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PRST

Portland State 35 at San José State 66

SJSU
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:10 · Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 8 yards to the PrtSt 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 184Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+29.3Pregame prior+1.5Garbage-time factor+13.3Blowout margin+12.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:19: Paris Penn 36 Yd Run (Jonathan Gonzales Kick) — PRST win probability +10.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:04: Kenny Potter 1 Yd Run (Bryce Crawford Kick) — SJSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:02: Tre Hartley 9 Yd pass from Kenny Potter (Bryce Crawford Kick) — SJSU win probability +7.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:48: Zamore Zigler 1 Yd Run (Bryce Crawford Kick) — SJSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:30: Paris Penn 22 Yd pass from Alex Kuresa (Jonathan Gonzales Kick) — PRST win probability +4.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9PRST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:01PRST 4th & 16 at PRST 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:58SJSU 4th & 10 at PRST 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    53.3%
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:30SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55PRST 4th & 2 at PRST 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.6%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:37SJSU 4th & 14 at PRST 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:19SJSU 4th & 15 at SJSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:13PRST 4th & 13 at PRST 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−2.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:48PRST 4th & 17 at PRST 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−3.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00PRST 4th & 5 at PRST 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:48PRST 4th & 4 at PRST 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:30SJSU 4th & 17 at PRST 34, up 21
    Close callPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:20SJSU 4th & 4 at PRST 4, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:31SJSU 4th & 13 at SJSU 33, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:27SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 30, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:10SJSU 4th & 15 at PRST 31, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9PRST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:01SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:30PRST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:55SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:19PRST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:04SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:02SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:48SJSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:52SJSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:30PRST Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 2:50SJSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 13:11SJSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 9:27PRST Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 5:16PRST Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 4:10SJSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5972% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
71.9%
Deontae Cooper run for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+3
71.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 3 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+20
71.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 20 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
71.9%
Rahshead Johnson run for 9 yds to the PrtSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+13
71.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 13 yds to the PrtSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
72.6%
Billy Freeman 36 Yd pass from Kenny Potter (Bryce Crawford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
72.2%
Alex Kuresa run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 23Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 11
OWN 23
-5
72.3%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 18Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 16
OWN 18
0
72.3%
Alex Kuresa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 16
OWN 18
0
72.4%
Alex Kuresa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 16
OWN 18
0
72.4%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 35 yds, downed at the SJSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:3873% → 73%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
72.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 9 yds to the PrtSt 44Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+14
72.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 14 yds to the PrtSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
72.9%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the PrtSt 30Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
72.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy Freeman, broken up by Austin WolffSimilar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
73.0%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 10
OPP 30
0
72.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 26 yds, downed at the PrtSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 4TD
4 plays · 96 yds · 1:1727% → 30%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
72.7%
Alex Kuresa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+1
72.7%
Nate Tago run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 5Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+17
72.9%
Paris Penn run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 7 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Maurice McKnight) to the PrtSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
70.3%
Alex Kuresa 78 Yd pass from Josh Kraght (Jonathan Gonzales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 7:3570% → 75%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
70.4%
Kenny Potter run for 8 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+3
70.7%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
70.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 5 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
70.7%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
70.7%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+4
70.4%
Kenny Potter run for 4 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
71.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
71.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 3
50
+13
70.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 13 yds to the PrtSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
71.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 22 yds to the PrtSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
71.3%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 20Similar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+1
71.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 1 yd to the PrtSt 19Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 14
OPP 19
+10
71.1%
POTTER, Kenny pass incomplete to CRAWLEY, Tim, PENALTY PSU holding (Tyler Foreman) 10 yards to the PSU9, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
70.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 8Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
74.8%
Kenny Potter 8 Yd Run (Bryce Crawford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 6INT
11 plays · 65 yds · 0:0027% → 28%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.2%
Chris Seisay run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
73.2%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Josh Kraght for 6 yds to the PrtSt 32Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
73.2%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Josh Kraght for 7 yds to the PrtSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
72.6%
Nate Tago run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 41Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-1
72.6%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Nate Tago for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+7
73.1%
Alex Kuresa run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 47Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+43
72.8%
Nate Tago pass complete to Maximo Espitia for 43 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
71.2%
Paris Penn run for 1 yd to the SJSt 9Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
71.2%
Alex Kuresa run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 10Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+63
72.1%
Alex Kuresa pass intercepted Andre Chachere return for 63 yds to the PrtSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0076% → 73%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
75.7%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 34Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
75.8%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-7
75.3%
Kenny Potter sacked by Anthony McNichols for a loss of 7 yards to the PrtSt 41Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
73.3%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:4726% → 38%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
74.4%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Chris Seisay for 8 yds to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
73.8%
Nate Tago run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
74.0%
Nate Tago run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 36Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+22
73.7%
Paris Penn run for 22 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
72.6%
Paris Penn run for 6 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+36
62.0%
Paris Penn 36 Yd Run (Jonathan Gonzales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
67.5%
Rahshead Johnson run for 11 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
68.3%
Zamore Zigler run for 2 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
68.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 2 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-5
68.0%
POTTER, Kenny pass complete to FREEMAN, Billy for 33 yards to the PSU25 (Beau Duronslet), PENALTY SJ illegal motion (FREEMAN, Billy) 5 yards to the SJ37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 11
OWN 37
-4
66.6%
Kenny Potter sacked by Mosa Likio for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 33 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
65.7%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PrtSt 11 , Blair Cavanaugh returns for no gain to the PrtSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
64.0%
Nate Tago run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 13Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 8
OWN 13
0
64.2%
Alex Kuresa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 8
OWN 13
0
65.1%
Alex Kuresa pass incomplete to Josh KraghtSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 8
OWN 13
-5
65.9%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, false start (Maximo Espitia) to the PrtSt 8Similar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 13
OWN 8
0
66.2%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 30 yds, downed at the PrtSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:2369% → 78%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
69.4%
Zamore Zigler run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 32Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
69.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+10
69.0%
Rahshead Johnson run for 10 yds to the PrtSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
69.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 11 yds to the PrtSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
69.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 1Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.3%
Kenny Potter 1 Yd Run (Bryce Crawford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:1625% → 24%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.0%
Alex Kuresa pass incomplete to Maximo EspitiaSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
75.1%
Alex Kuresa pass incomplete to Trent RileySimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
75.9%
Alex Kuresa sacked by Nick Oreglia for a loss of 7 yards to the PrtSt 18 Alex Kuresa fumbled, recovered by PrtSt Alex Kuresa , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
76.3%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 0:4077% → 85%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
76.9%
Kenny Potter run for 11 yds to the PrtSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
77.5%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
77.2%
Kenny Potter run for 9 yds to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
76.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Zamore Zigler for 3 yds to the PrtSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+23
77.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 23 yds to the PrtSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
85.1%
Tre Hartley 9 Yd pass from Kenny Potter (Bryce Crawford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
82.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
85.0%
Paris Penn run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+1
84.6%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Paris Penn for 1 yd to the PrtSt 12Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+24
84.8%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Nate Tago for 24 yds to the PrtSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
83.8%
Nate Tago run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
83.5%
Paris Penn run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
83.7%
Alex Kuresa pass incomplete to Maximo EspitiaSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+45
84.2%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 30 yds, downed at the SJSU 29 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, kick catching interference (15 Yards) to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 1:3487% → 96%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
86.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
86.7%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Rahshead JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+12
86.0%
Kenny Potter run for 12 yds to the PrtSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+41
86.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 41 yds to the PrtSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.0%
Zamore Zigler 1 Yd Run (Bryce Crawford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.6%
Alex Kuresa run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
94.4%
Paris Penn run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 31Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
94.4%
Alex Kuresa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+54
94.6%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSU 25 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:3696% → 99%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
96.1%
Deontae Cooper run for 19 yds to the PrtSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.4%
Justin Holmes 46 Yd pass from Kenny Potter (Bryce Crawford Kick)Similar
Q3 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OWN 20
+10
99.3%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the SJSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:221% → 5%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.3%
Paris Penn run for 19 yds to the PrtSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.2%
Nate Tago run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 49Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+29
99.2%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Nate Tago for 29 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
94.8%
Paris Penn 22 Yd pass from Alex Kuresa (Jonathan Gonzales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
96.3%
Deontae Cooper run for 23 yds to the PrtSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
96.5%
Deontae Cooper run for 5 yds to the SJSt 36 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (Nate Velichko) to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+9
96.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 9 yds to the PrtSt 42Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+15
96.5%
POTTER, Kenny pass incomplete to HARTLEY, Tre, PENALTY PSU pass interference (Anthony Jenkins) 15 yards to the PSU27, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
96.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 22Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+1
96.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 21Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 4
OPP 21
-7
96.6%
Kenny Potter run for a loss of 7 yards to the PrtSt 34 Kenny Potter fumbled, recovered by SJSt Nate VelichkoSimilar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 17
OPP 34
0
96.0%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 21INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.8%
Alex Kuresa run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 22Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
96.8%
Alex Kuresa pass intercepted Andre Chachere return for no gain to the PrtSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:3298% → 100%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
97.6%
Kenny Potter run for 20 yds to the PrtSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.7%
Deontae Cooper 26 Yd Run (Bryce Crawford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Paris Penn for a loss of 3 yards Paris Penn fumbled, forced by Trevon Bierria, recovered by SJSt Frank Ginda , return for 6 yds to the PrtSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24FG
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q3 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.7%
Malik Roberson run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 4Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Malik Roberson run for no gain to the PrtSt 4Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Brandon Monroe, broken up by Anthony JenkinsSimilar
Q3 1:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
99.8%
Bryce Crawford 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 25FUMBLE
9 plays · 53 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
99.8%
Nate Tago run for a loss of 3 yards to the PrtSt 31Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+21
99.8%
Paris Penn run for 21 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.8%
Paris Penn run for 1 yd to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+20
99.8%
Alex Kuresa run for 20 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
99.8%
Nate Tago run for 6 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+1
99.7%
Paris Penn run for 1 yd to the SJSt 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+10
99.8%
Paris Penn run for 10 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 13 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SJSt Eugene TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 26TD
1 play · 87 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+87
99.9%
Malik Roberson 87 Yd Run (Bryce Crawford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 27INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
99.9%
Paris Penn run for 11 yds to the PrtSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
99.9%
Nate Tago run for a loss of 3 yards to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Nate Tago run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Alex Kuresa pass intercepted Dominic Barnes return for no gain to the SJSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Malik Roberson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-7
99.9%
Malik Roberson run for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 33Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+25
99.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Trent Riley, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 3 blocked by Trent Riley Artuz Manning return for 25 yds to the SJSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 29TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Mitchell Thompson 3 Yd Run (Jonathan Gonzales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Malik Roberson run for no gain to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Josh Kraght at the PrtSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 31TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:420% → 1%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Zach Floyd run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Zach Floyd run for no gain to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Alex Kuresa run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Carlos Martin run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 48Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+48
99.9%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Chris Seisay for 48 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.3%
Zach Floyd 4 Yd Run (Jonathan Gonzales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 32TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
TEAM run for no gain to the SJSt 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SJSt LeVander BrownSimilar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 26Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+74
99.9%
Zamore Zigler 74 Yd Run (Bryce Crawford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 34DOWNS
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+1
100.0%
Josh Love run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 39Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+13
100.0%
Zamore Zigler run for 13 yds to the PrtSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
100.0%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 27Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 11
OPP 27
-6
100.0%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 6 yards to the PrtSt 33Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 17
OPP 33
+2
100.0%
Zamore Zigler run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 31Similar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 15
OPP 31
-8
99.9%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 8 yards to the PrtSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 35END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Carlos Martin run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:19
Paris Penn 36 Yd Run (Jonathan Gonzales Kick)
-10.6
TD · Q2 1:04
Kenny Potter 1 Yd Run (Bryce Crawford Kick)
+8.3
TD · Q2 0:02
Tre Hartley 9 Yd pass from Kenny Potter (Bryce Crawford Kick)
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com