph Davidson punt for 51 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for no gain to the OhSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:4695% → 95%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
94.6%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 17Similar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+4
94.5%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 16
OWN 21
+79
95.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 79 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8DOWNS
17 plays · 56 yds · 2:555% → 5%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
95.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Marquis ZimmermanSimilar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+15
95.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
95.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 14 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
94.9%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+2
94.9%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+5
94.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
94.8%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+5
94.9%
Ronnie Moore run for 5 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
94.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
94.6%
Ronnie Moore pass incomplete to James KnapkeSimilar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+5
94.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
94.5%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the OhSt 18Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
94.5%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 9
OPP 18
-5
94.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 23Similar
Q1 0:09
3RD & 14
OPP 23
0
94.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+7
95.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 7 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:3295% → 95%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
95.1%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 24
0
95.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to James ClarkSimilar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+6
95.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
95.1%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+3
95.2%
Curtis Samuel run for 3 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
95.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
95.3%
Mike Weber run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
95.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to A.J. AlexanderSimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
95.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 6 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+2
95.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 2
OPP 21
0
94.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 1:286% → 7%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
94.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+12
94.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 12 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+28
94.2%
Fred Coppet run for 28 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
93.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
93.7%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+17
93.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 17 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
93.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Janarvis PoughSimilar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
93.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Hunter FolkertsmaSimilar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
94.0%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+33
93.5%
Jake Suder 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:0394% → 96%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
94.1%
Curtis Samuel run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 1
50
+2
94.2%
Curtis Samuel run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
94.1%
Dontre Wilson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+5
94.0%
Dontre Wilson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
94.0%
Mike Weber run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
95.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:385% → 5%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.4%
Josh Cleveland run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
95.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Teo Redding for 10 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.1%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
95.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
95.4%
James Knapke pass intercepted Malik Hooker return for no gain to the OhSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:1895% → 98%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
95.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 2 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
95.4%
Curtis Samuel run for 4 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+12
95.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 12 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
95.6%
Curtis Samuel run for 7 yds to the OhSt 45 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 13
OWN 35
+6
95.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 6 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+11
95.6%
Curtis Samuel run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
95.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 6 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+10
95.4%
Mike Weber run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
95.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 1 yd to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+11
95.6%
Dontre Wilson run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
95.5%
Curtis Samuel run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
95.5%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
96.7%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:1099% → 99%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
98.7%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+37
98.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 37 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
98.8%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
99.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 21 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:191% → 1%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Joseph Davidson punt for 40 yds, downed at the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:02100% → 100%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.5%
Dontre Wilson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+11
99.5%
Mike Weber run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
99.5%
OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-3 Yards) to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+5
99.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 5 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 11 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.6%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
99.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
99.7%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
99.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 9 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+10
99.7%
Dontre Wilson run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
99.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q3 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
99.8%
Curtis Samuel run for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:210% → 0%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Donovan Wilson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+44
99.7%
James Knapke pass intercepted Malik Hooker return for 44 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+11
99.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 11 yds to the BwGrn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:330% → 0%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
99.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+9
99.8%
Joseph Davidson punt for 60 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for 9 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.8%
Demario McCall run for 3 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
99.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to A.J. Alexander for 3 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Cameron Johnston punt for 48 yds, downed at the BwGrn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
99.8%
Josh Cleveland run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.8%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
99.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-10
99.9%
James Knapke sacked by Jalyn Holmes and Davon Hamilton for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 3:55
4TH & 18
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Joseph Davidson punt for 51 yds, downed at the OhSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:05100% → 100%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 20Similar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
99.8%
Joe Burrow run for 4 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
99.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 9 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Demario McCall run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+11
99.9%
Joe Burrow run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Demario McCall for 36 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-13
99.9%
James Knapke sacked by Nick Bosa for a loss of 13 yards to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 21
OWN 14
-9
99.9%
Joseph Davidson punt for 48 yds , Corey Smith returns for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 29 Corey Smith fumbled, recovered by OhStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 7:05100% → 100%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Demario McCall run for 2 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 6 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Demario McCall run for 4 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
99.9%
Demario McCall run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 2 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to James ClarkSimilar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+12
99.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 12 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
99.9%
Demario McCall run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
Joe Burrow run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.9%
Demario McCall run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-3
99.9%
Joe Burrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 16 Joe Burrow fumbled, recovered by OhStSimilar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+16
100.0%
Demario McCall run for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26INT TD
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:320% → 0%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
100.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Marquis Zimmerman for 7 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Marquis Zimmerman for 3 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
100.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Marquis Zimmerman for 7 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+1
100.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
100.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
50
+16
100.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 16 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
100.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Marquis Zimmerman for 6 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+2
100.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+75
100.0%
James Morgan pass intercepted for a TD Rodjay Burns return for 75 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 27END OF GAME
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Vanel Dossous for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
100.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Marquis Zimmerman for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
100.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Marquis Zimmerman for 12 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Donovan Wilson run for no gain to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 3
OWN 48
+10
100.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Marquis Zimmerman for 10 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
100.0%
Josh Cleveland run for 3 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+1
100.0%
Josh Cleveland run for 1 yd to the OhSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:26
J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q2 6:57
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q1 4:49
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com