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WYO

Wyoming 66 at UNLV 69

UNLV
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTOT2OTOT3FGFGTDTDFUMBLETDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:53 · Ethan Wood punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTOT2OTOT3Play 101Pregame prior−12.1Home team on offense+4.2Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score differential+0.3Time remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:40: Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 45 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +25.3 pts (now 42%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:38: Kurt Palandech run for 76 yds for a TD, (Kurt Palandech pass to Elijah Trosclair for Two-Point Conversion) — UNLV win probability +40.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:00: Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 19 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +46.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Jericho Flowers 22 Yd pass from Kurt Palandech (Nicolai Bornand Kick) — UNLV win probability +38.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Jacob Hollister 19 Yd pass from Josh Allen (Cooper Rothe Kick) — WYO win probability +39.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 10WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:15UNLV 4th & 12 at WYO 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:07WYO 4th & 15 at UNLV 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:53WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:24UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:56UNLV 4th & 14 at UNLV 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:25WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 17, up 7
    Close callPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:46UNLV 4th & 8 at WYO 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:29WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:29UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.5
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:53WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:04UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 24, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−3.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:43WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−2.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:29UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.8%−4.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:58UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−1.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:40UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−4.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:55WYO 4th & 13 at WYO 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−2.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:15UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 5:00UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:18WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:09UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:29UNLV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:04WYO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:37UNLV Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:10WYO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:18UNLV Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:40WYO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:38UNLV Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    68.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    68.2%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:00WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:4527% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
27.3%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 11 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
27.3%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+17
27.3%
Kurt Palandech run for 17 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
27.3%
Kurt Palandech run for 17 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
27.3%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 19 yds to the Wyom 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
27.3%
David Greene run for 8 yds to the Wyom 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 3
-4
27.3%
David Greene run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 7Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-6
27.3%
Kurt Palandech sacked by Logan Wilson for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 13Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+30
29.9%
Evan Pantels 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5970% → 69%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+27
29.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 27 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
29.5%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
29.5%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 8
OPP 22
-7
29.7%
Josh Allen sacked by Mike Hughes Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 15
OPP 29
+46
30.6%
Cooper Rothe 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 3:0031% → 37%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
30.6%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Andrew Price for 19 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
31.0%
Jericho Flowers run for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+11
30.5%
Kurt Palandech run for 11 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+18
30.9%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 18 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
31.3%
David Greene run for 3 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+34
36.6%
Jericho Flowers run for 34 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
35.5%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-6
35.6%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 16
OWN 20
+10
36.0%
Brian Hill run for 10 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
36.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 50 yds, downed at the UNLV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
37.0%
Kurt Palandech run for 5 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
37.1%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 9 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
37.1%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 5 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
37.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 40Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
37.4%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 4
OWN 40
+3
36.6%
Evan Pantels punt for 39 yds , Austin Conway returns for 3 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:4962% → 68%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
38.3%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+21
38.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 21 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
37.2%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
38.5%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+48
39.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 48 yds to the UNLV 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
32.0%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:1435% → 29%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
34.8%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
29.0%
Kurt Palandech run for a loss of 5 yards Kurt Palandech fumbled, recovered by Wyom Logan Wilson for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
29.3%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
29.1%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-10
29.1%
Kurt Palandech sacked by Lucas Wacha for a loss of 10 yards to the UNLV 24Similar
Q2 13:56
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
28.2%
Evan Pantels punt for 66 yds, downed at the Wyom 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
29.1%
Austin Conway run for no gain to the Wyom 10Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+8
29.2%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 2
OWN 18
-1
29.5%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 17Similar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 3
OWN 17
-6
29.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 48 yds , Mekhi Stevenson returns for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:1830% → 42%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
29.8%
Kurt Palandech run for 1 yd to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+7
29.7%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Trevor Kanteman for 7 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+6
30.2%
Kurt Palandech run for 6 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
30.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 10 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
31.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 13 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
32.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 7 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+27
41.8%
David Greene run for 27 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
35.9%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 29 Josh Allen fumbled, forced by Dominic Baldwin, recovered by UNLV Tui MaloataSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:1642% → 43%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
41.9%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 21 yds to the Wyom 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
41.9%
David Greene run for no gain to the Wyom 8Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
41.9%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Andrew PriceSimilar
Q2 7:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
41.0%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q2 5:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
42.9%
Evan Pantels 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14TD
1 play · 18 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
53.9%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Xzaviar Campbell for 18 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.5%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
51.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 7 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+16
51.4%
Brian Hill run for 16 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
49.6%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
50.0%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-2
50.8%
Josh Allen sacked by Nick Dehdashtian and Ryan McAleenan for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
52.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 43 yds, downed at the UNLV 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0654% → 54%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
53.6%
David Greene run for 5 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+1
53.6%
David Greene run for 1 yd to the UNLV 17Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+1
52.6%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 18Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
53.6%
Evan Pantels punt for 32 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:1647% → 59%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
50
+2
53.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+48
41.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 48 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 1:0346% → 55%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
45.9%
Kurt Palandech run for 22 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
48.1%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Andrew PriceSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+10
47.9%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Tim Holt for 10 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
49.1%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Xzaviar Campbell for no gain to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+22
49.8%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Jericho Flowers for 22 yds to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
49.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
49.9%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
55.4%
Evan Pantels 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
50.4%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
50.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
51.4%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
52.5%
Ethan Wood punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:1756% → 75%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
55.6%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
50
+15
57.1%
Charles Williams run for 15 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
57.6%
Charles Williams run for 8 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+8
57.6%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 8 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
57.6%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+10
57.6%
Kurt Palandech run for 10 yds to the Wyom 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
57.6%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 6 yds to the Wyom 1Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 4:1928% → 49%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
72.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 5 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+13
70.9%
Brian Hill run for 13 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
70.5%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+18
70.7%
Josh Allen run for 18 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
69.6%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+5
69.6%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+16
69.4%
Josh Allen run for 16 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
51.3%
Brian Hill run for 15 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 58%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
61.2%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
60.8%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
59.5%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Trevor KantemanSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
58.1%
Evan Pantels punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0043% → 40%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
57.2%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
57.3%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
59.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q3 5:43
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
60.2%
Ethan Wood punt for 56 yds, downed at the UNLV 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25TD
15 plays · 91 yds · 6:2462% → 92%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
62.1%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Tim Holt for 2 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+4
62.1%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+21
61.1%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Jericho Flowers for 21 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
64.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 3 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
65.3%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
63.2%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 5 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
68.6%
David Greene run for 1 yd to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
71.7%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 8 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+16
72.2%
David Greene run for 16 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
72.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+5
74.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 5 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+6
72.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 6 yds to the Wyom 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
74.0%
Charles Williams run for 16 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.9%
David Greene run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:3817% → 42%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
82.9%
Brian Hill run for 20 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
57.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 45 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3674% → 39%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
73.5%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+5
72.8%
Kurt Palandech run for 5 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
71.8%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+60
38.7%
Nicolai Bornand punt for 37 yds , Austin Conway returns for 60 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 28TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
80.6%
Kurt Palandech run for 76 yds for a TD, (Kurt Palandech pass to Elijah Trosclair for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 29INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
71.1%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the UNLV 35Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
69.1%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Brian Hill, broken up by Ryan McAleenanSimilar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
71.6%
Josh Allen pass intercepted Torry McTyer return for no gain to the UNLV 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0081% → 79%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
80.9%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 24Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 24
-10
80.4%
PALANDECH, Kurt pass incomplete to HOLT, Tim, PENALTY LV holding (JACOBSON, N.) 10 yards to the LV14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 19
OWN 14
+8
80.2%
Kurt Palandech run for 8 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
79.3%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Elijah TrosclairSimilar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 11
OWN 22
+2
78.5%
Nicolai Bornand punt for 52 yds , Austin Conway returns for 2 yds to the Wyom 24 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Wyom 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 31PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
78.2%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 15Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 15
0
79.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+24
80.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 24 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
75.6%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
74.5%
Josh Allen run for no gain to the Wyom 36 Josh Allen fumbled, recovered by Wyom Josh AllenSimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
79.6%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
80.5%
Ethan Wood punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 32PUNT
14 plays · 31 yds · 4:0487% → 96%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
87.4%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+1
87.3%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+7
86.6%
David Greene run for 7 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
87.8%
David Greene run for no gain to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
87.3%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 7 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
92.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
93.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
95.6%
David Greene run for 2 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+2
96.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
96.1%
Nicolai Bornand punt for 51 yds, downed at the Wyom 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 33TD
11 plays · 97 yds · 1:067% → 62%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
93.2%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-2
93.3%
ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to GENTRY, Tanner, PENALTY WY intentional grounding (ALLEN, Josh) 2 yards to the WY1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 12
OWN 1
+14
93.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 14 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+24
92.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 24 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
91.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
92.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Tui MaloataSimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+27
92.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 27 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
86.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
86.8%
ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to MAULHARDT, J., PENALTY LV pass interference (MCTYER, Torry) 15 yards to the LV19, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
84.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
37.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 19 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 34TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
40.5%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the UNLV 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+9
40.5%
Josh Allen run for 9 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
22.0%
Brian Hill 15 Yd Run (Cooper Rothe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 35TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 62%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
24.0%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+22
62.4%
Jericho Flowers 22 Yd pass from Kurt Palandech (Nicolai Bornand Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 36TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 15:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
64.7%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 17 yds to the Wyom 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
64.7%
David Greene run for 3 yds to the Wyom 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
64.7%
Kurt Palandech run for 1 yd to the Wyom 4Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
79.0%
Andrew Price 4 Yd pass from Kurt Palandech (Nicolai Bornand Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 37TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 15:0020% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
80.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 6 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+19
40.5%
Jacob Hollister 19 Yd pass from Josh Allen (Cooper Rothe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 38INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
40.5%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
40.5%
Josh Allen pass intercepted Torry McTyer return for no gain to the UNLV 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 39FG
6 plays · 2 yds · 30:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
64.7%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
64.7%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the Wyom 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+2
62.4%
Kurt Palandech run for 2 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
-5
58.7%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Trevor Kanteman) to the Wyom 23Similar
OT3 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
79.0%
Nicolai Bornand 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 19 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
-46.8
TD · Q4 10:38
Kurt Palandech run for 76 yds for a TD, (Kurt Palandech pass to Elijah Trosclair for Two-Point Conversion)
+40.7
TD · OT2 0:00
Jacob Hollister 19 Yd pass from Josh Allen (Cooper Rothe Kick)
-39.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com