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UNLV

UNLV 25 at Boise State 42

BOIS
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2016 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:52 · Evan Pantels punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cedrick Wilson at the BoiSt 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Pregame prior+12.5Home team on offense+25.5Score differential+9.5Garbage-time factor+6.9Blowout margin+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:37: Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:43: Kurt Palandech run for 7 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +3.0 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:48: Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:01: Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:03: Kurt Palandech run for 9 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +2.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 12:56UNLV 4th & 16 at BOIS 35, tied
    Close callWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:01UNLV 4th & 4 at BOIS 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:33BOIS 4th & 1 at UNLV 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:45UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 33, down 4
    Close callPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:56UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:10BOIS 4th & 10 at UNLV 11, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:55UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:38UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 12, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:18BOIS 4th & 16 at BOIS 40, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:52UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 26, down 18
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:23UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:09BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 42, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:33UNLV 4th & 1 at BOIS 45, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:43BOIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:38BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:37BOIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:43UNLV Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:48BOIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:01BOIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:03UNLV Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:40BOIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:41UNLV Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:2996% → 96%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+10
95.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 10 yds Thomas Sperbeck fumbled, forced by Kenny Keys, recovered by UNLV Troy HawthorneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:195% → 5%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
95.5%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-4
95.4%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 16
OPP 35
0
95.3%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 16
OPP 35
+26
95.3%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Tim Holt for 26 yds to the BoiSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
95.1%
David Greene run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
94.9%
Kurt Palandech run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 4Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
94.8%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Tim HoltSimilar
Q1 11:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
94.8%
Evan Pantels 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
21 plays · 74 yds · 8:0595% → 94%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
94.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 11 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
94.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
94.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+4
94.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
94.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 9 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
94.2%
Brett Rypien run for 3 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Alec DhaenensSimilar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
94.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 40Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+10
93.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 10 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+3
93.7%
Brett Rypien run for 3 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
93.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-3
93.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 24Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+12
93.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 12 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
93.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+5
92.9%
Thomas Sperbeck run for 5 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+2
92.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
92.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the UNLV 1 Jeremy McNichols fumbled, forced by Troy Hawthorne, recovered by BoiSt John MolchonSimilar
Q1 2:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.5%
Brett Rypien run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:427% → 8%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.9%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Andrew Price for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
92.7%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
92.6%
Kurt Palandech run for 3 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 0:45
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+73
92.5%
Evan Pantels punt for 46 yds , Cedrick Wilson returns for 73 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:046% → 7%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
93.7%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+10
93.7%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Dalton Sneed for 10 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
93.5%
Kurt Palandech run for 4 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-5
93.4%
UNLV Penalty, False Start (Nathan Jacobson) to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
93.6%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Xzaviar Campbell for no gain to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-2
93.5%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Xzaviar Campbell for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
93.5%
Evan Pantels punt for 34 yds, downed at the BoiSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:1194% → 95%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
93.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
93.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
50
0
93.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
50
+22
93.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 22 yds Jeremy McNichols fumbled, forced by Troy Hawthorne, recovered by BoiSt Jeremy McNichols for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
93.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 8 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+12
93.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 12 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
93.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
93.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 5:385% → 9%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
95.1%
Kurt Palandech run for 8 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+5
94.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 5 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
94.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 11 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
94.6%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+17
94.4%
Charles Williams run for 17 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
94.1%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+1
94.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+8
94.2%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Elijah Trosclair for 8 yds to the BoiSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
93.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+6
93.9%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
93.9%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 7Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
90.9%
Kurt Palandech run for 7 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9MISSED FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 1:2093% → 93%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
93.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 12 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
93.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 8 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+11
93.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 11 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
93.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 7 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
93.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+7
93.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 7 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
93.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
93.2%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
93.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
92.6%
Tyler Rausa 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
92.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:538% → 7%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
92.4%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
92.5%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
92.5%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Andrew PriceSimilar
Q3 13:55
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+27
92.8%
Evan Pantels punt 27 yards to the BSU 45, blocked by Darren Lee, out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 1:0293% → 97%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
93.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 9 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+43
93.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 43 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:584% → 4%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
95.7%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+4
95.8%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
95.7%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 6
OWN 12
+8
95.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 42 yds , Cedrick Wilson returns for 8 yds to the UNLV 46 Cedrick Wilson fumbled, forced by Trevor Kanteman, recovered by BoiSt Ben WeaverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:1497% → 99%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
97.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 9 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+3
97.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
97.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+11
97.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 11 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
97.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-2
97.2%
Brett Rypien sacked by Tau Lotulelei for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 19Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+15
97.2%
Rypien, Brett pass incomplete to Sperbeck, Thomas, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (Mouton, Darius) 15 yards to the UNLV4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOISEST.Similar
Q3 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15TD
15 plays · 79 yds · 7:421% → 3%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
98.8%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
98.8%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 24Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+10
98.9%
Kurt Palandech run for 10 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
98.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 11 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
98.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 46Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-1
99.0%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+16
99.1%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Andrew Price for 16 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
99.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.0%
David Greene run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
99.0%
David Greene run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
99.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.1%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+5
99.1%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+9
96.6%
Kurt Palandech run for 9 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 2:3198% → 98%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
97.7%
Alexander Mattison run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
98.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
98.1%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
98.1%
BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mason Hampton) to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+4
98.0%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 16
OWN 40
0
98.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 16
OWN 40
0
98.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
97.9%
Sean Wale punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:142% → 2%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
97.6%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
97.5%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Jericho Flowers for 2 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
97.6%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Tim HoltSimilar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
97.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cedrick Wilson at the BoiSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:0498% → 100%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
98.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
98.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+1
98.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the UNLV 47Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
98.2%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 4
OPP 47
+16
98.1%
Wale, Sean punt 42 yards to the UNLV5, downed, PENALTY UNLV personal foul 16 yards to the UNLV31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOISEST.Similar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 31 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
99.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Elijah TrosclairSimilar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cedrick Wilson at the BoiSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
99.7%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+3
99.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Sean Wale punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:190% → 2%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.7%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-5
99.7%
UNLV Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 16Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
99.7%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+17
99.7%
Kurt Palandech run for 17 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
99.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 13 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.7%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Trevor Kanteman for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 6
50
0
99.7%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 6
50
+5
99.7%
Kurt Palandech run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+3
99.7%
David Greene run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
99.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+45
98.1%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Andrew Price for 45 yds for a TD, (K. Palandech Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:3099% → 99%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
98.7%
Cory Young run for 6 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+6
98.7%
Cory Young run for 6 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
98.7%
Cory Young run for 12 yds to the UNLV 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
98.7%
Cory Young run for 7 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:48
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q2 1:43
Kurt Palandech run for 7 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)
-3
TD · Q3 0:03
Kurt Palandech run for 9 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)
-2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com