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UCD

UC Davis 22 at Wyoming 45

WYO
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadUCD aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreUCD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:49 · Ethan Wood punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Isiah Olave at the UCDav 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Pregame prior+13.5Home team on offense+34.3Score differential+26.8Garbage-time factor+10.5Blowout margin+11.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q2 14:15: Josh Allen run for a loss of 8 yards Josh Allen fumbled, forced by Zak Pettit, recovered by UCDav Keleen Culberson , return for 21 yds, (Matt Blair PAT MISSED) — UCD win probability +2.4 pts (now 12%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:24: Brian Hill run for 59 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +2.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:56: Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 39 yds for a TD UC DAVIS Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +4.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:25: Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 37 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +1.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:14: Ben Scott pass complete to Keelan Doss for 25 yds for a TD, (Matt Blair PAT MISSED) — UCD win probability +2.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UCD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UCD made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:01UCD 4th & 9 at UCD 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:12WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:24UCD 4th & 3 at WYO 24, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:24UCD 4th & 10 at WYO 45, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:03UCD 4th & 10 at WYO 36, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.0%
    42% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:14WYO 4th & 11 at UCD 38, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:50UCD 4th & 10 at UCD 3, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:27WYO 4th & 1 at UCD 4, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    65% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00UCD 4th & 4 at UCD 31, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:49WYO 4th & 7 at UCD 45, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:12UCD 4th & 3 at WYO 3, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:12WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 40, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UCD made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:11WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:01WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:24WYO Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:56WYO Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:25WYO Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:14UCD Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:52WYO Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:12UCD Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4992% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.0%
Austin Conway run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+20
92.0%
Brian Hill run for 20 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
92.0%
Brian Hill run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+17
92.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 17 yds to the UCDav 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
92.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the UCDav 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
92.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+11
92.0%
Shaun Wick run for 11 yds to the UCDav 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
92.0%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the UCDav 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-1
92.0%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCDav 16Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+16
91.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 16 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 2INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
91.3%
Ben Scott pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
91.3%
Manusamoa Luuga run for 1 yd to the UCDav 20Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+32
91.4%
Ben Scott pass intercepted Rico Gafford return for 32 yds to the UCDav 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.1%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.8%
Ben Scott pass incomplete to Keelan Doss, broken up by Robert PriesterSimilar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.8%
Manusamoa Luuga run for 1 yd to the UCDav 26Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
91.8%
Ben Scott pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
91.8%
Colby Wadman punt for 33 yds, downed at the Wyom 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4292% → 92%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
92.2%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
92.2%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
92.4%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
92.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCDav 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 6FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 6:398% → 10%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
91.9%
Ben Scott pass complete to Chris Martin for 5 yds to the UCDav 24Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
91.8%
Manusamoa Luuga run for 2 yds to the UCDav 26Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+4
91.8%
Ben Scott pass complete to Chris Martin for 4 yds to the UCDav 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
91.8%
Manusamoa Luuga run for 2 yds to the UCDav 32Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-5
91.8%
UC DAVIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCDav 27Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+7
91.9%
Ben Scott pass complete to Keelan Doss for 7 yds Keelan Doss fumbled, forced by Marcus Epps, recovered by UCDav Chris SchneiderSimilar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+9
91.9%
Ben Scott pass complete to Keelan Doss for 9 yds to the UCDav 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
91.8%
Ben Scott pass complete to Jared Harrell for 8 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
91.6%
Manusamoa Luuga run for 4 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
91.6%
Ben Scott pass complete to Luke Williams for 14 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
91.5%
Ben Scott pass complete to Ramon Vargas for 2 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+7
91.1%
Ben Scott run for 7 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 1
OPP 22
-2
91.2%
Manusamoa Luuga run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 24Similar
Q1 0:24
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
90.0%
Matt Blair 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7FUMBLE TD
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:0990% → 88%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.2%
Josh Allen run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
90.3%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+21
87.9%
Josh Allen run for a loss of 8 yards Josh Allen fumbled, forced by Zak Pettit, recovered by UCDav Keleen Culberson , return for 21 yds, (Matt Blair PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:5188% → 91%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
88.1%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+16
88.1%
Brian Hill run for 16 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
88.6%
Austin Conway run for no gain to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+59
91.4%
Brian Hill run for 59 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.0%
Ben Scott pass incomplete to Ramon VargasSimilar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
90.1%
Ben Scott pass incomplete to Keelan DossSimilar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
90.3%
Ben Scott pass incomplete to Luke WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
90.5%
Colby Wadman punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10TD
10 plays · 95 yds · 4:4891% → 96%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
90.9%
Shaun Wick run for 11 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
91.1%
Josh Allen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+2
91.0%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+10
90.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 10 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
91.1%
Brian Hill run for 9 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+5
91.5%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
91.5%
Shaun Wick run for 6 yds to the UCDav 48 Shaun Wick fumbled, forced by Zach Jones, recovered by Wyom Ryan CummingsSimilar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-5
91.6%
WYOMING Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+14
91.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Joseph Parker for 14 yds to the UCDav 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
95.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 39 yds for a TD UC DAVIS Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 11MISSED FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 5:537% → 7%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.5%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCDav 26Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
93.6%
Ben Scott pass complete to Ramon Vargas for 6 yds to the UCDav 32Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+19
93.4%
Ben Scott pass complete to Keelan Doss for 19 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
92.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line TEAM fumbled, recovered by UCDav Manusamoa Luuga , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 11
50
+3
93.2%
Manusamoa Luuga run for 3 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+11
93.2%
Ben Scott pass complete to Keelan Doss for 11 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
92.7%
UC DAVIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 15
OPP 41
-7
93.1%
Ben Scott sacked by Taniela Lolohea for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 22
OPP 48
-3
93.5%
Ben Scott pass complete to Manusamoa Luuga for a loss of 3 yards to the UCDav 49Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 25
OWN 49
+15
93.6%
Ben Scott pass complete to Keelan Doss for 15 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+53
93.2%
Matt Blair 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:3896% → 98%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
96.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 17 yds to the UCDav 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
96.3%
Josh Allen run for 10 yds to the UCDav 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
98.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 37 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
98.6%
Manusamoa Luuga run for 6 yds to the UCDav 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 14TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:461% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
98.7%
Manusamoa Luuga run for 3 yds to the UCDav 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Ben Scott pass complete to Ethan Hicks for no gain to the UCDav 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+18
98.7%
Ben Scott pass complete to Keelan Doss for 18 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
98.6%
Ben Scott pass complete to Nehemiah Winston for 24 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
98.4%
Jared Harrell run for 3 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-3
98.4%
Manusamoa Luuga run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+25
96.3%
Ben Scott pass complete to Keelan Doss for 25 yds for a TD, (Matt Blair PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
97.6%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+18
97.7%
Brian Hill run for 18 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
97.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 21 yds to the UCDav 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
97.6%
Shaun Wick run for 4 yds to the UCDav 33Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
97.6%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the UCDav 33Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 6
OPP 33
-5
97.5%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCDav 38Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
97.5%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q3 11:14
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
97.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCDav 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
97.5%
Manusamoa Luuga run for 2 yds to the UCDav 5Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
97.5%
Ben Scott pass incomplete to Dan PlumSimilar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
97.6%
Ben Scott pass incomplete to Keelan DossSimilar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 8
OWN 5
-2
97.6%
UC DAVIS Penalty, delay of game (-2 Yards) to the UCDav 3Similar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 10
OWN 3
+18
97.6%
Colby Wadman punt for 41 yds , Austin Conway returns for 18 yds to the UCDav 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 2:0998% → 100%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
98.0%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the UCDav 20Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+15
98.0%
Brian Hill run for 15 yds to the UCDav 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
98.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the UCDav 3Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Josh Allen run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Ben Scott pass incomplete to Ramon VargasSimilar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-1
99.7%
Manusamoa Luuga run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCDav 27Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 11
OWN 27
-6
99.7%
Ben Scott sacked by Carl Granderson for a loss of 6 yards to the UCDav 24 Ben Scott fumbled, recovered by Wyom Conner Cain , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.8%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the UCDav 19Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+4
99.8%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the UCDav 15Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
99.7%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the UCDav 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
99.8%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the UCDav 11Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+5
99.8%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the UCDav 6Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+2
99.8%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the UCDav 4Similar
Q3 0:27
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+21
99.8%
Cooper Rothe 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:270% → 0%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Ben Scott pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the UCDav 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Ben Scott pass incomplete to Chris MartinSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Colby Wadman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.8%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
99.8%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+9
99.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 9 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.8%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-10
99.8%
ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete, PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the WY36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+3
99.8%
Nico Evans run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+13
99.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Nico Evans for 13 yds to the UCDav 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
99.8%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 12
50
0
99.8%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 12
50
+5
99.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Brian Hill for 5 yds to the UCDav 45Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Ethan Wood punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Isiah Olave at the UCDav 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 22TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 4:580% → 1%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCDav 20Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Manusamoa Luuga run for 8 yds to the UCDav 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
99.9%
Ben Scott pass complete to Corey Collins for 13 yds to the UCDav 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCDav 45Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Ben Scott pass complete to Corey Collins for 1 yd to the UCDav 46Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+19
99.9%
Ben Scott pass incomplete to Jared Harrell, PENALTY WY holding 19 yards to the WY35, 1ST DOWN UCD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Ben Scott pass incomplete to Ramon VargasSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+25
99.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 25 yds to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
99.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the Wyom 3Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Brock Dale pass incomplete to Ethan HicksSimilar
Q4 4:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Brock Dale pass complete to Luke Williams for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Blair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.4%
Nico Evans run for 10 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.4%
Nico Evans run for 2 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
99.4%
Nico Evans run for 3 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-1
99.4%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+20
99.4%
Ethan Wood punt for 35 yds , Isiah Olave returns for 20 yds to the UCDav 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.5%
Mitchell Layton run for 3 yds to the UCDav 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:56
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 39 yds for a TD UC DAVIS Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q2 12:24
Brian Hill run for 59 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+2.8
FUMBLE · Q2 14:15
Josh Allen run for a loss of 8 yards Josh Allen fumbled, forced by Zak Pettit, recovered by UCDav Keleen Culberson , return for 21 yds, (Matt Blair PAT MISSED)
-2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com