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UNCO

Northern Colorado 21 at Colorado State 47

CSU
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Sonny Lubick Field at Hughes Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadUNCO aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreUNCO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Keifer Glau punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Robert Ruiz at the ColSt 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+35.6Home team on offense+9.4Score differential+6.1Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:23: Collin Hill run for 51 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:49: Collin Hill pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 10 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:50: Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 16 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:49: Kyle Sloter pass complete to Alex Wesley for 29 yds for a TD, (Jamie Falloon KICK) — UNCO win probability +2.1 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UNCO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 2:18: Wyatt Bryan 37 Yd Field Goal — CSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UNCO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00CSU 4th & 4 at CSU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:21UNCO 4th & 8 at UNCO 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:23UNCO 4th & 12 at UNCO 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UNCO 4th & 12 at UNCO 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:38CSU 4th & 1 at UNCO 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:07UNCO 4th & 9 at CSU 33, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:48UNCO 4th & 2 at UNCO 33, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:47UNCO 4th & 11 at CSU 11, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:51UNCO 4th & 3 at CSU 19, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:27CSU 4th & 2 at CSU 39, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UNCO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:21CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:23CSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:49CSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:50CSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:40CSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:23UNCO Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:49UNCO Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:13CSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:34UNCO Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
92.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Elroy Masters Jr. for 17 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
92.9%
Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
92.9%
Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
92.9%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
92.9%
Hayden Hunt punt for 51 yds, downed at the NoCol 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 2INT
9 plays · 77 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+13
92.5%
Trae Riek run for 13 yds to the NoCol 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
92.5%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Alex Wesley for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 13Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+2
92.5%
Trae Riek run for 2 yds to the NoCol 15Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+29
92.5%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Brandon Cartagena for 29 yds to the NoCol 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
92.4%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoCol 39Similar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+2
92.5%
Trae Riek run for 2 yds to the NoCol 41Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+15
92.5%
COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
92.4%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Stephen Miller for 22 yds to the ColSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+36
92.4%
Kyle Sloter pass intercepted Braylin Scott return for 36 yds to the ColSt 0 NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:2892% → 92%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
91.6%
COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the ColSt 24Similar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
91.6%
Detrich Clark run for 9 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+2
91.7%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 2 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+50
91.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Xavier Williams for 50 yds to the NoCol 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
91.8%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the NoCol 12Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+8
91.8%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 8 yds to the NoCol 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
91.8%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the NoCol 1Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
91.8%
Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 2Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.8%
Collin Hill pass complete to Elroy Masters Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.6%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Trae Riek for 5 yds to the NoCol 30Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
91.5%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Hakeem Deggs for 2 yds to the NoCol 32Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
91.5%
Kyle Sloter pass incomplete to Hakeem DeggsSimilar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
91.7%
Glau,Keifer rush for 5 yards to the UNCO37 (AWUNGANYI, Robe), PENALTY UNCO illegal motion 5 yards to the UNCO27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+11
91.7%
Keifer Glau punt for 47 yds , Robert Ruiz returns for 11 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:3192% → 93%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
91.5%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Elroy Masters Jr., broken up by Sherand Boyd JrSimilar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
91.4%
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 38Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+16
91.4%
Collin Hill pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 16 yds to the NoCol 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
91.7%
COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 49Similar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+51
92.6%
Collin Hill run for 51 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.3%
Brandon Cartagena run for 1 yd to the NoCol 26Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
92.4%
Kyle Sloter run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoCol 23Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
92.5%
Kyle Sloter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+2
92.5%
Keifer Glau punt for 51 yds , Robert Ruiz returns for 2 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:0092% → 95%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
92.4%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, personal foul (13 Yards) to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
92.6%
Michael Gallup run for 4 yds to the ColSt 45Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+45
92.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 45 yds to the NoCol 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.7%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
95.0%
Collin Hill pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 10 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:425% → 5%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+18
94.6%
Trae Riek run for 18 yds to the NoCol 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
94.5%
Trae Riek run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+3
94.8%
Kyle Sloter run for 3 yds to the NoCol 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-4
94.7%
Kyle Sloter sacked by Jakob Buys and Josh Watson for a loss of 4 yards to the NoCol 30Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
94.8%
Keifer Glau punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Robert Ruiz at the ColSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:4895% → 98%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
95.4%
Collin Hill pass complete to Detrich Clark for 16 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
95.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Danny Nwosu for 6 yds to the ColSt 49Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
95.6%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the NoCol 48Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
95.4%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for no gain to the NoCol 48Similar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+5
95.3%
Collin Hill pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 5 yds to the NoCol 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
95.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Xavier Williams for 21 yds to the NoCol 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
95.6%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 8 yds to the NoCol 14Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 2
OPP 14
-2
95.6%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoCol 16Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+16
97.5%
Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 16 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 10DOWNS
13 plays · 42 yds · 4:433% → 2%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.5%
Trae Riek run for 5 yds to the NoCol 30Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-4
97.2%
Kyle Sloter sacked by Justin Sweet and O'Shea Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the NoCol 26Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
97.5%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Michael McCauley for 18 yds to the NoCol 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
97.3%
Trae Riek run for 12 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
97.2%
Trae Riek run for 1 yd to the ColSt 43Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-4
97.1%
Trae Riek run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 46 Trae Riek fumbled, recovered by NoCol Trae RiekSimilar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+12
97.3%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Alex Wesley for 12 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.1%
Kyle Sloter pass incomplete to Hakeem DeggsSimilar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
97.1%
Trae Riek run for 1 yd to the ColSt 33Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
97.2%
Kyle Sloter pass incomplete to Hakeem DeggsSimilar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 9
OPP 33
0
98.3%
Kyle Sloter pass incomplete to Stephen MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:2098% → 99%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
98.4%
Detrich Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 32Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+15
98.4%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, personal foul (Myles Overton) to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
98.5%
Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 44Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+24
98.5%
Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 24 yds to the NoCol 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
98.5%
Izzy Matthews run for 14 yds to the NoCol 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
98.5%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Olabisi Johnson, broken up by Thomas SingletonSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
98.5%
Izzy Matthews run for 9 yds to the NoCol 9Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+3
98.8%
Collin Hill run for 3 yds to the NoCol 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.8%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the NoCol 3Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
98.9%
MATTHEWS, Izzy rush for 2 yards to the UNCO1 (Glau,Keifer;Team), PENALTY CSU holding (BENNETT, Jake) 10 yards to the UNCO13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
99.2%
Collin Hill pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 13 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:521% → 1%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.5%
Trae Riek run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 24Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.5%
Kyle Sloter pass incomplete to Hakeem DeggsSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
99.5%
Sloter,Kyle pass incomplete to Miller,Stephen (VADEN, Jordon), PENALTY CSU offside (BUYS, Jakob) 5 yards to the UNCO29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.5%
Sloter,Kyle pass intercepted by NUTT, Kevin at the UNCO42, NUTT, Kevin return to the UNCO42, PENALTY CSU offside (OHENE-GYENI, Br) 5 yards to the UNCO34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
99.4%
Trae Riek run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 33Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.4%
Keifer Glau punt for 35 yds , Robert Ruiz returns for 3 yds to the ColSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:4199% → 99%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.2%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Izzy MatthewsSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.2%
Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+17
99.2%
Collin Hill pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 17 yds to the NoCol 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
99.2%
Collin Hill pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 11 yds to the NoCol 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+53
99.4%
Wyatt Bryan 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:371% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.3%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Quinn Zamora for 11 yds to the NoCol 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.3%
Trae Riek run for 2 yds to the NoCol 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
99.3%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Alex Wesley for 6 yds to the NoCol 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
99.3%
Kyle Sloter run for 4 yds to the NoCol 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.3%
Trae Riek run for 4 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+7
99.3%
Trae Riek run for 7 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
99.3%
Trae Riek run for 10 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
99.2%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Stephen Miller for 15 yds to the ColSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
99.2%
Brandon Cartagena run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 17
0
99.2%
Trae Riek run for no gain to the ColSt 17Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+17
99.5%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Hakeem Deggs for 17 yds for a TD, (Jamie Falloon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
99.6%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 16 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.6%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 2 yds to the ColSt 42 Marvin Kinsey Jr. fumbled, forced by Chuntony Johnson, recovered by NoCol Myles OvertonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 16TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:561% → 3%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.5%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Hakeem Deggs for 5 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+1
99.5%
Trae Riek run for 1 yd to the ColSt 36Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+7
99.5%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Hakeem Deggs for 7 yds to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
97.5%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Alex Wesley for 29 yds for a TD, (Jamie Falloon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 5:2598% → 100%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
98.0%
Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds to the ColSt 35Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+12
98.0%
Izzy Matthews run for 12 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
98.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Xavier Williams for 15 yds to the NoCol 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
98.2%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the NoCol 35Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
98.2%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 5 yds to the NoCol 30Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+16
98.2%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 1 yd to the NoCol 29 for a 1ST down NORTHERN COLO Penalty, illegal helmet contact (Keifer Morris) to the NoCol 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
98.2%
Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 6 yds to the NoCol 8Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 4
OPP 8
-2
98.2%
Collin Hill sacked by Lavell Sanders for a loss of 2 yards to the NoCol 10Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-8
98.2%
Collin Hill run for 2 yds to the NoCol 8 COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Izzy Matthews) to the NoCol 18Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 14
OPP 18
-5
98.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 10 yds to the NoCol 8 COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (Fred Zerblis) to the NoCol 23Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
+5
98.1%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 5 yds to the NoCol 18Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+37
99.8%
Wyatt Bryan 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 18MISSED FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 4:310% → 0%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Trae Riek run for 1 yd to the NoCol 26Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Trae Riek run for 2 yds to the NoCol 28Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.9%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Michael McCauley for 12 yds to the NoCol 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.8%
Trae Riek run for 3 yds to the NoCol 43Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Kyle Sloter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+8
99.8%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Ellis Onic Ii for 8 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
99.9%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Michael McCauley for 20 yds to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
99.9%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Stephen Miller for 21 yds to the ColSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.9%
Darius Graham run for 3 yds to the ColSt 5Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
99.9%
Darius Graham run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 6Similar
Q4 14:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
99.9%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, false start (James Floyd Jr -) to the ColSt 11Similar
Q4 14:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Kyle Sloter pass incomplete to Trae RiekSimilar
Q4 12:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
99.9%
Jamie Falloon 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
99.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Danny Nwosu for 13 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.9%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 9 yds to the ColSt 42Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+8
99.9%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Xavier Williams for 5 yds to the NoCol 45Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+18
99.9%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 18 yds to the NoCol 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
99.9%
Collin Hill sacked by Thomas Singleton for a loss of 2 yards to the NoCol 25 Collin Hill fumbled, recovered by ColSt Jake Bennett , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+9
99.9%
Izzy Matthews run for 9 yds to the NoCol 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.9%
MATTHEWS, Izzy rush for 1 yard to the UNCO15 (Cameron,M.;Gonzales,Eddie), PENALTY UNCO holding (Gadient,Weston) 8 yards to the UNCO8, 1ST DOWN CSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
99.9%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 9Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. 9 Yd Run (Wyatt Bryan PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 20TD
12 plays · 92 yds · 4:320% → 0%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
99.9%
Darius Graham run for 2 yds to the NoCol 10Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+9
99.9%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Alex Wesley for 9 yds to the NoCol 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+44
99.9%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Stephen Miller for 44 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Darius Graham run for 2 yds to the ColSt 35Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-5
99.9%
Sloter,Kyle pass complete to Wesley,Alex for 35 yards to the CSU0, clock 05:51, PENALTY UNCO illegal shift (Zamora,Quinn) 5 yards to the CSU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+14
99.9%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Ellis Onic Ii for 14 yds to the ColSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Kyle Sloter pass incomplete to Alex Wesley, broken up by Shun JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
99.9%
Darius Graham run for 4 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Alex Wesley for 3 yds to the ColSt 19Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+10
99.9%
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Alex Wesley for 10 yds to the ColSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Trae Riek 9 Yd Run (Jamie Falloon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21END OF GAME
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
99.9%
Demontrie Taylor pass complete to Detrich Clark for 9 yds to the ColSt 25Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Bryce Peters run for 6 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
99.9%
Bryce Peters run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 29Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Bryce Peters run for 2 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Bryce Peters run for 8 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q4 3:27
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Bryce Peters run for 4 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:49
Collin Hill pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 10 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q3 7:49
Kyle Sloter pass complete to Alex Wesley for 29 yds for a TD, (Jamie Falloon KICK)
-2.1
TD · Q2 9:50
Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 16 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com