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USU

Utah State 28 at Wyoming 52

WYO
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:01 · Ethan Wood punt for 53 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 21 yds to the UthSt 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Home team on offense+23.9Score differential+16.9Pregame prior+3.7Garbage-time factor+8.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:18: Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 15 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +8.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:06: Josh Allen run for 1 yd for a TD UTAH ST Penalty, encroachment ( Yards) declined, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +14.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:07: Damion Hobbs run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +12.2 pts (now 19%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:20: Damion Hobbs run for 10 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +16.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:41: Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 37 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +12.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 5USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 13:31USU 4th & 9 at WYO 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    37.4%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:06USU 4th & 8 at USU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:28WYO 4th & 22 at WYO 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:55USU 4th & 25 at USU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:06USU 4th & 3 at USU 45, down 21
    Close callPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:44WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 36, up 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00USU 4th & 16 at WYO 40, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    3.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:51WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 46, up 28
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:01WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:37USU 4th & 10 at WYO 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:30WYO 4th & 3 at USU 3, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.0%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−7.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:32USU 4th & 6 at WYO 30, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:06USU 4th & 14 at USU 44, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:31WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:06WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:18WYO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:42USU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:06WYO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:54WYO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:01USU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:07USU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:20USU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 4:41WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:27WYO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2960% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.0%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
60.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 18 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+31
60.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 16 yds to the WYOMING 40 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
60.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 25 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
60.4%
Kent Myers sacked by D.J. May for a loss of 10 yards to the UthSt 32 Kent Myers fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+9
60.5%
Kent Myers run for 9 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+15
60.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (Robert Priester) to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
60.3%
Tonny Lindsey run for 1 yd to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+1
60.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for 1 yd to the Wyom 42Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 8
OPP 42
-1
60.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
60.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 37 yds, downed at the Wyom 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3TD
9 plays · 94 yds · 4:0862% → 68%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
61.8%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+8
61.8%
Josh Allen run for 8 yds to the Wyom 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
61.8%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 18Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
61.8%
Austin Conway run for 3 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+9
61.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 9 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
61.9%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
61.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 5 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+9
61.7%
Josh Allen run for 9 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
67.8%
Brian Hill run for 56 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
66.2%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 21Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+3
66.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for 3 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
66.4%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+8
66.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 54 yds , Austin Conway returns for 8 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
68.3%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+7
68.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 7 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
68.5%
Josh Allen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
68.9%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 36Similar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+5
68.4%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
68.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-12
68.3%
Josh Allen sacked by Marquan Ellison for a loss of 12 yards to the Wyom 29Similar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 22
OWN 29
0
67.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 35 yds, downed at the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
69.0%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Rayshad Lewis, broken up by D.J. MaySimilar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
69.1%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-5
69.4%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 15
OWN 31
-10
69.6%
Kent Myers sacked by Chase Appleby for a loss of 10 yards to the UthSt 21Similar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 25
OWN 21
0
69.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 0:4772% → 81%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+24
72.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 24 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
72.2%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the UthSt 15Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
80.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 15 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3621% → 30%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.2%
Kent Myers run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
79.0%
Gerold Bright run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
79.5%
MYERS, Kent pass complete to TARVER, R. for 13 yards to the USU40 (PRIESTER, R.;EPPS, Marcus), PENALTY USU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the USU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+16
79.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for 16 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
78.9%
Kent Myers run for 5 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
78.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Tonny LindseySimilar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+18
79.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for 18 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+31
78.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 23 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (8 Yards) to the Wyom 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
77.6%
Devante Mays run for 7 yds to the Wyom 1Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.2%
Damion Hobbs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 6:3674% → 90%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
74.2%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
75.0%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
75.1%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
74.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake Maulhardt, broken up by Travis SeefeldtSimilar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+20
74.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Shaun Wick for 20 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
75.2%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+2
75.2%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+6
74.8%
Josh Allen run for 6 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
75.3%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
75.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 4 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+15
74.8%
Josh Allen run for 15 yds to the UthSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
75.3%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the UthSt 4Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
75.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 3 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.1%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd for a TD UTAH ST Penalty, encroachment ( Yards) declined, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.4%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
87.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 4 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+3
87.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 3 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
87.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 28 yds, downed at the Wyom 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:4291% → 92%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
90.8%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+3
90.7%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+5
92.0%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
91.7%
Ethan Wood punt for 40 yds , Rayshad Lewis returns for no gain to the UthSt 25 Rayshad Lewis fumbled, recovered by UthSt Rayshad Lewis , return for 1 yd to the UthSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
90.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 19 yds Ron'Quavion Tarver fumbled, forced by Rico Gafford, recovered by Wyom Logan WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 0:2593% → 98%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
92.7%
Josh Allen sacked by Ricky Ali'ifua for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 46Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
92.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+46
97.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 46 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
97.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Tonny LindseySimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
97.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+3
97.4%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 8 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
96.1%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+18
96.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 18 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
96.4%
MYERS, Kent pass incomplete to COLSTON-GREEN, PENALTY WY pass interference 15 yards to the WY34, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
95.8%
BRIGHT, Gerold rush for loss of 3 yards to the WY37 (WACHA, Lucas), PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the WY44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 44
0
96.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'Quavion Tarver, broken up by Rico GaffordSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 44
+4
96.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 4 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 40
0
96.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Tonny LindseySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
96.5%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
98.6%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+3
98.6%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+5
98.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to Brian Hill for 5 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
98.5%
Ethan Wood punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:351% → 7%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
98.8%
MYERS, Kent pass incomplete to LEWIS, Rayshad (WACHA, Lucas), PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the USU30, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Zach Van LeeuwenSimilar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
98.8%
Tonny Lindsey run for 6 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+10
98.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 10 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+49
98.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jaren Colston-Green for 49 yds to the Wyom 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for 5 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.8%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
95.0%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
94.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Christopher 'UngaSimilar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+21
94.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 53 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 21 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 0:486% → 19%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
94.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
50
+41
94.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Tonny Lindsey for 41 yds to the Wyom 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
93.8%
MYERS, Kent pass incomplete to VAN LEEUWEN, Z., PENALTY WY pass interference 7 yards to the WY2, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.5%
Damion Hobbs run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
87.3%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
87.2%
Josh Allen pass intercepted Daniel Gray return for no gain to the Wyom 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:2717% → 33%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
83.0%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt Houston, broken up by Robert PriesterSimilar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+39
83.7%
Tonny Lindsey run for 29 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
67.0%
Damion Hobbs run for 10 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3977% → 89%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to C.J. Johnson, broken up by Gaje FergusonSimilar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+38
76.8%
Josh Allen run for 38 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
89.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 37 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23MISSED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:0414% → 13%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.2%
Damion Hobbs run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
85.6%
Tonny Lindsey run for 13 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
85.0%
Rayshad Lewis run for 2 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+26
84.9%
Tonny Lindsey run for 26 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
83.2%
Kennedy Williams run for no gain to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
83.3%
Damion Hobbs pass incomplete to Zach Van Leeuwen, broken up by Tim KamanaSimilar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
84.6%
Damion Hobbs pass incomplete to Zach Van Leeuwen, broken up by Taniela LoloheaSimilar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
87.4%
Dominik Eberle 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 5:0792% → 96%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
91.9%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+21
91.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 21 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
92.5%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+19
93.1%
Brian Hill run for 19 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
93.1%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+8
93.1%
Shaun Wick run for 8 yds to the UthSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
93.1%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the UthSt 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
93.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, delay of game (3 Yards) to the UthSt 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
93.1%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
92.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q4 11:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
95.7%
Cooper Rothe 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25INT
12 plays · 50 yds · 2:585% → 5%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
95.3%
Damion Hobbs pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 1 yd to the UthSt 28Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
95.4%
Damion Hobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+14
95.6%
Damion Hobbs pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for 14 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
95.2%
Damion Hobbs pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 24 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
94.6%
Damion Hobbs pass incomplete to Jaren Colston-GreenSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-10
94.6%
HOBBS, Damion rush for 1 yard to the WY33, out-of-bounds (APPLEBY, Chase), PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the WY44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 20
OPP 44
+5
95.2%
Damion Hobbs pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 5 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+9
96.3%
Damion Hobbs pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 9 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+7
96.1%
Damion Hobbs pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 7 yds to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+56
95.4%
Damion Hobbs pass intercepted Logan Wilson return for 56 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:3898% → 100%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
97.5%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+6
97.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 6 yds to the UthSt 17Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
97.5%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.5%
Brian Hill run for 15 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 27DOWNS
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:211% → 0%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.3%
Damion Hobbs pass incomplete to Rayshad LewisSimilar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
99.4%
Damion Hobbs pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 8 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+11
99.4%
Damion Hobbs run for 11 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.3%
Damion Hobbs pass incomplete to LaJuan HuntSimilar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.3%
Damion Hobbs pass incomplete to Rayshad LewisSimilar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-4
99.4%
Damion Hobbs sacked by Kevin Prosser for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Damion Hobbs pass incomplete to Rayshad LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 28END OF GAME
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.6%
Shaun Wick run for 4 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+7
99.6%
Shaun Wick run for 7 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
99.6%
Shaun Wick run for 8 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+18
99.6%
Nico Evans run for 18 yds to the UthSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 8Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:20
Damion Hobbs run for 10 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)
-16.6
TD · Q2 4:06
Josh Allen run for 1 yd for a TD UTAH ST Penalty, encroachment ( Yards) declined, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+14.8
TD · Q3 4:41
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 37 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com