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NEV

Nevada 14 at Purdue 24

PUR
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:11 · Bilal Marshall pass incomplete to Gregory Phillips
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+3.2Home team on offense+6.8Garbage-time factor+3.1Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:56: Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 6 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK) — NEV win probability +9.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:20: David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 48 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +16.4 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 8:03: Markell Jones run for 5 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +12.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:16: Markell Jones run for 13 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST down — PUR win probability +11.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:27: Timeout NEVADA, clock 01:27 — PUR win probability +8.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4NEV made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 1 at NEV 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:10PUR 4th & 5 at NEV 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−4.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:10NEV 4th & 22 at NEV 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−1.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:17NEV 4th & 7 at PUR 33, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%−0.1
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−1.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:20PUR 4th & 1 at NEV 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    49.8%−4.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:03NEV 4th & 14 at NEV 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−3.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00NEV 4th & 17 at NEV 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−3.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:11PUR 4th & 9 at NEV 33, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.6%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    70.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    68.2%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:16NEV 4th & 10 at PUR 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−6.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−20.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NEV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:00NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:56NEV Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:20PUR Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:03PUR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:17PUR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1INT
13 plays · 49 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
63.7%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+8
63.7%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 8 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
63.7%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
63.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
63.7%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+3
63.7%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+6
63.7%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
63.7%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Nevad 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
63.7%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+20
63.7%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 20 yds to the Nevad 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
63.7%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Nevad 4Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+35
63.7%
David Blough pass intercepted Jaden Sawyer return for 35 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 4:4737% → 42%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
63.1%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 7 yds to the Nevad 46Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+1
62.9%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the Nevad 47Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
63.0%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 4 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
62.9%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+4
62.9%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+18
62.9%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 18 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
62.7%
James Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
62.8%
Ty Gangi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+11
62.9%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 11 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
58.0%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 15 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 6:5059% → 60%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
59.3%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 4 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+2
59.4%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+15
59.1%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 15 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
60.1%
Cameron Posey run for 1 yd to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+7
60.0%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 7 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-11
60.4%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 4 yds to the Prdue 43 PURDUE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Bilal Marshall) to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
60.0%
PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+15
59.3%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 15 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+15
60.3%
Markell Jones run for 15 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
60.5%
Tario Fuller run for no gain to the Nevad 38Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
60.4%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+13
58.0%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 13 yds to the Nevad 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
59.0%
Richie Worship run for 3 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
59.0%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
58.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
60.2%
J.D. Dellinger 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 16 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
59.3%
James Butler run for 6 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
58.9%
Tyler Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+8
59.5%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 8 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
58.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
58.3%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 7 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
58.4%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
50
0
57.9%
Tyler Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
50
-15
58.0%
Tyler Stewart sacked by Evan Panfil for a loss of 15 yards to the Nevad 35Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 25
OWN 35
+3
60.1%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 22
OWN 38
0
60.3%
Alex Boy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Malik Kimbrough at the Prdue 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
57.7%
Markell Jones run for 9 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
59.0%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 3 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
57.9%
David Blough sacked by Korey Rush for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+1
57.4%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20 Markell Jones fumbled, forced by Asauni Rufus, recovered by Nevad Jordan SilvaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 1:1947% → 56%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
53.0%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 6 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+8
53.0%
Tyler Stewart run for 8 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
44.0%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 6 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
45.1%
Markell Jones run for 20 yds to the Prdue 49 Markell Jones fumbled, forced by Asauni Rufus, recovered by Nevad Dameon BaberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:2956% → 56%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
44.2%
Ahki Muhammad run for 9 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
44.1%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
44.2%
Tyler Stewart sacked by Eddy Wilson for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+8
44.6%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 8 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
43.1%
Tyler Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 7
OPP 33
0
44.2%
Alex Boy punt for 33 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:4243% → 57%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
43.4%
Tario Fuller run for 3 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
43.5%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 6 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+9
43.4%
Tario Fuller run for 9 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
44.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo Yancey, broken up by Travis WilsonSimilar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
44.4%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+13
40.8%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 13 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
57.3%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 48 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10END OF HALF
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0048% → 49%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.0%
Tyler Stewart run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
51.9%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
51.9%
Tyler Stewart run for 6 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
50.9%
James Butler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
51.8%
James Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+12
52.4%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Andrew Celis for 12 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
51.6%
Tyler Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
52.0%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson, broken up by Markus BaileySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+6
53.2%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 6 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 32
+42
53.6%
Alex Boy punt for 59 yds , Malik Kimbrough returns for 42 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12TD
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:1756% → 71%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
55.9%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 6 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
56.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+3
55.6%
David Blough run for 3 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
54.0%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
56.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
55.9%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 9 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
55.8%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
57.8%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 28Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 12
OPP 28
0
57.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 12
OPP 28
+17
54.9%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 17 yds to the Nevad 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
57.8%
David Blough run for 6 yds to the Nevad 5Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
70.7%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0036% → 33%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
64.5%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Andrew Celis for 5 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
64.1%
Tyler Stewart run for 2 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+4
65.0%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Andrew Celis for 4 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
64.1%
Tyler Stewart sacked by Eddy Wilson and Jake Replogle for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 23Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 17
OWN 23
-3
65.1%
Tyler Stewart sacked by Evan Panfil for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 20
OWN 20
+6
66.4%
Tyler Stewart run for 6 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 14
OWN 26
+7
67.3%
Alex Boy punt for 45 yds , Malik Kimbrough returns for 7 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14FUMBLE
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:0068% → 71%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
67.5%
Markell Jones run for 9 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
69.3%
David Blough run for no gain to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+8
68.3%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
69.9%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 4 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+16
70.0%
David Blough pass complete to Brian Lankford-Johnson for 16 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
71.0%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 4 yds to the Nevad 23Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+20
71.0%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 20 yds to the Nevad 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
71.0%
David Blough run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 5Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
71.0%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 37 Brian Lankford-Johnson fumbled, forced by Jaxson Kincaide, recovered by Nevad Dameon Baber , return for 19 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:2835% → 31%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
64.9%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
65.4%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 1 yd to the Nevad 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-8
66.3%
Tyler Stewart sacked by Austin Larkin for a loss of 8 yards to the Nevad 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 30
+2
69.4%
Alex Boy punt for 47 yds , Malik Kimbrough returns for 2 yds to the Prdue 32 PURDUE Penalty, illegal block (Tario Fuller) to the Prdue 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
70.1%
Markell Jones run for 16 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
70.9%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+10
70.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 10 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
72.8%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+7
73.1%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 7 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
74.0%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 13 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
75.0%
Tario Fuller run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 35Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+2
74.8%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
73.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 9
OPP 33
0
70.2%
Bilal Marshall pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17MISSED FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 5:0334% → 33%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
66.3%
Ty Gangi run for 4 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
64.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to James Butler for 7 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-8
63.7%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the Nevad 46 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive holding (Akeel Lynch) to the Nevad 36Similar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 18
OWN 36
+16
67.3%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 16 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+13
61.3%
James Butler run for 13 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
60.2%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
59.7%
Tyler Stewart run for 3 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+9
61.7%
James Butler run for 9 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
59.7%
Tyler Stewart run for 15 yds to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
59.7%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Wyatt DempsSimilar
Q4 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
59.7%
Tyler Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 5Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
63.7%
James Butler run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 10Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
67.4%
Brent Zuzo 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:5979% → 96%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
78.7%
Markell Jones run for 13 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
79.2%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+9
80.7%
David Yancey run for 9 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
81.6%
Richie Worship run for 1 yd to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+2
81.2%
Richie Worship run for 2 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+51
96.3%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 51 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19END OF GAME
11 plays · 48 yds · 1:014% → 4%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
96.4%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jarred Gipson for 9 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+4
96.2%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 4 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
96.3%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 7 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+14
95.7%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 14 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
94.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
95.0%
TEAM pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 5 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+9
96.0%
Tyler Stewart run for 9 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
95.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
95.6%
TEAM pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson, broken up by Myles NorwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:20
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 48 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+16.4
TD · Q3 8:03
Markell Jones run for 5 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+12.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:16
Markell Jones run for 13 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST down
+11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com