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ASU

Arizona State 18 at Washington 44

WASH
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:38 · Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:08: Dante Pettis 46 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +3.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:16: Lavon Coleman 1 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +2.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:27: Jay Jay Wilson 18 Yd pass from Manny Wilkins (Manny Wilkins Pass to Jay Jay Wilson for Two-Point Conversion) — ASU win probability +2.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:10: Jay Jay Wilson 9 Yd pass from Manny Wilkins (Zane Gonzalez Kick) — ASU win probability +2.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:03: Keishawn Bierria 45 Yd on-side Kickoff Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ASU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:33ASU 4th & 11 at WASH 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:14WASH 4th & 15 at ASU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:49WASH 4th & 12 at ASU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:42ASU 4th & 14 at ASU 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:25ASU 4th & 14 at ASU 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:28WASH 4th & 14 at WASH 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:06ASU 4th & 11 at ASU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:09ASU 4th & 15 at ASU 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:49WASH 4th & 5 at ASU 5, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:51ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 24, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:24WASH 4th & 4 at ASU 7, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:17ASU 4th & 16 at WASH 32, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:22WASH 4th & 6 at ASU 35, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:27ASU 4th & 18 at WASH 18, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:10ASU 4th & 8 at WASH 9, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:17ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 29, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:08WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:08WASH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:16WASH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:27ASU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.2%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:33WASH Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:10ASU Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:03WASH Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:205% → 5%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
95.4%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Connor O'Brien) to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Demario Richard for no gain to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
95.2%
Demario Richard run for 8 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+6
95.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Tim White for 6 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
95.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
95.0%
Kalen Ballage run for no gain to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-1
94.8%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Budda Baker and Psalm Wooching for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
94.7%
Matt Haack punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2FUMBLE
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:1495% → 94%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
94.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+8
94.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 8 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
94.5%
Chico McClatcher run for 10 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
94.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 6 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
94.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+10
94.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
94.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
94.2%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Andrew Kirkland) to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 15
OPP 49
0
94.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 15
OPP 49
0
94.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 15
OPP 49
+2
93.9%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 39 yds , Tim White returns for 2 yds to the ArzSt 11 Tim White fumbled, forced by Taylor Rapp, recovered by Wash Jake BrowningSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:1294% → 94%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
94.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-3
94.0%
Jake Browning run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 12
OPP 13
0
93.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Lavon ColemanSimilar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+30
93.8%
Cameron Van Winkle 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:566% → 6%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
93.8%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-8
93.7%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Budda Baker for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 15
OWN 14
+1
93.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 1 yd to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 14
OWN 15
+5
93.6%
Matt Haack punt for 44 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 5 yds to the Wash 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5INT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5494% → 93%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
93.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 9 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+1
93.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
93.3%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 13
OPP 47
0
93.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Lavon ColemanSimilar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+13
92.7%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Kareem Orr return for 13 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -18 yds · 1:477% → 8%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
92.6%
Kalen Ballage pass complete to Tim White for 3 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-14
92.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 41 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (A.J. McCollum) to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 21
OWN 26
-7
92.4%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Tevis Bartlett for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 28
OWN 19
+15
92.4%
Matt Haack punt for 48 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 15 yds to the Wash 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5192% → 92%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
92.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Maurice ChandlerSimilar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
92.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 9 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-5
92.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Will Dissly) to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+69
92.0%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Koron Crump return for 59 yds to the Wash 0 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Maurice Chandler) to the Wash 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:469% → 9%
Q2 14:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
91.2%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Frederick GammageSimilar
Q2 14:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
91.1%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
91.1%
Manny Wilkins pass intercepted, by Kevin King for a touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3391% → 93%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
91.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+75
93.1%
Chico McClatcher 75 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:297% → 7%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.1%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+24
92.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 24 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
92.4%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
92.4%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (Raymond Epps) to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+1
92.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 1 yd to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
92.7%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
92.9%
Matt Haack punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:5093% → 92%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
92.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+7
92.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 7 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
92.4%
Chico McClatcher run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 14
OWN 22
0
92.1%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 14
OWN 22
0
92.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Drew SampleSimilar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
91.7%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:138% → 8%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
91.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+2
91.8%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
91.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 6
OWN 44
-5
92.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+3
92.4%
Matt Haack punt for 48 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 3 yds to the Wash 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:4992% → 96%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+24
92.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 24 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
92.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 15 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
92.5%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+46
95.8%
Dante Pettis 46 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:395% → 5%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.0%
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
95.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-7
95.1%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Ezekiel Turner and Vita Vea for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
95.3%
Matt Haack punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 1:4196% → 98%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
95.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 15 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
96.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 9 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+11
96.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 11 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
96.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 9 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+11
96.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 11 yds to the ArzSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
96.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 6 yds to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.0%
Lavon Coleman 1 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
97.2%
Demario Richard run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 5:0198% → 100%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
97.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 5 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 5 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+8
97.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
98.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 6 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+7
98.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
98.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 5 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+10
98.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 10 yds to the ArzSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
98.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+8
98.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 8 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
98.2%
Coleman, Lavon rush for 8 yards to the ARIZONAST0, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Shelton, Coleman) 10 yards to the ARIZONAST18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
+11
98.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 11 yds to the ArzSt 7 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offside Defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
98.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q3 9:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
99.7%
Cameron Van Winkle 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.7%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+5
99.7%
Manny Wilkins run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+2
99.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Demario Richard for 2 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Matt Haack punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
99.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 14 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.8%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 7
50
+19
99.8%
Jake Browning run for 19 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.8%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 5
OPP 26
+13
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 13 yds to the ArzSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 6 yds to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Lavon ColemanSimilar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
99.8%
Cameron Van Winkle 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frederick Gammage for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
99.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 8 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
99.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 23 yds to the WASHINGTON 41 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Psalm Wooching) to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-9
99.7%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Elijah Qualls for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 35Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 19
OPP 35
-3
99.7%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Tevis Bartlett for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 38Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 22
OPP 38
+6
99.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 6 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 16
OPP 32
+50
99.8%
Zane Gonzalez 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 40 yds · 3:46100% → 100%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 8 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 4 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Fuller, Aaron, PENALTY ARIZONAST pass interference (Hayes, Gump) 6 yards to the WASHINGTON47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 7 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+7
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:470% → 2%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 11 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+37
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 37 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 5 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+9
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 9 yds to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the Wash 2Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.9%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 3Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
99.9%
Ballage, Kalen rush for 3 yards to the WASHINGTON0, PENALTY ARIZONAST personal foul (Wilson, Jay Jay) 15 yards to the WASHINGTON18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Demario RichardSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+18
97.8%
Jay Jay Wilson 18 Yd pass from Manny Wilkins (Manny Wilkins Pass to Jay Jay Wilson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 0:4399% → 100%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+45
99.9%
Myles Gaskin 45 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24TD
15 plays · 87 yds · 3:110% → 2%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Tim White for 12 yds to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+36
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 36 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Ryan JenkinsSimilar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal Harry, broken up by Kevin KingSimilar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+15
99.9%
Wilkins, Manny pass incomplete to White, Tim, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference (Beaver, Brandon) 15 yards to the WASHINGTON22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONAST.Similar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Ryan Jenkins for 9 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the Wash 4Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 3
OPP 4
-5
99.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (A.J. McCollum) to the Wash 9Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+9
97.9%
Jay Jay Wilson 9 Yd pass from Manny Wilkins (Zane Gonzalez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Nick Ralston run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
100.0%
Manny Wilkins run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Matt Haack punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:39100% → 100%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
99.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Shane Brostek) to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+10
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 10 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Jomon Dotson run for 2 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:08
Dante Pettis 46 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+3.3
TD · Q4 10:27
Jay Jay Wilson 18 Yd pass from Manny Wilkins (Manny Wilkins Pass to Jay Jay Wilson for Two-Point Conversion)
-2.2
TD · Q4 6:10
Jay Jay Wilson 9 Yd pass from Manny Wilkins (Zane Gonzalez Kick)
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com