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BOIS

Boise State 45 at Louisiana 10

UL
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:49: Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — UL win probability +0.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:51: Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 42 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:26: Thomas Sperbeck pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 48 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:35: Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:29: Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 35 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 9 of 10BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:49UL 4th & 26 at UL 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:51UL 4th & 13 at BOIS 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:06BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 26, up 14
    Close callPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:50UL 4th & 15 at UL 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:59UL 4th & 1 at UL 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:07UL 4th & 14 at UL 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:17BOIS 4th & 10 at UL 25, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:43UL 4th & 18 at BOIS 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00UL 4th & 11 at BOIS 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UL 4th & 5 at UL 30, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:47BOIS 4th & 9 at BOIS 46, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:51UL 4th & 13 at UL 9, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:39BOIS 4th & 8 at UL 13, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:44BOIS 4th & 1 at UL 2, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:44UL 4th & 8 at BOIS 19, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:49BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:51BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:26BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:35BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:29BOIS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:53UL Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:44BOIS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:1189% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
11.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
11.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Alec DhaenensSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+28
11.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 28 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
11.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 7 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 39
-5
11.1%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Archie Lewis) to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+43
11.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 43 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
11.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 20 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-15
11.8%
McGuire, Elijah rush up middle for 2 yards to the UL47, PENALTY UL illegal block (Miller, Trevara) 15 yards to the UL30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 25
OWN 30
-6
11.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 31
OWN 24
0
11.7%
Anthony Jennings run for no gain to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 31
OWN 24
+5
11.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 26
OWN 29
0
11.6%
Steven Coutts punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:4488% → 89%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
12.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+10
12.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 10 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
12.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 9 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
12.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 5 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
12.1%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive offside (Tracy Walker) to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 5
OPP 42
+42
11.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 42 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 35 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
11.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
11.8%
Jennings, Anthony sideline pass incomplete to Bradley, Ja'Marcus, PENALTY BSU roughing passer (FRAZIER, Jabril) 15 yards to the UL41, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
12.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+16
11.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 16 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
12.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 1 yd to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-4
12.0%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+10
11.8%
Jennings, Anthony sideline pass incomplete to McGuire, Elijah, PENALTY BSU holding (WEAVER, Ben) 10 yards to the BSU37, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
12.0%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 15
OPP 42
-1
11.9%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 16
OPP 43
0
11.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Elijah McGuire, broken up by Darren LeeSimilar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 16
OPP 43
+3
11.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Darius Hoggins for 3 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 13
OPP 40
0
11.8%
Steven Coutts punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+13
11.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 13 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
11.8%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Alec Dhaenens) to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+13
11.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 13 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 2
OWN 25
0
11.7%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+1
11.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
11.9%
Sean Wale punt for 40 yds, downed at the LaLaf 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
12.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-6
12.4%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-5
12.1%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 15
OWN 29
-6
12.0%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Sam McCaskill for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 23 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 21
OWN 23
+6
12.0%
Anthony Jennings run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 15
OWN 29
0
12.0%
Steven Coutts punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:2988% → 92%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
12.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 8 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+7
11.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
12.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 20 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
8.1%
Thomas Sperbeck pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 48 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:279% → 9%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
9.0%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+6
9.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
9.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 1
OWN 38
-1
9.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Nick Byrne for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
2 plays · 37 yds · 0:1891% → 92%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+30
8.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 30 yds to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
7.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:287% → 5%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
6.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-10
6.6%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Jabril Frazier for a loss of 10 yards to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
4.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 40 yds, downed at the BoiSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:3893% → 92%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
6.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-1
6.8%
Akilian Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+10
6.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 10 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-9
6.7%
Brett Rypien sacked by Kevon Perry and Tre'maine Lightfoot for a loss of 9 yards to the BoiSt 48 Brett Rypien fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+15
6.8%
RYPIEN, Brett middle pass incomplete to WILSON, Cedrick, PENALTY UL personal foul (Walker, Tracy) 15 yards to the UL37, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
6.7%
Devan Demas run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
6.5%
Devan Demas run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
6.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+3
6.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
7.9%
Tyler Rausa 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12MISSED FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 4:344% → 5%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
4.4%
Jordan Wright run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
4.3%
Jordan Wright run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
4.3%
BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
4.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Dominick JonesSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
4.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
50
+14
4.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
4.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-5
4.9%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+6
4.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 6 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+14
4.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
5.0%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 15
OPP 24
-5
5.0%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 28 Anthony Jennings fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Anthony JenningsSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 19
OPP 28
0
4.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 19
OPP 28
+1
4.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 1 yd to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 18
OPP 27
+44
4.5%
Stevie Artigue 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 1:1494% → 97%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
5.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+6
5.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 6 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
5.7%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
5.8%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+18
5.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 18 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
5.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
5.6%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+35
2.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 35 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 1:292% → 2%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
2.4%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+36
2.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 36 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
2.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-7
2.5%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Leighton Vander Esch for a loss of 7 yards to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 17
OPP 47
+21
2.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 21 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
2.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Al RilesSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+7
2.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Matt Barnes for 7 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 3
OPP 19
-8
2.5%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Sam McCaskill for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+44
2.1%
Stevie Artigue 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.5%
Anthony Jennings run for no gain to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.4%
Anthony Jennings run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
3.4%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Elijah McGuireSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+6
3.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 48 yds , Akilian Butler returns for 6 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
2.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 17 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
1.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
1.9%
Thomas Sperbeck run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
2.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck, broken up by Dominick JonesSimilar
Q3 13:47
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
2.2%
Sean Wale punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
3.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+1
3.1%
Darius Hoggins run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 6
OWN 16
-7
3.2%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Tanner Vallejo and Sonatane Lui for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 13
OWN 9
-4
3.1%
Steven Coutts punt for 49 yds , Akilian Butler returns for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 6:1999% → 99%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
1.4%
Devan Demas run for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+11
1.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 11 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+5
1.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Devan Demas for 5 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
1.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 3 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+6
1.4%
Devan Demas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+5
1.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
1.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+9
1.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
1.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+9
1.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
1.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+3
1.4%
Devan Demas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 6
OPP 11
-2
1.4%
Devan Demas run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
1.2%
Tyler Rausa 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 6:461% → 0%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.8%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
0.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+23
0.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Nick Byrne for 23 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
0.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 6 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
0.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+5
0.6%
Jalen Nixon run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
0.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Jordan Wright for 4 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-13
0.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the BoiSt 49 TEAM fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Anthony JenningsSimilar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 19
OPP 49
+11
0.6%
Jalen Nixon run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q3 0:47
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+15
0.3%
Jennings, Anthony pass intercepted by FORD, Raymond at the BSU4, FORD, Raymond return to the UL44, PENALTY BSU pass interference (TYLER, Evan) 15 yards to the BSU23, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
0.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 4
OPP 17
-3
0.4%
Raymond Calais run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+7
0.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
0.4%
Jalen Nixon run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
0.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 6
-5
0.4%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+11
0.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 11 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:09100% → 100%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.4%
Devan Demas run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
0.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz Anderson, broken up by Troy McCollumSimilar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
0.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 6 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
0.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 18 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
0.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz Anderson, broken up by Troy McCollumSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+12
0.4%
Devan Demas run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
0.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+17
0.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
0.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+1
0.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
0.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Matt PistoneSimilar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
0.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 59 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
0.2%
BOISE ST Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 5
OWN 27
+4
0.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+8
0.1%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 8 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
0.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+17
0.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 17 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
0.2%
Jordan Wright run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+13
0.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Matt Barnes for 13 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
0.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
0.2%
Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
0.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 8
OPP 19
0
0.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 55 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
0.2%
Ryan Wolpin run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+2
0.2%
Thomas Stuart run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+31
0.2%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 31 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
0.1%
Ryan Wolpin run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+7
0.1%
Ryan Wolpin run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
0.1%
Ryan Wolpin run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
0.1%
Ryan Wolpin run for no gain to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:26
Thomas Sperbeck pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 48 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
-3.8
TD · Q2 1:29
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 35 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
-3
TD · Q2 12:35
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com