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SDSU

San Diego State 33 at Wyoming 34

WYO
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Ethan Wood punt for 48 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 6 yds to the SDSt 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior−5.0Home team on offense−6.1Garbage-time factor−4.2Score differential−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:06: Brian Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +21.7 pts (now 52%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:53: Cooper Rothe kickoff for 57 yds , Juwan Washington return for 92 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +21.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:45: Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 30 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +29.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:07: Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 29 yds for a TD SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +33.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — SDSU win probability +20.3 pts (now 31%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 8 of 8SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:27WYO 4th & 15 at SDSU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:27SDSU 4th & 5 at SDSU 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:55WYO 4th & 10 at SDSU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:48SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:49SDSU 4th & 10 at WYO 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    58.8%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:49WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:26SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 40, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:55WYO 4th & 1 at SDSU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−2.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−8.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:53WYO 4th & 5 at SDSU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:15WYO 4th & 9 at SDSU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−11.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:15SDSU 4th & 9 at SDSU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−1.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:45SDSU 4th & 12 at WYO 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−3.9
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−15.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:45SDSU 4th & 15 at SDSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−7.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:21WYO 4th & 1 at SDSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.9%−6.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SDSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 14:47SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:14WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:00SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:06WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:53SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:45WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:07WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−1.7
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:00SDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.9 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    39.4%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 2FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:2031% → 32%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
30.9%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-5
30.9%
Josh Allen sacked by Jay Henderson for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+33
30.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 33 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
30.9%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+23
30.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 23 yds to the SDSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
30.9%
Austin Conway run for 3 yds to the SDSt 8Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-8
30.9%
Josh Allen sacked by Noble Hall for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSt 16Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 15
OPP 16
0
30.9%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 15
OPP 16
+32
32.1%
Cooper Rothe 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
32.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 30Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
32.2%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
32.5%
Tanner Blain punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
32.5%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+6
32.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 6 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
32.6%
Brian Hill run for 13 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
33.0%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+9
33.1%
Josh Allen run for 9 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
33.2%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
33.2%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Ronley LakalakaSimilar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
33.0%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
32.4%
Ethan Wood punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
33.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the SDSt 15Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+11
33.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 11 yds to the SDSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
33.3%
Christian Chapman run for 6 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+1
33.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 33Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+12
33.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
32.8%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
32.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
33.0%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Rashaad PennySimilar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 8
OWN 47
-2
33.6%
Tanner Blain punt for 43 yds , Austin Conway returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6INT
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:2534% → 36%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
33.9%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+4
34.0%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+5
33.5%
Josh Allen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
34.1%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
34.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to Brian Hill for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+7
33.9%
Josh Allen run for 7 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
34.9%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+19
35.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 19 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
36.5%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the SDSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
36.4%
Josh Allen pass intercepted Parker Baldwin return for no gain to the SDSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:1065% → 69%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-13
35.2%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (-13 Yards) to the SDSt 13Similar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
35.4%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 16Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+27
35.4%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 27 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+39
34.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 39 yds to the Wyom 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
33.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+5
33.6%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Parker Houston for 5 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+7
34.0%
Christian Chapman run for 7 yds to the Wyom 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
33.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the Wyom 8Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
33.4%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
34.6%
Christian Chapman sacked by Dalton Fields for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 10Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
30.6%
John Baron II 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.6%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
31.6%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
30.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Brian Hill, broken up by Jay HendersonSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
30.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
30.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 29Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 12
OWN 29
-5
31.4%
CHAPMAN, Christ rush for 4 yards to the SDSU33 (WACHA, Lucas), PENALTY SDSU illegal formation 5 yards to the SDSU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 17
OWN 24
+4
31.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 28Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 13
OWN 28
-5
32.0%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 23Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 18
OWN 23
+17
32.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 17 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
30.6%
Tanner Blain punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4132% → 50%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
31.7%
Brian Hill run for 15 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+42
32.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 27 yds to the WYOMING 38 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SDSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
35.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
35.7%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the SDSt 20Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+6
34.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 6 yds to the SDSt 14Similar
Q2 3:55
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+3
33.8%
Josh Allen run for 3 yds to the SDSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
49.5%
Brian Hill run for 11 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 1:1459% → 75%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
40.7%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Eric Judge for 8 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
38.3%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+9
38.6%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Eric Judge for 9 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
37.6%
Christian Chapman run for 9 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
37.5%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Eric JudgeSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+24
37.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 24 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
36.7%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+12
36.7%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Curtis Anderson III for 12 yds to the Wyom 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
25.3%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Parker Houston for 3 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 5:5430% → 52%
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
30.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 10 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
31.8%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
32.6%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+12
31.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 12 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
33.3%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
33.2%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
33.2%
Josh Allen run for 3 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
34.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 9 yds to the SDSt 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+6
34.5%
Shaun Wick run for 6 yds to the SDSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
34.5%
Tanner Gentry run for 8 yds to the SDSt 9Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+8
34.5%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the SDSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
30.4%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.1%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0030% → 31%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.7%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
29.7%
Josh Allen run for 10 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
30.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 11 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
32.6%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 7
50
+2
33.2%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the SDSt 48Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
32.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Brian Hill, broken up by Kyle KelleySimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
30.5%
Ethan Wood punt for 33 yds, downed at the SDSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
27.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 17Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-2
27.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 18 Donnel Pumphrey fumbled, recovered by Wyom Lucas WachaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5535% → 37%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
35.4%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the SDSt 17Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
35.4%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
33.4%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
37.4%
Cooper Rothe 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0068% → 65%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
32.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 30Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-3
32.5%
Christian Chapman sacked by Conner Cain and Kevin Prosser for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 27Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+2
34.3%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 2 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
35.5%
Tanner Blain punt for 49 yds , Austin Conway returns for no gain to the Wyom 29 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Wyom 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:3034% → 33%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
34.4%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+10
34.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 10 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
34.8%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
35.4%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
35.8%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
36.0%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
35.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Dakota TurnerSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+1
34.4%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+6
33.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 48 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 6 yds to the SDSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:0569% → 78%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+44
31.4%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Juwan Washington for 44 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+24
28.0%
Rashaad Penny run for 24 yds to the Wyom 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
26.4%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
26.4%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for 1 yd to the Wyom 9Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-5
27.9%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 14Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
28.5%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Eric Judge, broken up by Antonio HullSimilar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+31
21.7%
John Baron II 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0026% → 62%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
25.6%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+45
25.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 45 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
62.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 30 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0051% → 48%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
49.2%
Juwan Washington run for 14 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
46.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
50
+2
43.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
43.9%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Quest TruxtonSimilar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-7
45.2%
Christian Chapman sacked by Andrew Wingard for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 45Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 15
OWN 45
+1
51.6%
Tanner Blain punt for 41 yds , Austin Conway returns for 1 yd to the Wyom 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22TD
16 plays · 85 yds · 6:1455% → 97%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
54.8%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
55.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+5
52.8%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, encroachment (5 Yards) to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.3%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
56.5%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
54.2%
Josh Allen run for 12 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
59.0%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
60.3%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
59.0%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
57.8%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
61.0%
Austin Conway run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 46 Austin Conway fumbled, recovered by Wyom Austin Conway , return for no gain to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+9
56.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 9 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+12
59.7%
Josh Allen run for 12 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
63.3%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
63.1%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+29
96.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 29 yds for a TD SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23TD
15 plays · 99 yds · 1:079% → 31%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+27
91.1%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 27 yds to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
90.1%
Christian Chapman sacked by Kevin Prosser for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 23Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+16
92.4%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 16 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
90.7%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Mikah HolderSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+27
91.2%
Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 27 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
86.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 3 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
85.9%
Christian Chapman run for 4 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 0:16
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
89.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 4 yds to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
85.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
86.6%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Quest Truxton, broken up by Andrew WingardSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+23
69.4%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:07
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 29 yds for a TD SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+33.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+30.6
TD · Q4 9:45
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 30 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+29
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com