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USC

USC 26 at Washington 13

WASH
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:56 · Chris Tilbey punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Pregame prior+11.8Home team on offense−12.3Score differential−6.8Garbage-time factor−3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:51: Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 13 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK) — USC win probability +6.9 pts (now 40%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 2:34: Cameron Van Winkle 39 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +3.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:28: Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK) — USC win probability +11.7 pts (now 57%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:23: Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 70 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +18.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:33: Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK) — USC win probability +16.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 8 of 9USC made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:59WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:58WASH 4th & 3 at USC 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    72.0%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:41USC 4th & 6 at WASH 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:01WASH 4th & 1 at USC 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.2%−2.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:34WASH 4th & 10 at USC 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−6.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:56USC 4th & 19 at USC 40, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−3.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:43WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:41USC 4th & 2 at USC 40, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:35WASH 4th & 1 at USC 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−3.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−13.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:04WASH 4th & 7 at USC 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    40.1%−11.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:20WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:42USC 4th & 16 at USC 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−2.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:51WASH 4th & 13 at midfield, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:17USC 4th & 1 at midfield, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:49USC 4th & 1 at WASH 11, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.7
    87% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−2.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1USC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 8:51USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:28USC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:23WASH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:33USC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:5276% → 75%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
75.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 23 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
75.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 9 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 1
OPP 43
-8
75.5%
John Ross run for a loss of 8 yards to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
75.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
75.2%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Adoree' Jackson at the USC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 2INT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:4925% → 26%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
75.1%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the USC 17Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+5
75.1%
Sam Darnold run for 5 yds to the USC 22Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+18
75.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 18 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
74.6%
USC Penalty, False Start (Damien Mama) to the USC 35Similar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+9
74.7%
Ronald Jones II run for 9 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
74.3%
Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+12
74.2%
Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 12 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
73.9%
USC Penalty, False Start (Damien Mama) to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 15
OPP 45
0
73.9%
Sam Darnold pass intercepted Taylor Rapp return for no gain to the Wash 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:5574% → 74%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
74.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
74.2%
Chico McClatcher run for 4 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+14
73.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 14 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
74.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 8 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 2
OPP 43
-2
74.4%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 45Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+12
74.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 12 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
74.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+1
74.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the USC 26Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
73.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Quinten PoundsSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
74.1%
Cameron Van Winkle 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 4FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:0426% → 29%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
74.0%
Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+11
74.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 11 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
73.3%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 20 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
72.5%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the Wash 39 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jojo McIntosh) to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
72.0%
Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+2
71.8%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 2 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
72.1%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Tyler PetiteSimilar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
71.1%
Matt Boermeester 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5INT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:5672% → 72%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
72.2%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+13
71.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 13 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
72.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
72.4%
Dante Pettis pass incomplete to Darrell DanielsSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
72.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete, broken up by Porter GustinSimilar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
71.6%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Adoree' Jackson return for no gain to the USC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:2430% → 40%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
70.3%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+9
70.1%
Sam Darnold run for 9 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
69.1%
Davis, Justin rush for loss of 1 yard to the USC42, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Gaines, Greg) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
68.6%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Justin Davis for 4 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+1
68.3%
Justin Davis run for 1 yd to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+7
68.8%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 7 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
67.9%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 23 yds to the Wash 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
67.4%
USC Penalty, False Start (Viane Talamaivao) to the Wash 17Similar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+4
67.3%
Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+13
60.4%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 13 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7FG
16 plays · 54 yds · 6:0763% → 63%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
61.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
61.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
61.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
61.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 8 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+13
61.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 13 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
62.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John Ross, broken up by Cameron SmithSimilar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
62.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the USC 36Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+4
62.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 4 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+11
59.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
61.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the USC 17Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+4
60.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 4 yds to the USC 13Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 2
OPP 13
-8
59.3%
Jake Browning sacked by Rasheem Green for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 21Similar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
62.6%
Cameron Van Winkle 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 1:5340% → 57%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
60.3%
Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the USC 21Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
60.1%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-SchusterSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+7
61.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 7 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
59.0%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Ronald Jones IISimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+25
59.7%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 25 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
56.1%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Darreus RogersSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+21
56.4%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 21 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+22
54.9%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 22 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
43.2%
Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9END OF HALF
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:1246% → 49%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
46.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 17 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
48.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
48.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 6 yds to the USC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 2:5653% → 57%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.6%
Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
45.8%
Ronald Jones II run for 9 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
45.0%
Ronald Jones II run for 7 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
43.5%
Sam Darnold run for 5 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
42.9%
JuJu Smith-Schuster run for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 45Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 14
OWN 45
-5
42.9%
Darnold, Sam pass complete to Burnett, Deontay for 15 yards to the WASHINGTON40, PENALTY USC ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the USC40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 19
OWN 40
0
42.7%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Justin DavisSimilar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 19
OWN 40
0
42.5%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-Schuster, broken up by Psalm WoochingSimilar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 19
OWN 40
0
43.4%
Chris Tilbey punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0943% → 39%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
43.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
42.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+2
41.0%
Jake Browning run for 2 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
38.5%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 35 yds, downed at the USC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5360% → 63%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
40.0%
Sam Darnold sacked by Connor O'Brien for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 28Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+8
40.2%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Dominic Davis for 8 yds to the USC 36Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+4
38.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 4 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
37.5%
Chris Tilbey punt for 30 yds, downed at the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:1038% → 56%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
38.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John Ross, broken up by Adoree' JacksonSimilar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+70
56.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 70 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:2745% → 46%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
54.8%
Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
53.7%
Sam Darnold pass intercepted Taylor Rapp return for no gain to the USC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 13 yds · 4:2961% → 51%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
60.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+5
60.5%
Jake Browning run for 5 yds to the USC 26Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+2
57.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the USC 24Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+1
55.8%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd to the USC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
59.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the USC 19Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-10
58.1%
Browning, Jake pass sacked for loss of 2 yards to the USC21 (Nwosu, Uchenna), PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Vea, Vita) 10 yards to the USC29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 16
OPP 29
+9
53.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 9 yds to the USC 20Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
53.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
50.5%
Cameron Van Winkle 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jack Jones, Adoree' Jackson return for 17 yds to the USC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:2357% → 79%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
43.4%
Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+20
42.1%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 20 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
41.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 13 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
38.8%
Ronald Jones II run for 6 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+1
38.4%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the Wash 17Similar
Q3 0:28
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+8
40.5%
Adoree' Jackson run for 8 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
38.4%
Darnold, Sam rush for 9 yards to the WASHINGTON0, PENALTY USC personal foul (Mama, Damien) 15 yards to the WASHINGTON24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 24
+17
38.3%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 17 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
37.6%
Justin Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 8Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
21.1%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5724% → 20%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
24.0%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
23.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 3 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
21.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q4 12:20
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
20.1%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2580% → 82%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
20.3%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Taylor McNamara for 2 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
18.8%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Deontay BurnettSimilar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-5
19.0%
USC Penalty, False Start (Zach Banner) to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 13
OPP 49
-3
19.5%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Justin Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 48Similar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 16
OWN 48
0
18.1%
Chris Tilbey punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:4418% → 15%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
17.9%
Jake Browning sacked by Porter Gustin for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 13Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+28
17.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 28 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
18.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
18.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+12
17.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 12 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
19.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Darrell DanielsSimilar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-3
18.9%
Jake Browning sacked by Porter Gustin for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 13
50
0
16.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete, broken up by Rasheem GreenSimilar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 13
50
0
14.9%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:2786% → 94%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
13.6%
Ronald Jones II run for no gain to the USC 8Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+6
12.5%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Ronald Jones II for 6 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+27
11.2%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 27 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
9.3%
Ronald Jones II run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 1
50
0
8.5%
Ronald Jones II run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 1
50
0
6.1%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Daniel ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 1
50
0
6.3%
Chris Tilbey punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
9.9%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Adoree' Jackson return for no gain to the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:1294% → 97%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
5.7%
Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+12
4.8%
Ronald Jones II run for 12 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
4.1%
Justin Davis run for no gain to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
3.9%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+7
2.5%
Ronald Jones II run for 7 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 1
OPP 11
-1
2.7%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23SF
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:434% → 2%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
3.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John Ross, broken up by Leon McQuay IIISimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+14
3.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 14 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
3.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-21
3.5%
Jake Browning run for a loss of 21 yards to the Wash 5Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 31
OWN 5
-5
1.7%
Jake Browning run for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:4999% → 99%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
1.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 12
OPP 24
-1
1.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:23
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 70 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+18.1
TD · Q4 13:33
Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)
-16.5
TD · Q2 0:28
Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)
-11.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com