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UNM

New Mexico 24 at Utah State 21

USU
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:26 · Richard McQuarley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense+7.2Pregame prior+3.5Score differential+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:25: Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 22 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +6.1 pts (now 69%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:35: Tonny Lindsey run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +7.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:40: Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +7.1 pts (now 29%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:24: Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds for a TD, (R. McQuarley Run For Two-point Conversion) — UNM win probability +25.0 pts (now 53%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:06: Jason Sanders 40 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +33.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UNM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:14UNM 4th & 6 at USU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    41.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:48UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:49UNM 4th & 12 at USU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−5.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49USU 4th & 7 at USU 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:00UNM 4th & 2 at USU 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−0.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:26UNM 4th & 1 at USU 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    28.3%−1.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:22USU 4th & 7 at USU 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:44UNM 4th & 10 at USU 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:40USU 4th & 8 at USU 27, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−1.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00UNM 4th & 12 at USU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    45.8%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:45USU 4th & 9 at UNM 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−0.8
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:05UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 15, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.2 ptsPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−6.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:46USU 4th & 1 at UNM 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    50.0%−8.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−30.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:06UNM 4th & 4 at USU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−2.2
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−32.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:01USU 4th & 1 at USU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.4%−10.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 5:56USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:25USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:35USU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:40UNM Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:24UNM Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    39.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 44 yds · 5:4644% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
56.0%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+8
56.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
56.0%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
56.0%
Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
56.0%
Richard McQuarley run for 8 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+9
56.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 9 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
56.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+5
56.0%
Dameon Gamblin run for 5 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-3
56.0%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 38Similar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
56.2%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Dameon GamblinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:1257% → 61%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
56.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 6 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
57.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+6
57.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 6 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
57.3%
Tonny Lindsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 49Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+3
57.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 3 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+26
57.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 26 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
57.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 7 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+13
61.4%
Tonny Lindsey run for 13 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
59.9%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
60.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+2
60.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
60.4%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Andrew Rodriguez at the UthSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:3462% → 69%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
61.5%
Damion Hobbs run for 12 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
62.1%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
61.7%
Kennedy Williams run for 10 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
62.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
62.5%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+12
62.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 12 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
68.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 22 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:3634% → 35%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
66.4%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Q' Drennan for 41 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
65.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 9 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+8
64.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
64.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the UthSt 12Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 5
OPP 12
-7
64.9%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 19
0
67.9%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Richard McQuarley, broken up by Marquan EllisonSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
65.1%
Jason Sanders 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 3 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
65.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Kennedy Williams for no gain to the UthSt 28Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
64.6%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
64.1%
Aaron Dalton punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7DOWNS
17 plays · 52 yds · 8:1334% → 29%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
65.8%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
66.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+5
65.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
65.3%
Daryl Chestnut run for 7 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
64.8%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 1
50
+3
64.7%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
64.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 10 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
64.6%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+4
63.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
64.4%
Lamar Jordan run for no gain to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+4
70.0%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
68.4%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
68.4%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 4 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+2
69.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the UthSt 16Similar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 1
OPP 16
-1
70.8%
Richard McQuarley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+26
72.9%
Damion Hobbs run for 26 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
73.8%
Damion Hobbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+5
73.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
73.1%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
72.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 31 yds, downed at the NMex 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:2124% → 28%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
75.9%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Emmanuel Harris for 6 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+3
75.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+6
74.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
76.4%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Patrick Reed for 8 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+34
74.8%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Matt Quarells for 34 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
72.6%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete, broken up by Ricky Ali'ifuaSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
72.9%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Matt QuarellsSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
74.1%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Dameon Gamblin, broken up by Jentz PainterSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
72.4%
Jason Sanders 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.4%
Tonny Lindsey run for no gain to the UthSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:1773% → 83%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
72.7%
Damion Hobbs run for 4 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+9
72.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 9 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+48
73.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jaren Colston-Green for 48 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
75.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, illegal use of hands (12 Yards) to the NMex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
75.1%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the NMex 12Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+8
75.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for 8 yds to the NMex 4Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
82.9%
Tonny Lindsey run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 5:4619% → 29%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
81.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NMex 29Similar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 5
OWN 29
0
80.1%
Austin Apodaca run for no gain to the NMex 29Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+26
80.3%
Austin Apodaca run for 26 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
79.1%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Patrick ReedSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
79.5%
APODACA, Austin pass incomplete to QUARELLS, Matt, PENALTY USU offside 5 yards to the USU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+7
78.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 7 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
78.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 6 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+7
77.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 7 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
77.8%
Richard McQuarley run for no gain to the UthSt 20Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
78.2%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 1 yd to the UthSt 19Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+13
79.3%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Patrick Reed for 13 yds to the UthSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
77.8%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd to the UthSt 5Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
70.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.7%
Kennedy Williams run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
76.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Gerold Bright for 1 yd to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-15
76.0%
MYERS, Kent pass complete to HOUSTON, Wyatt for 17 yards to the USU47 (SANTOS, Ryan), PENALTY USU pass interference 15 yards to the USU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+12
75.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Gerold Bright for 12 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
74.6%
Aaron Dalton punt for 29 yds, downed at the NMex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 2:2625% → 53%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+37
75.1%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Q' Drennan for 37 yds to the UthSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
71.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the UthSt 18Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+10
71.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 10 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
71.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the UthSt 4Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
46.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds for a TD, (R. McQuarley Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
57.2%
Tonny Lindsey run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 23Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
56.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 10 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
57.5%
Kent Myers pass intercepted Ryan Santos return for no gain to the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0952% → 46%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
48.5%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 12
OPP 38
0
49.2%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 38
0
50.9%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
54.0%
Sam Gentry punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
57.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 7 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
58.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 4 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
58.0%
Tonny Lindsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+5
57.1%
HOBBS, Damion rush for 1 yard to the USU31 (D'AVANZO, Nik;HUGHES, Garrett), PENALTY NM offside 5 yards to the USU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
59.2%
Damion Hobbs run for 2 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 4
OWN 0
-7
55.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 8 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, roughing passer (-15 Yards) to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
62.5%
Kent Myers sacked by Maurice Daniels for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 15
OPP 45
-1
60.0%
Tonny Lindsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 46Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 16
OPP 46
+7
57.7%
Kent Myers run for 7 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
57.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 33 yds, downed at the NMex 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0047% → 44%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
53.3%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Patrick ReedSimilar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
53.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the NMex 6Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+9
55.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 9 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
56.1%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Andrew Rodriguez at the UthSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 62 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
58.8%
Tonny Lindsey run for 9 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+4
61.9%
Tonny Lindsey run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
50
+41
62.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 41 yds to the NMex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
64.2%
Gerold Bright run for 7 yds to the NMex 2Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
64.2%
Tonny Lindsey run for no gain to the NMex 2Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
62.1%
Tonny Lindsey run for 1 yd to the NMex 1Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.4%
Tonny Lindsey run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20FG
15 plays · 76 yds · 4:2948% → 90%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
51.6%
Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the NMex 6Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+1
52.1%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd to the NMex 7Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+11
54.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 11 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
49.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+8
48.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
47.6%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Patrick Reed for 11 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
44.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 15 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
42.4%
APODACA, Austin pass incomplete to QUARELLS, Matt, PENALTY USU pass interference 15 yards to the USU29, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
39.6%
Daryl Chestnut run for 8 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 2
OPP 21
-3
39.6%
Daryl Chestnut run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 24Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+1
40.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
10.2%
Jason Sanders 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21END OF GAME
10 plays · 50 yds · 0:4524% → 22%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.8%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Jaren Colston-Green, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
23.0%
MYERS, Kent pass complete to HOUSTON, Wyatt for 5 yards to the USU30, out-of-bounds (GIRGLE, Jacob), PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the USU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+12
22.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 12 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
21.8%
Kent Myers run for 7 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+14
23.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 14 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+33
28.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 18 yds to the UTAHST 34 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
39.3%
MYERS, Kent pass complete to TARVER, R. for 18 yards to the NM1, PENALTY USU pass interference 15 yards to the NM34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 25
OPP 34
+9
22.2%
Kent Myers run for 9 yds to the NMex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:06
Jason Sanders 40 yd FG GOOD
-33.3
TD · Q3 2:24
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds for a TD, (R. McQuarley Run For Two-point Conversion)
-25
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-22.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com