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UNLV

UNLV 24 at San José State 30

SJSU
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Evan Pantels punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Pregame prior−7.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:44: Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 29 yds for a TD UNLV Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +14.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:29: Bryce Crawford 39 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:41: Bryce Crawford 44 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +14.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:40: Kurt Palandech pass complete to Andrew Price for 2 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +11.9 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:19: Kurt Palandech run for 16 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined — UNLV win probability +15.5 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12UNLV made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:08SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:51UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:46SJSU 4th & 5 at UNLV 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    45.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:21SJSU 4th & 7 at UNLV 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:36UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:51UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:58SJSU 4th & 9 at SJSU 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:36UNLV 4th & 15 at UNLV 3, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:25SJSU 4th & 9 at UNLV 33, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    56.1%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 9:26UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 40, down 10
    Close callPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:46UNLV 4th & 3 at SJSU 20, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.7%−0.8
    75% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−8.8
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:29SJSU 4th & 10 at UNLV 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−5.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 14:56SJSU 4th & 4 at UNLV 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    76.4%−1.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−2.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:41SJSU 4th & 11 at UNLV 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−6.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:41UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:14SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 36, up 20
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−0.9
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:40UNLV 4th & 2 at SJSU 2, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    -1.6%−6.4
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:35SJSU 4th & 16 at SJSU 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−4.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 13:05SJSU 4th & 19 at SJSU 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−4.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:03SJSU 4th & 11 at UNLV 39, up 6
    Close callPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 5:07UNLV Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:41SJSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:51SJSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:44SJSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:40UNLV Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:19UNLV Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
42.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+16
42.6%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to David Greene for 16 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
42.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
42.6%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Tim Holt, broken up by Trevon BierriaSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
42.6%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
42.6%
Evan Pantels punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
43.2%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
43.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 8 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+1
43.3%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 42Similar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
43.2%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
43.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 13 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (Frank Ginda) to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
43.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-2
43.2%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 8
50
-5
43.3%
Dalton Sneed sacked by Frank Ginda for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 45 Dalton Sneed fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
43.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 4:2544% → 47%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
44.2%
Kenny Potter run for 5 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+9
44.2%
Zamore Zigler run for 9 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
44.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 13 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
44.5%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+8
44.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Zamore Zigler for 8 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
44.8%
Zamore Zigler run for 4 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-4
44.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Zamore Zigler for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+5
44.4%
Kenny Potter run for 5 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+13
44.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Zamore Zigler for 13 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
45.0%
Kenny Potter run for 11 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
45.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Zamore Zigler for 3 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
45.0%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
44.8%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
46.7%
Bryce Crawford 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1453% → 56%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.6%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson, broken up by Jermaine KellySimilar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
43.6%
Charles Williams run for 75 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:1944% → 49%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
43.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy FreemanSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
43.8%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Zamore Zigler, broken up by Tau LotuleleiSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+15
43.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 15 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
44.8%
Zamore Zigler run for 7 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 3
OPP 39
-1
44.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 40Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+8
44.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 8 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
45.1%
Tim Crawley run for 17 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
45.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Shane Smith for 3 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
49.1%
Tim Crawley run for 12 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
47.7%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
47.4%
Dalton Sneed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
48.1%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Jericho Flowers, broken up by Jermaine KellySimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
48.6%
Evan Pantels punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:5848% → 53%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
48.2%
Rahshead Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+3
47.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for 3 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+63
53.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 63 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
53.2%
Dalton Sneed sacked by Bryson Bridges for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+7
53.8%
Dalton Sneed run for 7 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+8
54.1%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to David Greene for 8 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
53.6%
Evan Pantels punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
55.0%
UNLV Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
55.1%
Malik Roberson run for no gain to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
54.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for 1 yd to the SJSt 30Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
54.2%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Darius MoutonSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 9
OWN 30
-2
53.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 50 yds , Mekhi Stevenson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 8 Mekhi Stevenson fumbled, forced by Andre Chachere, recovered by UNLV Mekhi Stevenson UNLV Penalty, illegal block (Robert Jackson) to the UNLV 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-5
56.5%
GREENE, David rush for 10 yards to the LV18 (BRIDGES, Bryson), PENALTY LV illegal formation 5 yards to the LV3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 15
OWN 3
+3
56.5%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 12
OWN 6
0
56.7%
Dalton Sneed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 12
OWN 6
-3
57.4%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-3 Yards) to the UNLV 3Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 15
OWN 3
0
57.4%
Dalton Sneed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 15
OWN 3
0
57.8%
Evan Pantels punt for 31 yds, downed at the UNLV 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
58.8%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
58.7%
POTTER, Kenny pass incomplete to CRAWLEY, Tim, PENALTY LV offside (HUGHES JR., M.) 5 yards to the LV29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-4
58.8%
Malik Roberson run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
57.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 9
OPP 33
0
56.8%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Kenny KeysSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
57.6%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 31Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 13
OWN 31
-5
58.3%
PALANDECH, Kurt pass incomplete to MOUTON, Darius, PENALTY LV ineligible downfield on pass (POLU, Justin) 5 yards to the LV26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 18
OWN 26
+14
58.5%
Kurt Palandech run for 14 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
57.3%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete, broken up by Nick OregliaSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
58.5%
Evan Pantels punt for 50 yds, downed at the SJSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 2:0759% → 76%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
59.4%
Kenny Potter run for 9 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+7
59.7%
Zamore Zigler run for 7 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+42
59.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 42 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
61.4%
Kenny Potter run for 3 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+29
75.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 29 yds for a TD UNLV Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 3:5828% → 33%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.3%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
72.4%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 19 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
71.3%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
70.5%
Kurt Palandech run for 4 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
70.6%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+33
71.7%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 18 yds to the SJSU 42 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (Owen Roberts) to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
69.2%
Charles Williams run for 8 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 2
OPP 19
0
69.2%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the SJSt 19Similar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
70.3%
UNLV Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
71.4%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Tim HoltSimilar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-1
71.4%
David Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 20Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
67.5%
Evan Pantels 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 1:0971% → 80%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
71.2%
Kenny Potter run for 11 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
72.4%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Gabe McCoySimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
72.1%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim Crawley, broken up by Tui MaloataSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+18
71.1%
Zamore Zigler run for 18 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
72.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 19 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
72.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
72.8%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Robert JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
71.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Torry McTyerSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
80.2%
Bryce Crawford 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
77.2%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 6:1579% → 93%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
78.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 16 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
79.3%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+11
79.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 11 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
79.6%
Kenny Potter run for 7 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+5
79.5%
Zamore Zigler run for 5 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
79.5%
Zamore Zigler run for 5 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+1
79.5%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
78.9%
Zamore Zigler run for no gain to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+5
77.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 5 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
79.6%
Zamore Zigler run for 5 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
79.6%
Malik Roberson pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 5
OPP 21
-6
79.0%
Tim Crawley run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+44
93.1%
Bryce Crawford 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
92.3%
Kurt Palandech sacked by Ethan Aguayo for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+8
92.5%
Charles Williams run for 8 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
92.4%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
92.4%
Evan Pantels punt for 47 yds, downed at the SJSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
94.8%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 25Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+7
94.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 7 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+4
94.4%
Kenny Potter run for 4 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
94.1%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:336% → 18%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
94.2%
Charles Williams run for 13 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+64
93.9%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 64 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
93.0%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the SJSt 3Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
93.0%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
93.6%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the SJSt 2Similar
Q3 2:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.7%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Andrew Price for 2 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
87.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 12 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-8
87.3%
Kenny Potter sacked by Jeremiah Valoaga for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 29Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 18
OWN 29
+5
86.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 5 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-3
86.5%
Kenny Potter sacked by Jeremiah Valoaga for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 31Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
85.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 48 yds, downed at the UNLV 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0413% → 13%
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
86.6%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+9
86.8%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 9 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+2
85.7%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
85.4%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by Andre ChachereSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
86.5%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
87.0%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
87.2%
Evan Pantels punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
91.8%
Malik Roberson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+6
92.0%
Kenny Potter run for 6 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
92.3%
Malik Roberson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 42Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
92.2%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Torry McTyerSimilar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-10
91.9%
Kenny Potter sacked by Tui Maloata for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSt 32Similar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 19
OWN 32
0
90.5%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 5:1910% → 28%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
90.5%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+5
89.4%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
89.6%
Kurt Palandech run for 8 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
89.1%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
89.2%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-5
89.1%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Devonte Boyd) to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+6
90.4%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Jericho Flowers for 6 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+5
89.2%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Owen Roberts) to the UNLV 49Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+7
89.0%
David Greene run for 7 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
88.9%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the SJSt 44Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
88.8%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 15 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
87.7%
David Greene run for 12 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
87.7%
David Greene run for 1 yd to the SJSt 16Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
87.7%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+16
72.2%
Kurt Palandech run for 16 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 26PUNT
13 plays · 36 yds · 3:1687% → 94%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.7%
Zamore Zigler run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
86.7%
Zamore Zigler run for 4 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
86.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Shane Smith for 9 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
88.1%
Zamore Zigler run for 4 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+18
88.3%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
88.6%
Tim Crawley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 40Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+4
94.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Zamore Zigler for 4 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 8
OPP 36
-3
94.6%
Kenny Potter sacked by Matt Lea for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
93.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 35 yds, downed at the UNLV 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27INT
8 plays · 52 yds · 0:0010% → 13%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+24
90.1%
Kurt Palandech run for 9 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, illegal use of hands (Bryson Bridges) to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
88.5%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Charles Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+20
89.4%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Andrew Price for 20 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
86.9%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Andrew PriceSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
87.7%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 11 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
85.2%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
85.9%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+4
86.8%
Kurt Palandech pass intercepted Trevon Bierria return for 4 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 16Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 12
OWN 16
-2
95.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:19
Kurt Palandech run for 16 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined
-15.5
TD · Q2 5:44
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 29 yds for a TD UNLV Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Bryce Crawford KICK)
+14.3
FG · Q3 8:41
Bryce Crawford 44 yd FG GOOD
+14.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com