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IDHO

Idaho 33 at UNLV 30

UNLV
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:12 · Evan Pantels punt for 37 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 120Pregame prior+11.0Home team on offense−4.7Score differential−1.3Garbage-time factor−1.9Time remaining−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:58: Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +11.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 6:14: Matt Linehan run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +33.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:09: Lexington Thomas run for 55 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +39.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Evan Pantels 23 Yd Field Goal — UNLV win probability +17.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Callen Hightower 11 Yd pass from Matt Linehan — IDHO win probability +59.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 7IDHO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:06IDHO 4th & 13 at IDHO 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:24UNLV 4th & 3 at IDHO 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    78.7%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    78.2%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:41IDHO 4th & 7 at UNLV 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:56UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−<0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:57IDHO 4th & 18 at IDHO 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:48IDHO 4th & 2 at UNLV 23, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.1%−0.5
    70% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:45IDHO 4th & 8 at UNLV 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−8.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:05UNLV 4th & 8 at IDHO 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−1.8
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−12.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:12UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−1.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:31IDHO 4th & 2 at UNLV 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    43.8%−4.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−4.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:31IDHO 4th & 12 at UNLV 38, up 3
    Close callPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    45.7%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:29UNLV 4th & 4 at IDHO 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−3.2
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−18.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:05IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:46UNLV 4th & 6 at IDHO 43, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.5 ptsPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    57.1%−2.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IDHO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:30IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:04UNLV Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:58IDHO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:59UNLV Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:14IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:09UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.5%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
81.6%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 12 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
81.6%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 29
0
81.6%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+8
81.6%
Johnny Stanton run for 8 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
81.6%
Evan Pantels punt for 34 yds, downed at the Idaho 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
81.1%
Denzal Brantley run for 3 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+10
81.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 10 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
81.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 39Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 13
OWN 39
0
81.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 13
OWN 39
0
81.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
81.2%
Austin Rehkow punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3INT TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:4581% → 79%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
80.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+31
79.3%
Johnny Stanton pass intercepted for a TD Kaden Elliss return for 31 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 53 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+46
79.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 46 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
79.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the Idaho 35Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+6
79.7%
Johnny Stanton run for 6 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
79.6%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 3
OPP 29
0
79.4%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete, broken up by Tueni LupeamanuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
78.0%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+16
77.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 16 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
77.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
77.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
77.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete, broken up by Mark FinauSimilar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
77.9%
Austin Rehkow punt for 43 yds, downed at the UNLV 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
77.1%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
77.1%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 5Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+3
76.9%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 4
OWN 8
0
76.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 46 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for no gain to the Idaho 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
75.1%
Matt Linehan sacked by Mark Finau for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 43Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
75.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson, broken up by Torry McTyerSimilar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 13
OWN 43
0
75.7%
Denzal Brantley run for no gain to the Idaho 43Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 13
OWN 43
-5
76.0%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (D.J. Hampton) to the Idaho 38Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 18
OWN 38
0
76.0%
Austin Rehkow punt for 56 yds, downed at the UNLV 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8INT
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:1975% → 73%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
74.8%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 6Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+25
74.8%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 25 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
75.0%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 8 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+20
75.6%
Johnny Stanton run for 20 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
75.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+1
76.0%
Johnny Stanton run for 1 yd to the Idaho 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
73.1%
Johnny Stanton pass intercepted Kaden Elliss return for no gain to the Idaho 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:0729% → 32%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
71.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-2
70.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+10
71.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 10 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
70.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 8 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Jay'Onn Myles) to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-9
70.1%
Matt Linehan sacked by Jason Fao for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 40 IDAHO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 19
OPP 40
0
70.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 19
OPP 40
+17
71.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 17 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+40
68.0%
Austin Rehkow 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:4468% → 75%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
67.7%
Darren Woods Jr. run for 27 yds to the Idaho 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
69.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
69.2%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the Idaho 28Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+11
68.5%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 11 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
69.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 14 yds to the Idaho 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0628% → 42%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
71.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 22Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
72.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 12 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
71.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
71.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 16 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
70.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
70.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 14 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
69.5%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Hightower, C, PENALTY LV personal foul (BALDWIN, D.) 15 yards to the LV19, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
69.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+7
69.3%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
69.3%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Watson, Deon, PENALTY LV offside (BAKER, Dalton) 4 yards to the LV4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
57.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:4860% → 70%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
60.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 9 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+10
61.2%
Darren Woods Jr. run for 10 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
62.2%
Johnny Stanton run for 18 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
62.2%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
62.2%
Johnny Stanton run for 7 yds to the Idaho 8Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
61.3%
David Greene run for 2 yds to the Idaho 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
62.2%
Johnny Stanton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 8 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (Kevin Shelton) to the Idaho 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.1%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Marc Philippi for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:2735% → 36%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-4
64.9%
Matt Linehan sacked by Salanoa-Alo Wily for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 28Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
66.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 11 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
63.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
64.1%
Matt Linehan run for 4 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:1036% → 45%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
64.2%
Duckworth, A rush for 1 yard to the IDAHO27 (LOTULELEI, Tau;VALOAGA, J.), PENALTY LV offside (BALDWIN, D.) 5 yards to the IDAHO31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 5
OWN 31
+3
63.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+37
63.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 37 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
60.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+8
60.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 8 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
60.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
60.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
62.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Denzal Brantley, broken up by Torry McTyerSimilar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
55.1%
Austin Rehkow 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:3658% → 61%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
57.8%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 6 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+26
58.5%
Johnny Stanton run for 26 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
61.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+1
61.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the Idaho 39Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+7
61.3%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
63.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+11
63.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 11 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
63.1%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
63.1%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr., broken up by D.J. HamptonSimilar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
61.4%
Johnny Stanton run for no gain to the Idaho 15Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
61.1%
Evan Pantels 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 61 yds · 0:0044% → 48%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Jay'Onn MylesSimilar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
56.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+9
55.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 9 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+41
53.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 41 yds to the UNLV 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
51.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 6 yds to the UNLV 4 Aaron Duckworth fumbled, forced by LaKeith Walls, recovered by UNLV Jason FaoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0057% → 54%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
56.5%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 3Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 11
OWN 3
0
56.3%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 11
OWN 3
+4
54.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 7
OWN 7
-2
53.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 37 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 0:0050% → 45%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
49.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
49.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Ryan McAleenanSimilar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+8
51.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 8 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+2
52.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
47.8%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Watson, Deon, PENALTY IDAHO illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY LV pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
49.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
47.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-5
50.2%
IDAHO Penalty, substitution infraction (Callen Hightower) to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 12
OPP 38
0
51.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete, broken up by Mark Finau IDAHO Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
54.6%
Austin Rehkow punt for 30 yds, downed at the UNLV 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19FG
15 plays · 85 yds · 6:3153% → 63%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
53.2%
Johnny Stanton run for 3 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+12
53.5%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Marc Philippi for 12 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
54.1%
THOMAS, L. rush for 6 yards to the LV29 (Hall, Ed), PENALTY LV holding (THOMAS, L.) 4 yards to the LV19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 14
OWN 19
-1
53.7%
Johnny Stanton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+4
53.5%
Johnny Stanton run for 4 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+17
51.8%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 17 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
55.8%
STANTON, Johnny pass incomplete to BOYD, Devonte, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Hampton, D.J.) 11 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+11
59.0%
Charles Williams run for 11 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
59.5%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+9
59.4%
Johnny Stanton run for 9 yds to the Idaho 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
61.8%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Trevor Kanteman for 15 yds to the Idaho 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
61.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the Idaho 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
61.8%
Johnny Stanton run for 4 yds to the Idaho 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
59.1%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Andrew Price UNLV Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
63.4%
Evan Pantels 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:0944% → 84%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+33
56.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 33 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
51.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the UNLV 36Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+10
51.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 10 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
49.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 4 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+15
49.1%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Hightower, C, PENALTY LV pass interference (MYLES, Jay'Onn) 15 yards to the LV7, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
15.9%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:0125% → 64%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
25.1%
Johnny Stanton run for 2 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+26
24.6%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 26 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
64.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 55 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0046% → 47%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
53.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 6 yds to the Idaho 18Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+7
53.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 7 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
52.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 10 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
50.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 6 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
48.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen Hightower, broken up by Troy HawthorneSimilar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
48.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent Cowan, broken up by Torry McTyerSimilar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
52.6%
Austin Rehkow punt for 46 yds , Mekhi Stevenson returns for no gain to the UNLV 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 48 yds · 1:2657% → 58%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
56.6%
Johnny Stanton run for 4 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+14
57.0%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Andrew Price for 14 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
58.2%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 12 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
60.4%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 9 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
62.5%
Johnny Stanton run for 5 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
63.2%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
62.5%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 4 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
62.1%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
57.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 40 yds, downed at the Idaho 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
49.8%
Matt Linehan run for 3 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
64.7%
Johnny Stanton run for 17 yds to the Idaho 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
64.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the Idaho 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
64.7%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Lexington ThomasSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
62.4%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
79.4%
Evan Pantels 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 26TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 89%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent CowanSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
72.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+8
76.2%
Matt Linehan run for 8 yds to the UNLV 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
70.9%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 11Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
11.0%
Callen Hightower 11 Yd pass from Matt Linehan Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Callen Hightower 11 Yd pass from Matt Linehan
-59.9
TD · Q4 5:09
Lexington Thomas run for 55 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)
+39.4
TD · Q4 6:14
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
-33.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com