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WYO

Wyoming 38 at Colorado State 17

CSU
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Sonny Lubick Field at Hughes Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:45 · Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Home team on offense−10.9Score differential−3.1Pregame prior+5.9Garbage-time factor−3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:28: Shaun Wick run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +8.2 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 9:06: Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 30 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +9.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:04: Collin Hill pass intercepted for a TD Chase Appleby return for 55 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +16.6 pts (now 55%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:17: Brian Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +17.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:07: Josh Allen run for 18 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +9.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9WYO made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:50CSU 4th & 6 at CSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:23CSU 4th & 5 at CSU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:47WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:54CSU 4th & 13 at CSU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−1.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:49WYO 4th & 7 at CSU 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00CSU 4th & 3 at WYO 18, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.5%−0.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−6.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:57WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:40CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−2.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:45WYO 4th & 1 at CSU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−3.9
    49% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:02WYO 4th & 1 at CSU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.3%−2.8
    72% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−10.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:45CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:41CSU 4th & 6 at CSU 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:20WYO 4th & 18 at midfield, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:20CSU 4th & 5 at WYO 24, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:34WYO 4th & 11 at WYO 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:21CSU 4th & 19 at CSU 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 1:34CSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:56CSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:28WYO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:06WYO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:04WYO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:17WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:07WYO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:0065% → 65%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
64.9%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 26Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+3
64.9%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 29Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+5
64.8%
Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 5 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
64.9%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
64.9%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
64.8%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Olabisi JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
64.7%
Hayden Hunt punt for 48 yds, downed at the Wyom 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2FG
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:1735% → 36%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
64.8%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+8
64.8%
Josh Allen run for 8 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+22
64.8%
Josh Allen run for 22 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+25
64.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 25 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
64.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 23 yds to the ColSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
64.0%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the ColSt 10Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
63.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q1 10:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-8
64.1%
Josh Allen sacked by Justin Sweet and Josh Watson for a loss of 8 yards to the ColSt 18Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+35
64.0%
Cooper Rothe 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0764% → 63%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.0%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the ColSt 25Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
63.7%
Collin Hill run for no gain to the ColSt 25Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.4%
Collin Hill pass complete to Nolan Peralta for 5 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-3
63.0%
Hayden Hunt punt for 56 yds , Austin Conway returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 27 WYOMING Penalty, Illegal Block (5 Yards) to the Wyom 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:3636% → 37%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
63.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+5
63.7%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 5
OWN 11
-5
63.8%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 6Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+36
63.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 36 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
62.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Joseph ParkerSimilar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
62.8%
Josh Allen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
62.6%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+45
63.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 45 yds , Robert Ruiz returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 3:1363% → 68%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+28
62.5%
Collin Hill pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 28 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
62.9%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Danny Nwosu) to the ColSt 32Similar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
62.4%
Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the ColSt 32Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 15
OWN 32
-5
62.2%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Jake Bennett) to the ColSt 27Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+36
62.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 36 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
63.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+22
64.0%
Collin Hill pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 22 yds to the Wyom 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
63.9%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
67.5%
Nolan Peralta 9 Yd pass from Collin Hill (Wyatt Bryan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4534% → 33%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.3%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-12
66.3%
Josh Allen sacked by Darnell Thompson for a loss of 12 yards to the Wyom 14Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+16
67.1%
Josh Allen run for 16 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
67.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 38 yds, downed at the ColSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:3666% → 74%
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
66.1%
Michael Gallup run for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 27Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+10
65.8%
Collin Hill pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 10 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+30
66.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 30 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
68.0%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 8 yds to the Wyom 25 COLORADO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 12
OPP 35
+35
74.0%
Detrich Clark run for 35 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:0828% → 36%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
72.4%
Shaun Wick run for 9 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+4
72.0%
Shaun Wick run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
72.5%
Josh Allen sacked by Tre Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+15
73.4%
Brian Hill run for 15 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
72.7%
Brian Hill run for 16 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+39
72.1%
Brian Hill run for 39 yds to the ColSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
63.8%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.4%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 5 yds to the ColSt 30 Marvin Kinsey Jr. fumbled, forced by Marcus Epps, recovered by Wyom Marcus EppsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
57.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 30 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0360% → 58%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
60.4%
Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 20 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
62.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the ColSt 45Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
61.2%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Olabisi Johnson) to the ColSt 40Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+2
59.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 10 yards to the ColSt 32 Dalyn Dawkins fumbled, recovered by ColSt Dalyn Dawkins Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 23
OWN 32
+10
57.8%
Collin Hill pass complete to Nolan Peralta for 10 yds to the ColSt 42Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 13
OWN 42
+38
58.1%
Hayden Hunt punt for 47 yds , Austin Conway returns for 38 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4644% → 42%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
56.0%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
55.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
55.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
57.7%
Ethan Wood punt for 47 yds, downed at the ColSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13INT TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:2958% → 44%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
58.0%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the ColSt 4Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+2
57.8%
Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the ColSt 6Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+12
56.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 12 yds to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
58.0%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the ColSt 21Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+30
57.8%
Izzy Matthews run for 30 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
60.5%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+11
60.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 11 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
62.0%
Collin Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-12
62.0%
Collin Hill sacked by Carl Granderson for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 33 COLORADO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 18
OPP 43
+55
45.5%
Collin Hill pass intercepted for a TD Chase Appleby return for 55 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
44.0%
WYOMING Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Wyom 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14END OF HALF
15 plays · 51 yds · 0:5244% → 50%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
43.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Danny Nwosu for 6 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+14
43.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 14 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
44.3%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
43.6%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+10
42.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Danny Nwosu for 10 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
43.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Danny Nwosu for 14 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
45.4%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Danny NwosuSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
45.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Danny Nwosu for 7 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
43.8%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
49.6%
Wyatt Bryan 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5855% → 54%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
45.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
45.1%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
45.3%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:57
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
46.4%
Ethan Wood punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:3546% → 43%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
45.7%
Anthony Hawkins run for 11 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
46.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the ColSt 36Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
45.8%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
44.3%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Sammie Long IVSimilar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
43.3%
Hayden Hunt punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:2157% → 63%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
43.2%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
41.6%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
40.2%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+11
39.7%
Shaun Wick run for 11 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
39.0%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
38.5%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+4
38.6%
Josh Allen run for 4 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
39.8%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
37.1%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the ColSt 30Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
35.8%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+8
36.5%
Josh Allen run for 8 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 1
OPP 22
-1
37.4%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18MISSED FG
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:1642% → 44%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+25
41.5%
Collin Hill pass complete to Danny Nwosu for 25 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+42
44.8%
Collin Hill pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 42 yds to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
47.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 4 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
47.2%
Faton Bauta pass incomplete to Nolan PeraltaSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
45.1%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Robert RuizSimilar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 0
OPP 6
+24
43.7%
Wyatt Bryan 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0162% → 85%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
37.6%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
36.7%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+22
36.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
50
+49
33.0%
Brian Hill run for 49 yds to the ColSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.3%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2121% → 20%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
20.9%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Dalyn DawkinsSimilar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
20.6%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Olabisi JohnsonSimilar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
20.2%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
19.5%
Hayden Hunt punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:2485% → 97%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
14.7%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 39Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+15
14.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 15 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
13.0%
Shaun Wick run for 11 yds to the ColSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
12.6%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the ColSt 13Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
12.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q3 0:13
3RD & 10
OPP 13
-5
12.5%
Allen, Josh pass incomplete to Price, James, PENALTY WYOMING ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the COLOST18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 15
OPP 18
+18
2.7%
Josh Allen run for 18 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:196% → 4%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
5.6%
Collin Hill sacked by Carl Granderson for a loss of 8 yards to the ColSt 17Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+7
5.4%
Collin Hill pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 7 yds to the ColSt 24Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
5.0%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the ColSt 29Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
4.4%
Hayden Hunt punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 5:0298% → 99%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
2.4%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+17
2.3%
Shaun Wick run for 17 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
2.1%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
1.8%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+14
1.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 14 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
1.5%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 43Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 11
OPP 43
-9
1.4%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 48Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 20
OWN 48
+2
1.3%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 18
50
0
1.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 49 yds, downed at the ColSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 24DOWNS
13 plays · 57 yds · 3:543% → 1%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
2.6%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+6
2.5%
Collin Hill pass complete to Danny Nwosu for 6 yds to the ColSt 7Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+34
2.4%
Collin Hill pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 34 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
2.5%
Collin Hill run for 7 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
2.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 1
50
+2
1.8%
Collin Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
1.7%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
1.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+13
1.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Elroy Masters Jr. for 13 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
1.8%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Elroy Masters Jr.Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
1.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 5 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
1.6%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 5
OPP 24
-18
1.4%
Collin Hill sacked by Andrew Wingard for a loss of 18 yards to the Wyom 42 COLORADO ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Collin Hill) to the Wyom 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3699% → 100%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
0.6%
Nico Evans run for 4 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-6
0.5%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+1
0.5%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
0.5%
Ethan Wood punt for 40 yds, downed at the ColSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:481% → 1%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
0.9%
Collin Hill run for 2 yds to the ColSt 21Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
0.8%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Sammie Long IVSimilar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-11
0.8%
Collin Hill sacked by Dalton Fields for a loss of 11 yards to the ColSt 10Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 19
OWN 10
0
0.7%
Hayden Hunt punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 31
-2
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:17
Brian Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
-17.7
TD · Q2 1:04
Collin Hill pass intercepted for a TD Chase Appleby return for 55 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
-16.6
TD · Q3 0:07
Josh Allen run for 18 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com