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SJSU

San José State 10 at Iowa State 44

ISU
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Michael Carrizosa punt for 41 yds , Trever Ryen returns for 36 yds to the IowSt 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Home team on offense+2.0Score differential+0.5Pregame prior+13.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:32: Mike Warren run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +6.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:47: Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ISU win probability +12.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:35: Joel Lanning pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 49 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:19: Josh Love pass complete to Tim Crawley for 15 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:51: Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4SJSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 22 at SJSU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:46ISU 4th & 1 at SJSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    66.8%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:40SJSU 4th & 3 at ISU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:24SJSU 4th & 5 at ISU 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:53ISU 4th & 10 at SJSU 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00SJSU 4th & 9 at SJSU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:17SJSU 4th & 18 at SJSU 45, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 32, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:19ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 46, up 20
    Close callPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:51SJSU 4th & 11 at SJSU 36, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:39SJSU 4th & 11 at ISU 45, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:40ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:32ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:47ISU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:35ISU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:19SJSU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:51ISU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:45ISU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
68.0%
Deontae Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
68.0%
Josh Love sacked by Brian Mills for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 18 Josh Love fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 18
-5
68.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 13Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 13
+25
68.0%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 46 yds , Trever Ryen returns for 25 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:0668% → 69%
Q1 12:46
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+3
67.9%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
68.1%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
68.1%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+6
68.0%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Trever Ryen for 6 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
68.1%
Mike Warren run for 5 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
69.4%
Allen Lazard 17 Yd pass from Joel Lanning (Cole Netten Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3FG
18 plays · 70 yds · 7:1631% → 33%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
68.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 11 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
68.7%
Bailey Gaither run for 1 yd to the SJSt 37Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+15
68.7%
Deontae Cooper run for 15 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
68.4%
Deontae Cooper run for 9 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-1
68.4%
Deontae Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+2
68.4%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
68.4%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
68.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Deontae CooperSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+4
68.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Billy Freeman for 4 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+7
68.7%
Zamore Zigler run for 7 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
68.2%
Zamore Zigler run for 11 yds to the IowSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
68.2%
Zamore Zigler run for 11 yds to the IowSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
68.2%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the IowSt 1Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.2%
Zamore Zigler run for no gain to the IowSt 1Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
68.7%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 5Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
67.1%
Bryce Crawford 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
67.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Mike Warren for 38 yds Mike Warren fumbled, forced by Andre Chachere, recovered by SJSt Dakari Monroe , return for 16 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
67.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+27
66.8%
Josh Love pass intercepted Jomal Wiltz return for 27 yds to the IOWAST 30 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2569% → 70%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
68.9%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-5
68.9%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
68.4%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Trever RyenSimilar
Q1 0:53
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+49
70.1%
Cole Netten 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:4830% → 30%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
70.0%
Bailey Gaither run for 5 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
69.6%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+6
69.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 6 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
69.5%
Zamore Zigler run for 5 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
68.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
69.0%
Zamore Zigler run for 2 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
68.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 2 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
68.9%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-1
69.4%
Josh Love sacked by JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+36
70.3%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 41 yds , Trever Ryen returns for 36 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 1:3872% → 79%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
72.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Mike Warren for 3 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+20
72.5%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 20 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
72.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Carson Epps for 6 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+8
72.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Carson Epps for 8 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
72.7%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Carson Epps, broken up by Andre ChachereSimilar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
72.7%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Mike WarrenSimilar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+13
72.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 13 yds to the SJSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.9%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9INT
12 plays · 54 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
76.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 19 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
76.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for no gain to the SJSt 44Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+10
76.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Tim Crawley for 10 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
75.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Brian PeavySimilar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
75.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+13
75.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Justin Holmes for 13 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
74.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Justin Holmes for 15 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
74.4%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the IowSt 11Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-5
74.4%
Josh Love sacked by Jhaustin Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 16Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 12
OPP 16
-5
75.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Billy Freeman) to the IowSt 21Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 17
OPP 21
+11
75.9%
Josh Love pass intercepted Jarnor Jones return for 11 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:1979% → 93%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
78.9%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+35
78.8%
Jacob Park run for 35 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
80.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 9 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+4
80.1%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
80.1%
Jacob Park pass complete to Justin Chandler for 1 yd to the SJSt 23Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
93.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 1:309% → 8%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tim Crawley, broken up by Evrett EdwardsSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
90.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 13 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
90.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tim Crawley, broken up by D'Andre PayneSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
90.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Tim Crawley for 15 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
89.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Jomal WiltzSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-6
89.9%
Josh Love sacked by J.D. Waggoner for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 47Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 16
OWN 47
-2
90.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Deontae Cooper for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 45Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 18
OWN 45
+55
91.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 38 , Trever Ryen returns for 55 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.5%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
93.5%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 5 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
93.4%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Dondre Daley, broken up by Andre ChachereSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
93.0%
Colin Downing punt for 37 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for no gain to the SJSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
93.2%
Deontae Cooper run for 9 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+4
93.1%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
93.3%
Josh Love pass intercepted Brian Peavy return for 4 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 0:4495% → 99%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
94.9%
Joel Lanning run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
94.8%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Carson Epps, broken up by Nick OregliaSimilar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+49
98.8%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 49 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:111% → 6%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
98.7%
Zamore Zigler run for 15 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.7%
Zamore Zigler run for 4 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
98.6%
Zamore Zigler run for 2 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+28
98.6%
Bailey Gaither run for 13 yds to the IOWAST 45 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Kamari Cotton-Moya) to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.5%
Zamore Zigler run for 5 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+10
98.4%
Zamore Zigler run for 10 yds to the IowSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
94.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Tim Crawley for 15 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
95.8%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 12 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
95.6%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
95.7%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
95.5%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the IowSt 46Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+4
95.2%
Colin Downing punt for 50 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 4 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17INT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
95.8%
Zamore Zigler run for 5 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 5
OWN 13
-3
95.6%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 10Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+20
95.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Justin Holmes for 20 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
95.4%
Zamore Zigler run for 4 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+2
95.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Zamore Zigler for 2 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+9
95.4%
Zamore Zigler run for 9 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:3597% → 100%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
97.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Mike Warren for 13 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
97.0%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Andre ChachereSimilar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
97.0%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
97.1%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 5 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
97.1%
Mike Warren run for 8 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+14
97.1%
Mike Warren run for 14 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
98.1%
Park, Jacob pass incomplete to Lazard, Allen, PENALTY SJ pass interference (CHACHERE, Andre) 15 yards to the SJ20, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
98.1%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the SJSt 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
-5
98.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Patrick Scoggins) to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+4
98.1%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+14
98.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Carson Epps for 14 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Zamore Zigler run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
Josh Love run for 5 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.8%
Zamore Zigler run for 5 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Billy FreemanSimilar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.8%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 36Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 42 yds, downed at the IowSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
99.8%
Mike Warren run for 18 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
99.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 28 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.8%
Mike Warren run for 7 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+5
99.8%
Mike Warren run for 5 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.8%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+2
99.8%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 16 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Malik Roberson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+31
99.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 31 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
99.9%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Billy Freeman) to the IowSt 49Similar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Malik Roberson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Thai Cottrell, broken up by Jarnor JonesSimilar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22END OF GAME
11 plays · 61 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Mike Warren run for 7 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Mitchell Harger run for 8 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Mitchell Harger run for 5 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.9%
Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd to the IowSt 47Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-5
99.9%
Kempt, Kyle pass complete to Anderson, Cole for 13 yards to the SJ40 (KELLY, Jeremy), PENALTY ISU ineligible downfield on pass (Seda, Brian) 5 yards to the ISU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Orion Salters for 3 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+12
99.9%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Clifford Fernandez for 12 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
Kyle Kempt run for 7 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+17
99.9%
David Montgomery run for 17 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:47
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+12.9
TD · Q2 9:32
Mike Warren run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q3 8:19
Josh Love pass complete to Tim Crawley for 15 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com