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WYO

Wyoming 24 at Eastern Michigan 27

EMU
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2016 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+5.8EMU 59.2%Paul Fricano 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 20 · Q3 8:46
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:46 · Paul Fricano 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense+5.1Pregame prior−3.2Garbage-time factor+0.6Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:05: Brian Hill run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +9.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:49: Breck Turner run for 50 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +8.1 pts (now 40%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:18: Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 7 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +14.2 pts (now 54%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:45: Todd Porter pass intercepted for a TD Logan Wilson return for 27 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +29.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:35: Ian Eriksen run for 15 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +49.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00WYO 4th & 5 at EMU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:40EMU 4th & 8 at WYO 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:40WYO 4th & 20 at WYO 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−1.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:12WYO 4th & 6 at EMU 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:21WYO 4th & 1 at EMU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%−1.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:44WYO 4th & 4 at EMU 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:58EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:46EMU 4th & 6 at WYO 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−10.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:40WYO 4th & 6 at EMU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:59EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 48, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00EMU 4th & 6 at WYO 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    62.9%−1.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:37EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:13WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 48, up 4
    Close callPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:59EMU 4th & 16 at EMU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−3.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:10WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−3.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:25EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 45, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:24WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:05WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:49EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:18EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:45WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:35EMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−3.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
41.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 13 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
41.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 10 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
41.8%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+5
41.8%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 46
-1
41.8%
Josh Allen sacked by Maxx Crosby and Chris Hendricks for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
41.8%
Ethan Wood punt for 40 yds, downed at the EMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2INT TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:5843% → 42%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
42.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+7
42.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 7 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
42.7%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 6 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+10
42.7%
Todd Porter run for 10 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
42.7%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
42.7%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+13
42.6%
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 13 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
43.0%
Todd Porter pass complete to Isaac Holder for 6 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+4
43.0%
Blake Banham run for 4 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
43.0%
Blake Banham run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
43.0%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+66
42.0%
Todd Porter pass intercepted for a TD Marcus Epps return for 66 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3FG
7 plays · 61 yds · 1:4341% → 43%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+27
41.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 27 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+32
41.5%
Todd Porter pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 32 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
42.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
42.4%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
42.0%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
43.1%
Paul Fricano 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.9%
ALLEN, Josh pass complete to MAULHARDT, Jake for 5 yards to the WY30 (RACHWAL, Kyle), PENALTY EMU offside (CROSBY, Maxx) 5 yards to the WY30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+1
42.5%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
42.5%
ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to GENTRY, Tanner, PENALTY WY holding (CUMMINGS, Ryan) 10 yards to the WY21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
43.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-8
43.3%
Josh Allen sacked by Jeremiah Harris for a loss of 8 yards to the Wyom 15 WYOMING Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
43.7%
Ethan Wood punt for 40 yds, downed at the EMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
44.1%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
44.2%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+11
43.2%
Todd Porter pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 11 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
44.4%
Todd Porter pass intercepted Antonio Hull return for 25 yds to the EMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:1358% → 61%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
42.0%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
42.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 6 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+15
42.2%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
41.5%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
41.7%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+4
42.2%
Josh Allen run for 4 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q1 0:12
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
39.3%
Cooper Rothe 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0740% → 41%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
40.2%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+25
40.0%
Todd Porter pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 25 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
41.7%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+4
41.4%
Todd Porter run for 4 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+1
41.4%
Todd Porter pass intercepted Marcus Epps return for 1 yd to the Wyom 43 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:1661% → 72%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
39.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 11 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
38.2%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+11
38.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 11 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
37.9%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
37.8%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
38.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
38.8%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-7
37.7%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the EMich 29 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 17
OPP 39
+16
38.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 16 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+3
37.7%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
37.7%
ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to GENTRY, Tanner, QB hurry by O'CONNOR, Pat, PENALTY EMU pass interference (CALHOUN, Vince) 15 yards to the EMU5, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
28.3%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:0832% → 40%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
31.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+6
31.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
50
+50
40.0%
Breck Turner run for 50 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0063% → 64%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
36.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 8 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-4
35.9%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+14
36.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 14 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
35.4%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 6
50
+2
35.1%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
35.5%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by DaQuan PaceSimilar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
36.4%
Ethan Wood punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1537% → 34%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
37.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+2
37.1%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
34.8%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
34.2%
Austin Barnes punt for 43 yds, downed at the Wyom 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
33.4%
Austin Conway run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+8
35.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 8 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+6
33.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
50
+2
32.8%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+1
32.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 1 yd Tanner Gentry fumbled, forced by Vince Calhoun, recovered by EMich Kevin McGillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:1438% → 54%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
37.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 8
50
+9
38.2%
Todd Porter pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 9 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+20
38.6%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 20 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
40.0%
Todd Porter run for 14 yds to the Wyom 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
54.2%
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 7 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
45.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 6:1451% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
51.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
50.1%
Todd Porter run for 9 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
52.6%
Todd Porter run for 1 yd to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+14
52.0%
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 14 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
53.9%
Todd Porter run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-2
53.8%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+17
51.8%
Todd Porter pass complete to Isaac Holder for 17 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
54.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+11
54.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 11 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
54.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+2
54.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
53.4%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Dan BuschmanSimilar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
59.2%
Paul Fricano 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0044% → 45%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
56.3%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+11
55.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 11 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
54.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 10 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
52.7%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
52.4%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
52.8%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
55.4%
Ethan Wood punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:0059% → 60%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
58.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 10Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+30
58.7%
Todd Porter run for 30 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
61.6%
Todd Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
60.2%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Antoine Porter, broken up by Marcus EppsSimilar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+9
58.5%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 9 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+2
60.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 33 yds , Austin Conway returns for 2 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18MISSED FG
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:5341% → 48%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+42
58.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 42 yds to the EASTMICH 37 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+20
54.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 20 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
52.3%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+3
52.3%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
52.3%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q3 3:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
52.3%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the EMich 6Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
54.0%
Josh Allen run for 5 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 0
OPP 1
+5
55.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (5 Yards) to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 0
OPP 6
+22
52.1%
Cooper Rothe 22 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jeremiah HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:5961% → 63%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
61.0%
Todd Porter pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 40 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
65.4%
Todd Porter pass complete to Isaac Holder for 5 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
67.0%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Nigel KilbySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
-1
65.3%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 36
-11
62.6%
Todd Porter sacked by Kevin Prosser for a loss of 11 yards to the Wyom 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:0042% → 44%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
58.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 24 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
55.4%
Josh Allen pass incomplete, broken up by Oddie GrangerSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
56.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 7 yds Tanner Gentry fumbled, forced by Derric Williams, recovered by EMich Ikie CalderonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21INT TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:4166% → 37%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
66.3%
Todd Porter run for 1 yd to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+27
37.2%
Todd Porter pass intercepted for a TD Logan Wilson return for 27 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0038% → 35%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
37.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
37.9%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to John NiupalauSimilar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+2
36.2%
Todd Porter run for 2 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
35.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 58 yds, downed at the Wyom 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
33.1%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+2
32.7%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+8
33.9%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
32.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 19 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
29.5%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
30.4%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Brian HillSimilar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+5
32.0%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
32.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 37 yds, downed at the EMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
35.9%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
35.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+22
33.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 22 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
37.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
40.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
39.7%
Brogan Roback run for 3 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
41.3%
Brogan Roback sacked by Conner Cain for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 17
OWN 42
-15
37.2%
ROBACK, Brogan pass complete to NIUPALAU, Johnnie for 44 yards to the WY14 (EPPS, Marcus), PENALTY EMU pass interference (NIUPALAU, Johnnie) 15 yards to the EMU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 32
OWN 27
0
35.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Ian Eriksen, broken up by D.J. MaySimilar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 32
OWN 27
+16
33.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 16 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 16
OWN 43
0
33.6%
Austin Barnes punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0077% → 74%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
22.8%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 5
OWN 15
-1
22.9%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 14Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
24.6%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
26.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:0236% → 89%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
35.5%
Brogan Roback run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+15
36.1%
ROBACK, Brogan pass incomplete to BAILEY, Sergio, PENALTY WY pass interference (GAFFORD, Rico) 15 yards to the WY29, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
39.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 9 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+5
39.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
89.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 15 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27INT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0625% → 24%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
74.7%
Josh Allen sacked by Pat O'Connor and Luke Maclean for a loss of 8 yards to the Wyom 17Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 18
OWN 17
-2
76.5%
Josh Allen pass intercepted Vince Calhoun return for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:5490% → 93%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
90.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
91.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
90.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
93.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:1212% → 12%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete, broken up by Pat O'ConnorSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
88.1%
Josh Allen run for 7 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+8
88.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 8 yds to the Wyom 26 lat. to Joseph Parker for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 26 lat. to C.J. Johnson for no gain C.J. Johnson fumbled, recovered by WyomSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:35
Ian Eriksen run for 15 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
+49.9
TD · Q4 12:45
Todd Porter pass intercepted for a TD Logan Wilson return for 27 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
-29.1
TD · Q2 0:18
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 7 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
+14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com