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SDSU

San Diego State 40 at Utah State 13

USU
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2016 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Tanner Blain punt for 31 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior−7.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:08: Kent Myers run for 10 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +3.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:33: Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 10 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +7.0 pts (now 66%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: John Baron II 41 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +7.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 8:24: John Baron II 43 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 14:49: John Baron II 23 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8SDSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:05USU 4th & 13 at USU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:04SDSU 4th & 4 at USU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00USU 4th & 6 at USU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:33USU 4th & 1 at USU 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:44SDSU 4th & 3 at SDSU 34, up 10
    Close callPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:58USU 4th & 8 at USU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00SDSU 4th & 9 at USU 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    63.0%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:52USU 4th & 8 at USU 33, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:24SDSU 4th & 7 at USU 26, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−7.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:49SDSU 4th & 6 at USU 6, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−6.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:41USU 4th & 10 at USU 18, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:59USU 4th & 10 at SDSU 23, down 33
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:55SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 30, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:04USU 4th & 4 at USU 39, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:08USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:11SDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:33SDSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:33SDSU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:21SDSU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:59USU Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
42.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
42.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
42.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+4
42.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-1
42.8%
Christian Chapman sacked by Chase Christiansen for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+31
42.8%
Tanner Blain punt for 31 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:5744% → 48%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
44.0%
Tonny Lindsey run for 1 yd to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
44.0%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+22
43.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for 22 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
44.5%
Damion Hobbs run for 3 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+10
44.5%
Devante Mays run for 10 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
44.6%
MYERS, Kent pass incomplete, PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the SDSU24, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
44.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 14 yds to the SDSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
48.3%
Kent Myers run for 10 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 0:4453% → 56%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
46.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+39
43.9%
Juwan Washington run for 39 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
45.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 6 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 4
OWN 29
-4
45.1%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 25Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-5
44.5%
Kent Myers sacked by Austin Wyatt-Thayer and Calvin Munson for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 20Similar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 13
OWN 20
0
44.3%
Aaron Dalton punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:1655% → 56%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
45.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+12
44.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
44.3%
Quest Truxton run for 21 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
43.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+9
43.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the UthSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
43.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 8Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
43.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the UthSt 4Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
44.3%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
44.2%
John Baron II 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5845% → 44%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
44.6%
Kent Myers run for 5 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 5
OWN 24
-1
44.7%
Kent Myers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
44.0%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Gerold BrightSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+56
43.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the UTAHST 31 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the SDSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7TD
19 plays · 79 yds · 8:1356% → 66%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
44.2%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 16Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+1
44.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 17Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+17
44.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 17 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
43.9%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
44.1%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+11
44.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 11 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
43.2%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 46Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+7
43.2%
Juwan Washington run for 7 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+5
43.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
42.9%
Christian Chapman sacked by Ian Togiai for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+5
43.9%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Parker Houston for 5 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+10
43.7%
Christian Chapman run for 10 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
42.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+16
42.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 16 yds to the UthSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
42.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the UthSt 10Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
42.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the UthSt 10Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
33.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 10 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
34.3%
Devante Mays run for 7 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
35.1%
Devante Mays run for 2 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
34.6%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
34.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
34.1%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
34.0%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+2
34.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 3
OWN 34
-2
34.7%
Tanner Blain punt for 51 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
32.8%
Kent Myers run for 12 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
33.1%
Tonny Lindsey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
33.3%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Rayshad LewisSimilar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
32.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'Quavion TarverSimilar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
32.0%
Aaron Dalton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 1:3568% → 77%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+44
32.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 44 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
30.2%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
30.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the UthSt 24Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
31.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for no gain to the UthSt 24Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
23.1%
John Baron II 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
28.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Rayshad LewisSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
28.5%
Kent Myers run for 4 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+8
27.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 8 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
29.0%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Rayshad LewisSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
28.8%
Tonny Lindsey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
28.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Rayshad LewisSimilar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
27.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:2076% → 83%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
23.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 8 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+23
23.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 23 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
22.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+5
22.4%
Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+4
22.6%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
22.1%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
22.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
22.5%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
16.8%
John Baron II 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:0019% → 21%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
18.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jaren Colston-Green for 7 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+2
19.1%
Devante Mays run for 2 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+25
19.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 25 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
20.9%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'Quavion TarverSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
20.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 6 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-4
21.0%
Kent Myers sacked by Dakota Turner for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 41 Kent Myers fumbled, recovered by SDSt Parker Baldwin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 6:0686% → 95%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
14.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 1
50
+2
13.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
14.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+5
13.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
13.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+8
13.6%
Rashaad Penny run for 8 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
13.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 8 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+1
13.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the UthSt 13Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+6
13.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the UthSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
13.6%
Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 12Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
13.9%
Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the UthSt 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
8.4%
Donnel Pumphrey pass incomplete to Curtis Anderson IIISimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
4.7%
John Baron II 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
8.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt HoustonSimilar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
8.1%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Rayshad LewisSimilar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
8.0%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'Quavion Tarver, broken up by Ron SmithSimilar
Q4 14:41
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
8.0%
Aaron Dalton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:4496% → 99%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+64
4.4%
Juwan Washington run for 64 yds to the UthSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.9%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
0.5%
Kent Myers pass intercepted for a TD Malik Smith return for 28 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 91 yds · 5:140% → 0%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
0.4%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the UthSt 9Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+9
0.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 9 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+2
0.5%
Damion Hobbs run for 2 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
0.5%
Damion Hobbs run for 4 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-4
0.5%
Kent Myers sacked by Alex Barrett and Kyahva Tezino for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 20Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+16
0.4%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-20
0.5%
Rayshad Lewis run for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 31 UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 16Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 30
OWN 16
+18
0.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 18 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+43
0.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Alex Byers for 43 yds to the SDSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Rayshad LewisSimilar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
0.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Jaren Colston-Green, broken up by Ron SmithSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
0.5%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+23
0.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jaren Colston-Green for 23 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
0.4%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 20Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+8
0.4%
Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
0.4%
Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+2
0.4%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-6
0.3%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 30Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
0.4%
Tanner Blain punt for 50 yds, downed at the UthSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
0.2%
Devante Mays run for 2 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
0.2%
Damion Hobbs run for 11 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
0.2%
Damion Hobbs run for no gain to the UthSt 33Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
0.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+3
0.2%
Damion Hobbs run for 3 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
0.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 52 yds, downed at the SDSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 7Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 12
OWN 7
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:00
John Baron II 41 yd FG GOOD
-7.4
TD · Q2 6:33
Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 10 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)
-7
FG · Q3 8:24
John Baron II 43 yd FG GOOD
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com