Try the model
SJSU

San José State 10 at Tulsa 45

TLSA
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Chapman Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:07 · Dalton Parks punt for 43 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense+26.9Score differential+19.9Pregame prior+8.4Blowout margin+7.3Garbage-time factor+7.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:02: D'Angelo Brewer run for 38 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK) — TLSA win probability +0.9 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:49: Kenny Potter pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 64 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 35%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:16: D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK) — TLSA win probability +4.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 0:08: Kenny Potter pass intercepted for a TD Jesse Brubaker return for 24 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK) — TLSA win probability +6.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 8:06: Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 11 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK) — TLSA win probability +6.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8SJSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:56SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:54TLSA 4th & 15 at TLSA 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:01SJSU 4th & 2 at SJSU 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:05TLSA 4th & 15 at TLSA 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:46TLSA 4th & 3 at SJSU 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    64.0%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:40SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 27, down 3
    Close callPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:06SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:37TLSA 4th & 8 at TLSA 33, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:37SJSU 4th & 15 at SJSU 31, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:33TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 40, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:07TLSA 4th & 16 at SJSU 43, up 31
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:03SJSU 4th & 1 at TLSA 1, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:13TLSA 4th & 10 at TLSA 19, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:03SJSU 4th & 5 at TLSA 19, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:10TLSA 4th & 9 at SJSU 36, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:02SJSU 4th & 13 at SJSU 39, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:02TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:49SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:16TLSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:08TLSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:06TLSA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:20TLSA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
66.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete, broken up by Hayden CarmanSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-4
66.9%
Deontae Cooper run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 22
+17
66.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 17 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
66.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
66.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Hayden CarmanSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
50
0
66.9%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
50
0
66.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim Crawley, broken up by Jordan MitchellSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
50
0
66.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2TD
4 plays · 92 yds · 0:4667% → 68%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+46
66.7%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 46 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
67.0%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Josh AtkinsonSimilar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
66.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 8 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+38
67.8%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 38 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
67.5%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-5
67.4%
Kenny Potter sacked by Frankie Davis and Craig Suits for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+5
67.6%
Kenny Potter run for 5 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+10
67.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 58 yds , Keidrien Wadley returns for 10 yds to the Tulsa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
68.2%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+11
68.1%
James Flanders run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
68.2%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
68.2%
James Flanders run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+5
68.0%
EVANS, D. pass incomplete to LOUIE, B., PENALTY SJ offside defense 5 yards to the TLS32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
68.2%
James Flanders run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
68.3%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Chris Minter, broken up by Trevon BierriaSimilar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
68.3%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-5
68.1%
Dane Evans sacked by Frank Ginda for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
67.8%
Dalton Parks punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tim Crawley at the SJSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
68.4%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
68.3%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the SJSt 30Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+5
68.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 5 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
68.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Keidrien Wadley at the Tulsa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
68.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
68.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Josh AtkinsonSimilar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 7
OWN 17
-8
68.6%
Dane Evans sacked by Owen Roberts for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulsa 9Similar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 15
OWN 9
0
68.2%
Dalton Parks punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tim Crawley at the SJSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:1031% → 35%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
68.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 36Similar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+64
65.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 64 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:0366% → 67%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
65.6%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 40 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
66.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 11 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
66.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
66.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
66.5%
James Flanders run for no gain to the SJSt 17Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
66.9%
Redford Jones 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
66.8%
Rahshead Johnson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
66.5%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Keanu HillSimilar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
67.0%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
67.5%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Keidrien Wadley at the Tulsa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:3566% → 72%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
66.3%
James Flanders run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+33
66.8%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 33 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
67.8%
James Flanders run for 9 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+3
67.8%
James Flanders run for 3 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
67.8%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 8 yds to the SJSt 9Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+4
67.8%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the SJSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
71.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
78.0%
Kenny Potter pass intercepted for a TD Jesse Brubaker return for 24 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12FUMBLE
10 plays · 47 yds · 0:0822% → 22%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
78.0%
Deontae Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
78.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Deontae Cooper for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+18
78.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 18 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
77.8%
POTTER, Kenny pass complete to FREEMAN, Billy for 12 yards to the SJ49 (BRADY, J.), PENALTY SJ IF 5 yards to the SJ32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+6
78.1%
Deontae Cooper run for 6 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+4
77.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+26
77.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 26 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-4
76.8%
Kenny Potter sacked by Jerry Uwaezuoke and Hayden Carman for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+8
77.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 8 yds Deontae Cooper fumbled, forced by Keanu Hill, recovered by Tulsa Frankie DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 13TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:3682% → 90%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
82.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 11 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
82.7%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
82.8%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+19
82.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 19 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
82.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 10 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
82.9%
James Flanders run for 11 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
82.9%
James Flanders run for 3 yds to the SJSt 11Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
89.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 11 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
87.2%
Kenny Potter run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
87.7%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Kerwin ThomasSimilar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
87.7%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 42 yds , Keidrien Wadley returns for 1 yd to the Tulsa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:1090% → 97%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.0%
Raymond Taylor run for no gain to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
89.9%
Raymond Taylor run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-1
89.7%
Dane Evans sacked by Owen Roberts for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
96.7%
Dalton Parks punt for 61 yds , Tim Crawley returns for no gain for a TD Tim Crawley fumbled, recovered by Tulsa McKinley Whitfield for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 11 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
96.1%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
96.1%
Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-8
96.1%
Kenny Potter sacked by Petera Wilson Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 31Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
96.2%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 38 yds, downed at the Tulsa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 2:2698% → 98%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
97.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
97.5%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Nigel CarterSimilar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+7
97.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 7 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+5
97.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
97.6%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 18 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.6%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Josh AtkinsonSimilar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
97.6%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 6
OPP 33
-10
97.6%
Dane Evans sacked by Frank Ginda for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSt 43Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
97.5%
Dalton Parks punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:4098% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete, broken up by Frank GindaSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to D'Angelo Brewer for 14 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
98.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 9 yds to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+4
98.0%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
98.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 9 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+4
98.1%
James Flanders run for 4 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.2%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
98.2%
James Flanders run for 9 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
98.0%
James Flanders run for 4 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
98.2%
Dane Evans run for 5 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+8
98.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 8 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
98.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.3%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the SJSt 2Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 58 yds · 0:001% → 3%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the SJSt 42Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+4
99.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+24
98.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 24 yds to the Tulsa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
98.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+17
98.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 17 yds to the Tulsa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
98.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 4Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
98.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 2Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.4%
Kenny Potter run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q3 11:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.3%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the Tulsa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.5%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 3Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+4
99.5%
James Flanders run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 7Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+12
99.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 12 yds to the Tulsa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
99.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
99.5%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to D'Angelo BrewerSimilar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Dalton Parks punt for 47 yds, downed at the SJSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:060% → 0%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 5 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
99.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+15
99.6%
POTTER, Kenny pass incomplete to CRAWLEY, Tim, PENALTY TLS pass interference (MITCHELL, J.) 15 yards to the TLS45, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.6%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 5 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+16
99.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 16 yds to the Tulsa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
99.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+2
99.7%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Malik Roberson pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
99.7%
Bryce Crawford 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22PUNT
13 plays · 39 yds · 4:53100% → 100%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Raymond Taylor run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
Raymond Taylor run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.8%
Raymond Taylor run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+10
99.8%
Chad President run for 10 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.8%
Raymond Taylor run for 3 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+9
99.8%
Raymond Taylor run for 9 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
99.8%
TAYLOR, R. rush for 5 yards to the SJ32 (McKNIGHT, Mauri;OREGLIA, Nick), PENALTY TLS holding 10 yards to the SJ47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+2
99.8%
Rowdy Simon run for 2 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 18
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Chad President pass incomplete to Bishop Louie, broken up by Andre ChachereSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 18
OPP 45
+9
99.8%
Chad President pass complete to Bishop Louie for 9 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Dalton Parks punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
99.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 7 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 2 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+3
99.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy Freeman, broken up by Reggie RobinsonSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Kenny Potter run for 6 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 6 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
99.9%
Kenny Potter run for 10 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 4 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Zamore ZiglerSimilar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-7
99.9%
Kenny Potter sacked by Petera Wilson Jr. and Jesse Brubaker for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 39Similar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kerwin Thomas at the Tulsa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.9%
Raymond Taylor run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Raymond Taylor run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Chad President run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Raymond Taylor run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+17
99.9%
Chad President run for 17 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Raymond Taylor run for 2 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
99.9%
Raymond Taylor run for 7 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-6
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:06
Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 11 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q1 0:08
Kenny Potter pass intercepted for a TD Jesse Brubaker return for 24 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q1 0:16
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com