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NEV

Nevada 10 at San José State 14

SJSU
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Kenny Potter run for 1 yd to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+10.9Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:53: Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 26 — SJSU win probability +7.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 6:52: Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 46 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK) — NEV win probability +34.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:51: Timeout NEVADA, clock 00:51 — NEV win probability +10.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 0:50: Kenny Potter run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +56.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:44: Tyler Stewart run for 3 yds to the Nevad 27 — NEV win probability +11.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9NEV made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 1 at NEV 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    64.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 9 at NEV 19, tied
    Close callWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    64.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:52NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:33SJSU 4th & 6 at NEV 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:58NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:46SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:20NEV 4th & 12 at SJSU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:53SJSU 4th & 27 at SJSU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:37NEV 4th & 7 at NEV 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:51SJSU 4th & 9 at SJSU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:43SJSU 4th & 10 at NEV 34, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    72.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:31NEV 4th & 6 at SJSU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−12.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 45, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:53SJSU 4th & 5 at NEV 23, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    71.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−13.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:32NEV 4th & 7 at NEV 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.8%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2NEV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:20SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 6:52NEV Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−2.0
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:50SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · -7 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
60.9%
Malik Roberson run for 5 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
60.9%
Malik Roberson run for no gain to the Nevad 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
60.9%
Malik Roberson run for 4 yds to the Nevad 21Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
60.9%
Kenny Potter run for 1 yd to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
60.9%
Malik Roberson run for 1 yd to the Nevad 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
60.9%
Malik Roberson run for no gain to the Nevad 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
60.9%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 19
-18
60.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the Nevad 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
60.6%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jarred GipsonSimilar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
60.7%
James Butler run for 6 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+2
60.5%
Tyler Stewart run for 2 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
60.7%
Alex Boy punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
60.9%
Malik Roberson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
61.0%
Malik Roberson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
61.0%
Tim Crawley run for 8 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+7
61.4%
Malik Roberson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
61.4%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
61.5%
Tim Crawley run for 1 yd to the Nevad 48Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
61.4%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
60.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
60.5%
James Butler run for 7 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+6
60.5%
James Butler run for 6 yds to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
60.5%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 9 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+3
60.0%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
60.2%
Ty Gangi run for 4 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
59.8%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Wyatt DempsSimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
60.1%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Wyatt Demps, broken up by Jermaine KellySimilar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+52
60.8%
Alex Boy punt for 44 yds SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (8 Yards) to the SJSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:4560% → 60%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
60.4%
Malik Roberson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 4Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 14
OWN 4
0
60.3%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Malik RobersonSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 14
OWN 4
+29
59.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 29 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
60.5%
Kenny Potter sacked by Jarid Joseph for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 29Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 14
OWN 29
0
60.2%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 14
OWN 29
+10
59.6%
Kenny Potter run for 10 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
60.0%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 19 yds, downed at the Nevad 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6INT
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:4342% → 41%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
58.3%
Asauni Rufus run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-3
58.9%
Tyler Stewart pass intercepted Trevon Bierria return for 12 yds to the SJSU 48 NEVADA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:2763% → 68%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
62.5%
Malik Roberson run for 11 yds to the Nevad 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
62.5%
Malik Roberson run for 5 yds to the Nevad 7Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+3
62.5%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 4Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+2
61.9%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
62.5%
Malik Roberson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 5Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
62.9%
Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the Nevad 3Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
68.0%
Kenny Potter run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.9%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+30
66.6%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 30 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
65.0%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 41Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+3
65.1%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 6
OPP 38
-6
65.3%
Tyler Stewart sacked by Isaiah Irving for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 44Similar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
67.6%
Alex Boy punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
67.7%
Malik Roberson run for 12 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+21
67.9%
Malik Roberson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
69.4%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 8
50
+2
69.3%
Tim Crawley run for 2 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+8
68.7%
Kenny Potter run for 8 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
69.5%
Malik Roberson run for no gain to the Nevad 40Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-7
69.4%
Kenny Potter sacked by Patrick Choudja for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 47Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 17
OPP 47
-10
67.7%
Kenny Potter sacked by Jarid Joseph for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSt 43 Kenny Potter fumbled, recovered by SJSt Kenny Potter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 27
OWN 43
0
66.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jarid Joseph at the Nevad 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
69.9%
James Butler run for 9 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+9
69.2%
James Butler run for 9 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
69.2%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
69.1%
Tyler Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
70.0%
Tyler Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
70.9%
Alex Boy punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
70.3%
Malik Roberson run for 17 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
71.9%
Malik Roberson run for no gain to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
71.2%
Kenny Potter run for 1 yd to the SJSt 43Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
70.4%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 9
OWN 43
+29
69.2%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 44 yds SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-6
70.5%
Tyler Stewart sacked by Owen Roberts for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 22Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 16
OWN 22
+5
71.3%
James Butler run for 5 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.2%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the Nevad 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
70.3%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Jeremy Macauley) to the Nevad 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
70.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Nevad 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
70.3%
James Butler run for 18 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
68.5%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
67.8%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
50
-1
67.9%
Jaxson Kincaide run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 49Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
69.9%
Alex Boy punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 61 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+19
72.1%
Malik Roberson run for 19 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
72.6%
Malik Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 31Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+14
72.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 14 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
74.4%
Malik Roberson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 5
50
+16
74.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 16 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
75.2%
Malik Roberson run for no gain to the Nevad 34Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-2
75.1%
Malik Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 36Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+2
72.8%
Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+9
71.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 9 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 6:3928% → 35%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the Nevad 25Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.7%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 3 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
73.5%
STEWART, Tyler pass incomplete to DEMPS, Wyatt, PENALTY SJ pass interference (CHACHERE, Andre) 15 yards to the NEV43, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
70.9%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+16
69.9%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 16 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
69.2%
James Butler run for 9 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+4
67.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
67.0%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Andrew Celis for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+11
69.4%
Tyler Stewart run for 11 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+5
68.9%
James Butler run for 5 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
67.0%
James Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 15Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+10
67.6%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jarred Gipson for 10 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 1
OPP 5
-5
68.8%
James Butler run for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 10Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
65.3%
Spencer Pettit 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:2671% → 70%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
70.7%
Malik Roberson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-1
72.0%
Malik Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+7
69.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 7 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
72.2%
Kenny Potter sacked by Malik Reed for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+3
70.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 3 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+7
70.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 7 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
70.4%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Andrew Celis at the Nevad 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17INT
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
68.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 20Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+4
68.9%
Tyler Stewart pass intercepted Andre Chachere return for 4 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0076% → 72%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
76.2%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
76.2%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 23Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
74.7%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the Nevad 23Similar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 5
OPP 23
0
72.2%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Shane SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 4:0132% → 71%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
68.3%
Ahki Muhammad run for 8 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+7
65.1%
James Butler run for 7 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
66.3%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 14 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
62.9%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Wyatt Demps, broken up by Jermaine KellySimilar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
63.9%
Tyler Stewart run for 2 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+46
29.5%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 46 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 5:5539% → 94%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
39.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 11 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
39.9%
Kenny Potter run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+15
38.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 15 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
43.1%
Tim Crawley run for 1 yd to the SJSt 41Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+15
41.7%
Malik Roberson run for 15 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
45.6%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+17
45.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 17 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
48.0%
Malik Roberson run for no gain to the Nevad 25Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+14
47.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for 14 yds to the Nevad 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
48.0%
Malik Roberson run for 8 yds to the Nevad 3Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 2
OPP 3
0
48.0%
Malik Roberson run for no gain to the Nevad 3Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
94.4%
Kenny Potter run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21END OF GAME
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:4018% → 10%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
82.5%
Tyler Stewart run for 3 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
86.7%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Andrew Celis, broken up by Maurice McKnightSimilar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
88.0%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+20
88.6%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 20 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
83.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
84.4%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
89.7%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:50
Kenny Potter run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)
+56.6
TD · Q4 6:52
Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 46 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)
-34.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:44
Tyler Stewart run for 3 yds to the Nevad 27
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com