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UNM

New Mexico 28 at Rutgers 37

RUTG
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:36 · Michael Cintron punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis Jr. at the NMex 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Home team on offense−5.1Pregame prior+8.0Garbage-time factor−1.2Score differential−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:38: Janarion Grant pass complete to Andre Patton for 21 yds for a TD NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (David Bonagura KICK) — RUTG win probability +5.0 pts (now 55%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:47: Robert Martin run for 80 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK) — RUTG win probability +12.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:11: David Bonagura 41 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +5.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:06: Richard McQuarley run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +20.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 5:30: David Bonagura 33 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +12.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UNM made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:56RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:19UNM 4th & 2 at RUTG 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    41.3%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:43UNM 4th & 1 at RUTG 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    42.6%−0.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:03RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:36RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 48, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:52UNM 4th & 4 at RUTG 38, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−1.5
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:41RUTG 4th & 15 at UNM 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    58.7%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:04UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−2.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:11RUTG 4th & 10 at UNM 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−7.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:05UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:50RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:13UNM 4th & 4 at RUTG 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−1.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−2.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:06RUTG 4th & 15 at UNM 33, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.2 ptsPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−3.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%−2.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:57UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 8, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%−1.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:30RUTG 4th & 9 at UNM 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−2.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−18.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:24UNM 4th & 14 at UNM 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:05RUTG 4th & 4 at UNM 10, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%−0.5
    88% to make
    Punt
    83.4%−7.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:43UNM 4th & 6 at RUTG 15, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.3%−1.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:56UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:36UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:13UNM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:03RUTG Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:38RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:47RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:06UNM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
60.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
-5
60.3%
Daryl Chestnut run for 10 yds to the NMex 41 NEW MEXICO Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the NMex 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
60.3%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+3
60.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
60.3%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 50 yds , Janarion Grant returns for no gain to the Rutgr 19 Janarion Grant fumbled, recovered by NMex Bijon ParkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
59.4%
Daryl Chestnut run for 19 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.6%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
59.6%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
59.6%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
59.5%
Michael Cintron punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4DOWNS
12 plays · 45 yds · 5:1041% → 44%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
59.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+22
59.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
58.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-5
58.8%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+8
58.0%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Matt Quarells for 8 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+3
58.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
57.8%
Daryl Chestnut run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+3
57.8%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Matt Quarells for 3 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
56.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
56.4%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the Rutgr 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
56.5%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+7
56.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 7 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
56.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+3
56.0%
Michael Cintron punt for 39 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 3 yds to the NMex 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:2645% → 51%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
55.4%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
55.5%
Austin Apodaca run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
50
+2
55.2%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
55.2%
Austin Apodaca run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
55.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
55.1%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+36
49.4%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Patrick Reed for 36 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
51.3%
Janarion Grant run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
51.8%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
51.6%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
51.3%
Michael Cintron punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis Jr. at the NMex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:4351% → 52%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
49.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 7 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+52
47.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 52 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
50.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 75 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
48.5%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 3 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
48.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
48.4%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 48Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+2
48.9%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 36 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 2 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 3:2249% → 55%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
48.6%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
-10
48.8%
Grant, Janarion rush for no gain to the RU22, PENALTY RU holding (Muller, Chris) 10 yards to the RU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 16
OWN 12
+13
48.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 13 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+13
48.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 13 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
49.6%
Robert Martin run for 14 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
50.4%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
50.4%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+7
50.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 7 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
50.4%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+15
50.4%
Robert Martin run for 15 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
55.4%
Janarion Grant pass complete to Andre Patton for 21 yds for a TD NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:4150% → 51%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
50.5%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 31Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+25
50.7%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Anu Somoye for 25 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
48.6%
Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
48.2%
Diquon Woodhouse run for no gain to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+1
47.6%
Daryl Chestnut run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
48.8%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
61.5%
Robert Martin run for 80 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -25 yds · 0:0042% → 39%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-8
57.7%
Austin Apodaca sacked by Sebastian Joseph and Julian Pinnix-Odrick for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 18
OWN 25
+4
58.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 14
OWN 29
-15
59.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NMex 14Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 29
OWN 14
-6
59.8%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 8Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 35
OWN 8
+4
61.2%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 33 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 4 yds to the NMex 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0064% → 61%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
64.4%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
64.3%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the NMex 37Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
63.6%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 10
OPP 37
-5
61.6%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NMex 42Similar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
60.9%
Michael Cintron punt for 30 yds, downed at the NMex 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT RETURN TD
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:4542% → 26%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
58.4%
Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+16
58.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 16 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
57.2%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Daryl ChestnutSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
57.4%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+2
58.5%
Dameon Gamblin run for 2 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+69
73.8%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 34 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 69 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17INT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0028% → 32%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
72.4%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Dameon GamblinSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
72.8%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 11 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
71.4%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Matt Quarells for 11 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
69.3%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Patrick ReedSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+12
70.2%
APODACA, Austin pass incomplete to REED, Patrick, PENALTY RU pass interference (Wharton, Isaiah) 12 yards to the RU32, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
67.8%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Patrick Reed, broken up by Julian Pinnix-OdrickSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
67.9%
Austin Apodaca pass intercepted K.J. Gray return for 5 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-5
73.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.1%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
71.2%
Chris Laviano run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-6
70.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Robert Martin for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+2
68.7%
Michael Cintron punt for 32 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 2 yds to the NMex 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
68.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+3
67.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
67.6%
CHESTNUT, Daryl rush for 4 yards to the RU38 (Cioffi, Anthony), PENALTY NM illegal shift 5 yards to the RU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+11
68.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+3
67.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39 Tyrone Owens fumbled, forced by Darnell Davis, recovered by Rutgr Blessuan Austin , return for 13 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 3:4774% → 79%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
73.8%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 12 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
74.8%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+8
73.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 8 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+6
74.1%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the NMex 38 Robert Martin fumbled, forced by Daniel Henry, recovered by Rutgr Robert Martin for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
75.0%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
75.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Nick ArcidiaconoSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+9
74.2%
Josh Hicks run for 9 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
75.3%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-5
75.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 23Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
75.2%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
74.0%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
79.2%
David Bonagura 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
78.7%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Kevin Wilkins for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 23Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 11
OWN 23
-2
78.9%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 21Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+10
80.0%
Austin Apodaca run for 10 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
79.7%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 52 yds , Janarion Grant returns for no gain to the Rutgr 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:3080% → 79%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
80.4%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+5
80.3%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
79.7%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
80.5%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
80.5%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
80.3%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+14
79.4%
Michael Cintron punt for 49 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 14 yds to the NMex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 5:3021% → 38%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
79.2%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+9
79.3%
Austin Apodaca run for 9 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
78.4%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Matt Quarells for 17 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
77.0%
Austin Apodaca run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+4
77.7%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+4
80.2%
Austin Apodaca run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+10
84.6%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Matt Quarells for 10 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
81.2%
Austin Apodaca run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+10
81.8%
Richard McQuarley run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 2
OPP 17
-5
82.5%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+22
61.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 0:0073% → 68%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
73.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
72.7%
Janarion Grant run for no gain to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+12
70.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Robert Martin for 12 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
74.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 5 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+6
75.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 6 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
75.2%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
75.1%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
73.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion Grant, broken up by Daniel HenrySimilar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 10
OPP 28
-5
70.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NMex 33Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 15
OPP 33
0
67.8%
Michael Cintron punt for 32 yds, downed at the NMex 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0032% → 29%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
68.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 4Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+2
68.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 6Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+2
70.5%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 3
OWN 8
+6
71.5%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 33 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 6 yds to the NMex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:1877% → 88%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
76.9%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
76.9%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+1
75.2%
Zach Allen run for 1 yd to the NMex 31Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+15
72.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (Lee Crosby) to the NMex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
76.9%
Zach Allen pass incomplete to Robert Martin, broken up by Alex HartSimilar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
76.9%
Janarion Grant run for 1 yd to the NMex 15Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
75.2%
Zach Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+33
88.0%
David Bonagura 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0017% → 14%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
83.3%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
83.0%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Patrick ReedSimilar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-7
84.4%
Austin Apodaca sacked by Julian Pinnix-Odrick for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 17Similar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 14
OWN 17
+33
85.6%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 32 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 33 yds to the NMex 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 29FG
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5991% → 94%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
91.2%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+2
91.2%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+2
92.4%
Janarion Grant run for 2 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
94.3%
David Bonagura 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 30MISSED FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 2:184% → 4%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
95.7%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+6
95.5%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Q' Drennan for 6 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+5
95.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
95.3%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Michael Walsh for 6 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+7
94.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
94.9%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Michael Walsh) to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+19
95.2%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Patrick Reed for 19 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
94.2%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Dameon GamblinSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
95.3%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Q' Drennan for 11 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
94.9%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Q' Drennan for 6 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
94.9%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Patrick Reed, broken up by Isaiah WhartonSimilar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+3
95.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 1
OPP 10
-5
95.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
96.1%
Jason Sanders 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:06
Richard McQuarley run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
-20.6
TD · Q2 5:47
Robert Martin run for 80 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)
+12.8
FG · Q4 5:30
David Bonagura 33 yd FG GOOD
+12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com