Try the model
WASH

Washington 45 at Washington State 17

WSU
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2016 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:32 · Tristan Vizcaino punt for 41 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for 64 yds to the Wash 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Home team on offense−13.7Score differential−15.4Pregame prior−12.4Garbage-time factor−5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:04: Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 61 yds for a TD WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +5.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:23: Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +11.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:07: Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd for a TD WASHINGTON Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +11.4 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:21: Lavon Coleman run for 22 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +20.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:45: Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +10.3 pts (now 15%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q1 5:49WSU 4th & 13 at WASH 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−3.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:59WSU 4th & 14 at WSU 5, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:41WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 41, down 25
    Close callPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:32WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 29, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:06WSU 4th & 2 at WASH 2, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−7.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:56WSU 4th & 7 at WASH 32, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:45WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 34, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:53WSU 4th & 1 at WASH 1, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−7.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:49WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 30, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:36WASH 4th & 3 at WSU 23, up 25
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:07WASH 4th & 6 at WSU 41, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:33WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:45WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:04WASH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:23WASH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:07WSU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:21WASH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:45WSU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:56WASH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:2767% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
33.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 19Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+11
33.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 11 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
33.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcher, broken up by Jalen ThompsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+11
33.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 11 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+50
33.5%
Dante Pettis pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 50 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
33.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+10
33.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 10 yds to the WshSt 4Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
33.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
33.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 7 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+4
33.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 4 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
33.8%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+13
33.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 13 yds to the WshSt 46 Jamal Morrow fumbled, forced by DJ Beavers, recovered by Wash DJ BeaversSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:0867% → 70%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
33.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+10
33.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 10 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
33.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 13 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
33.3%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
33.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+12
33.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 12 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
33.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Peyton PelluerSimilar
Q1 9:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
33.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 8Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+18
30.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 18 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:4832% → 33%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
32.2%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+34
32.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 34 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
32.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 13
OPP 20
0
32.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 13
OPP 20
0
32.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to C.J. DimrySimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 13
OPP 20
+37
33.3%
Erik Powell 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:4568% → 73%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
32.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+9
32.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 9 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+61
27.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 61 yds for a TD WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
27.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Riley Sorenson) to the WshSt 5Similar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 14
OWN 5
0
27.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 14
OWN 5
+9
27.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 9 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 5
OWN 14
-9
27.1%
Luke Falk sacked by Keishawn Bierria for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 5Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 14
OWN 5
+16
27.1%
Erik Powell punt for 68 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 16 yds to the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:0874% → 86%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
25.7%
John Ross run for 6 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
25.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 3 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
25.9%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+23
25.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 23 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
25.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the WshSt 21Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+15
25.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 15 yds to the WshSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
13.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3015% → 16%
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
15.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
15.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 3 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+2
15.3%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
15.8%
Kyle Sweet punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
14.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+7
14.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 7 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
14.3%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 13
OWN 25
-3
14.4%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 16
OWN 22
+7
14.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 7 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+64
14.6%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 41 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for 64 yds to the Wash 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
16.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Cole Madison) to the Wash 11Similar
Q2 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
15.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
16.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the Wash 2Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
16.1%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the Wash 2Similar
Q2 10:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
15.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the Wash 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
12.6%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd to the Wash 2Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+16
12.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 16 yds John Ross fumbled, forced by Shalom Luani, recovered by WshSt Jalen ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:2413% → 26%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
13.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+10
13.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 10 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+8
14.2%
Luke Falk run for 8 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd for a TD WASHINGTON Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:4171% → 94%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
28.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+31
27.8%
John Ross run for 31 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
26.4%
Dante Pettis pass incomplete to Myles Gaskin, broken up by Darrien MoltonSimilar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
26.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 11 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
26.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Darrell DanielsSimilar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+12
26.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 12 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
6.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 22 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14INT
15 plays · 66 yds · 2:447% → 5%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
6.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
7.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe Marks, broken up by Taylor RappSimilar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
7.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 6 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
7.2%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+13
6.2%
James Williams run for 13 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
7.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 3 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
7.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+10
7.6%
Falk, Luke pass complete to Martin Jr., Tav for 9 yards to the WASH35 (McIntosh, Jojo), PENALTY WASH holding (Rapp, Taylor) 10 yards to the WASH34, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
8.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-1
9.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 26Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+17
5.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 17 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
5.3%
Luke Falk pass intercepted, touchback. DJ Beavers return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
4.5%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
19 plays · 69 yds · 6:114% → 15%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
4.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 9 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 1
OWN 40
-1
4.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+4
4.6%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
4.6%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+18
4.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 18 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
5.0%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
5.2%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+1
5.1%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 2
OPP 27
-5
5.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Cody O'Connell) to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+8
4.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 8 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
5.2%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
5.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+4
4.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 4 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+10
4.9%
Falk, Luke rush for loss of 4 yards to the WASH23, PENALTY WASH holding 10 yards to the WASH9, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
5.2%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete, PENALTY WSU personal foul (Morrow, Jamal) 15 yards to the WASH24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 24
0
4.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 24
+15
4.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 15 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
14.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.6%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
11.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
11.8%
Aaron Fuller run for 1 yd to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
12.0%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 48 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for no gain to the WshSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18DOWNS
17 plays · 81 yds · 0:0012% → 14%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
12.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for no gain to the WshSt 18Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
12.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+13
12.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 13 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
12.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for no gain to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+10
12.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 10 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
13.5%
Luke Falk sacked by Damion Turpin for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 35Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+19
12.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 19 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
14.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+13
13.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 13 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
14.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
14.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+18
13.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 18 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
14.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 10 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
14.7%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the Wash 3Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
14.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
14.4%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the Wash 1Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
14.3%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
10 plays · 98 yds · 4:4194% → 99%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
5.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+4
5.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 4 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+14
5.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 14 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
5.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+8
5.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 8 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
5.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
5.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 9 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+38
5.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 23 yds to the WASHST 30 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, roughing passer (Frankie Luvu) to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
4.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
0.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 15 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
0.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 8 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+1
0.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 1 yd to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
0.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
0.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr., broken up by Kevin KingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
0.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
0.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
0.4%
Cameron Van Winkle 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
0.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 12 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
0.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+18
0.3%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Budda Baker return for 3 yds to the 50 yard line WASHINGTON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Benning Potoa'e) to the Wash 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
0.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+7
0.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+2
0.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
0.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+10
0.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 10 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
0.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+2
0.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-4
0.3%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
0.4%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Jordan Miller return for no gain to the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
0.1%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 11
OWN 42
-2
0.1%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 13
OWN 40
-2
0.1%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:21
Lavon Coleman run for 22 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-20
TD · Q1 0:23
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-11.6
TD · Q2 6:07
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd for a TD WASHINGTON Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined, (Erik Powell KICK)
+11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com