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BOIS

Boise State 28 at Wyoming 30

WYO
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:25 · Ethan Wood punt for 51 yds , Cedrick Wilson returns for 6 yds to the BoiSt 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Pregame prior−13.6Home team on offense−4.8Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:52: Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 28 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +11.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. FG · Q4 13:05: Cooper Rothe 39 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +7.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q4 10:50: Thomas Sperbeck pass complete to Brett Rypien for 33 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +21.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:42: Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 27 yds for a TD, (Josh Allen pass to Jake Maulhardt for Two-Point Conversion) — WYO win probability +31.7 pts (now 54%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. SAFETY · Q4 1:25: Brett Rypien sacked by Chase Appleby for a loss of 9 yards for a SAFETY Brett Rypien fumbled, forced by Chase Appleby, recovered by BoiSt , return for 0 yards for a SAFETY — WYO win probability +18.1 pts (now 69%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:08WYO 4th & 10 at BOIS 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    22.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:10BOIS 4th & 2 at BOIS 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00WYO 4th & 1 at BOIS 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−5.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:48WYO 4th & 5 at BOIS 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:44BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:33WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:05BOIS 4th & 7 at WYO 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:25WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 30, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:04BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:05WYO 4th & 3 at BOIS 22, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%−0.7
    72% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−11.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:42BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:55WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:12BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:51BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:10WYO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:26BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:52WYO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:50BOIS Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−0.8
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:42WYO Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    39.2%−1.8
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    41.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 52 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
17.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+10
17.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 10 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
17.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 20 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
17.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 5 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+9
17.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 9 yds to the Wyom 28 Jeremy McNichols fumbled, forced by Rico Gafford, recovered by Wyom Robert PriesterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
18.6%
Austin Conway run for 2 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
18.6%
Brian Hill run for 10 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
18.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 14 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
18.8%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
18.7%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
18.7%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
18.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
19.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+5
19.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 5 yds to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+3
19.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 3 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 2
OWN 15
0
19.8%
Sean Wale punt for 54 yds, downed at the Wyom 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:3621% → 22%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
20.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 6 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+1
20.8%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+6
20.6%
Josh Allen run for 6 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
21.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Josh Harshman for 7 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+2
21.9%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+6
21.7%
Josh Allen run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
21.9%
Josh Allen pass intercepted Chanceller James return for no gain to the BoiSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:1478% → 81%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
21.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
21.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
21.4%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+20
21.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 20 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
21.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 9 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 1
OPP 31
-2
20.9%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+28
21.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 28 yds to the Wyom 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
19.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:1220% → 22%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.3%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
20.4%
Josh Allen run for 8 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+27
20.6%
Brian Hill run for 27 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+29
21.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 29 yds to the BoiSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
21.7%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
21.7%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 2Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
22.0%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
21.5%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the BoiSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
5 plays · 99 yds · 2:2579% → 85%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
21.1%
Brett Rypien run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+40
21.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 40 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
19.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 12 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+43
19.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 43 yds to the Wyom 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4117% → 24%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
16.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 13 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
17.0%
Shaun Wick run for 11 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
17.3%
Brian Hill run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+23
17.4%
Brian Hill run for 23 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
17.6%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
24.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 19 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4479% → 85%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.5%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
21.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 14 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
20.5%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+19
20.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 19 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
20.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+10
20.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 10 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
19.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 13 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
14.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:3816% → 19%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.7%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
15.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 7 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+27
16.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 27 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
16.9%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+5
17.2%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
17.2%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
17.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 3 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+2
16.8%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
19.0%
Cooper Rothe 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
18.6%
Brett Rypien pass intercepted Rico Gafford return for 32 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:4121% → 32%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
21.0%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+28
32.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 28 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13END OF HALF
12 plays · 37 yds · 0:4873% → 74%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
26.7%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick Wilson, broken up by Logan WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+12
26.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 12 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
26.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 18 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
24.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
50
+13
24.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 13 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
24.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-8
24.2%
Brett Rypien sacked by Kevin Prosser for a loss of 8 yards to the Wyom 45Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 18
OPP 45
-9
26.3%
Brett Rypien sacked by Lucas Wacha for a loss of 9 yards to the BoiSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
28.7%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
29.0%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
29.4%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
29.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 3 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+1
28.8%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
28.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cedrick Wilson at the BoiSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
28.5%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 7Similar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+10
28.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 10 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
28.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for no gain to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
29.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 5
OWN 17
+4
30.6%
Sean Wale punt for 44 yds , Austin Conway returns for 4 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 29%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
32.1%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 43Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
30.9%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 43Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
29.8%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake Maulhardt, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
28.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 1 , Cedrick Wilson returns for no gain to the BoiSt 1 Cedrick Wilson fumbled, forced by Jalen Ortiz,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 51 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
30.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
30.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 2Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+10
31.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 10 yds to the BoiSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
29.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 11 yds to the BoiSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
29.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
28.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
27.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
27.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
27.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
29.6%
Sean Wale punt for 39 yds, downed at the Wyom 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
30.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 13 yds to the Wyom 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
30.8%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+1
30.8%
Austin Conway run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+5
29.4%
Josh Allen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+6
29.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 51 yds , Cedrick Wilson returns for 6 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
28.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+8
29.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 8 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
29.6%
Sean Wale punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:2430% → 42%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.1%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
29.8%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
28.5%
Josh Allen run for 16 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
32.8%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
33.1%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+25
32.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 25 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
37.3%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+4
37.3%
Josh Allen run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+1
35.2%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
42.2%
Cooper Rothe 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:1562% → 88%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
38.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+16
36.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 16 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
34.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+18
34.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 18 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
12.5%
Thomas Sperbeck pass complete to Brett Rypien for 33 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0818% → 54%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
17.9%
Brian Hill run for 9 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
20.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
18.7%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+27
18.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 27 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
21.9%
Tanner Gentry run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+7
20.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 7 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+9
21.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Josh Harshman for 9 yds to the BoiSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
23.4%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 13
OPP 27
0
22.4%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 13
OPP 27
+27
54.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 27 yds for a TD, (Josh Allen pass to Jake Maulhardt for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0054% → 50%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
46.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 1
OWN 35
-1
43.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
45.0%
Brett Rypien run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-5
47.2%
BOISE ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 6
OWN 30
-5
49.7%
Sean Wale punt for 47 yds , Austin Conway returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 25 BOISE ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:2754% → 57%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
53.7%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
53.5%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+10
51.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 10 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
54.5%
Austin Conway run for 7 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+3
58.6%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
58.4%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
56.7%
Josh Allen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
59.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
57.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 42 yds, downed at the BoiSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25SF
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:1350% → 31%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
50.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
68.6%
Brett Rypien sacked by Chase Appleby for a loss of 9 yards for a SAFETY Brett Rypien fumbled, forced by Chase Appleby, recovered by BoiSt , return for 0 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:1788% → 91%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
88.1%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+2
90.7%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
89.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
90.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:42
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 27 yds for a TD, (Josh Allen pass to Jake Maulhardt for Two-Point Conversion)
+31.7
TD · Q4 10:50
Thomas Sperbeck pass complete to Brett Rypien for 33 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
-21.9
SAFETY · Q4 1:25
Brett Rypien sacked by Chase Appleby for a loss of 9 yards for a SAFETY Brett Rypien fumbled, forced by Chase Appleby, recovered by BoiSt , return for 0 yards for a SAFETY
+18.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com