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WSU

Washington State 24 at Colorado 38

COLO
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:08 · Davis Price 38 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior+7.1Home team on offense−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:35: Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK) — COLO win probability +10.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:06: Sefo Liufau run for 7 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK) — COLO win probability +15.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:18: Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 7 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +26.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:30: Sefo Liufau run for 11 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK) — COLO win probability +18.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:09: Chris Graham 46 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +10.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 13:27WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:31WSU 4th & 1 at COLO 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.7%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:31WSU 4th & 6 at COLO 34, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.5%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:08COLO 4th & 2 at WSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    65.6%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:30COLO 4th & 9 at WSU 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:11WSU 4th & 7 at COLO 26, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.0%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    44.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−3.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:23WSU 4th & 10 at COLO 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:12COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:45WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:08COLO 4th & 10 at WSU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−4.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:52WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:43COLO 4th & 7 at WSU 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−1.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:58WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.4%−2.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:17WSU 4th & 4 at COLO 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    32.6%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−11.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:09COLO 4th & 5 at WSU 27, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−11.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:42WSU 4th & 12 at WSU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−2.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:40COLO 4th & 6 at WSU 33, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:34COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:27WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:30WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:35COLO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:06COLO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:18WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:30COLO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:18COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:2436% → 36%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
64.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe Marks, broken up by Ahkello WitherspoonSimilar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
64.2%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Martin Jr., Tavares, PENALTY COLORADO pass interference (Oliver, Isaiah) 15 yards to the WASHST43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
64.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
64.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 6 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
64.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
64.0%
Kyle Sweet punt for 33 yds, downed at the Colo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 2:4664% → 66%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
64.1%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+13
64.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kabion Ento for 13 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
64.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
64.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+3
64.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 3 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
64.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin Ross, broken up by Shalom LuaniSimilar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
64.2%
Sefo Liufau run for 7 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+8
64.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 8 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
64.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
64.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+22
64.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 22 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
66.0%
Phillip Lindsay 9 Yd Run (Davis Price Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 2:4635% → 38%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
65.4%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
65.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+18
65.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 18 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
65.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to C.J. DimrySimilar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
65.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-5
65.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Andre Dillard) to the WshSt 37Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+14
66.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 14 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+3
65.7%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+32
65.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 32 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
62.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 14 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:4864% → 63%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
63.5%
Sefo Liufau run for 5 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
63.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Colo 38 Phillip Lindsay fumbled, recovered by WshSt Frankie LuvuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5MISSED FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5238% → 37%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
62.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
62.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
62.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal Morrow, broken up by N.J. FaloSimilar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+51
62.9%
Erik Powell 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:2364% → 64%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
63.5%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (George Frazier) to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+5
63.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 5 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+29
63.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 29 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
64.4%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Tim Lynott) to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+8
64.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 8 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
64.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+2
64.3%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 2
OPP 28
0
63.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Sean IrwinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:3237% → 43%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
62.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John Thompson, broken up by Tedric ThompsonSimilar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+26
62.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 26 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
56.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 46 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:5058% → 57%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
58.1%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin Ross, broken up by Jalen ThompsonSimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+8
57.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 8 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+4
57.5%
Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+31
57.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 31 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
59.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-2
58.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
58.1%
Sefo Liufau run for no gain to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
56.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the WshSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 67 yds · 4:0444% → 47%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
56.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 3 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+8
56.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 8 yds to the WshSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+42
55.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 42 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
53.7%
James Williams run for no gain to the Colo 40Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
53.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to C.J. Dimry for 11 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
52.8%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
52.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
52.9%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 7
OPP 26
0
53.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 2:2254% → 67%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
54.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 9 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+10
55.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 10 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
55.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Kabion EntoSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+21
54.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 21 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
56.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay Fields, broken up by Treshon BroughtonSimilar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
56.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 8 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+12
55.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 12 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
57.6%
Sefo Liufau run for 9 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+2
56.5%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.5%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 3:0140% → 44%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
60.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
60.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+16
61.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to C.J. Dimry for 16 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
58.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
59.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 5 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+15
58.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 15 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
57.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
57.4%
James Williams run for 11 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+18
56.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 18 yds to the Colo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
56.4%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-5
56.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Colo 16Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 15
OPP 16
0
57.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 15
OPP 16
+5
58.5%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Marks, Gabe, PENALTY COLORADO offside (Carrell, Jordan) 5 yards to the COLORADO11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
57.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr., broken up by Nick FisherSimilar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
56.4%
Erik Powell 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0258% → 56%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 5 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
58.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
57.0%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
55.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the WshSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1246% → 46%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
54.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
53.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 7 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-5
52.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Andre Dillard) to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+3
53.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 3 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
54.1%
Kyle Sweet punt for 1 yd, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:3160% → 57%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
59.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 4 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
60.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+23
59.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 23 yds to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
59.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Kabion EntoSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
59.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Kabion Ento, broken up by Darrien MoltonSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
57.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
56.5%
Davis Price 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
55.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 3:3656% → 73%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
55.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 30Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
54.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin Ross, broken up by Shalom LuaniSimilar
Q3 14:23
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+10
53.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 10 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
57.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+15
57.1%
Liufau, Sefo pass incomplete to Ross, Devin, PENALTY WASHST face mask (Oguayo, Nnamdi) 15 yards to the WASHST43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLORADO.Similar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
58.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
57.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 5 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+8
57.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 8 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
58.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 8 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 2
OPP 22
-1
58.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+16
56.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 16 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
72.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 7 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:5832% → 28%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
67.8%
Luke Falk run for 2 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+20
68.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 20 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
66.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
66.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
69.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr., broken up by Isaiah OliverSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+3
71.6%
Kyle Sweet punt for 45 yds , Isaiah Oliver returns for 3 yds to the Colo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 2:5971% → 73%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
70.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 8 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+3
71.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
71.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+14
70.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 14 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
72.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 2
50
+9
73.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 9 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
74.0%
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-5
73.9%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Alex Kelley) to the WshSt 45Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+3
72.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kyle Evans for 3 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+4
73.1%
Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q3 5:43
4TH & 7
OPP 38
+5
72.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 5 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:1626% → 56%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
73.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 5 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
71.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
72.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for no gain to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+30
75.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 30 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
69.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe Marks, broken up by Isaiah OliverSimilar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+21
69.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 21 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
43.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 7 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4253% → 78%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
52.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 12 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
53.5%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+27
55.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 27 yds Phillip Lindsay fumbled, forced by Treshon Broughton, recovered by Colo Kabion Ento for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
60.2%
Sefo Liufau run for no gain to the WshSt 33Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
59.7%
Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+15
57.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 15 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
59.9%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
78.1%
Sefo Liufau run for 11 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:0324% → 25%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
75.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 2 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Chidobe Awuzie) to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
72.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 8 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+16
72.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 16 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
70.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the Colo 23Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+5
70.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
72.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+3
74.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 3 yds to the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:5874% → 89%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
74.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 16Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+2
74.1%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+17
73.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 17 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
75.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
77.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
77.5%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
50
0
77.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Kabion EntoSimilar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 7
50
+18
76.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 18 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
80.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+1
80.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
78.5%
Steven Montez run for no gain to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+46
88.6%
Chris Graham 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2014% → 12%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-9
85.5%
Luke Falk sacked by Addison Gillam for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
88.3%
Kyle Sweet punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Oliver at the Colo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:1490% → 98%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
89.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 6 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
91.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
91.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 5 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+23
92.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 23 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
93.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the WshSt 26Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
93.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kabion Ento for 8 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+5
92.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 13 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25FUMBLE
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:123% → 2%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
97.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 6 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
97.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to C.J. Dimry, broken up by Tedric ThompsonSimilar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
97.6%
Luke Falk sacked by Jimmie Gilbert for 0 yards to the WshSt 37 Luke Falk fumbled, forced by Jimmie Gilbert, recovered by Colo Addison Gillam , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5898% → 98%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
98.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
98.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+4
98.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 1
OPP 28
-5
98.5%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Sean Irwin) to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+3
98.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 27INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:092% → 2%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
97.6%
Falk, Luke pass pass intercepted by Oliver, Isaiah at the COLORADO27, Oliver, Isaiah return 0 yards to the COLORADO27, PENALTY COLORADO offside 5 yards to the WASHST36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 5
OWN 36
+11
97.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 11 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
97.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Robert Lewis) to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+2
97.8%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Tedric Thompson return for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
50
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:18
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 7 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
-26.2
TD · Q3 0:30
Sefo Liufau run for 11 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK)
+18.3
TD · Q3 11:06
Sefo Liufau run for 7 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK)
+15.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com