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SJSU

San José State 31 at Boise State 45

BOIS
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2016 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:00 · Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 10 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior+34.4Home team on offense+3.1Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:00: Rahshead Johnson 12 Yd pass from Kenny Potter (Bryce Crawford Kick) — SJSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:06: Jeremy McNichols 7 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick) — BOIS win probability +3.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:05: Bryce Crawford 39 Yd Field Goal — SJSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 10%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:11: Cedrick Wilson 15 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Tyler Rausa Kick) — BOIS win probability +3.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:13: Justin Holmes 11 Yd pass from Kenny Potter (Bryce Crawford Kick) — SJSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 9:27SJSU 4th & 4 at BOIS 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.0%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:34BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:00SJSU 4th & 4 at BOIS 22, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.3%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:01BOIS 4th & 12 at BOIS 37, up 1
    Close callWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.6%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:00BOIS 4th & 5 at SJSU 33, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    88.6%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:19BOIS 4th & 4 at SJSU 17, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.9%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:13SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:05SJSU 4th & 7 at BOIS 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:43SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 32, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:05BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 36, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:57SJSU 4th & 20 at BOIS 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:29SJSU 4th & 1 at BOIS 14, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.7%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:22BOIS 4th & 2 at SJSU 38, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%
    38% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:16BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:48BOIS Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:00SJSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:06BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:11BOIS Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:49BOIS Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:13SJSU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:25BOIS Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:29SJSU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:554% → 5%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
95.6%
Kenny Potter run for 3 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
95.5%
Zamore Zigler run for no gain to the SJSt 15Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
95.4%
Kenny Potter pass intercepted Dylan Sumner-Gardner return for no gain to the SJSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:1595% → 95%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
95.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 10 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
95.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+15
95.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 15 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
95.4%
Jeremy McNichols 19 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:385% → 5%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
95.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 14 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
95.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 21 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
95.1%
Kenny Potter run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
95.0%
Zamore Zigler run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+14
95.0%
Zamore Zigler run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.9%
Zamore Zigler run for no gain to the BoiSt 6Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
94.8%
Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 4Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
94.8%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q1 9:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
94.6%
Bryce Crawford 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4195% → 94%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
94.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+2
94.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
94.4%
Brett Rypien run for no gain to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 4
OWN 40
-3
94.2%
Sean Wale punt for 52 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 5:306% → 8%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
94.3%
Malik Roberson run for 10 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
94.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 8 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+7
94.0%
Kenny Potter run for 7 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
93.9%
Rahshead Johnson run for 13 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
93.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 18 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
93.4%
Malik Roberson run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-5
93.2%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Tim Crawley) to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+15
93.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 15 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
92.9%
Malik Roberson run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+5
92.7%
Shane Smith run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 4
OPP 22
0
92.5%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+39
92.5%
Bryce Crawford 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4793% → 94%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 9 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
92.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-6
92.6%
Brett Rypien sacked by Isaiah Irving for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+4
92.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q1 0:04
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
92.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 12
OWN 37
+29
91.9%
Sean Wale run for 29 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
92.7%
Alexander Mattison run for 8 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+7
92.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
93.6%
Alexander Mattison 19 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:397% → 11%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for 1 yd to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
93.4%
Malik Roberson run for 8 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
93.2%
Malik Roberson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
93.0%
Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
92.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for 5 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+3
92.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 3 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
92.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 28 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
91.9%
Kenny Potter run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
89.3%
Rahshead Johnson 12 Yd pass from Kenny Potter (Bryce Crawford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 4:3091% → 90%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.5%
Thomas Sperbeck run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
90.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
90.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 25 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
90.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 9 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-1
91.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 30Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 2
OPP 30
-3
91.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+10
90.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 10 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
91.0%
Chaz Anderson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+2
90.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
90.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
90.2%
Tyler Rausa 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0110% → 10%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
89.7%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
89.8%
Tim Crawley run for 2 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
89.8%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
90.0%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cedrick Wilson at the BoiSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 1:5890% → 94%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
89.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+7
89.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+32
89.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 32 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
90.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 4 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+5
90.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+5
89.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
90.2%
Thomas Sperbeck run for 3 yds to the SJSt 13 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jermaine Kelly) to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
93.9%
Jeremy McNichols 7 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 1:507% → 10%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.3%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
93.2%
Kenny Potter run for 8 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+39
93.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 39 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
91.9%
Kenny Potter run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-3
91.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 12
OPP 27
0
92.5%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+5
92.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
90.3%
Bryce Crawford 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4492% → 95%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
91.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 11 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+27
92.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 27 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
92.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+6
92.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+7
91.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
92.1%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
95.0%
Cedrick Wilson 15 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:186% → 6%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.1%
Malik Roberson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
93.8%
Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
93.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
94.1%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Cedrick Wilson at the BoiSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:3095% → 95%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
94.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+12
95.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 12 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
95.0%
Cedrick Wilson run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
95.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
94.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
94.7%
Sean Wale punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the SJSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:046% → 6%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.1%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
94.5%
Kenny Potter run for 7 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+20
94.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Shane Smith for 20 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
93.7%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 7
50
0
93.6%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 7
50
+15
93.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 15 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-14
93.2%
Kenny Potter run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 34 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Troy Kowalski) to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 24
OPP 49
0
94.3%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 24
OPP 49
+4
94.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for 4 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 20
OPP 45
0
94.1%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 3:5996% → 100%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
95.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+7
95.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jake Knight, broken up by Christian TagoSimilar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
95.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 9 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
97.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+7
97.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 7 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
97.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
97.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 16 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.5%
Cedrick Wilson 36 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 3:171% → 6%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for 2 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
99.0%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+13
99.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 13 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
99.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 10 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.0%
Malik Roberson run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
99.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 20 yds to the BoiSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
98.8%
Malik Roberson run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-2
98.9%
Kenny Potter run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+7
99.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 7 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+3
99.0%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
93.6%
Justin Holmes 11 Yd pass from Kenny Potter (Bryce Crawford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:3598% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.9%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
98.0%
Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
97.9%
Brett Rypien run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.1%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
98.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+4
98.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 4 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
98.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+18
98.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 18 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
98.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+13
98.5%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (13 Yards) to the SJSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
98.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 3
OPP 5
0
98.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the SJSt 5Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Alec Dhaenens 5 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:411% → 3%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 4 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
99.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 11 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+60
97.3%
Malik Roberson 60 Yd Run (Kenny Potter Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.0%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+17
99.1%
Alexander Mattison run for 17 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
99.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
99.3%
Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-2
99.3%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:141% → 2%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
98.6%
Kenny Potter run for 17 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.4%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-9
98.5%
Kenny Potter sacked by Sam McCaskill and Blake Whitlock for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:13
Justin Holmes 11 Yd pass from Kenny Potter (Bryce Crawford Kick)
-5.4
TD · Q2 2:06
Jeremy McNichols 7 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)
+3.7
TD · Q3 11:11
Cedrick Wilson 15 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Tyler Rausa Kick)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com