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SJSU

San José State 3 at San Diego State 42

SDSU
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2016 · Qualcomm Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:28 · Michael Carrizosa punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior+38.7Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.5Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:34: Rashaad Penny 3 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick) — SDSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:41: Donnel Pumphrey 27 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick) — SDSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 3:00: Bryce Crawford 26 Yd Field Goal — SJSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:12: Timeout SAN JOSÉ ST, clock 00:12 — SDSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:25: Rashaad Penny 4 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick) — SDSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SJSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:34SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:01SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:28SJSU 4th & 9 at SJSU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:38SDSU 4th & 2 at SJSU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    88.9%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:20SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:31SJSU 4th & 17 at SJSU 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:11SJSU 4th & 16 at SJSU 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:00SJSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 9, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:02SDSU 4th & 12 at SDSU 38, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:12SJSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 38, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%−0.3
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%
    38% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:45SDSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−1.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:27SJSU 4th & 6 at SJSU 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:04SJSU 4th & 19 at SJSU 38, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:19SJSU 4th & 5 at SDSU 5, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:42SDSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 9, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:53SJSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 35, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 2:10SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:34SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:41SDSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:25SDSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:29SDSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:00SDSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:598% → 8%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
92.1%
Zamore Zigler run for 4 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+3
92.0%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0592% → 91%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
91.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 9 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
91.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
91.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SDSt 33Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
91.3%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Curtis Anderson III for 6 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
91.3%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Donnel PumphreySimilar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
91.2%
Tanner Blain punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the SJSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:209% → 10%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
91.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for no gain to the SJSt 26Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
91.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 9 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
90.7%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
90.6%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-5
90.2%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Nate Velichko) to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+3
90.2%
Kenny Potter run for 3 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
90.1%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
90.2%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:1190% → 91%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
90.1%
Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 17 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
90.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+24
90.2%
Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 24 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
90.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 11
OPP 23
-4
90.0%
Christian Chapman sacked by Isaiah Irving for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+13
89.4%
Christian Chapman run for 13 yds to the SJSt 14Similar
Q1 3:38
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+8
89.3%
Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 8 yds to the SJSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
89.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SJSt 5Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
89.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SJSt 4Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
90.7%
David Wells 4 Yd pass from Christian Chapman (John Baron II Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2210% → 10%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
90.3%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 15Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+6
90.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Josh Oliver for 6 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
90.2%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 3
OWN 21
+15
90.3%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 56 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 15 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:2690% → 93%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
90.4%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+8
90.4%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for 8 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
90.4%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+4
90.3%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Juwan Washington for 4 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
90.2%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Andre Chachere) to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
90.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+35
90.2%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 35 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.9%
Rashaad Penny 3 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:328% → 8%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
92.0%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 13Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 11
OWN 13
-3
92.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 10Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 14
OWN 10
-3
92.1%
Kenny Potter sacked by Austin Wyatt-Thayer for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 7Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 17
OWN 7
0
92.3%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 36 yds, downed at the SJSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:1993% → 96%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
92.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+15
92.9%
Chapman, Christian pass incomplete to Pumphrey, Donnel, PENALTY SJSU personal foul (Bierria, Trevon) 15 yards to the SJSU27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SANDIEGOST.Similar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
96.3%
Donnel Pumphrey 27 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 3:155% → 4%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
95.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 10 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
95.5%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
95.5%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Maurice McKnightSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+9
95.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 9 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
95.3%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-5
95.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Justin Holmes) to the SJSt 40Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
95.7%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy FreemanSimilar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 13
OWN 40
-3
95.7%
Kenny Potter sacked by Austin Wyatt-Thayer for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 16
OWN 37
0
95.8%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:3497% → 97%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
96.6%
Christian Chapman run for 11 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
96.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+16
96.6%
Christian Chapman pass intercepted Frank Ginda return for 16 yds to the SDSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:255% → 7%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
95.5%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the SDSt 23Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+10
95.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for 10 yds to the SDSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
95.5%
Malik Roberson run for 4 yds to the SDSt 9Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
95.6%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
95.8%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
93.1%
Bryce Crawford 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:4894% → 94%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
94.2%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for 9 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
94.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 41Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
94.5%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Eric JudgeSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+2
94.3%
Christian Chapman run for 2 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 7
OWN 43
-5
94.0%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Dwayne Parchment) to the SDSt 38Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 12
OWN 38
+18
94.0%
Tanner Blain punt for 40 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 18 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:356% → 5%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
93.6%
Kenny Potter run for 14 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
93.1%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
93.4%
Kenny Potter run for 8 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
93.0%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+4
93.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 4 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
95.1%
Kenny Potter run for 9 yds to the SDSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1594% → 99%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
95.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
95.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 17 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
95.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
95.8%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+7
95.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 7 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
95.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
96.1%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 7 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Personal Foul (William Ossai) to the SJSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
96.1%
Rashaad Penny run for 9 yds to the SJSt 4Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
98.8%
Rashaad Penny 4 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:292% → 2%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
98.2%
Malik Roberson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
98.2%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
98.3%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
98.3%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 5:3599% → 100%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
98.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 26Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+3
98.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+10
98.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 10 yds to the SDSt 37 Donnel Pumphrey fumbled, forced by Maurice McKnight, recovered by SDSt Daniel Brunskill for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+29
99.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 29 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+8
99.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 8 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+5
99.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SJSt 19Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+2
99.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-6
99.3%
Christian Chapman run for 9 yds to the SJSt 8 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the SJSt 23Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+23
99.7%
Donnel Pumphrey 23 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-3
99.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Shane Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 24Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+23
99.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 23 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-9
99.8%
Kenny Potter sacked by Dakota Turner for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 1:12
3RD & 19
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:04
4TH & 19
OWN 38
+5
99.8%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 38 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 5 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
99.8%
Penny, Rashaad rush for 9 yards to the SANDIEGOST38, PENALTY SANDIEGOST holding 10 yards to the SANDIEGOST19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+8
99.8%
Rashaad Penny run for 8 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+73
99.8%
Rashaad Penny 73 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 69 yds · 5:320% → 0%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+14
99.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 14 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
99.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 22 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+21
99.9%
Kenny Potter run for 21 yds to the SDSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Zamore Zigler for 3 yds to the SDSt 4Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the SDSt 2Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
99.9%
Deontae Cooper run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 5Similar
Q4 9:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
99.9%
Washington, Juwan rush for 2 yards to the SANDIEGOST7, PENALTY SANDIEGOST holding 2 yards to the SANDIEGOST3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+3
99.9%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 6Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+1
99.9%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 7Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+2
99.9%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 9Similar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 6
OWN 9
+2
99.9%
Tanner Blain punt for 47 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 2 yds to the SJSt 11 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SJSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
99.9%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the SJSt 21Similar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
99.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 8 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 2
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Billy FreemanSimilar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 2 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22FUMBLE
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:520% → 0%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.9%
Josh Love run for 7 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 8 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Love, Josh pass incomplete to Johnson, Rahshead, PENALTY SANDIEGOST pass interference 5 yards to the SANDIEGOST49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SJSU.Similar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Rahshead JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
100.0%
Josh Love sacked by Troy Cassidy for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 11
50
+11
100.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 11 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-5
100.0%
Josh Love sacked by Kyahva Tezino for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 44Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+9
100.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 9 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 6
OPP 35
-8
99.9%
Josh Love run for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSt 43 Josh Love fumbled, recovered by SJSt Josh LoveSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
100.0%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 44Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+12
100.0%
Juwan Washington run for 12 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:41
Donnel Pumphrey 27 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick)
+3.5
TD · Q2 12:34
Rashaad Penny 3 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick)
+2.7
FG · Q2 3:00
Bryce Crawford 26 Yd Field Goal
-2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com