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CAL

California 21 at Washington State 56

WSU
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:48 · Dylan Klumph punt for 48 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 75 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+38.2Home team on offense+0.2Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:04: Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +3.1 pts (now 15%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:41: Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 22 yds for a TD CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Offside declined, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:37: Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 5 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +5.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:13: Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 9 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:53: Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 19 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +2.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CAL made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:48CAL 4th & 8 at CAL 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:47CAL 4th & 3 at CAL 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:43CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.6%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:27CAL 4th & 19 at WSU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−1.0
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:19WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:39CAL 4th & 13 at CAL 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:11WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 30, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:24CAL 4th & 1 at WSU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:35WSU 4th & 12 at WSU 30, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:48CAL 4th & 10 at CAL 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:48CAL 4th & 25 at WSU 25, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CAL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:10WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:04CAL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:41WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:37WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:13WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:53CAL Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:49WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:00CAL Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:54WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:11WSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5211% → 11%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Cal 25Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.6%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
88.6%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+75
88.7%
Dylan Klumph punt for 48 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 75 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:5011% → 12%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 9 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
88.5%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 3 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
88.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 4 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
88.5%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 5 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-2
88.4%
Khalfani Muhammad run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 44Similar
Q1 11:47
4TH & 3
OWN 44
-3
88.4%
Dylan Klumph punt for 41 yds , Robert Taylor returns for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3INT
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:0188% → 88%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
88.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 15 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
88.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
88.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+21
88.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 21 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
88.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 9 yds to the Cal 39Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+12
88.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 12 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
88.4%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST holding (Madison, Cole) 10 yards to the CALIFORNIA37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+8
88.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+35
88.3%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Khari Vanderbilt return for 20 yds to the Cal 32 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Sideline Interference (TEAM) to the Cal 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:1212% → 12%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
87.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 12Similar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
88.0%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+25
87.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 10 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
87.8%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the Cal 37Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
87.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
87.9%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
87.9%
Dylan Klumph punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:4688% → 90%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
87.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
87.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 7 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
88.1%
James Williams run for 12 yds to the WASHST 47 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 8
OWN 43
+15
88.0%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Marks, Gabe, PENALTY CALIFORNIA personal foul 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
88.0%
Gerard Wicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 44Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+32
87.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 32 yds to the Cal 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
87.9%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the Cal 6Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+4
87.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the Cal 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
87.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
87.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:5411% → 15%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
89.2%
Tre Watson run for 7 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
89.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 4 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
88.8%
Webb, Davis pass complete to Stovall, Melquise for 2 yards to the CALIFORNIA38, PENALTY WASHST offside 5 yards to the CALIFORNIA41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+2
88.6%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
88.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 2 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
88.6%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Cal 45 Tre Watson fumbled, recovered by Cal Tre WatsonSimilar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+3
88.8%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
88.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 8
50
-15
88.6%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Hansen, Chad, PENALTY CALIFORNIA personal foul (Wallace, Dwayne) 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 23
OWN 35
0
89.0%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bug RiveraSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 23
OWN 35
+59
89.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 59 yds to the WshSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
88.0%
Khalfani Muhammad run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 8Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
85.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1687% → 90%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
86.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 8 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+35
86.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 35 yds to the Cal 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
87.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the Cal 22Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+10
87.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 10 yds to the Cal 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
87.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for a loss of 5 yards to the Cal 17Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 15
OPP 17
-5
86.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Andre Dillard) to the Cal 22Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 20
OPP 22
+22
90.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 22 yds for a TD CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Offside declined, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:0011% → 10%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+26
89.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 26 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
88.7%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+12
88.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Tre Watson for 12 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
88.6%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Wharton III, Vic, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Pippins, Marcellus) 15 yards to the WASHST27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.Similar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
88.1%
Tre Watson run for 8 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+4
88.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 4 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
88.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 3 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
88.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Brandon Singleton for 3 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-15
88.5%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Veasy, Jordan, PENALTY CALIFORNIA personal foul (Moore, Steven) 15 yards to the WASHST24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 19
OPP 24
0
89.1%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 19
OPP 24
+41
89.6%
Matt Anderson 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:5690% → 89%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
89.6%
James Williams run for 14 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
90.0%
Luke Falk run for 2 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
90.1%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
89.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
89.2%
Kyle Sweet punt for 38 yds , Bug Rivera returns for no gain to the Cal 40 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Cal 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10INT
7 plays · 83 yds · 2:1511% → 12%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+21
89.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 21 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
89.2%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 5 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+5
88.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 5 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+45
89.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 45 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
88.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 6 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+1
88.0%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 1 yd to the WshSt 5Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+21
88.5%
Davis Webb pass intercepted Nate Derider return for 21 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 2:5690% → 97%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
90.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 6 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+13
90.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 13 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.6%
James Williams run for no gain to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
90.6%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Dimry, C.J., PENALTY CALIFORNIA pass interference (Drayden, Josh) 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
90.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 9 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
91.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+6
90.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 6 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
91.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 4 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+11
91.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 11 yds to the Cal 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
91.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 10 yds to the Cal 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 5 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:265% → 5%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
95.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 5 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
95.1%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+10
95.2%
Tre Watson run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
50
0
95.1%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
50
+5
95.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Hercules Mata'afa) to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+18
95.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 18 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:4296% → 99%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
96.4%
Wicks, Gerard rush for 4 yards to the WASHST29, PENALTY WASHST holding 10 yards to the WASHST15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+17
96.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to C.J. Dimry for 17 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
96.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+12
96.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 12 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
96.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
97.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+22
96.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 22 yds to the Cal 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
97.1%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the Cal 15Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
97.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+6
97.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 6 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
97.2%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 9 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:161% → 1%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
99.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 7 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+5
99.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 5 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
99.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 11 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 6 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-9
99.3%
Davis Webb sacked by Nate Derider for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 49Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 13
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Brandon SingletonSimilar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Dylan Klumph punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the WshSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
99.5%
James Williams run for 8 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+4
99.4%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.5%
Luke Falk run for 4 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+4
99.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 4 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Kyle Sweet punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cal 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:410% → 1%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 13 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bug RiveraSimilar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.6%
Tre Watson run for 5 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+6
99.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 6 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+12
99.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 12 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
99.6%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 9 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
99.5%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
99.5%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the WshSt 30Similar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 1
OPP 30
-2
99.4%
Tre Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 8 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 2
OWN 40
-10
99.7%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST holding (Morrow, Jamal) 10 yards to the WASHST30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:35
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Kyle Sweet punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cal 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 1:220% → 3%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.7%
Tre Watson run for 8 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+3
99.7%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.7%
Tre Watson run for 11 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
99.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 10 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
99.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 11 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
97.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 19 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:5999% → 100%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
98.8%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Martin Jr., Tavares, PENALTY CALIFORNIA pass interference (Beck, Traveon) 15 yards to the WASHST41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 15 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 6 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+16
99.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 16 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
99.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 8 yds to the Cal 14Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+4
99.1%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Cal 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-6
99.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the Cal 16Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
99.8%
Gabe Marks 16 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:250% → 1%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 4 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
99.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 14 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
98.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 57 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:0099% → 100%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
99.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 18 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for no gain to the Cal 47Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 8 yds to the Cal 39Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+20
99.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 20 yds to the Cal 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
99.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 23Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+11
99.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 11 yds to the Cal 12Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
James Williams run for 12 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Davis Webb run for 1 yd to the Cal 26Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Tre Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 25Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Dylan Klumph punt for 56 yds, downed at the WshSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23TD
4 plays · 81 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.9%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
James Williams run for 9 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+59
99.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 59 yds to the Cal 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 7 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:120% → 0%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Patrick Laird for 1 yd to the Cal 26 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Hunter Abel) to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 5 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+19
99.9%
Patrick Laird run for 19 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
99.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
99.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 12 yds to the WshSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
99.9%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete, PENALTY CALIFORNIA holding (Cochran, Aaron) 10 yards to the WASHST18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
-5
99.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Patrick Laird for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
-5
99.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 25Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:30100% → 100%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
James Williams run for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to John Thompson for 13 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 3 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+11
100.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Keith Harrington for 11 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
100.0%
Alijah Lee run for 4 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
100.0%
Keith Harrington run for 3 yds to the Cal 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:37
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 5 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q2 10:41
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 22 yds for a TD CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Offside declined, (Erik Powell KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q2 14:04
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com