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UNLV

UNLV 7 at San Diego State 26

SDSU
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Qualcomm Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:55 · Tanner Blain punt for 32 yds , Mekhi Stevenson returns for 4 yds to the UNLV 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Pregame prior+7.3Home team on offense+28.4Score differential+17.8Garbage-time factor+12.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. SACK · Q2 10:35: Christian Chapman sacked by Jeremiah Valoaga for a loss of 8 yards Christian Chapman fumbled, recovered by UNLV Dominic Baldwin , return for 0 yards , return for 20 yds, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +3.4 pts (now 19%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:34: Timeout SAN DIEGO ST, clock 01:34 — UNLV win probability +3.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:28: John Baron II 50 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:50: Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +9.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:47: Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined — SDSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 13:07SDSU 4th & 1 at UNLV 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:16SDSU 4th & 6 at UNLV 31, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.7%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    86.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:16UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 42, down 10
    Close callPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:29SDSU 4th & 1 at UNLV 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SDSU 4th & 15 at UNLV 35, up 10
    Close callPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    85.9%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:53UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:31SDSU 4th & 1 at UNLV 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    80.6%−1.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:30UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:28SDSU 4th & 10 at UNLV 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:40UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:56UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 47, down 6
    Close callPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:22UNLV 4th & 18 at UNLV 40, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−2.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:46UNLV 4th & 14 at UNLV 31, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−1.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:41UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 35, down 19
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:55SDSU 4th & 1 at UNLV 47, up 19
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:27UNLV 4th & 14 at SDSU 47, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:26SDSU 4th & 3 at UNLV 46, up 19
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−<0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:16SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:50SDSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:47SDSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    97.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:4487% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
87.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+20
87.1%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 20 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
87.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+41
87.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 41 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.9%
Dalton Sneed pass intercepted Derek Babiash return for no gain to the SDSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3FG
12 plays · 27 yds · 4:5187% → 87%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
87.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 11 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
87.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the SDSt 40 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 13
50
+2
87.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SANDIEGOST 48 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
87.0%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+10
87.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 10 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+3
87.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
87.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 9 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 1
OPP 26
-1
87.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 2
OPP 27
-15
87.0%
WASHINGTON, Juwan rush for 7 yards to the LV20 (HAWTHORNE, Troy), PENALTY SDSU illegal block 15 yards to the LV42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 17
OPP 42
-5
87.0%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 22
OPP 47
+16
86.9%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 16 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+48
86.5%
John Baron II 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
86.4%
Dalton Sneed run for 6 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
86.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
86.3%
Dalton Sneed run for 4 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
86.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
86.2%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete, broken up by Dakota TurnerSimilar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+11
86.4%
Evan Pantels punt for 48 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 11 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 44 yds · 5:2986% → 85%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
86.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the SDSt 26Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
86.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SDSt 26Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+5
86.3%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 5 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+28
86.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 28 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
86.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 43Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 12
OPP 43
0
86.7%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Donnel PumphreySimilar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+11
86.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 11 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+2
86.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
86.8%
Christian Chapman run for 1 yd to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+1
86.8%
Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-7
86.7%
Christian Chapman sacked by Robert Jackson and Tau Lotulelei for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 35
0
85.3%
Tanner Blain punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
85.8%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
85.5%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+12
85.8%
Dalton Sneed run for 12 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
85.4%
Dalton Sneed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
85.5%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+9
85.8%
Dalton Sneed run for 9 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
85.5%
Evan Pantels punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:2385% → 82%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
85.4%
Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the SDSt 8Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
85.3%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Rashaad PennySimilar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+20
85.0%
Rashaad Penny run for 20 yds to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
81.5%
Christian Chapman sacked by Jeremiah Valoaga for a loss of 8 yards Christian Chapman fumbled, recovered by UNLV Dominic Baldwin , return for 0 yards , return for 20 yds, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
81.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+7
82.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
82.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
82.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
82.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 1
OPP 40
-2
81.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
79.7%
Dalton Sneed run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 36 Dalton Sneed fumbled,Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 16
OWN 36
0
80.8%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete, broken up by Calvin MunsonSimilar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+7
81.3%
Dalton Sneed run for 7 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
81.2%
Evan Pantels punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:5281% → 83%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
80.6%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 25Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+10
80.5%
Juwan Washington run for 10 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
80.8%
Rashaad Penny run for 21 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
82.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+7
82.2%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 7 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
82.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
82.4%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Curtis Anderson III for 4 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 6
OPP 28
-4
81.9%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+50
82.7%
John Baron II 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:4319% → 18%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
81.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+1
80.6%
David Greene run for 1 yd to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
81.1%
Dalton Sneed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+7
82.0%
Evan Pantels punt for 51 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 7 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
82.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 8 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
81.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+12
81.1%
Dalton Sneed run for 12 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
80.2%
Dalton Sneed run for 4 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
79.5%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
79.6%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson, broken up by Damontae KazeeSimilar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
81.1%
Evan Pantels punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
82.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 10 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
82.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+12
82.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 12 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
83.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 37Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
82.9%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to David Wells, broken up by Torry McTyerSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-15
82.3%
CHAPMAN, Christian pass complete to HOLDER, Mikah for 10 yards to the SDSU47 (MYLES, Jay'Onn;KEYS, Kenny), PENALTY SDSU pass interference 15 yards to the SDSU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 24
OWN 22
-5
81.6%
Christian Chapman sacked by Gabe McCoy for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 17Similar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 29
OWN 17
-5
80.8%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 12Similar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 34
OWN 12
0
80.8%
Tanner Blain punt for 55 yds, downed at the UNLV 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
79.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 15 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
77.8%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 8
50
-1
77.4%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-9
79.2%
Dalton Sneed sacked by Austin Wyatt-Thayer for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 18
OWN 40
+29
81.3%
Evan Pantels punt for 49 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 29 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:2983% → 93%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
83.0%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Mikah Holder, broken up by Troy HawthorneSimilar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
82.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 46Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+15
82.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 15 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
83.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+27
83.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 27 yds to the UNLV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
92.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
90.7%
Dalton Sneed run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 20 Dalton Sneed fumbled, recovered by UNLV Dalton SneedSimilar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+4
90.9%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 4 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+11
90.9%
Dalton Sneed run for 11 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.1%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-4
90.3%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
91.0%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Lexington ThomasSimilar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 14
OWN 31
+49
91.2%
Evan Pantels punt for 39 yds , Quest Truxton returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 30 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the SDSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 4:3193% → 98%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
92.8%
Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the SDSt 19Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+12
92.7%
Rashaad Penny run for 12 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
92.8%
Rashaad Penny run for 9 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+7
93.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 7 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
93.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 22 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
94.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 15 yds to the UNLV 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
94.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+10
94.7%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 10 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+4
94.5%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
96.9%
Dalton Sneed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
97.0%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+5
97.0%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 5 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
96.8%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
97.0%
Dalton Sneed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+8
97.1%
Dalton Sneed run for 8 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 4
OWN 35
-2
96.9%
Evan Pantels punt for 38 yds , Quest Truxton returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SDSt 25Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
98.3%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 13 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
98.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 45Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+5
98.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 4
50
+3
98.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+4
98.2%
Tanner Blain punt for 32 yds , Mekhi Stevenson returns for 4 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
97.7%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+4
97.6%
Kurt Palandech run for 4 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
97.6%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
97.6%
PALANDECH, Kurt pass incomplete to BOYD, Devonte (KAZEE, Damontae), PENALTY SDSU pass interference 15 yards to the LV45, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
97.5%
Mekhi Stevenson run for 12 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
97.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-10
97.3%
Kurt Palandech sacked by Alex Barrett for a loss of 10 yards to the SDSt 49Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+2
97.7%
Kurt Palandech run for 2 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
97.7%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Andrew PriceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0899% → 99%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.1%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
99.1%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 7
50
+4
99.1%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
99.2%
Tanner Blain punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
98.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the UNLV 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:50
Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)
+9.4
FG · Q2 1:28
John Baron II 50 yd FG GOOD
+4.6
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:34
Timeout SAN DIEGO ST, clock 01:34
-3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com