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UTAH

Utah 22 at Colorado 27

COLO
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGTDFGFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:28 · Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Oliver at the Colo 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 176Pregame prior+3.4Home team on offense+19.1Garbage-time factor+4.7Score differential+7.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 2:58: Andy Phillips 22 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +7.6 pts (now 41%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:00: Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 6 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK) — COLO win probability +18.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 13:53: Andy Phillips 23 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +9.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q4 10:56: Joe Williams run for a loss of 3 yards Joe Williams fumbled, forced by Rick Gamboa, recovered by Colo Kenneth Olugbode , return for 10 yds, (Davis Price KICK) — COLO win probability +15.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:34: Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UTAH win probability +25.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 8 of 11UTAH made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 13:52UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:36UTAH 4th & 10 at COLO 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    23.5%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:17COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 14, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:41COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:16UTAH 4th & 10 at COLO 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:58UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:20COLO 4th & 7 at UTAH 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:39UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.0%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:21COLO 4th & 2 at UTAH 2, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.4%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:38UTAH 4th & 11 at COLO 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:01COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.5
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00UTAH 4th & 4 at COLO 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%−2.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:09COLO 4th & 8 at COLO 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:54UTAH 4th & 4 at COLO 4, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.3%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−8.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:08COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:58UTAH 4th & 3 at COLO 3, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.2%−2.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−12.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:53UTAH 4th & 5 at COLO 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−12.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:44COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−2.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:46UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−2.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:05COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:36COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:28UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 49, down 11
    Close callPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%−0.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:53COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 47, up 11
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 2:58UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%−0.8
    average punt
  25. Q4 2:12UTAH 4th & 10 at COLO 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−0.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:00COLO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:00COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:34UTAH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    8.7%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0221% → 21%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.1%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.0%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-1
78.9%
Troy Williams sacked by Chidobe Awuzie for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 13:52
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+3
78.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 50 yds , Isaiah Oliver returns for 3 yds to the Colo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:5579% → 79%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
78.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 7 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
78.6%
Sefo Liufau run for 6 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
78.7%
Sefo Liufau run for no gain to the Colo 40 Sefo Liufau fumbled, forced by Kavika Luafatasaga, recovered by Utah Pita TaumoepenuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3222% → 22%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
78.2%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+2
78.0%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-7
77.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 40Similar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
78.0%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 35 yds, downed at the Colo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1478% → 76%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
77.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
77.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 10
OWN 5
+9
77.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 9 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q1 9:17
4TH & 1
OWN 14
+55
75.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 41 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 55 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2476% → 74%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
75.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-10
75.5%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 10 yards to the Colo 12Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 20
OWN 12
+5
75.1%
Sefo Liufau run for 5 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 15
OWN 17
+3
74.4%
Alex Kinney punt for 46 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 3 yds to the Utah 20 UTAH Penalty, Illegal Block (Tyrone Smith) to the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 4:5026% → 30%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
74.1%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+13
74.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 13 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
73.4%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+6
73.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 6 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+6
72.6%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
72.0%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Evan MoeaiSimilar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
71.9%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+13
71.4%
Troy Williams run for 13 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
70.8%
Troy Williams sacked by Addison Gillam for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+3
70.4%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
70.1%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+45
70.5%
Andy Phillips 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:0371% → 76%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
70.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+42
70.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 42 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
72.2%
Sefo Liufau run for 12 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
72.1%
Sefo Liufau run for 7 yds to the Utah 11Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+2
71.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Utah 9Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+7
70.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 7 yds to the Utah 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.4%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:3926% → 25%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
73.8%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
73.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
74.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q2 13:58
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-2
74.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 50 yds , Isaiah Oliver returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 4:3275% → 75%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
74.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
74.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 9 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+7
74.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
75.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 11 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
75.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 5 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+4
75.6%
Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+5
75.3%
Sefo Liufau run for 5 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
75.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
75.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+27
74.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kabion Ento for 27 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
75.7%
Sefo Liufau run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 10Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
75.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Utah 7Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
75.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
75.0%
Chris Graham 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1625% → 25%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.6%
Troy Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
74.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
75.4%
Troy Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
75.0%
Joe Williams run for no gain to the Utah 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:4777% → 79%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
76.9%
Jay MacIntyre run for 3 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+15
76.9%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dominique Hatfield) to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
76.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 12 yds to the Utah 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
76.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the Utah 1Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
76.8%
Sefo Liufau run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 2Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to George FrazierSimilar
Q2 5:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
79.2%
Chris Graham 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:0222% → 21%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
78.2%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for 5 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
77.5%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+18
77.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Harrison Handley for 18 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-9
76.1%
Troy Williams sacked by Jordan Carrell for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 19
OWN 48
+2
78.0%
Troy Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 17
50
+6
78.2%
Troy Williams run for 6 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
78.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Oliver at the Colo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:2778% → 78%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
78.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 6 yds to the Colo 15Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 4
OWN 15
0
78.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+2
77.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
78.1%
Alex Kinney punt for 35 yds, downed at the Utah 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5523% → 21%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
76.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
77.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Justin ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+6
78.0%
Troy Williams run for 6 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+51
78.8%
Troy Williams pass intercepted Tedric Thompson return for 51 yds to the Utah 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3679% → 77%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
78.6%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
77.6%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:09
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+15
76.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 30 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 15 yds to the Colo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:0926% → 30%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
73.8%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
74.0%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+30
73.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 30 yds to the Colo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
72.0%
Joe Williams run for 7 yds to the Colo 2Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
71.9%
Troy Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 4Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
73.1%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q3 11:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
70.5%
Andy Phillips 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3573% → 71%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
73.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 1 yd to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-4
72.4%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Hunter Dimick and Lowell Lotulelei for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 10:08
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
70.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 38 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for no gain to the Utah 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:3429% → 34%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
70.7%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+35
69.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 35 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
66.3%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+2
66.0%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+7
67.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 7 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
65.6%
Joe Williams run for 12 yds to the Colo 2 Joe Williams fumbled, forced by Ryan Moeller, recovered by Colo Chidobe AwuzieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19FUMBLE
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:3672% → 73%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
72.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 4Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+7
71.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the Colo 11Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+3
70.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 3 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
72.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
71.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Kabion EntoSimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+17
70.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 17 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
72.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+8
71.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 8 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+9
73.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 9 yds to the Colo 49 Sefo Liufau fumbled, forced by Chase Hansen, recovered by Utah Chris HartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20FG
5 plays · 46 yds · 0:4534% → 41%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+41
66.5%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for 41 yds to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
64.7%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the Colo 3Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
65.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q3 3:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
66.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q3 2:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+22
59.2%
Andy Phillips 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3065% → 88%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
64.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 24Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
64.3%
Sefo Liufau run for 7 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 1:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
63.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 12 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
67.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
66.4%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyreSimilar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+11
64.4%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Reginald Porter) to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+37
68.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 37 yds to the Utah 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
69.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
87.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 6 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:1825% → 31%
Q4 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
74.9%
Troy Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 5Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
77.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q4 13:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.9%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
69.5%
Andy Phillips 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:5075% → 73%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
74.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kabion Ento for 11 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
75.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
74.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Donovan Lee for 4 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
74.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyreSimilar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
72.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 51 yds, downed at the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4628% → 26%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
71.9%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
71.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
73.4%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
74.5%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 40 yds, downed at the Colo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:2576% → 74%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
76.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 5 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
77.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
75.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
73.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26FUMBLE TD
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
89.4%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 3 yards Joe Williams fumbled, forced by Rick Gamboa, recovered by Colo Kenneth Olugbode , return for 10 yds, (Davis Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2010% → 10%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
89.6%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
89.1%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
89.9%
Troy Williams pass intercepted Tedric Thompson return for no gain to the Colo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0892% → 91%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
91.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 9 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 1
OWN 36
-5
91.8%
Sefo Liufau run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
91.4%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+43
90.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 43 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 29PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:019% → 8%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.6%
Joe Williams run for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
90.9%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
90.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 8 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
90.6%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
90.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
90.8%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
90.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
92.2%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Oliver at the Colo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:0593% → 94%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
93.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the Colo 12Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+30
93.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 30 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
94.1%
Kyle Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+10
93.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 10 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
94.6%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
94.0%
Alex Kinney punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 31TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 2:116% → 33%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
93.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 8 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
94.6%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+15
94.8%
Joe Williams run for 15 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
93.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 12 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
93.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
93.4%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
93.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 10
OPP 44
+11
94.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 11 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
92.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+12
92.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 12 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
92.6%
Zack Moss run for 14 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
67.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 32END OF GAME
10 plays · 14 yds · 1:2093% → 95%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
93.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+2
94.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+9
94.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 9 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
95.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-1
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-1
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:34
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-25.5
TD · Q3 0:00
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 6 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK)
+18.3
FUMBLE · Q4 10:56
Joe Williams run for a loss of 3 yards Joe Williams fumbled, forced by Rick Gamboa, recovered by Colo Kenneth Olugbode , return for 10 yds, (Davis Price KICK)
+15.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com