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BYU

BYU 27 at Boise State 28

BOIS
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2016 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:52 · Tyler Rausa 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dayan Lake Dayan Lake return for 25 yds to the BYU 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior+19.7Home team on offense+5.4Score differential+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:54: Dayan Lake 50 Yd Interception Return (Rhett Almond Kick) — BYU win probability +9.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: One-score game).
  2. TD · Q2 0:35: Cedrick Wilson 36 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Tyler Rausa Kick) — BOIS win probability +11.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:55: Taysom Hill 1 Yd Run (Rhett Almond Kick) — BYU win probability +19.9 pts (now 51%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:33: Rhett Almond 37 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +9.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:37: Jeremy McNichols 4 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick) — BOIS win probability +30.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:05BYU 4th & 12 at BYU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:19BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:52BOIS 4th & 14 at BYU 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−3.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49BYU 4th & 9 at BOIS 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:47BYU 4th & 19 at BYU 5, down 4
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%−1.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:36BYU 4th & 1 at BOIS 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%−2.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:33BYU 4th & 9 at BOIS 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−2.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−14.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:11BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:13BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:22BYU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:54BYU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:35BOIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:55BYU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:37BOIS Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 0:3975% → 75%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
74.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
74.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q1 14:11
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+76
75.0%
Jeremy McNichols 76 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:5325% → 25%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
75.0%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-11
75.0%
Hill, Taysom rush for 2 yards to the BYU25, PENALTY BYU personal foul (Canada, Squally) 11 yards to the BYU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+6
75.1%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 6 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
75.2%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell JuergensSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+6
75.3%
Jonny Linehan punt for 46 yds , Akilian Butler returns for 6 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:3275% → 78%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
75.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 15 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
75.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+13
75.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 13 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
75.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+7
75.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 7 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-6
76.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 18Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 16
OPP 18
+6
75.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 6 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
78.1%
Thomas Sperbeck 12 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:4023% → 22%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
77.5%
Squally Canada run for 5 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
77.7%
Squally Canada run for 8 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
77.8%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Colby PearsonSimilar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
77.8%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
78.0%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell JuergensSimilar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
78.3%
Jonny Linehan punt for 53 yds, downed at the BoiSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 84 yds · 3:2479% → 80%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
79.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+5
78.9%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Logan Taele) to the BoiSt 7Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+20
79.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 20 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
79.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
79.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+56
79.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 56 yds to the BYU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
80.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 10 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
80.2%
BOISE ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
0
80.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q1 2:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+2
80.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+4
80.0%
Brett Rypien run for 4 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q1 1:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
79.7%
Tyler Rausa 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dayan Lake Dayan Lake return for 25 yds to the BYU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:5621% → 23%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
78.6%
Squally Canada run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
78.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Tanner Balderree for 22 yds to the BoiSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
78.0%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-6
78.3%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 14 BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 16
OPP 24
+7
78.8%
Algernon Brown run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
78.8%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
76.8%
Rhett Almond 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+59
73.7%
Fred Warner 59 Yd Interception Return (Rhett Almond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:2773% → 73%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
72.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 8 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
73.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
73.5%
Brett Rypien sacked by TEAM for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 34 BOISE ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 18
OWN 34
+4
72.6%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
72.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · -12 yds · 1:3827% → 25%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
72.6%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Keyan Norman) to the BYU 9Similar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 15
OWN 9
0
72.7%
Squally Canada run for no gain to the BYU 9Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 15
OWN 9
0
72.8%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Jonah TrinnamanSimilar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 15
OWN 9
-4
73.3%
Taysom Hill sacked by Elliot Hoyte for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 5Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 19
OWN 5
-3
75.1%
Jonny Linehan run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10MISSED FG
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:0575% → 75%
Q2 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
75.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+2
74.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
75.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
74.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jeremy McNicholsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:4827% → 28%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.3%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Jonah TrinnamanSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
73.4%
Taysom Hill run for 4 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+11
73.8%
Taysom Hill run for 11 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
73.1%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
72.3%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
72.4%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell JuergensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12INT TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:3573% → 66%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
73.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 14 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
73.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+13
74.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
50
-5
74.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (John Molchon) to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+50
65.8%
Dayan Lake 50 Yd Interception Return (Rhett Almond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:1539% → 42%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
61.5%
Squally Canada run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
61.3%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Squally CanadaSimilar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+10
62.2%
Taysom Hill run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+2
62.7%
Taysom Hill run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
59.7%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
-5
57.7%
Taysom Hill sacked by Tanner Vallejo and Darren Lee for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 0:5864% → 74%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
63.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+9
63.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 9 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
65.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 11 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
66.1%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Archie Lewis) to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+12
64.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 12 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+36
73.9%
Cedrick Wilson 36 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:2228% → 30%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
72.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 11 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
71.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Squally Canada for 5 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
70.0%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:2229% → 29%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
71.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Beau Tanner for 5 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+5
70.8%
Squally Canada run for 5 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
70.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Tanner Balderree for 11 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
69.3%
Squally Canada run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 40Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
70.5%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+6
71.5%
Taysom Hill run for 6 yds to the BYU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:4871% → 76%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
71.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+27
70.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 27 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
74.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+15
75.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 15 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
76.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
76.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
75.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jeremy McNicholsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 1:4430% → 51%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
70.4%
Squally Canada run for 5 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+8
68.9%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 8 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
68.4%
Squally Canada run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
68.0%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+18
68.3%
Taysom Hill run for 18 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
66.8%
BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Keyan Norman) to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 25
OPP 34
0
68.4%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 25
OPP 34
+33
69.2%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 33 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jabril Frazier) to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.2%
Taysom Hill 1 Yd Run (Rhett Almond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19PUNT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4456% → 54%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
54.2%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:5048% → 50%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
52.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 6 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+1
50.6%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 40Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
49.7%
Taysom Hill run for no gain to the BYU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5054% → 50%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
45.9%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-6
46.9%
Aleva Hifo run for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 15
OPP 32
-2
50.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Squally Canada for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:4054% → 54%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
53.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+6
53.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:1355% → 65%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
44.7%
BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Keyan Norman) to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+10
44.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 10 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
44.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Squally Canada for 4 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-3
45.1%
Taysom Hill sacked by David Moa for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
35.5%
Rhett Almond 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 2:4644% → 74%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
43.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+7
43.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 7 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
43.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 3 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
44.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
44.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
40.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 14 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
44.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 6
50
0
44.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 6
50
+46
43.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Knight for 46 yds to the BYU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
74.2%
Jeremy McNichols 4 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:2635% → 42%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.4%
Squally Canada run for 7 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
62.2%
Squally Canada run for 7 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
61.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 7 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+7
60.1%
Squally Canada run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
59.0%
Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+5
58.9%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 5 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
57.6%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:0866% → 72%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
66.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+8
66.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
67.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+7
67.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
67.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+2
70.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
70.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 5 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-1
74.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
72.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 27DOWNS
14 plays · 65 yds · 1:5833% → 24%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
67.1%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 8 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 2
OWN 16
0
66.9%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Colby PearsonSimilar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+5
68.6%
Squally Canada run for 5 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
68.5%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
68.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 11 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
68.0%
Taysom Hill run for 9 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+7
63.1%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 7 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
63.6%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 4 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+9
61.7%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 9 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
61.1%
Taysom Hill sacked by Elliot Hoyte and Blake Whitlock for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+13
68.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 13 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
62.8%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 25
OPP 42
0
76.3%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:37
Jeremy McNichols 4 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)
+30.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+23.7
TD · Q3 6:55
Taysom Hill 1 Yd Run (Rhett Almond Kick)
-19.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com