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NIU

Northern Illinois 34 at Wyoming 40

WYO
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTOT2OTOT3TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:42 · Jacob Ambrose punt for 46 yds , Austin Conway returns for a loss of 16 yards to the Wyom 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingGarbage-time factorDefense timeoutsScore differential
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTOT2OTOT3Play 64Pregame prior−19.4Home team on offense−1.4Time remaining+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Defense timeouts+0.0Score differential−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:39: Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 2 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +18.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 1:13: Drew Hare pass complete to Shane Wimann for 19 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +47.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · OT2 0:00: Brian Hill 5 Yd Run (Cooper Rothe Kick) — WYO win probability +30.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · OT2 0:00: Drew Hare 1 Yd Run (Christian Hagan Kick) — NIU win probability +49.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT3 0:00: Josh Allen 7 Yd Run — WYO win probability +20.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 8NIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:03WYO 4th & 6 at NIU 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    26.9%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:11NIU 4th & 12 at NIU 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:42NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:44WYO 4th & 1 at NIU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−1.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:32WYO 4th & 2 at NIU 22, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.3%−0.8
    72% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:53NIU 4th & 4 at WYO 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.1%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:54WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:12NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:39NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−1.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:12NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:14WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:36NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.3%−2.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:31WYO 4th & 9 at NIU 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    86.5%−1.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:12NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:03NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:19NIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:42WYO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:50WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:03NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:39WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:13NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−3.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
24.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 17 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
24.1%
HILL, Brian rush for no gain to the WY42 (MAYES, Brandon;LEE, William), PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the WY32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 32
-3
24.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 23
OWN 29
+15
24.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 15 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-1
24.1%
Josh Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 43
+2
24.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 40 yds , Shawun Lurry returns for 2 yds to the NoIll 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:1175% → 75%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
25.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 18Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 11
OWN 18
-1
25.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 17Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+14
25.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 14 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
25.4%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 7 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+2
25.3%
Drew Hare run for 2 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 1
OWN 40
-1
25.3%
Joel Bouagnon run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 39Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 2
OWN 39
-5
25.5%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+15
25.5%
WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
25.2%
Aregeros Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 48Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+3
25.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 3 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+10
25.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 10 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
24.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 39 yds for a TD WYOMING Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
25.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 17 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
25.8%
ALLEN, Josh pass intercepted by CHEREN, Renard at the NIU44, CHEREN, Renard return to the WY13, out-of-bounds (ALLEN, Josh), PENALTY NIU holding 10 yards to the NIU48, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
26.1%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
26.1%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Shawun LurrySimilar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
26.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tyree MayfieldSimilar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
25.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 41 yds, downed at the NoIll 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
25.5%
Jordan Huff run for 7 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 3
OWN 10
+2
25.4%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+4
25.5%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
25.4%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
25.4%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the NoIll 19Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 7
OWN 19
-5
25.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 14Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 12
OWN 14
0
25.6%
Drew Hare pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 12
OWN 14
+7
25.8%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 41 yds , Austin Conway returns for 7 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5FG
12 plays · 30 yds · 4:1427% → 30%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
26.9%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 48Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+10
26.2%
Shaun Wick run for 10 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+9
26.8%
Brian Hill run for 9 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
27.3%
ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to GENTRY, Tanner, PENALTY NIU holding 10 yards to the NIU23, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
27.3%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-3
27.3%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 23Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+15
26.8%
Josh Allen run for 15 yds to the NoIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
27.3%
HILL, Brian rush for 4 yards to the NIU4, out-of-bounds (MAYES, Brandon), PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the NIU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
0
27.2%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q1 4:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
27.0%
Josh Allen run for no gain to the NoIll 18Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
0
26.3%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+35
29.5%
Cooper Rothe 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2471% → 75%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.0%
Joel Bouagnon run for no gain to the NoIll 25Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+51
29.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Christian Blake for 51 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
27.7%
BOUAGNON, Joel rush for 14 yards to the WY10 (GAFFORD, Rico), PENALTY NIU holding 10 yards to the WY34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+34
24.7%
Kenny Golladay run for 34 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:3726% → 34%
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
25.8%
Brian Hill run for 13 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
26.0%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
26.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+10
25.9%
ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to MAULHARDT, J., PENALTY NIU holding 10 yards to the NIU26, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+22
26.6%
Austin Conway run for 22 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
26.6%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the NoIll 2Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.8%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
30.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Jordan HuffSimilar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
30.7%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
31.3%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny Golladay, broken up by Antonio HullSimilar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 8
OWN 22
-16
31.9%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 46 yds , Austin Conway returns for a loss of 16 yards to the Wyom 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 6:1232% → 39%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
31.5%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 16Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
31.3%
Josh Allen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+9
30.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 9 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
31.7%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+25
32.6%
Josh Allen run for 25 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
33.7%
Tanner Gentry run for 8 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
34.3%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the NoIll 33Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
33.4%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the NoIll 32Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+2
32.6%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
34.3%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake Maulhardt, broken up by Brandon MayesSimilar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
34.3%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+3
33.5%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+39
38.9%
Cooper Rothe 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:3966% → 65%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
34.5%
Kenny Golladay run for 5 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
33.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
33.2%
Drew Hare run for 2 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
33.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 17 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
32.4%
Drew Hare run for no gain to the Wyom 42Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
32.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+3
32.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+53
35.2%
Christian Hagan 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
41.9%
ALLEN, Josh pass complete to HILL, Brian for 2 yards to the WY38 (CORCORAN, Josh), PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the WY26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+4
40.9%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+12
40.7%
Brian Hill run for 12 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-1
42.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.8%
Jordan Huff run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
36.0%
Drew Hare run for 1 yd to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
36.9%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
38.2%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
41.4%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-2
42.9%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+3
40.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Josh Harshman for 3 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+19
40.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 47 yds , Shawun Lurry returns for 19 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
37.6%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 16
OWN 30
0
38.9%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Joel BouagnonSimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 16
OWN 30
-5
40.1%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 25Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+16
40.1%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 16 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+3
39.0%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 37 yds , Austin Conway returns for 3 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3842% → 64%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
42.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 44 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
46.8%
Tanner Gentry run for 8 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+6
46.8%
Shaun Wick run for 6 yds to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
63.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 17 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:4744% → 62%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
55.7%
Drew Hare pass complete to Christian Blake for 6 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+12
54.0%
Kenny Golladay run for 12 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
53.2%
Jordan Huff run for 1 yd to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+16
53.3%
Jordan Huff run for 16 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
51.0%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-1
51.0%
Joel Bouagnon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+27
38.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 27 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:2445% → 74%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
44.6%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+12
44.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 12 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
45.3%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+10
47.6%
ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to GENTRY, Tanner, PENALTY NIU holding 10 yards to the WY48, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
48.3%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+7
49.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 7 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
49.1%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+1
50.3%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+23
48.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 14 yds to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (9 Yards) to the NoIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-6
50.3%
Tanner Gentry run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 14Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+12
49.4%
ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to MAULHARDT, J., PENALTY NIU pass interference 12 yards to the NIU2, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 2 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0034% → 31%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.2%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
66.4%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny Golladay, broken up by Antonio HullSimilar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
67.7%
Drew Hare run for 2 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+2
68.6%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 48 yds , Austin Conway returns for 2 yds to the Wyom 30 WYOMING Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
75.6%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
75.5%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+13
74.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 13 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
77.8%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
50
-10
78.3%
ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to GENTRY, Tanner, PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the WY40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
76.3%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Shawun LurrySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+6
74.9%
Josh Allen run for 6 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
74.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
73.7%
Kenny Golladay run for 3 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+9
73.6%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 9 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
72.4%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 3 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
71.5%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
73.0%
Drew Hare pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+3
75.0%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 40 yds , Austin Conway returns for 3 yds to the Wyom 46 WYOMING Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the Wyom 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1380% → 82%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
80.3%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 10Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
79.9%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 11Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+5
82.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Brian Hill for 5 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+2
81.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 50 yds , Shawun Lurry returns for 2 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5020% → 14%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
80.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 9 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-15
77.7%
HARE, Drew rush for 7 yards to the WY48 (WINGARD, Andrew), PENALTY NIU IB 15 yards to the NIU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+12
82.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 12 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+1
79.5%
Drew Hare run for 1 yd to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+2
86.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 2 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0092% → 90%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
91.5%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 47Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+5
91.1%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
90.9%
Josh Allen run for no gain to the NoIll 44 Josh Allen fumbled, recovered by Wyom Josh AllenSimilar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 9
OPP 44
+21
90.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 31 yds, downed at the NoIll 13 WYOMING Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NoIll 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 1:5910% → 62%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
90.0%
Drew Hare sacked by Carl Granderson for a loss of 10 yards to the NoIll 13Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 20
OWN 13
+22
90.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Shane Wimann for 22 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Christian Blake, broken up by Chase ApplebySimilar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
89.2%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
90.4%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+10
90.7%
Drew Hare pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 10 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
87.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Christian Blake for 8 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+11
85.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 11 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
85.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Christian Blake for 17 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
38.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Shane Wimann for 19 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 1:1357% → 68%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+24
57.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 24 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
61.3%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-10
59.6%
ALLEN, Josh rush for 14 yards to the NIU45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the WY31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 20
OWN 31
+16
56.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 16 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+5
61.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 5 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
64.1%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+14
60.3%
Josh Allen run for 14 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+10
64.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 10 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
67.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+48
67.5%
Cooper Rothe 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 57%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+23
40.5%
Kenny Golladay run for 23 yds to the Wyom 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
40.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Jordan Huff, broken up by Marcus EppsSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
40.5%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
40.5%
Kenny Golladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 2Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
42.7%
Drew Hare run for no gain to the Wyom 4 Drew Hare fumbled, recovered by Wyom Logan WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27MISSED FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
64.5%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
62.4%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
58.6%
Cooper Rothe 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 28TD
8 plays · 0 yds · 15:0035% → 18%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
64.7%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+18
64.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 18 yds to the NoIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 25
+2
41.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
0
42.7%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
+16
46.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 16 yds to the Wyom 7Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
51.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 6 yds to the Wyom 1Similar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
82.3%
Brian Hill 5 Yd Run (Cooper Rothe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 29TD
5 plays · 0 yds · 15:0017% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 25
0
82.7%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Jordan Huff, broken up by Carl GrandersonSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 25
+2
83.6%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+2
87.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 2 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+38
90.3%
Christian Hagan 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.6%
Drew Hare 1 Yd Run (Christian Hagan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 30TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 30:0065% → 85%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
64.7%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+7
64.7%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
64.7%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+3
64.7%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the NoIll 7Similar
OT3 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
84.6%
Josh Allen 7 Yd Run Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT2 0:00
Drew Hare 1 Yd Run (Christian Hagan Kick)
-49.7
TD · Q4 1:13
Drew Hare pass complete to Shane Wimann for 19 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
-47.7
TD · OT2 0:00
Brian Hill 5 Yd Run (Cooper Rothe Kick)
+30.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com