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SJSU

San José State 41 at New Mexico 48

UNM
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:06 · Michael Carrizosa punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 21 , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 10 yds to the NMex 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Home team on offense+15.4Pregame prior+1.3Score differential+3.5Garbage-time factor+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 5:01: Jason Sanders 35 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +8.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:10: Kenny Potter pass intercepted for a TD Austin Ocasio return for 37 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +10.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:06: Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +9.0 pts (now 11%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:27: Kenny Potter pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 45 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +14.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:31: Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 14 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +12.9 pts (now 15%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 8SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 14:05SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:16UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 34, up 1
    Close callPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:51SJSU 4th & 14 at SJSU 12, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:10SJSU 4th & 10 at UNM 12, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−6.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00UNM 4th & 1 at SJSU 28, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%−2.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−7.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 34, down 11
    Close callPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:21UNM 4th & 2 at SJSU 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    77.9%−0.8
    70% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−5.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:01UNM 4th & 7 at SJSU 18, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−5.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:10SJSU 4th & 12 at SJSU 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 7, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:27UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:35SJSU 4th & 11 at SJSU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:55UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:06SJSU 4th & 16 at SJSU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:05UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:32UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:21SJSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:07SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:13UNM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:59SJSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:58UNM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:10UNM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:06SJSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:27SJSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:54UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:31SJSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5566% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+61
65.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 61 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
66.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.1%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
66.1%
Zamore Zigler run for 6 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
66.1%
Zamore Zigler run for no gain to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
66.1%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 4:3667% → 71%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
66.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+1
66.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 20Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+6
66.5%
Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
66.7%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+23
66.6%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyrone Owens for 23 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
66.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 3 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
66.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+4
66.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
71.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 40 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
67.7%
Zamore Zigler run for 75 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
68.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
68.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
68.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
67.9%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:0032% → 37%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
68.2%
Zamore Zigler run for 5 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
68.0%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 26Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+31
68.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 31 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
67.3%
Zamore Zigler run for 6 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+5
67.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 5 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
66.9%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-4
66.9%
Kenny Potter run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 14
OPP 36
+15
68.1%
POTTER, Kenny pass incomplete to CRAWLEY, Tim, PENALTY NM pass interference (REED, Patrick) 15 yards to the NM21, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
63.4%
Tim Crawley run for 21 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0766% → 65%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.5%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.4%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
65.1%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Emmanuel Harris for 4 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
64.8%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 52 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for no gain to the SJSt 16 Thai Cottrell fumbled, recovered by SJSt Thai CottrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
65.3%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 11Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 15
OWN 11
+1
65.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Zamore Zigler for 1 yd to the SJSt 12Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 14
OWN 12
0
66.0%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete, broken up by Maurice DanielsSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 14
OWN 12
+34
66.4%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 64 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 42 , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 34 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:5567% → 72%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
67.0%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+17
66.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 17 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
67.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 14 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
72.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1429% → 36%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.5%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
71.6%
Zamore Zigler run for no gain to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Donnie White) to the SJSt 30Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
71.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Maurice Daniels) to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
64.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 65 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0165% → 74%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
65.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
66.4%
Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
66.1%
Daryl Chestnut run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
50
+19
67.1%
Richard McQuarley run for 19 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+24
67.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 24 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
67.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 3Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
67.7%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12MISSED FG
8 plays · 63 yds · 1:4826% → 27%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
73.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 19 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
72.3%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+41
71.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 41 yds to the NMex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
70.2%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the NMex 12Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
70.2%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
71.8%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim Crawley, broken up by Daniel HenrySimilar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
73.4%
Bryce Crawford 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 4:1074% → 79%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
73.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 7 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
74.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
73.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 7 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+9
75.3%
Daryl Chestnut run for 9 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
75.3%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Bryson Bridges for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 44Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+3
75.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+16
74.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 16 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
76.7%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Dameon Gamblin, broken up by Trevon BierriaSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
76.5%
Lamar Jordan run for 9 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
76.3%
Lamar Jordan run for no gain to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+45
79.1%
Jason Sanders 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 5 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
77.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
78.2%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the SJSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
78.8%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 46 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for no gain to the NMex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 8:2080% → 89%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
79.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
79.7%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
79.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+10
79.6%
Q' Drennan run for 10 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
80.7%
Richard McQuarley run for 9 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+4
80.8%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
80.9%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Daryl Chestnut for 14 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
80.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
80.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+4
80.3%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyrone Owens for 4 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+2
79.3%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
80.9%
Emmanuel Harris run for 1 yd to the SJSt 20Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+4
80.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 5
OPP 16
-2
80.3%
Richard McQuarley run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 18Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
88.8%
Jason Sanders 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16INT TD
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:5113% → 3%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.1%
Tim Crawley pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Nik D'Avanzo) to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
86.1%
Deontae Cooper run for 9 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-8
85.9%
Kenny Potter sacked by Garrett Hughes for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 31Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+37
96.6%
Kenny Potter pass intercepted for a TD Austin Ocasio return for 37 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.6%
CRAWLEY, Tim rush for no gain to the SJ25 (CARSON, Kimmie), PENALTY NM face mask (GAMBLIN, Dameon) 15 yards to the SJ40, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.4%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
96.4%
Tim Crawley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 39Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 11
OWN 39
-1
96.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
96.7%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 61 yds, downed at the NMex 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1898% → 98%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
97.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 2Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
97.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the NMex 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+5
98.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 7Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
97.8%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the NMex 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:062% → 11%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
98.0%
Kenny Potter run for 4 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
98.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the NMex 41Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+10
98.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive holding (Lee Crosby) to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
97.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 11 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
97.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, roughing passer (Kimmie Carson) to the NMex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
97.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 8 yds to the NMex 2Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20INT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4894% → 95%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.8%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
94.3%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
94.5%
Lamar Jordan pass intercepted Maurice McKnight return for no gain to the SJSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:029% → 24%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
90.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 11 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
90.5%
Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+45
76.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 45 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
85.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
86.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
85.8%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+2
84.7%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 35 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 2 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0016% → 14%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
83.8%
Kenny Potter sacked by William Udeh for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 24Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
84.2%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
85.2%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
85.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 56 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for no gain to the NMex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
87.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the NMex 24 NEW MEXICO Penalty, illegal forward pass (Lamar Jordan) to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
87.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 20Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-2
86.2%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 18Similar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
85.4%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the SJSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:1018% → 11%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
81.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-6
82.9%
Kenny Potter sacked by Taylor Timmons and Garrett Hughes for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 34Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 16
OWN 34
0
88.4%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Ryan SantosSimilar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 16
OWN 34
+10
88.7%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 21 , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 10 yds to the NMex 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 26TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 1:5590% → 99%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
90.1%
Daryl Chestnut run for 5 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Owen Roberts) to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
91.3%
Daryl Chestnut run for 7 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+42
91.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 42 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
94.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
94.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.1%
Richard McQuarley run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 27TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:231% → 15%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
Kenny Potter run for 5 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
98.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 14 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
98.5%
POTTER, Kenny sacked for loss of 6 yards to the SJ38 (BAKER, Cody;COX, Dakota), PENALTY SJ holding (FREDRICKSON, Do) 10 yards to the SJ34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+7
98.6%
Kenny Potter run for 7 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 13
OWN 41
0
98.6%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+23
98.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 23 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
98.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 22 yds to the NMex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
98.0%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
85.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 14 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:27
Kenny Potter pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 45 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)
-14
TD · Q4 0:31
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 14 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q3 3:10
Kenny Potter pass intercepted for a TD Austin Ocasio return for 37 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
+10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com