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SDAK

South Dakota 21 at New Mexico 48

UNM
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2016 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadSDAK aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreSDAK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:11 · Corey Bojorquez punt for 37 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior+23.2Home team on offense+0.6Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:50: Chris Streveler run for 42 yds for a TD, (Miles Bergner KICK) — SDAK win probability +4.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: SDAK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:45: Austin Apodaca pass complete to Matt Quarells for 62 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +4.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:19: Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +5.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:10: Austin Apodaca pass complete to Q' Drennan for 26 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +6.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:48: Chris Streveler pass complete to Tacari Carpenter for 41 yds for a TD, (Miles Bergner KICK) — SDAK win probability +4.1 pts (now 8%) (top driver: SDAK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 7SDAK made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 4:47SDAK 4th & 5 at SDAK 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:11UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:11UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:03SDAK 4th & 5 at SDAK 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:45SDAK 4th & 3 at SDAK 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:36UNM 4th & 16 at UNM 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:32SDAK 4th & 1 at SDAK 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.8%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:41SDAK 4th & 3 at SDAK 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:47UNM 4th & 9 at SDAK 10, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:43UNM 4th & 5 at SDAK 5, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:26SDAK 4th & 9 at SDAK 36, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:50UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 29, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:39SDAK 4th & 14 at UNM 31, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:11UNM 4th & 8 at SDAK 39, up 27
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SDAK made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:48UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:59SDAK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:50SDAK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:51UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:45UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:19UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:10UNM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:48SDAK Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:26UNM Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
79.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 75 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4921% → 21%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.5%
Chris Streveler run for 5 yds to the SDako 30Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
79.5%
Chris Streveler run for 6 yds to the SDako 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
79.5%
Trevor Bouma run for 3 yds to the SDako 39Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
79.5%
Chris Streveler pass complete to Tacari Carpenter for 6 yds to the SDako 45Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+55
78.8%
Chris Streveler run for 55 yds for a TD, (Miles Bergner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3FUMBLE
9 plays · 65 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
79.0%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Patrick Reed for 14 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
79.1%
Richard McQuarley run for 8 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+8
79.1%
Richard McQuarley run for 8 yds to the SDako 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
79.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the SDako 39Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+8
79.2%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 8 yds to the SDako 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
79.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the SDako 29Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+23
79.2%
Austin Apodaca run for 23 yds to the SDako 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
79.2%
Richard McQuarley run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDako 10 Richard McQuarley fumbled, forced by Adam Harris, recovered by SDako Jon MaagSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 4TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:2022% → 27%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
77.9%
Trevor Bouma run for 11 yds to the SDako 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
77.9%
Trevor Bouma run for 2 yds to the SDako 23Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
77.9%
Trevor Bouma run for 4 yds to the SDako 27Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+5
78.0%
Chris Streveler run for 5 yds to the SDako 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
77.8%
Chris Streveler pass complete to Brandt Van Roekel for 9 yds to the SDako 41Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
77.6%
Trevor Bouma run for 3 yds to the SDako 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
77.6%
Chris Streveler run for 4 yds to the SDako 48Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+10
77.5%
Chris Streveler pass complete to Brandt Van Roekel for 10 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
73.4%
Chris Streveler run for 42 yds for a TD, (Miles Bergner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
4 plays · 89 yds · 0:5474% → 76%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
74.2%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+5
74.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+84
76.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for 84 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
76.5%
Chris Streveler run for 11 yds to the SDako 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
76.3%
Chris Streveler pass incomplete to Trystn DuckerSimilar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
76.4%
Chris Streveler pass incomplete to Brandt Van Roekel, broken up by Nias MartinSimilar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+5
76.7%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the SDako 37Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
76.3%
Chris Streveler run for no gain to the SDako 37Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
76.8%
Miles Bergner punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2176% → 76%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
76.2%
Daryl Chestnut run for 12 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
76.3%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for no gain to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
76.3%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 7 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+1
76.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
75.6%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 37 ydsSimilar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
76.3%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Austin Simmons at the SDako 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 1:03
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
75.0%
Michael Fredrick run for no gain to the SDako 28Similar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
75.4%
Chris Streveler pass incomplete to Alonge BrooksSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
75.3%
Chris Streveler pass complete to Alonge Brooks for 5 yds to the SDako 28Similar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+5
75.8%
Miles Bergner punt for 51 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 5 yds to the NMex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:1876% → 80%
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
76.1%
Austin Apodaca run for 4 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
76.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+5
75.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
80.2%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Matt Quarells for 62 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.4%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the SDako 30Similar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
79.3%
Shamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the SDako 32Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-5
79.2%
SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, SUB (-5 Yards) to the SDako 27Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+1
79.5%
Chris Streveler run for 1 yd to the SDako 28Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+9
79.8%
Chris Streveler pass complete to Alonge Brooks for 9 yds to the SDako 37Similar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+1
79.6%
Miles Bergner punt for 51 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 1 yd to the NMex 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
79.6%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-1
79.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 14Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 9
OWN 14
-7
79.2%
Austin Apodaca sacked by Alex Coker for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 7Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 16
OWN 7
-42
78.7%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 45 yds , Austin Simmons returns for a loss of 42 yards to the SDako 46 Austin Simmons fumbled, recovered by NMex Steven RomeroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 3:5981% → 87%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
81.0%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 5 yds to the SDako 41Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+16
81.0%
Austin Apodaca run for 16 yds to the SDako 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
81.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 8 yds to the SDako 17Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+4
81.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the SDako 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
81.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 6 yds to the SDako 7Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
81.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the SDako 4Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
86.5%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 2:3815% → 14%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.5%
Chris Streveler run for 6 yds to the SDako 31Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
85.2%
Chris Streveler run for 3 yds to the SDako 34Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
85.5%
Chris Streveler run for no gain to the SDako 34Similar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
85.9%
Trevor Bouma run for 3 yds to the SDako 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
85.7%
Trevor Bouma run for 3 yds to the SDako 40Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
85.5%
Chris Streveler run for 1 yd to the SDako 41Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+3
85.7%
Chris Streveler pass complete to Trevor Bouma for 3 yds to the SDako 44Similar
Q2 2:41
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+31
86.1%
Miles Bergner punt for 50 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 31 yds to the NMex 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 2:1688% → 96%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
87.9%
Austin Apodaca run for 9 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
88.2%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Patrick ReedSimilar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
87.7%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the SDako 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
88.1%
Austin Apodaca run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 49Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+7
89.4%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 7 yds to the SDako 44Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+6
89.0%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Patrick Reed for 6 yds to the SDako 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
89.5%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Matt QuarellsSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
89.5%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Matt QuarellsSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+12
89.1%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Patrick Reed for 12 yds to the SDako 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
89.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
95.8%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Q' Drennan for 26 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDako 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.9%
Chris Streveler sacked by Donnie White for a loss of 1 yard to the SDako 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
93.6%
Chris Streveler run for 2 yds to the SDako 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
93.6%
Chris Streveler sacked by Dakota Cox for a loss of 6 yards to the SDako 26 Chris Streveler fumbled, recovered by NMex Nik D'Avanzo , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
93.9%
Chris Streveler pass complete to Trevor Bouma for 9 yds to the SDako 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:5096% → 96%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
95.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the SDako 22Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+1
95.5%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd to the SDako 21Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+10
95.4%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Matt Quarells for 10 yds to the SDako 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
95.5%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the SDako 9Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+1
95.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the SDako 8Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 7
OPP 8
-2
95.4%
Austin Apodaca sacked by Sean Bredl for a loss of 2 yards to the SDako 10Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
96.2%
Jason Sanders 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:594% → 8%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.2%
Trevor Bouma run for 4 yds to the SDako 29Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
96.0%
Chris Streveler pass complete to Trevor Bouma for 13 yds to the SDako 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
96.0%
Trevor Bouma run for no gain to the SDako 42Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
96.0%
Trevor Bouma run for 2 yds to the SDako 44Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+12
96.0%
Chris Streveler pass complete to Tacari Carpenter for 12 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
95.9%
Trevor Bouma run for 3 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
96.0%
Trevor Bouma run for no gain to the NMex 41Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+41
91.9%
Chris Streveler pass complete to Tacari Carpenter for 41 yds for a TD, (Miles Bergner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19FG
10 plays · 80 yds · 5:0094% → 97%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
93.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 7 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+10
93.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 10 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
93.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for 13 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-15
94.0%
WOODHOUSE, Diq. rush for 3 yards to the NM48 (Cline,Kameron), PENALTY NM personal foul (GRAMMEL, Char.) 15 yards to the NM30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 25
OWN 30
+60
93.6%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 60 yds to the SDako 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
94.1%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the SDako 6Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
94.1%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the SDako 3Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
93.9%
Richard McQuarley run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDako 5Similar
Q3 1:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
96.9%
Jason Sanders 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 20INT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:432% → 2%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.7%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Drew Potter for 6 yds to the SDako 31Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
97.5%
Trevor Bouma run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDako 29Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
97.6%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Aaron Ramsey for 12 yds to the SDako 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.5%
Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Tacari CarpenterSimilar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
97.5%
Trevor Bouma run for 3 yds to the SDako 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
98.0%
Ryan Saeger pass intercepted Dakota Cox return for no gain to the SDako 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:2998% → 100%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
98.3%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Patrick Reed for 15 yds to the SDako 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
98.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the SDako 32Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+10
98.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 10 yds to the SDako 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
98.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Charlie Grammel) to the SDako 27Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+6
98.3%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 6 yds to the SDako 21Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+7
98.3%
Richard McQuarley run for 7 yds to the SDako 14Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+14
99.8%
Richard McQuarley run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Khorey Kilgore run for 2 yds to the SDako 27Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Riley Donovan for 8 yds to the SDako 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Ryan Saeger run for 2 yds to the SDako 37Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Trystn Ducker run for 2 yds to the SDako 39Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-3
99.9%
Ryan Saeger pass complete to Khorey Kilgore for a loss of 3 yards to the SDako 36Similar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Miles Bergner punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 7 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 1 yd to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 1 yd to the NMex 29Similar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Austin Simmons run for 5 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Trystn Ducker run for 3 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Michael Fredrick run for 4 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Alonge BrooksSimilar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
99.9%
Austin Simmons run for 6 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 4
OPP 21
-10
99.9%
Simmons,Austin rush for 4 yards to the NM17, out-of-bounds, PENALTY USD holding (Fredrick,M.) 10 yards to the NM31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 14
OPP 31
-14
99.9%
Austin Simmons sacked by TEAM for a loss of 14 yards to the NMex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:52100% → 100%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.9%
Diquon Woodhouse run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 44Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+15
99.9%
JaJuan Lawson pass complete to Chris Davis Jr. for 15 yds to the SDako 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.9%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 3 yds to the SDako 38Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-1
99.9%
Javohn Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDako 39Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
99.9%
JaJuan Lawson pass incomplete to Chris Davis Jr.Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDako 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
100.0%
Khorey Kilgore run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDako 14Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+3
100.0%
Khorey Kilgore run for 3 yds to the SDako 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:10
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Q' Drennan for 26 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q2 5:19
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q2 13:45
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Matt Quarells for 62 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com