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NEV

Nevada 45 at UNLV 10

UNLV
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:16 · Evan Pantels punt for 48 yds, downed at the Nevad 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense−26.7Score differential−12.8Pregame prior+6.3Garbage-time factor−5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:50: James Butler run for 33 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK) — NEV win probability +9.0 pts (now 54%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:22: Kurt Palandech run for 27 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +6.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:05: Ty Gangi pass complete to James Butler for 14 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK) — NEV win probability +17.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Evan Pantels 47 yd FG GOOD — UNLV win probability +6.7 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 9:16: Spencer Pettit 38 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +12.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 7 of 10NEV made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 10:43UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:14NEV 4th & 6 at UNLV 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:08UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 35, down 10
    Close callPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:19NEV 4th & 3 at NEV 39, up 10
    Close callPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:15UNLV 4th & 12 at UNLV 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:58NEV 4th & 3 at UNLV 15, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.2%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:54UNLV 4th & 8 at NEV 49, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:30UNLV 4th & 3 at NEV 49, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.5%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00UNLV 4th & 10 at NEV 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:55UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 27, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:16NEV 4th & 8 at UNLV 21, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−9.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:16UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−2.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:54NEV 4th & 4 at UNLV 42, up 20
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    91.5%−2.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:09UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 46, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:56UNLV 4th & 2 at NEV 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NEV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:48NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:50NEV Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:22UNLV Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:05NEV Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:02NEV Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.6%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:31NEV Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:1234% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
65.7%
James Butler run for 7 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
65.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to James Butler for 4 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
65.7%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
50
+17
65.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brandon Scott for 17 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
65.7%
James Butler run for 8 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+2
65.7%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
65.7%
Ty Gangi run for 4 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+19
63.3%
Ty Gangi run for 19 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
63.8%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 21Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
63.8%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to David Greene for 6 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
63.8%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+5
63.6%
Evan Pantels punt for 48 yds , Andrew Celis returns for 5 yds to the UNLV 12 Andrew Celis fumbled, forced by Marc Philippi, recovered by Nevad Andrew Celis , return for 58 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0637% → 39%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
62.6%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+2
62.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 2 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 4
OPP 6
-2
62.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to James Butler for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 8Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
61.3%
Spencer Pettit 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
61.8%
Kurt Palandech run for 6 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
62.0%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-1
61.9%
David Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 35Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
61.6%
Evan Pantels punt for 33 yds, downed at the Nevad 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
60.2%
Ty Gangi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
60.4%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to James ButlerSimilar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+7
60.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 7 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
60.5%
Alex Boy punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
60.4%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-6
60.2%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 21Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+4
59.7%
Kurt Palandech run for 4 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
59.6%
Evan Pantels punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Andrew Celis at the Nevad 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1341% → 54%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
58.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
58.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
58.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the Nevad 47Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
58.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+6
58.6%
James Butler run for 6 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
58.3%
James Butler run for 8 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+33
45.9%
James Butler run for 33 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:2349% → 56%
Q2 14:45
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+10
48.6%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to David Greene for 10 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+35
49.0%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Jericho Flowers for 35 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
50.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
48.8%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
48.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 22Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+27
55.7%
Kurt Palandech run for 27 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:1746% → 56%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+22
54.1%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 22 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
53.1%
Andrew Celis pass incomplete to Elijah Mitchell, broken up by Tau LotuleleiSimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
53.2%
Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the UNLV 49Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+15
53.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 15 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
53.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
52.8%
Ty Gangi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+8
50.8%
James Butler run for 8 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
50.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to James Butler for 7 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-2
50.2%
Ty Gangi sacked by Tau Lotulelei for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 17Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+2
50.6%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
44.5%
Spencer Pettit 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
46.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 3 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+23
46.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 23 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
47.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
47.4%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
46.7%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
46.1%
Evan Pantels punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4758% → 76%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
42.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 7 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+28
42.0%
Ty Gangi run for 28 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
40.9%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+26
40.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 26 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
40.6%
Ty Gangi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
40.6%
Ty Gangi run for 1 yd to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+14
23.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to James Butler for 14 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 1:5927% → 33%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
26.6%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 8 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+4
27.4%
Kurt Palandech run for 4 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
27.0%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Tim Holt for 11 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
28.2%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
27.9%
Kurt Palandech sacked by Jarid Joseph for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+8
27.0%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 8 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 3
OPP 49
+19
26.7%
Charles Williams run for 19 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
34.1%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
33.9%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
33.2%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
33.2%
Evan Pantels 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
30.6%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
30.8%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 23Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+4
30.4%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to David Greene for 4 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+2
30.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 46 yds , Andrew Celis returns for 2 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:5773% → 86%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
27.0%
James Butler run for no gain to the Nevad 29Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+20
27.2%
Ty Gangi run for 20 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
25.7%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
25.5%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+25
25.8%
Ty Gangi pass complete to James Butler for 25 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
24.9%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-1
24.9%
James Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 21Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
25.7%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Jaxson KincaideSimilar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
13.6%
Spencer Pettit 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.7%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
17.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
17.5%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
17.5%
Evan Pantels punt for 48 yds, downed at the Nevad 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:1687% → 94%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
12.6%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-2
11.4%
Jaxson Kincaide run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 27Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+13
12.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 13 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
10.9%
James Butler run for 12 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
10.7%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
10.7%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
5.5%
James Butler run for no gain to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
5.9%
Alex Boy punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+14
7.0%
Charles Williams run for 14 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
7.3%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+14
7.5%
PALANDECH, Kurt pass incomplete to STEVENSON, M., PENALTY NEV pass interference (JOHNSON, K.) 14 yards to the LV41, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
7.8%
Dalton Sneed run for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 17
OWN 34
0
7.2%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to David GreeneSimilar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 17
OWN 34
+12
7.2%
Kurt Palandech run for 12 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
7.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Andrew Celis at the Nevad 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 4:2895% → 100%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
4.8%
Ty Gangi run for 8 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+5
4.4%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 5 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
4.3%
Ty Gangi run for 18 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
4.0%
James Butler run for 7 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+1
3.8%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+5
3.9%
James Butler run for 5 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+31
3.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 31 yds to the UNLV 9 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
3.7%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
3.7%
Ty Gangi run for 3 yds to the UNLV 6 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Darius Mouton) to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.4%
James Butler run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ty Gangi pass to Hasaan Henderson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
0.4%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Trevor Kanteman for 26 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
0.4%
Kurt Palandech run for 4 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+8
0.4%
David Greene run for 8 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
0.4%
Kurt Palandech run for 8 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
0.4%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the Nevad 29Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
0.4%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the Nevad 29Similar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 2
OPP 29
0
0.4%
Kurt Palandech run for no gain to the Nevad 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 5:30100% → 100%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
0.4%
James Butler run for 5 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
0.4%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+8
0.3%
James Butler run for 8 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
0.3%
James Butler run for 11 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
0.3%
James Butler run for 13 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
0.3%
James Butler run for 7 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+8
0.3%
James Butler run for 8 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
0.3%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
0.1%
James Butler run for 13 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21INT
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
0.1%
Charles Williams run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 2
50
+17
0.1%
Kurt Palandech run for 17 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
0.1%
Kurt Palandech run for 2 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+13
0.1%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Trevor Kanteman for 13 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
0.1%
Kurt Palandech run for 14 yds to the Nevad 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
0.1%
Kurt Palandech run for 2 yds to the Nevad 2Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
0.1%
Kurt Palandech run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 3Similar
Q4 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+23
0.0%
Kurt Palandech pass intercepted Asauni Rufus return for 23 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:05
Ty Gangi pass complete to James Butler for 14 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)
-17.1
FG · Q3 9:16
Spencer Pettit 38 yd FG GOOD
-12
TD · Q2 14:50
James Butler run for 33 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com