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PRES

Presbyterian 3 at Central Michigan 49

CMU
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2016 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadPRES aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scorePRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:14 · Brett Norton punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+29.7Home team on offense+8.9Score differential+4.1Garbage-time factor+0.8Blowout margin+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:02: Jahray Hayes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:39: Brett Norton 36 yd FG GOOD — PRES win probability +0.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: PRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:37: Jahray Hayes run for 12 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:26: Corey Willis 46 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Brian Eavey Kick) — CMU win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:46: Jahray Hayes run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5PRES made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 13:35PRES 4th & 3 at PRES 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:31PRES 4th & 3 at PRES 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:20CMU 4th & 17 at CMU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:11PRES 4th & 5 at CMU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:51CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:06PRES 4th & 11 at PRES 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:34PRES 4th & 6 at PRES 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:39PRES 4th & 5 at CMU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:50PRES 4th & 11 at PRES 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:35CMU 4th & 20 at CMU 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:14PRES 4th & 4 at PRES 47, down 11
    Close callPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:53PRES 4th & 10 at PRES 18, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:10PRES 4th & 3 at PRES 32, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:54CMU 4th & 8 at PRES 37, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:02PRES 4th & 8 at PRES 12, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:56PRES 4th & 19 at PRES 7, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:58PRES 4th & 21 at PRES 12, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:45CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 45, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 14:22CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:02CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:37CMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:26CMU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:46CMU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:03CMU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:09CMU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3398% → 98%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+69
97.7%
Devon Spalding run for 69 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:292% → 3%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
97.7%
Ben Cheek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 32Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+8
97.7%
Ben Cheek run for 8 yds to the Presb 40Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
97.6%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Darrell Bridges for no gain to the Presb 40Similar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
97.6%
Mario Cusano punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Mark Chapman at the CMich 18Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
97.5%
Mario Cusano punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Mark Chapman at the CMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:1098% → 97%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
97.5%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the CMich 22Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 22
-5
97.5%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 17Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 11
OWN 17
-4
97.5%
Cooper Rush sacked by Kamren Mack for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 13Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 15
OWN 13
-2
97.5%
Cooper Rush sacked by Jaylen Lindsay for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 11Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 17
OWN 11
0
97.3%
Jack Sheldon punt for 37 yds, downed at the CMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:043% → 3%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
97.2%
Ben Cheek run for 5 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
97.2%
Ben Cheek run for no gain to the CMich 43Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
97.2%
Ben Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
97.2%
Mario Cusano punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 3:1497% → 97%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
97.2%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
97.1%
Jonathan Ward run for 10 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
97.1%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
97.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 2 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+3
97.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 3 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+5
96.8%
Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 34 yds , DaShawn Davis returns for 5 yds to the Presb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:393% → 4%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
96.7%
Darrell Bridges run for 6 yds to the Presb 36Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
96.6%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Darrell Bridges for 3 yds to the Presb 39Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
96.6%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
96.6%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Daryl Wilson for 3 yds to the Presb 45Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
96.6%
Ben Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-4
96.5%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Darrell Bridges for a loss of 4 yards to the Presb 41Similar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
96.5%
Mario Cusano punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mark Chapman at the CMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7DOWNS
14 plays · 77 yds · 5:3496% → 96%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
96.4%
Devon Spalding run for 8 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
96.4%
Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
96.4%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Eric Cooper) to the CMich 16Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 25
OWN 16
+34
96.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 34 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
50
+7
96.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 7 yds to the Presb 43Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+5
96.2%
Jahray Hayes run for 5 yds to the Presb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
96.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 7 yds to the Presb 31Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
96.1%
Devon Spalding run for 6 yds to the Presb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
96.0%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kenneth Coleman) to the Presb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
95.9%
Devon Spalding run for 6 yds to the Presb 4Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
95.9%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the Presb 3Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Tyler ConklinSimilar
Q2 12:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.7%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Illegal Touching (Mark Chapman) to the Presb 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:464% → 5%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
95.6%
Darrell Bridges run for no gain to the Presb 3Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
95.6%
Ben Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+4
95.7%
Darrell Bridges run for 4 yds to the Presb 7Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 6
OWN 7
+26
95.5%
Brett Norton punt for 52 yds , Emmett Thomas returns for 26 yds to the Presb 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:2896% → 97%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
95.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
95.5%
Mark Chapman run for 4 yds to the Presb 29Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+19
95.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 19 yds to the Presb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
95.5%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the Presb 6Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
95.5%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kenny Rogers) to the Presb 16Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
95.4%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+12
95.1%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kevin Green) to the Presb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
95.4%
Jahray Hayes run for 2 yds to the Presb 2Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.6%
Jahray Hayes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 10FUMBLE
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:244% → 5%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
96.2%
Ben Cheek pass complete to DarQuez Watson for 17 yds to the Presb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
96.0%
Ben Cheek run for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 32Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+5
96.2%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Presb 37Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+9
96.0%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Darrell Bridges for 9 yds to the Presb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
95.9%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, False Start (Zach Cooper) to the Presb 41Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
96.1%
Darrell Bridges run for no gain to the Presb 41Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+19
96.1%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Daryl Wilson for 19 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.7%
Ben Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+27
95.7%
Ben Cheek pass complete to DaShawn Davis for 27 yds to the CMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
95.1%
DaShawn Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 14 DaShawn Davis fumbled, forced by Nathan Ricketts, recovered by CMich Nathan RickettsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:2796% → 96%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
95.9%
Jesse Kroll pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
95.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 3 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+8
95.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 8 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Jaylen Lindsay return for no gain to the CMich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.2%
Ben Cheek pass intercepted Winslow Chapman return for no gain to the CMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:1496% → 96%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
95.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jahray Hayes for 8 yds to the CMich 16Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+10
96.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 10 yds to the CMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
96.0%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Grant Beidel return for 4 yds to the CMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 14FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:465% → 5%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
94.7%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds to the CMich 22Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
94.7%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Cedric FrazierSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+3
95.2%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the CMich 19Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
94.6%
Brett Norton 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
94.9%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the CMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:056% → 5%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.5%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 23Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
94.5%
Ben Cheek run for 1 yd to the Presb 24Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
94.7%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to DaShawn DavisSimilar
Q3 13:50
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
94.8%
Brett Norton punt for 47 yds, downed at the CMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 2:1095% → 93%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-8
94.5%
Malik Fountain run for 2 yds to the CMich 31 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jesse Kroll) to the CMich 21Similar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 18
OWN 21
0
94.5%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 18
OWN 21
0
94.0%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Devon SpaldingSimilar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 18
OWN 21
-2
93.5%
Cooper Rush sacked by Khari Rosier for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 19Similar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 20
OWN 19
+11
93.3%
Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 51 yds , DaShawn Davis returns for 11 yds to the Presb 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:167% → 7%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
93.2%
Darrell Bridges run for 5 yds to the Presb 46Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+1
93.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 1 yd to the Presb 47Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
92.9%
Ben Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
93.3%
Brett Norton punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:2394% → 98%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
93.7%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+24
93.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 24 yds to the Presb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
94.2%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Shakir Carr) to the CMich 48Similar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+4
93.9%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the Presb 48Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 16
OPP 48
+36
94.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 24 yds to the Presb 24 for a 1ST down PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (12 Yards) to the Presb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
97.5%
Jahray Hayes run for 12 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:393% → 3%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
96.8%
Ben Cheek run for no gain to the Presb 18Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
96.8%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Daryl WilsonSimilar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
96.9%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Daryl WilsonSimilar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
96.9%
Brett Norton punt for 53 yds, downed at the CMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 3:1897% → 100%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
97.3%
Devon Spalding run for 8 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+6
97.4%
Devon Spalding run for 6 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
97.5%
Devon Spalding run for 8 yds to the Presb 49Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
97.5%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the Presb 48Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
97.4%
Trevor Apsey run for 2 yds to the Presb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.5%
Corey Willis 46 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Brian Eavey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:222% → 2%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Darrell Bridges run for no gain to the Presb 25Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Darrell Bridges run for no gain to the Presb 25Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.4%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Daryl Wilson for 7 yds to the Presb 32Similar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.4%
Brett Norton punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Emmett Thomas at the CMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:1399% → 100%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
99.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.5%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the Presb 46Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
99.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 7 yds to the Presb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Eric CooperSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.6%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the Presb 37Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Presb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:481% → 1%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-7
98.6%
Ben Cheek sacked by Mitch Stanitzek for a loss of 7 yards to the Presb 3Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 17
OWN 3
-1
98.5%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 2Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 18
OWN 2
+10
98.5%
Ben Cheek run for 10 yds to the Presb 12Similar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
98.6%
Brett Norton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Emmett Thomas at the Presb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+33
99.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jonathan Carson for 33 yds to the Presb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
99.7%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the Presb 8Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Jahray Hayes run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 26INT TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
99.9%
Darrell Bridges run for 6 yds to the Presb 23Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+27
99.9%
Ben Cheek pass intercepted for a TD Amari Coleman return for 27 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
99.9%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 4 yards to the Presb 12Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+1
99.9%
Ben Cheek pass complete to DaShawn Davis for 1 yd to the Presb 13Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 13
OWN 13
-6
99.9%
Darrell Bridges run for 11 yds to the Presb 24 PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-17 Yards) to the Presb 7Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 19
OWN 7
0
99.9%
Ben Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 19
OWN 7
0
99.9%
Brett Norton punt for 42 yds, downed at the Presb 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 28TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:36100% → 100%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the Presb 45Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+45
99.9%
Jonathan Ward run for 45 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
100.0%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 20Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds to the Presb 22Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 11
OWN 22
-10
100.0%
Ben Cheek sacked by Mike Danna for a loss of 10 yards to the Presb 12Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 21
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Brett Norton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Emmett Thomas at the CMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
100.0%
Jake Johnson sacked by Brien Washington for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 40Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Matt Krause run for no gain to the CMich 40Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+5
100.0%
Matt Krause run for 5 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 40 yds, fair catch by DaShawn Davis at the Presb 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 31END OF GAME
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
100.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 8 yds to the Presb 23Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+5
100.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 5 yds to the Presb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 31Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Obinna Ntiasagwe run for 2 yds to the Presb 33Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Darrell Bridges run for no gain to the Presb 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:37
Jahray Hayes run for 12 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q3 3:26
Corey Willis 46 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Brian Eavey Kick)
+2.1
TD · Q2 7:02
Jahray Hayes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com