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UNM

New Mexico 31 at New Mexico State 32

NMSU
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Aggie Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NMSU
modelNMSU aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playNMSU scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.4NMSU 20.8%Parker Davidson 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 6 · Q2 13:55
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:55 · Parker Davidson 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Pregame prior−26.1Home team on offense−3.5Score differential−1.8Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:04: Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jaleel Scott for 5 yds for a TD, (Parker Davidson PAT MISSED) — NMSU win probability +11.7 pts (now 38%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:54: Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +8.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:45: Xavier Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Davidson KICK) — NMSU win probability +20.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:04: Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +11.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:46: Tyler Rogers pass complete to Gregory Hogan for 8 yds for a TD, (Parker Davidson KICK) — NMSU win probability +29.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NMSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:25NMSU 4th & 2 at UNM 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.5%−0.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:59NMSU 4th & 11 at UNM 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:55NMSU 4th & 10 at UNM 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    22.1%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:55UNM 4th & 9 at NMSU 35, up 8
    Close callPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:07NMSU 4th & 9 at NMSU 34, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:42NMSU 4th & 10 at UNM 19, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:28UNM 4th & 9 at NMSU 24, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−5.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00NMSU 4th & 16 at NMSU 19, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−3.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:54NMSU 4th & 4 at NMSU 31, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:38UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 21, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−2.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:04UNM 4th & 1 at NMSU 1, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%−7.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−26.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:12NMSU 4th & 12 at UNM 13, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−2.7
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−9.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:46UNM 4th & 2 at midfield, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.3%−3.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:37UNM 4th & 15 at midfield, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NMSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:25UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:40UNM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:04NMSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    36.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:54UNM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:45NMSU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:04UNM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:46NMSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3582% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
17.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
17.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 15 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
17.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+26
17.9%
Austin Apodaca run for 26 yds to the NMxSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
17.9%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Cole Gautsche for 8 yds to the NMxSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+5
17.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
17.9%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the NMxSt 12Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 12
0
17.9%
Richard McQuarley run for no gain to the NMxSt 12Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
18.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 2FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 4:2619% → 21%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
19.1%
Xavier Hall run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 30Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
19.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Garrett Hughes) to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
19.1%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Johnathan Boone for 11 yds to the NMxSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
19.3%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Gregory Hogan for 8 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 2
OPP 46
-4
19.4%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Oj Clark for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 6
50
+4
19.3%
Tyler Rogers run for 4 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+9
19.2%
Tyler Rogers run for 9 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
19.4%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Gregory Hogan for 11 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
19.5%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Gregory HoganSimilar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
19.5%
Tyler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 10
OPP 26
-1
19.3%
King Burke run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+45
21.2%
Parker Davidson 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:1279% → 81%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
21.4%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
21.4%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 10 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
21.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 9 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+2
21.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
21.0%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Michael WalshSimilar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
21.1%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Richard McQuarley, broken up by Noah BrownSimilar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+17
21.3%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 17 yds to the NMxSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
20.9%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the NMxSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
19.1%
Austin Apodaca run for 23 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:4520% → 21%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
19.6%
Tyler Rogers run for 16 yds to the NMxSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
20.0%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Oj Clark for 1 yd to the NMxSt 42Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
20.0%
Tyler Rogers run for no gain to the NMxSt 42Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+14
19.8%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Gregory Hogan for 14 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
20.4%
Royce Caldwell run for 5 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
20.4%
Tyler Rogers run for 4 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+12
20.5%
Tyler Rogers run for 12 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
21.0%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Oj Clark for no gain to the NMex 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
21.0%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Gregory Hogan, broken up by Nias MartinSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
20.4%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Johnathan Boone, broken up by Nias MartinSimilar
Q2 13:55
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
20.8%
Parker Davidson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
21.0%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 1 yd to the NMex 26 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
20.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+17
20.1%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Patrick Reed for 17 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
19.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 33Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 7
OPP 33
-2
19.8%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 35Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
20.1%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Richard McQuarleySimilar
Q2 13:55
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
20.7%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
21.2%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Johnathan BooneSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
21.1%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Izaiah Lottie for 7 yds to the NMxSt 27Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+6
21.0%
Xavier Hall run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
21.4%
Tyler Rogers sacked by Garrett Hughes for a loss of 6 yards to the NMxSt 27Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 16
OWN 27
-8
21.1%
Tyler Rogers sacked by Garrett Hughes and Donnie White for a loss of 8 yards to the NMxSt 19Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 24
OWN 19
+15
20.6%
Xavier Hall run for 15 yds to the NMxSt 34Similar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 9
OWN 34
+9
20.5%
Peyton Theisler punt for 58 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 9 yds to the NMex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
20.6%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the NMex 19 Richard McQuarley fumbled, forced by Dalton Herrington, recovered by NMxSt Dalton HerringtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 8FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2123% → 26%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
23.0%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Oj ClarkSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
23.0%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Gregory HoganSimilar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
22.2%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Gregory Hogan, broken up by Nias MartinSimilar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
26.1%
Parker Davidson 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9FG
16 plays · 51 yds · 6:1475% → 80%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
25.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
25.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 15 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
24.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
23.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 49Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+1
23.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
23.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 11 yds to the NMxSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
23.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 35Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
23.2%
Lamar Jordan run for no gain to the NMxSt 35Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+10
23.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 10 yds to the NMxSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
23.0%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 23Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+3
23.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 20Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+1
23.7%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 19Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 4
OPP 19
-5
24.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NMxSt 24Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
20.3%
Jason Sanders 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 0:1722% → 38%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+49
22.0%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Royce Caldwell for 49 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
25.9%
Rogers,Tyler pass incomplete to Scott,Jaleel (MARTIN, Nias), PENALTY NM pass interference (MARTIN, Nias) 15 yards to the NM5, 1ST DOWN NMSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
37.5%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jaleel Scott for 5 yds for a TD, (Parker Davidson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
29.6%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Dameon Gamblin, broken up by Jacob NwangwaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.6%
Royce Caldwell run for no gain to the NMxSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
31.4%
Tyler Rogers sacked by Garrett Hughes for a loss of 6 yards to the NMxSt 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
30.2%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Royce CaldwellSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
29.7%
TEAM punt for 23 yds, downed at the NMxSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:0672% → 80%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
27.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 35Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+3
26.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
28.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 30Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+21
28.2%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 21 yds to the NMxSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
28.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 5Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
19.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
22.8%
Jason Huntley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
22.8%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Oj Clark for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 25Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
21.9%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Oj Clark for 6 yds to the NMxSt 31Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
22.3%
Peyton Theisler punt for 59 yds, downed at the NMex 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
22.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for 9 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+2
21.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
22.0%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Patrick ReedSimilar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
22.2%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Dameon GamblinSimilar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
22.9%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Q' DrennanSimilar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+4
23.2%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 46 yds , Tyrian Taylor returns for 4 yds to the NMxSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 16TD
16 plays · 63 yds · 5:2023% → 46%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
22.5%
Xavier Hall run for no gain to the NMxSt 37Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
22.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
24.3%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMxSt 47Similar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
23.1%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Josh AganonSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+17
22.6%
Royce Caldwell run for 17 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
24.4%
Tyler Rogers run for 2 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
26.0%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jason HuntleySimilar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+9
24.3%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jackson Solebeck for 9 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
26.0%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Royce Caldwell for 8 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 2
OPP 17
0
26.0%
Tyler Rogers run for no gain to the NMex 17Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+4
24.6%
Gamar Girdy run for 4 yds to the NMex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
26.0%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jackson Solebeck for 3 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
26.0%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Oj ClarkSimilar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+8
24.5%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Johnathan Boone for 8 yds to the NMex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
26.0%
Tyler Rogers run for 1 yd to the NMex 1Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.4%
Xavier Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Davidson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17TD
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:2169% → 80%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
30.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for no gain to the NMxSt 28Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
30.8%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Tyrone Owens for 10 yds to the NMxSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
30.7%
Austin Apodaca run for 14 yds to the NMxSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
30.7%
Diquon Woodhouse run for no gain to the NMxSt 4Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
30.7%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
31.5%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 1Similar
Q4 14:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:4721% → 30%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
21.0%
Xavier Hall run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 35Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+11
21.5%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Oj Clark for 11 yds to the NMxSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
22.4%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jaleel Scott for 11 yds to the NEWMEXST 43 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-8
25.9%
Tyler Rogers sacked by Nik D'Avanzo for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 36Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 18
OPP 36
-1
23.3%
Tyler Rogers sacked by Alex Hart for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 37Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 19
OPP 37
+26
22.6%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Izaiah Lottie for 26 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
26.9%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jaleel Scott, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-2
26.9%
Royce Caldwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 13Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 12
OPP 13
0
23.8%
Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Johnathan BooneSimilar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+30
29.6%
Parker Davidson 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for 5 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
22.1%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 30Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
22.6%
Austin Apodaca pass intercepted Terrill Hanks return for 8 yds to the NMex 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:5139% → 68%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
38.6%
Xavier Hall run for 8 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 2
OPP 19
-15
38.6%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+14
35.6%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Xavier Hall for 14 yds to the NMex 20Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+4
35.7%
Xavier Hall run for 4 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
38.6%
Xavier Hall run for 6 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+2
38.6%
Tyler Rogers run for 2 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
67.9%
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Gregory Hogan for 8 yds for a TD, (Parker Davidson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 37 yds · 4:0942% → 31%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.4%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
57.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 31Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+11
58.1%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 11 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
54.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
53.9%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Michael Walsh, broken up by Rodney ButlerSimilar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+5
55.6%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 2
50
+5
56.1%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Chris Davis Jr. for 5 yds to the NMxSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
54.5%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Patrick ReedSimilar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
55.0%
Austin Apodaca sacked by Jassavia Reese and Derek Watson for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 15
50
0
60.0%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 15
50
+12
68.6%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 12 yds to the NEWMEXST 38 NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0579% → 78%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
79.0%
Xavier Hall run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 40Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
79.3%
Xavier Hall run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
80.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 47Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 12
OWN 47
-2
78.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:46
Tyler Rogers pass complete to Gregory Hogan for 8 yds for a TD, (Parker Davidson KICK)
+29.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+21.7
TD · Q3 2:45
Xavier Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Davidson KICK)
+20.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com