Try the model
ULM

UL Monroe 17 at New Mexico 59

UNM
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · University Stadium (NM)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:07 · Dayton Balvanz punt for 38 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Home team on offense+6.3Pregame prior+28.1Score differential+3.8Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:21: Richard McQuarley run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +0.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:07: Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +3.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:04: Tyrone Owens run for 83 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +5.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 5:04: Craig Ford 33 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +7.1 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:12: Lamar Jordan pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 10 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ULM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:44ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:21ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:07ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ULM 4th & 20 at ULM 15, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−1.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:35ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:47UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 37, up 28
    Close callPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:08ULM 4th & 7 at UNM 43, down 28
    Close callPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:04ULM 4th & 15 at UNM 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -2.2%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:45ULM 4th & 10 at midfield, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:33UNM 4th & 11 at ULM 19, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:06ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 38, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:44UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:21UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:07UNM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:04UNM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:12UNM Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:45UNM Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:21UNM Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:35ULM Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:33ULM Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:06UNM Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1INT TD
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1617% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.3%
Ben Luckett run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
83.3%
Marcus Green run for 5 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+40
83.2%
Will Collins pass intercepted for a TD Jadon Boatright return for 40 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.2%
Will Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.2%
Ben Luckett run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
83.2%
Will Collins pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
83.3%
Dayton Balvanz punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:2683% → 84%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
83.2%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
83.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 7 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+53
83.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 53 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
84.0%
Richard McQuarley run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.9%
Duke Carter IV run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
83.8%
Marcus Green run for 2 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
83.9%
Will Collins run for 13 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
83.8%
Will Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
83.8%
Duke Carter IV run for 3 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
83.8%
Will Collins run for no gain to the LaMon 47Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
83.9%
Dayton Balvanz punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 4:2584% → 88%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
84.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+4
84.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+3
84.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
84.5%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Richard McQuarleySimilar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-5
84.5%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 21Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
84.4%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+39
84.3%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Q' Drennan for 39 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
84.5%
Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+12
84.5%
Richard McQuarley run for 12 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
84.5%
Daryl Chestnut run for 7 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+10
84.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 10 yds to the LaMon 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 5
OWN 0
0
84.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
88.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.4%
Ben Luckett run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
87.4%
Ben Luckett run for 4 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
87.3%
Will Collins run for 7 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
87.3%
Duke Carter IV run for 5 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+1
87.1%
Duke Carter IV run for 1 yd to the LaMon 47Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-2
87.2%
Will Collins sacked by Nik D'Avanzo for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 45Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
87.4%
Dayton Balvanz punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7TD
1 play · 83 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+83
93.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 83 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:046% → 6%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.7%
UL MONROE Penalty, SUB (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 20Similar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
94.0%
Ben Luckett run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 19Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
93.9%
Duke Carter IV run for no gain to the LaMon 19Similar
Q1 1:04
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-4
94.0%
Will Collins sacked by Kimmie Carson for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 15Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+9
94.5%
Dayton Balvanz punt for 53 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 9 yds to the NMex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · 59 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+58
94.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 58 yds Teriyon Gipson fumbled, forced by Wesley Thompson, recovered by LaMon , return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
94.4%
Ben Luckett run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 19Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
94.4%
Will Collins run for 5 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
94.5%
Will Collins pass incomplete, broken up by Donnie WhiteSimilar
Q2 14:35
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
94.5%
Dayton Balvanz punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis Jr. at the NMex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
95.4%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 28Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
95.3%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Daryl ChestnutSimilar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+9
95.4%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Matt Quarells for 9 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q2 12:47
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+19
94.9%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 44 yds , Marcus Green returns for 19 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
95.4%
Duke Carter IV run for 2 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
95.3%
Will Collins run for 3 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+11
95.2%
Will Collins run for 11 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.2%
Will Collins pass incomplete to Ben LuckettSimilar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
95.2%
Will Collins run for 8 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-5
94.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 43Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
95.2%
Will Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
95.4%
Dayton Balvanz punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the NMex 20Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
96.4%
Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-10
96.4%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 10 yards to the NMex 12 Lamar Jordan fumbled, recovered by LaMon Howard Houston Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14FG
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:493% → 10%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
96.9%
Will Collins run for 2 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
96.9%
Ben Luckett run for 1 yd to the NMex 9Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-8
97.0%
Will Collins sacked by Garrett Hughes for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 17Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+33
89.9%
Craig Ford 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 4:4595% → 99%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
95.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 15Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+1
95.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 16Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+45
94.9%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Patrick Reed for 45 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
95.3%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 9 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+11
94.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 11 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
95.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the LaMon 18Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-4
95.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 13
OPP 22
+12
95.9%
JORDAN, Lamar pass incomplete to GAMBLIN, Dameon, PENALTY ULM personal foul (Day, Chase) 12 yards to the ULM10, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
98.8%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 10 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16KICKOFF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.9%
Ben Luckett run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.0%
Duke Carter IV run for 9 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 14:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
98.9%
Ben Luckett run for 1 yd to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Tre' Perrier for 8 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+7
98.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.8%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the NMex 49Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-1
98.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 9 yds to the LaMon 40 UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive holding (Brian Williams) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
50
+4
98.9%
Caleb Evans run for 4 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q3 14:45
3RD & 6
OPP 46
-4
98.9%
Caleb Evans sacked by Garrett Hughes and Maurice Daniels for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:45
4TH & 10
50
0
98.9%
Dayton Balvanz punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis Jr. at the NMex 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 4:4399% → 100%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
99.4%
GIPSON, Teriyon rush for loss of 4 yards to the NM7 (Johnson, Alex), PENALTY ULM personal foul (Johnson, Alex) 15 yards to the NM26, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.4%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+9
99.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 9 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.4%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
99.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+7
99.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.4%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyrone Owens for 4 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+10
99.4%
Richard McQuarley run for 10 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.7%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 36 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Duke Carter IV for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.7%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
99.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Kyle Nevels for 4 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted Jake Rothschiller return for no gain to the LaMon 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21FG
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
99.7%
JaJuan Lawson pass complete to Chris Davis Jr. for 26 yds to the LaMon 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for 3 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+4
99.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for 4 yds to the LaMon 11Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 3
OPP 11
-4
99.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 19 Daryl Chestnut fumbled, recovered by NMexSimilar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+36
99.8%
Jason Sanders 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:580% → 0%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Thomas Koufie run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 2 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+33
99.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 33 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Cody Baker) to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 5
OPP 32
+7
99.8%
Thomas Koufie run for 7 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Cody Baker) to the NMex 20Similar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 5
OPP 20
+5
99.8%
Thomas Koufie run for 5 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.8%
Thomas Koufie run for 3 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
-5
99.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+4
99.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Thomas Koufie for 4 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+10
99.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 10 yds to the NMex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.8%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Thomas Koufie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.8%
Daryl Chestnut run for 4 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+6
99.8%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 5 yds to the NMex 30 Diquon Woodhouse fumbled, recovered by LaMon Justin Backus , return for 6 yds to the NMex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 30 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:27100% → 100%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.8%
Richard McQuarley run for 13 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
99.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 23 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
99.9%
JaJuan Lawson pass complete to Emmanuel Harris for 13 yds to the LaMon 26 NEW MEXICO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Marquez Mackey) to the LaMon 41Similar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 12
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 5 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
JaJuan Lawson run for 5 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
99.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 6 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+12
99.9%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 12 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 9
OWN 0
+3
99.8%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the LaMon 6 UL MONROE Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the LaMon 6Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 6
OWN 0
+2
99.8%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the LaMon 4 UL MONROE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the LaMon 4Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Daryl Chestnut run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Thomas Koufie run for 9 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 3 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
100.0%
Caleb Evans sacked by Kene Okonkwo and Everett Powell for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 34Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+4
100.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 4 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
Q4 6:06
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Dayton Balvanz punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
Javohn Jones run for 5 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+11
100.0%
Javohn Jones run for 11 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
100.0%
Javohn Jones run for 10 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
100.0%
Javohn Jones run for 7 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+4
100.0%
Daryl Chestnut run for 4 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
100.0%
Javohn Jones run for 5 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 5:04
Craig Ford 33 yd FG GOOD
-7.1
TD · Q1 1:04
Tyrone Owens run for 83 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q1 4:07
Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com