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RICE

Rice 17 at Stanford 41

STAN
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Jack Fox punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 15 STANFORD Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Pregame prior+20.1Home team on offense+34.7Score differential+30.1Garbage-time factor+10.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4Blowout margin+14.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:12: Keller Chryst pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 23 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:13: Jack Fox 29 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +1.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:04: Christian McCaffrey run for 19 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:00: Jowan Davis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +1.8 pts (now 3%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:34: Bryce Love run for 50 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7RICE made the numbers' call on 13 of 15
  1. Q1 15:00RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:12RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:12STAN 4th & 6 at RICE 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:03RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:45STAN 4th & 5 at RICE 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:08STAN 4th & 6 at RICE 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:25RICE 4th & 13 at STAN 48, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:25STAN 4th & 10 at RICE 38, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:01RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 11, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:12RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:12RICE 4th & 4 at STAN 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:13RICE 4th & 11 at STAN 12, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:54STAN 4th & 14 at RICE 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:42RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 13, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:34RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 23 at STAN 49, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:45STAN 4th & 6 at RICE 49, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:24RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 16, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:34STAN 4th & 11 at RICE 41, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:20RICE 4th & 1 at STAN 43, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:20RICE 4th & 6 at STAN 10, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:13RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 41, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:17STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:12STAN Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:04STAN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:00RICE Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:34STAN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:54STAN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:17RICE Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
97.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to V.J. Banks, broken up by Bobby OkerekeSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.9%
Jack Fox punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 1:3098% → 98%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
97.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 37Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+1
97.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 38Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+62
97.7%
Keller Chryst 62 Yd Run (Conrad Ukropina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
97.7%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
97.7%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
97.7%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
97.7%
Jack Fox punt for 47 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for no gain to the Stanf 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 3:1098% → 97%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
97.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 12 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
97.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+39
97.6%
Bryce Love run for 39 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
97.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+1
97.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Rice 11Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
97.6%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
97.3%
Conrad Ukropina 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.2%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
97.2%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Connor CellaSimilar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
97.3%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
97.3%
Jack Fox punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 7:3797% → 97%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.3%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Bryce LoveSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
97.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-5
97.3%
STANFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+5
97.2%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Bryce Love for 5 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+10
97.2%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Michael Rector for 10 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
97.3%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Michael Rector for 12 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
97.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+4
97.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+3
97.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+26
97.2%
Christian McCaffrey run for 26 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-6
96.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Rice 3 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 13Similar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-6
96.7%
Keller Chryst sacked by Blain Padgett for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 19Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+2
96.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+11
96.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 11 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q1 0:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
97.1%
Conrad Ukropina 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:403% → 3%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
96.7%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.7%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
96.7%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 6 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+13
96.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 13 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.6%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-3
96.5%
Jackson Tyner sacked by Kevin Palma and Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 48Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 13
OPP 48
0
96.6%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
96.7%
Jack Fox punt for 45 yds, downed at the Stanf 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 59 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
96.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 3
OWN 10
+2
97.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+1
96.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
97.0%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for no gain to the Stanf 13Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+7
97.0%
Bryce Love run for 7 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+42
96.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 42 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
97.1%
STANFORD Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+7
97.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-2
97.1%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Francis Owusu for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
97.0%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
96.9%
Jake Bailey punt for 30 yds, downed at the Rice 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
96.2%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by Peter KalambayiSimilar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+8
96.2%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Connor Cella for 8 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 2
OWN 16
0
96.2%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by Frank BuncomSimilar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 2
OWN 16
-5
96.3%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 11Similar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 7
OWN 11
+33
96.3%
Jack Fox punt for 45 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 33 yds to the Rice 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10TD
1 play · 23 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
98.4%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 23 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11FG
26 plays · 63 yds · 5:592% → 4%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.1%
Jackson Tyner run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
98.1%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
98.2%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
98.2%
Jackson Tyner run for 11 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.1%
Jackson Tyner run for 2 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.1%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Samuel StewartSimilar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+14
98.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
50
+3
98.0%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-1
98.0%
Jackson Tyner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 48Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+5
98.1%
TYNER, Jackson pass incomplete to WRIGHT, Zach, PENALTY STAN offside (Thomas,S) 5 yards to the STAN43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-1
98.0%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+8
98.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Connor Cella for 8 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
98.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Zach Wright for 2 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+5
97.9%
TYNER, Jackson pass incomplete to GRANSON, Kylen, PENALTY STAN offside (Thomas,S) 5 yards to the STAN29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+3
97.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Jowan Davis for 3 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
97.8%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
97.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+15
98.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Connor Cella for 15 yds to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
97.8%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+7
97.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Jowan Davis for 7 yds to the Stanf 4Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+2
98.0%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Stanf 2Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-10
98.0%
DAVIS, Jowan rush for 2 yards to the STAN0, clock 00:18, PENALTY RICE holding (ANDERSON, C.) 10 yards to the STAN12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
96.4%
Jack Fox 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
97.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
96.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-15
96.8%
Chryst,K pass complete to Thomas,T for 2 yards to the STAN45, out-of-bounds (BLASINGAME, JT), PENALTY STAN tripping 15 yards to the STAN28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 20
OWN 28
0
96.7%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 20
OWN 28
+24
96.5%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 24 yds Dalton Schultz fumbled, forced by Alex Lyons, recovered by Stanf Terrence Alexander for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.9%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Dalton SchultzSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
96.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-7
96.7%
Keller Chryst sacked by Preston Gordon for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
96.4%
Alex Robinson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nahshon Ellerbe at the Rice 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
96.7%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
96.8%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
96.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
96.9%
Jack Fox punt for 29 yds, downed at the Rice 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:4897% → 99%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
97.4%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Michael Rector for 8 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+10
97.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 10 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
97.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+19
98.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 19 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:041% → 3%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Samuel StewartSimilar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive offside (Solomon Thomas) to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
98.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 10 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.6%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
98.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 7 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
98.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.6%
Jackson Tyner run for 5 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+12
98.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 12 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
98.5%
RICE Penalty, false start (Trey Martin) to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+9
98.6%
Jowan Davis run for 9 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+13
98.4%
Jowan Davis run for 13 yds to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
98.4%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+7
98.4%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Connor Cella for 7 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
96.6%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:2098% → 99%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
97.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
50
0
97.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
50
+50
99.2%
Bryce Love run for 50 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Zach Wright for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by Justin ReidSimilar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+11
99.0%
Jack Fox punt for 33 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 11 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:4299% → 100%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
99.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+45
99.9%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Francis Owusu for 45 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+19
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for 19 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+12
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for 12 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 13
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 39
-10
99.9%
FOX, Jack punt 29 yards to the STAN10, fair catch by McCaffrey,C, PENALTY RICE holding (GREEN, DJ) 10 yards to the STAN49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 23
OPP 49
+34
99.9%
Jack Fox punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 15 STANFORD Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 18Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+6
99.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Bryce Love run for 11 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
99.9%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
Ryan Burns pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 7 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Alex Robinson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Nahshon Ellerbe at the Rice 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.9%
Jackson Tyner run for 2 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Jack Fox punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-8
99.9%
Ryan Burns sacked by Alex Lyons for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Jake Bailey punt for 33 yds, downed at the Rice 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24TD
17 plays · 92 yds · 6:030% → 1%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
100.0%
J.T. Granato pass complete to Lance Wright for 6 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+6
100.0%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the Rice 21Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+9
100.0%
GRANATO, JT pass incomplete to CELLA, Connor, QB hurry by Gutwald,M, PENALTY STAN pass interference (Perez,J) 9 yards to the RICE30, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
99.9%
J.T. Granato pass complete to Connor Cella for 18 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
J.T. Granato pass incomplete to Lance WrightSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 8 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
J.T. Granato run for 1 yd to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
J.T. Granato run for 1 yd to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
99.9%
J.T. Granato pass complete to Darik Dillard for 11 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
J.T. Granato pass incomplete to Lance WrightSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+17
99.9%
J.T. Granato pass complete to Darik Dillard for 17 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
J.T. Granato pass incomplete to Connor Cella, broken up by Frank BuncomSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.9%
J.T. Granato pass complete to Lance Wright for 4 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
99.9%
J.T. Granato pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+7
99.9%
J.T. Granato run for 7 yds to the Stanf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · -23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
99.6%
J.T. Granato sacked by Curtis Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
99.6%
J.T. Granato pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by Lewis BurikSimilar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 12
OWN 41
0
99.6%
J.T. Granato pass incomplete to Nate German, broken up by Calvin ChandlerSimilar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 12
OWN 41
-21
99.6%
J.T. Granato sacked by Curtis Robinson for a loss of 21 yards to the Rice 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
99.7%
Ryan Burns run for 14 yds to the Rice 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.7%
Ryan Burns run for 3 yds to the Rice 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:12
Keller Chryst pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 23 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q3 5:00
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)
-1.8
FG · Q2 0:13
Jack Fox 29 yd FG GOOD
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com