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UTAH

Utah 49 at Arizona State 26

ASU
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2016 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:09 · Joe Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Home team on offense−14.2Pregame prior−4.8Score differential−4.8Garbage-time factor−3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:36: N'Keal Harry run for 31 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +13.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:22: Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 17 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +15.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:41: Joe Williams run for 82 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +15.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:02: Manny Wilkins pass complete to Tim White for 12 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ASU win probability +20.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. TD · Q4 11:48: Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 24 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +16.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:41ASU 4th & 1 at UTAH 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    37.6%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:18ASU 4th & 3 at UTAH 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:34UTAH 4th & 13 at UTAH 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:28UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:40ASU 4th & 12 at UTAH 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−5.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:26ASU 4th & 16 at ASU 15, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:07ASU 4th & 23 at ASU 12, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−3.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:10UTAH 4th & 18 at ASU 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:11ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:09UTAH 4th & 1 at ASU 36, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.0%−3.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−3.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:30ASU 4th & 22 at ASU 21, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−4.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:19UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 33, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−2.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:43ASU 4th & 17 at ASU 14, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:22ASU 4th & 22 at ASU 34, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 4:09ASU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:43UTAH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:13UTAH Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:36ASU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:22UTAH Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:41UTAH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:02ASU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    45.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:48UTAH Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:46UTAH Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:09UTAH Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
36.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ArzSt George LeaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2INT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:1937% → 38%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
36.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
36.7%
Frederick Gammage run for no gain to the Utah 24Similar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+9
36.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 9 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+3
37.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
37.5%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 14Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+15
37.9%
Manny Wilkins pass intercepted Marcus Williams return for 15 yds to the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3FUMBLE
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:2863% → 62%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
37.5%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 14 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Tashon Smallwood) to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
37.5%
Williams, Troy pass complete to Wilson, Siaosi for 13 yards to the UTAH42, PENALTY UTAH ineligible downfield on pass (Moeai, Evan) 5 yards to the UTAH24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+6
37.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Harrison Handley for 6 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+10
37.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 10 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
37.8%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
37.8%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Simpkins, Demari, PENALTY ARIZONAST pass interference (Perry, Armand) 5 yards to the UTAH48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
37.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
37.9%
Troy Williams run for no gain to the Utah 48 Troy Williams fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Viliami MoeakiolaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 2:5139% → 40%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
38.9%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+24
38.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 24 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
39.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-5
39.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+14
39.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 14 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
39.3%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the Utah 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
39.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+1
39.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the Utah 12Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+6
39.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 6 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+24
40.3%
Zane Gonzalez 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:4460% → 58%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
40.3%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
40.7%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Jackson Barton) to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
40.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+1
41.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 1 yd to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
41.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:2541% → 47%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
40.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+46
41.7%
N'Keal Harry pass complete to Frederick Gammage for 46 yds to the Utah 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
42.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 12 yds to the Utah 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
42.6%
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd to the Utah 2Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
46.7%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:4156% → 54%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.4%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
44.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Evan MoeaiSimilar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
45.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
45.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8FG
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:4846% → 53%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
45.7%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
45.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Frederick GammageSimilar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+71
45.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 71 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
47.4%
Nick Ralston run for 5 yds to the Utah 11Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 5
OPP 11
-1
47.8%
Manny Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 12Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 6
OPP 12
-6
47.8%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 18Similar
Q1 0:40
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+36
53.0%
Zane Gonzalez 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1748% → 55%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
52.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
52.3%
Joe Williams run for 10 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
51.8%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
45.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 64 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:1148% → 48%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
47.6%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
47.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-9
47.7%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 9 yards to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 16
OWN 15
0
47.6%
Matt Haack punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:1355% → 62%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
45.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 16 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
45.3%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
45.5%
Joe Williams run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
37.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 27 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 2:0642% → 40%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
41.9%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-4
41.9%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Lowell Lotulelei and Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-5
41.2%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+3
40.1%
Matt Haack punt for 38 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 3 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:5762% → 59%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
37.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 10 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
37.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Evan MoeaiSimilar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
37.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Troy McCormickSimilar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+7
38.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Harrison Handley for 7 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 3
OPP 30
-15
39.3%
Williams, Troy pass complete to Simpkins, Demari for 7 yards to the ARIZONAST23, PENALTY UTAH personal foul (Thomas, Justin) 15 yards to the ARIZONAST45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 18
OPP 45
0
41.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 2:3441% → 59%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
41.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+38
41.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Tim White for 38 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
44.8%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
45.0%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+17
45.2%
Manny Wilkins run for 17 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
58.8%
N'Keal Harry run for 31 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 3:1447% → 64%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
53.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 4 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
53.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+11
54.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 11 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
52.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
53.4%
Troy Williams run for 5 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+22
52.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 22 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
50.0%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
50.5%
Troy Williams run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
51.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Joe Williams for 12 yds to the ArzSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
51.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
36.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 17 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
43.7%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 25 yds · 5:0544% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
44.8%
Manny Wilkins run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
45.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 6 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+22
47.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frederick Gammage for 22 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
49.4%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
49.3%
Kalen Ballage run for 9 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+1
47.8%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
49.7%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Manny Wilkins) to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 15
OPP 29
-1
49.1%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 16
OPP 30
-11
47.6%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 11 yards to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 27
OPP 41
-9
45.1%
Manny Wilkins run for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard line Manny Wilkins fumbled, recovered by ArzSt , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 36
50
0
43.3%
Matt Haack punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18TD
1 play · 82 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
28.1%
Joe Williams run for 82 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2229% → 27%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
29.0%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 15
OWN 18
0
28.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 15
OWN 18
+8
27.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 8 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 8:11
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
26.5%
Matt Haack punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:0274% → 74%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+28
26.5%
Joe Williams run for 28 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
24.4%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
24.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 7 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
24.6%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q3 6:09
4TH & 1
OPP 36
-2
25.8%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:0729% → 48%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
29.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 8 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+17
31.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 17 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
29.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kody Kohl for 5 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-5
29.5%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (N'Keal Harry) to the Utah 37Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+15
27.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 15 yds to the Utah 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
29.4%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the Utah 21Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-10
29.4%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 10 yards to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 19
OPP 31
+21
24.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 21 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
28.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 12Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
28.4%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
48.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Tim White for 12 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:1460% → 82%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
39.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
35.0%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-4
35.0%
Troy Williams sacked by George Lea and Viliami Latu for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+15
36.6%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Singleton, Raelon, PENALTY ARIZONAST pass interference (Echols, Bryson) 15 yards to the ARIZONAST43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-6
34.1%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 49
0
36.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+15
38.1%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Patrick, Tim, PENALTY ARIZONAST pass interference (Orr, Kareem) 15 yards to the ARIZONAST34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
32.7%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:34
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
32.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 6 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+6
33.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 6 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
31.4%
Williams, Joe rush for 5 yards to the ARIZONAST17, PENALTY UTAH holding (Moeai, Evan) 10 yards to the ARIZONAST32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 20
OPP 32
-5
31.6%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Jackson Barton) to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 25
OPP 37
-10
33.7%
Williams, Joe rush for loss of 3 yards to the ARIZONAST40, PENALTY UTAH holding (Bolles, Garett) 10 yards to the ARIZONAST47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 35
OPP 47
+23
33.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 23 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+24
17.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 24 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:0920% → 14%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
20.3%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 15
OWN 6
+27
18.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 27 yds to the ArzSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-12
19.9%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 12 yards to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 22
OWN 21
+1
16.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 1 yd to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 21
OWN 22
-1
14.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 22
OWN 21
0
13.9%
Matt Haack punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1187% → 86%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
13.4%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
13.6%
Joe Williams run for no gain to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
14.5%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
13.8%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 59 yds, downed at the ArzSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 25INT TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:3314% → 5%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
14.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 15 yds to the ArzSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
14.3%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+13
12.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 13 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+34
5.2%
Manny Wilkins pass intercepted for a TD Chase Hansen return for 34 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:525% → 3%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-7
4.8%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 17
OWN 14
0
3.4%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Demario RichardSimilar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 17
OWN 14
0
3.4%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 17
OWN 14
0
3.4%
Matt Haack punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:3497% → 100%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
3.3%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-10
2.7%
Williams, Joe rush for 5 yards to the ARIZONAST36, PENALTY UTAH holding (Bolles, Garett) 10 yards to the UTAH49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+11
2.9%
Zack Moss run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+40
0.4%
Joe Williams run for 40 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 2:471% → 1%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
0.7%
Nick Ralston run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
0.7%
Nick Ralston run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
0.7%
Nick Ralston run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
0.6%
Nick Ralston run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-4
0.5%
Dillon Sterling-Cole sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 15
OWN 41
-7
0.5%
Dillon Sterling-Cole sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 22
OWN 34
0
0.5%
Matt Haack punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:02
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Tim White for 12 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+20
TD · Q4 11:48
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 24 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-16.2
TD · Q2 0:22
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 17 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-15.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com