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FRES

Fresno State 0 at Colorado State 37

CSU
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · Sonny Lubick Field at Hughes Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadFRES aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreFRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:32 · Zach Kline pass incomplete to Kyle Riddering FRESNO ST Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Home team on offense+36.2Pregame prior+2.0Score differential+30.1Blowout margin+17.5Garbage-time factor+12.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:06: Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +2.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:29: Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 18 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan PAT MISSED) — CSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:23: Timeout COLORADO ST, clock 04:23 — CSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:25: Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd for a TD, (Braxton Davis KICK) — CSU win probability +5.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:10: Anthony Hawkins 14 Yd pass from Nick Stevens (Braxton Davis Kick) — CSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FRES made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:05CSU 4th & 1 at FRES 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.3%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    79.8%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:15FRES 4th & 2 at FRES 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:20CSU 4th & 2 at FRES 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:20FRES 4th & 6 at FRES 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00FRES 4th & 1 at FRES 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:29FRES 4th & 9 at FRES 41, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00FRES 4th & 4 at FRES 31, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:10FRES 4th & 11 at FRES 24, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:27FRES 4th & 9 at CSU 26, down 37
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00CSU 4th & 13 at FRES 44, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:46FRES 4th & 4 at CSU 31, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:54CSU 4th & 6 at CSU 29, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:17FRES 4th & 17 at FRES 29, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:21CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 47, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:32FRES 4th & 14 at CSU 15, down 37
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 1:06CSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:29CSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:25CSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:10CSU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:27CSU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1DOWNS
14 plays · 65 yds · 2:5581% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
80.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
80.7%
Nick Stevens run for 5 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+8
80.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 8 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
80.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+30
80.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 30 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
80.7%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
80.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+5
80.1%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
80.2%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
80.2%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Nolan PeraltaSimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+6
80.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 6 yds to the FrsSt 11Similar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 1
OPP 11
-1
80.0%
Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
79.3%
Justin Rice run for no gain to the FrsSt 12Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+8
79.3%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 8 yds to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
79.4%
Chason Virgil run for no gain to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
79.5%
Blake Cusick punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:0479% → 79%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
78.9%
Detrich Clark run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 34Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+16
78.7%
Detrich Clark run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
50
+5
79.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
79.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
79.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
79.3%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 16 yds to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
79.4%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
79.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+7
79.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 7 yds to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+33
78.5%
Wyatt Bryan 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
78.4%
Zach Kline run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
78.0%
Justin Rice run for no gain to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
78.4%
Zach Kline pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
78.5%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Mike Bell) to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
78.9%
Blake Cusick punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:1778% → 81%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+44
77.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 44 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
78.7%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 18Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+13
78.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Danny Nwosu for 13 yds to the FrsSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
81.1%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0620% → 20%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
80.5%
Zach Kline pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
80.6%
Zach Kline pass complete to Aaron Peck for 5 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
80.8%
Zach Kline pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 6 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
80.5%
Blake Cusick punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Robert Ruiz at the ColSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:4581% → 86%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
80.8%
Robert Ruiz run for 15 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
81.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 16 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
81.2%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+10
81.2%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
86.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 18 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.6%
Zach Kline run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
83.4%
Zach Kline pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
83.6%
Zach Kline run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
83.2%
Jamire Jordan run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-3
82.9%
Justin Rice run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
83.4%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
83.9%
Blake Cusick punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 16 , Robert Ruiz returns for no gain to the ColSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9TD
20 plays · 84 yds · 8:2286% → 95%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
86.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 8 yds to the ColSt 24 COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (-12 Yards) to the ColSt 12Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+3
86.1%
Detrich Clark run for 3 yds to the ColSt 15Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+16
85.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 16 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
86.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 32Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+13
86.3%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 13 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
87.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 1 yd to the ColSt 46Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
86.9%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 5
50
+10
86.6%
STEVENS, Nick pass intercepted by BROWN, Stratton at the FS31, BROWN, Stratton return to the CSU43 (BENNETT, Jake;KINSEY, Marvin), PENALTY FS holding (KELLY, Tank) 10 yards to the FS40, 1ST DOWN CSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
87.0%
Izzy Matthews run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+5
87.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Nolan Peralta for 5 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
89.7%
CLARK, Detrich rush for 1 yard to the FS25 (STANLEY, Robert), PENALTY CSU holding (CALLENDER, Nick) 10 yards to the FS36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 20
OPP 36
+1
89.7%
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 19
OPP 35
+7
89.6%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 7 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 12
OPP 28
+12
89.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 12 yds to the FrsSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
90.0%
Izzy Matthews run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
89.5%
Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 1Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.2%
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd for a TD, (Braxton Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
93.7%
Jamire Jordan run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 2
OWN 27
-7
93.3%
Zach Kline sacked by Arjay Jean and Johnny Schupp for a loss of 7 yards to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+25
93.8%
Zach Kline pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 25 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
94.4%
Zach Kline sacked by Justin Sweet for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
94.4%
Blake Cusick punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
94.4%
Jamire Jordan run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
94.4%
Zach Kline run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 1:5996% → 99%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
95.8%
Detrich Clark run for 5 yds to the ColSt 45Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+9
95.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 9 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
95.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 4 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
95.8%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Olabisi Johnson, broken up by Jamal EllisSimilar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+13
95.7%
Izzy Matthews run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
95.9%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+8
95.9%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.3%
Anthony Hawkins 14 Yd pass from Nick Stevens (Braxton Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.1%
Zach Kline run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.1%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to Jamire JordanSimilar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Zach Kline pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:10
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Blake Cusick punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:4099% → 100%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
99.3%
Anthony Hawkins run for 17 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.4%
Faton Bauta run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+28
99.3%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 28 yds to the FrsSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
99.4%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 12Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+11
99.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 11 yds to the FrsSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd for a TD, (Braxton Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15DOWNS
14 plays · 49 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to Kyle RidderingSimilar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Zach Kline run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
99.6%
Zach Kline pass complete to Justin Rice for 7 yds Justin Rice fumbled, forced by Jordon Vaden, recovered by FrsSt Logan Hughes for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.6%
Zach Kline run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+21
99.6%
Juju Hughes run for 21 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.5%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson, broken up by Shun JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
99.5%
Zach Kline run for 8 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
99.5%
Bryson Oglesby run for 4 yds to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.5%
Zach Kline run for 4 yds to the ColSt 23Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+4
99.4%
Bryson Oglesby run for 4 yds to the ColSt 19Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-2
99.5%
Bryson Oglesby run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 21Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 4
OPP 21
-5
99.4%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Aaron Mitchell) to the ColSt 26Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 9
OPP 26
0
99.5%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson, broken up by Patrick Elsenbast FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
99.7%
Detrich Clark run for 3 yds to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, personal foul (Jaron Bryant) to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.7%
Detrich Clark run for 2 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+13
99.7%
Izzy Matthews run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.7%
Anthony Hawkins run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-1
99.7%
Anthony Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Anthony HawkinsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 39
-5
99.8%
COLORADO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Hayden Hunt punt for 35 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17INT
6 plays · 60 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
99.8%
Bryson Oglesby run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+48
99.8%
Zach Kline pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 48 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.8%
Zach Kline run for 6 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to Jamire JordanSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to Michael MartensSimilar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+28
99.8%
Zach Kline pass intercepted Jordon Vaden return for 13 yds to the ColSt 18 COLORADO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jordon Vaden) to the ColSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Bryce Peters run for 1 yd to the ColSt 26Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.8%
Bryce Peters run for 3 yds to the ColSt 29Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to John FreismuthSimilar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Hayden Hunt punt for 47 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Jamire Jordan run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Zach Kline run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Zach Kline pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 9 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to Jamire JordanSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Bryson Oglesby run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-11
99.9%
Zach Kline sacked by Arjay Jean for a loss of 11 yards to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Blake Cusick punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Robert Ruiz at the ColSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
99.9%
Bryce Peters run for 13 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Bryce Peters run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 7
50
-3
99.9%
Bryce Peters run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 47Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Faton Bauta pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
Hayden Hunt punt for 48 yds , KeeSean Johnson returns for 10 yds to the FrsSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 70 yds · 2:560% → 0%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
99.9%
Zach Kline pass complete to Michael Martens for 17 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Zach Kline run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Bryson Oglesby run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Zach Kline pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 7 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, roughing passer (Arjay Jean) to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+31
99.9%
KLINE, Zach pass incomplete to JOHNSON, KeeSea, PENALTY CSU pass interference (JOHNSON, Shun) 31 yards to the CSU27, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
99.9%
Bryson Oglesby run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 29Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-1
100.0%
Zach Kline sacked by Max McDonald and Toby McBride for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 30Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+19
100.0%
Zach Kline pass complete to Michael Martens for 19 yds to the ColSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-6
100.0%
Zach Kline sacked by Toby McBride for a loss of 6 yards to the ColSt 17Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 16
OPP 17
+2
100.0%
Bryson Oglesby run for 2 yds to the ColSt 15Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 14
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan, broken up by Robert AwunganyiSimilar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 14
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to Kyle Riddering FRESNO ST Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
100.0%
J.C. Robles run for no gain to the ColSt 15Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-8
100.0%
ROBLES, J.C. rush for 11 yards to the CSU26 (BROWN, Stratton;HAYNES, Jasad), PENALTY CSU holding (RIVERA, Tomas) 8 yards to the CSU7, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:25
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd for a TD, (Braxton Davis KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q2 12:29
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 18 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan PAT MISSED)
+4.8
TD · Q3 11:10
Anthony Hawkins 14 Yd pass from Nick Stevens (Braxton Davis Kick)
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com