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STAN

Stanford 45 at California 31

CAL
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:56 · Davis Webb punt for 52 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior−28.1Home team on offense+0.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:51: Tre Watson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +5.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:27: Christian McCaffrey run for 90 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +10.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:07: Christian McCaffrey run for 11 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +12.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:25: Tre Watson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +15.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:31: Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +12.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 6 of 8STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00STAN 4th & 16 at STAN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:56CAL 4th & 9 at CAL 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:30STAN 4th & 7 at CAL 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    72.3%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:19CAL 4th & 3 at CAL 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:53STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:22CAL 4th & 3 at STAN 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.5%−0.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:22STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:06CAL 4th & 8 at CAL 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00CAL 4th & 5 at STAN 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    34.3%−2.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:22CAL 4th & 11 at STAN 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:31CAL 4th & 6 at CAL 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:26STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:10CAL 4th & 21 at CAL 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:35CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:03STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:51CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:48STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:27STAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:07STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:25CAL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:31STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:17STAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:01CAL Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
20.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+5
20.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 5 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+1
20.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
20.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
20.6%
Keller Chryst pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-8
20.6%
Keller Chryst sacked by DeVante Wilson for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 23
0
20.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
23.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 70 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 0:3277% → 78%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+11
23.3%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Cal 45 Noah Beito kickoff for 36 yds , Kevin Palma return for 11 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+29
22.9%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Greg Taboada for 29 yds to the Cal 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
22.1%
Keller Chryst run for 16 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
22.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 8 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+3
22.8%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 3 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
22.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Khalfani Muhammad for 3 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
22.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 9 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
22.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 42Similar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+6
22.7%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 6 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
22.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Vic Wharton III for no gain to the Cal 48Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
22.7%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
22.6%
Davis Webb punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
23.8%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+36
23.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 36 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
23.3%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
23.2%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
23.3%
Keller Chryst pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
23.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 29 yds, downed at the Cal 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
24.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+8
24.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 8 yds to the Cal 15Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+3
24.6%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Cal 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
24.9%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Cal 20Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+5
24.9%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Wharton III, Vi (Hoffpauir,Z), PENALTY STAN offside (Alfieri,J) 5 yards to the CAL25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 3
OWN 25
0
25.1%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
24.7%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
24.4%
Dylan Klumph punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
25.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-10
24.9%
Chryst,K pass incomplete to Rector,M, PENALTY STAN holding (Hall,AT) 10 yards to the STAN33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-4
25.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Bryce Love for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+5
25.9%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 5 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
26.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 49 yds , Vic Wharton III returns for no gain to the Cal 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 3:4627% → 36%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
27.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Billy McCrary III for 1 yd to the Cal 18Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
27.1%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+13
26.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 13 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
27.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Malik McMorris for 20 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
28.2%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
28.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+10
28.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Tre Watson for 10 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
28.5%
STANFORD Penalty, (Casey Toohill) to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 5
OPP 30
+4
28.5%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
30.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Tre Watson for 14 yds to the Stanf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
30.4%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Stanf 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+4
30.4%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
35.9%
Tre Watson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:0066% → 71%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
33.8%
Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+5
32.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
33.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-5
32.7%
STANFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 42Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+13
33.5%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 13 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
32.5%
Keller Chryst run for 1 yd to the Cal 44Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+31
32.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 31 yds to the Cal 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
31.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Cal 10Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+1
31.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Cal 9Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
29.1%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 9 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:2633% → 35%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
32.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 33Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
32.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bug Rivera, broken up by Ben EdwardsSimilar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+22
31.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Khalfani Muhammad for 22 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
34.8%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 16 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
35.2%
Tre Watson run for 8 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
35.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad Hansen, broken up by Peter KalambayiSimilar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 2
OPP 21
-1
34.4%
Khalfani Muhammad run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 22Similar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
34.7%
Matt Anderson 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
31.2%
Christian McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+3
30.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
30.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-5
30.8%
STANFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+9
31.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
30.3%
Keller Chryst pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+4
31.8%
Jake Bailey punt for 39 yds , Vic Wharton III returns for 4 yds to the Cal 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
36.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Tre Watson for 17 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
38.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bug RiveraSimilar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
37.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bug RiveraSimilar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+2
36.2%
Davis Webb run for 2 yds to the Cal 46 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
35.4%
Davis Webb punt for 49 yds, downed at the Stanf 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 1:5966% → 72%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
33.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+3
33.5%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+32
33.3%
Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 32 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
29.5%
Chryst,K pass incomplete to Rector,M, PENALTY STAN holding off-setting, PENALTY CAL pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
31.0%
Keller Chryst run for 13 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
31.3%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
31.6%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Christian McCaffreySimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+11
32.5%
Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 11 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
30.5%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 5 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
30.6%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Trenton Irwin, broken up by Ashtyn DavisSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+40
28.1%
Conrad Ukropina 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
31.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 10 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
32.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 8 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
34.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 6 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
34.7%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
34.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 5 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
34.6%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
32.8%
Davis Webb punt for 38 yds, downed at the Stanf 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15TD
2 plays · 92 yds · 0:5369% → 79%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
31.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+90
21.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 90 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 3:0520% → 25%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
20.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 6 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
21.0%
Davis Webb pass incomplete, broken up by Mike TylerSimilar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
20.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Raymond Hudson for 4 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
20.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 6 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
21.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 5 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
21.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Demetris Robertson, broken up by Ben EdwardsSimilar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
21.4%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the Cal 46Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+29
20.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Khalfani Muhammad for 29 yds to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
23.5%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-1
23.4%
Khalfani Muhammad run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 26Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
21.9%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Khalfani MuhammadSimilar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+43
25.2%
Matt Anderson 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17TD
13 plays · 61 yds · 5:1178% → 90%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
22.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+13
22.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 13 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
21.8%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
21.9%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+10
22.2%
Christian McCaffrey run for 10 yds to the Cal 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
21.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+3
21.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+1
21.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
21.3%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Dalton SchultzSimilar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
21.5%
Bryce Love run for 7 yds to the Cal 15Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+4
21.9%
Keller Chryst run for 4 yds to the Cal 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
9.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 11 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:3513% → 30%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
12.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 9 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
13.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 1 yd to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
12.9%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bug RiveraSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
12.6%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 6 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+9
13.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Raymond Hudson for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
50
+13
14.1%
Tre Watson run for 13 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
14.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+20
14.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 20 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
15.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 7 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 10
0
15.1%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bug RiveraSimilar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+6
14.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Malik McMorris for 6 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 0
OPP 4
-10
16.7%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Hansen, Chad (Meeks,Q), PENALTY CAL holding (Moore, Steven) 10 yards to the STAN14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+6
14.7%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
29.9%
Tre Watson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:4978% → 93%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
22.2%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-1
21.3%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+59
22.3%
Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 59 yds to the Cal 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
19.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Cal 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
19.0%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Greg Taboada for 5 yds to the Cal 1Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
10.8%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 2 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
10.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 2 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
10.7%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Khalfani MuhammadSimilar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+11
10.4%
Dylan Klumph punt for 40 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 11 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
6.6%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 39Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+6
6.9%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-3
6.7%
Keller Chryst run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+10
7.5%
Jake Bailey punt for 48 yds , Vic Wharton III returns for 10 yds to the Cal 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
7.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 6 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
7.7%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad Hansen, broken up by Quenton MeeksSimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
7.4%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Robertson, Deme, PENALTY STAN offside (Kalambayi,P) 5 yards to the CAL31, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
7.6%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 1 yd to the Cal 32Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-7
7.6%
Bug Rivera run for a loss of 7 yards to the Cal 25Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 16
OWN 25
-5
6.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Tre Watson for a loss of 5 yards to the Cal 20 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 21
OWN 20
0
6.9%
Dylan Klumph punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:5795% → 100%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
4.8%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Dalton Schultz, broken up by Cameron SaffleSimilar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
5.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+15
4.8%
Chryst,K pass incomplete to Rector,M (Davis, Ashtyn), PENALTY CAL pass interference (Davis, Ashtyn) 15 yards to the CAL41, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
4.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+6
4.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
3.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Cal 30Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+30
0.5%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 30 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 1:091% → 4%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
1.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 17 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
1.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for no gain to the Cal 33Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+36
1.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 36 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
1.4%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Hansen, Chad (Meeks,Q), PENALTY STAN pass interference (Meeks,Q) 15 yards to the STAN16, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
1.4%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Raymond HudsonSimilar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
1.4%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Raymond Hudson CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+16
3.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 25END OF HALF
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5998% → 98%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
2.2%
Bryce Love run for 7 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+4
2.1%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
1.7%
Ryan Burns run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 32 Ryan Burns fumbled, recovered by Stanf Ryan BurnsSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+8
1.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 8 yds to the Cal 24Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
1.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Cal 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:25
Tre Watson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)
+15.2
TD · Q3 4:07
Christian McCaffrey run for 11 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)
-12.2
TD · Q4 12:31
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com