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WASH

Washington 66 at California 27

CAL
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG—CAL 0.4%Cameron Van Winkle 36 yd FG GOODAWAY 59 - HOME 20 · Q4 12:58
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:58 · Cameron Van Winkle 36 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Pregame prior−11.4Home team on offense−52.9Score differential−31.5Garbage-time factor−14.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Davis Webb run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +2.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:01: Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +6.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:02: Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +4.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:15: Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +4.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:27: Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 17 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +4.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 9 of 12WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 14:07CAL 4th & 3 at CAL 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:49WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:43CAL 4th & 1 at WASH 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:47CAL 4th & 6 at WASH 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:41WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:54CAL 4th & 7 at WASH 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:14CAL 4th & 9 at CAL 33, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:00CAL 4th & 3 at WASH 3, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:39WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 45, up 8
    Close callPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:12CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 30, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:01CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 46, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.7%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:52CAL 4th & 15 at CAL 19, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:12CAL 4th & 5 at CAL 40, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:36WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 6, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:22CAL 4th & 12 at WASH 25, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:58WASH 4th & 12 at CAL 19, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:23CAL 4th & 5 at CAL 41, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:11WASH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:26WASH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:17WASH Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:00CAL Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:01CAL Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:02WASH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:15WASH Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:27WASH Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:25WASH Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 7:41WASH Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:59CAL Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 8:19WASH Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:4811% → 11%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
10.7%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
10.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 2 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+5
10.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cal 30Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
11.0%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:07
4TH & 3
OWN 30
-3
11.0%
Dylan Klumph punt for 54 yds , Dante Pettis returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0189% → 88%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
11.2%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 11Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 12
OWN 11
0
11.3%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+7
11.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 7 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
11.7%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0012% → 12%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
11.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
12.0%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 9 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
12.1%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the Wash 26Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+43
12.3%
Matt Anderson 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2788% → 88%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
12.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
12.8%
Jake Browning run for 10 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
12.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 60 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:1313% → 14%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
12.6%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+12
12.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Raymond Hudson for 12 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
12.9%
Tre Watson run for 11 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
13.2%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Cal 48Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-9
13.5%
Davis Webb sacked by Jaylen Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 39Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 18
OWN 39
+12
13.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 12 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
13.5%
Dylan Klumph punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0087% → 86%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-10
13.5%
Jake Browning sacked by Cameron Saffle for a loss of 10 yards to the Wash 1 WASHINGTON Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jake Browning) to the Wash 1Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 20
OWN 1
+10
13.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 10 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
13.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 10
OWN 11
+29
14.1%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 34 yds , Vic Wharton III returns for 29 yds to the Wash 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2615% → 15%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
14.7%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 3 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
14.9%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
14.7%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
14.9%
Matt Anderson 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:0385% → 87%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
15.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 9 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+6
14.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
14.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 12 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
12.9%
Dante Pettis pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 39 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5514% → 13%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
13.5%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Cal 32Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
13.6%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Cal 33Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
13.4%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 9
OWN 33
+14
13.4%
Dylan Klumph punt for 46 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 14 yds to the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:3386% → 89%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
13.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+67
11.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 67 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:1012% → 14%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
11.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 9 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
11.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 2 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+61
11.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 61 yds to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
11.8%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the Wash 3Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
11.8%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Wash 3Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
11.7%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
14.3%
Davis Webb run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:0086% → 85%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.3%
Chico McClatcher run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
14.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
14.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
14.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
14.3%
Jake Browning run for 5 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
14.2%
Jake Browning run for 4 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
14.7%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 36 yds, downed at the Cal 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 2:3215% → 24%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
14.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Tre Watson for no gain to the Cal 19Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+10
14.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 10 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+38
14.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 38 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
16.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 9 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
16.6%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
16.3%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
16.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 8 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+5
16.6%
Webb, Davis rush for no gain to the WASHINGTON14, PENALTY WASHINGTON offside 5 yards to the WASHINGTON9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.Similar
Q2 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
16.7%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 14Similar
Q2 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
23.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:3180% → 86%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
20.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+1
19.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+16
20.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 16 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+32
19.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 32 yds to the Cal 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+17
18.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 17 yds to the Cal 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
14.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:2815% → 14%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
15.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 3 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
15.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
14.8%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
14.3%
Dylan Klumph punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:5185% → 91%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
15.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-6
15.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 30 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 16
OWN 20
+31
15.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 31 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
14.4%
Chico McClatcher run for 24 yds to the Cal 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
14.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
14.4%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Cal 25Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+15
14.5%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Ross, John, PENALTY CALIFORNIA pass interference (Franklin Jr., Marloshawn) 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q2 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
14.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Cal 5Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
13.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Cal 1Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17END OF HALF
8 plays · 36 yds · 1:0811% → 12%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
11.4%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 11 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
11.8%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
11.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Raymond Hudson for 7 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+2
11.7%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+9
11.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 7 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST down lat. to Bug Rivera for 9 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
11.7%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Cal 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:2889% → 95%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
10.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+15
10.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 15 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
9.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 7 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+14
9.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 14 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
8.8%
John Ross run for 18 yds to the Cal 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
4.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 17 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:287% → 7%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
7.3%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
7.2%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
7.1%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 10
OWN 24
-5
7.1%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cal 19Similar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 15
OWN 19
+19
7.0%
Dylan Klumph punt for 60 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 19 yds to the Wash 40 Dante Pettis fumbled, forced by Malik McMorris, recovered by Cal Demetris RobertsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:508% → 7%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
8.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 13 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
8.0%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-5
7.3%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+7
7.1%
Tre Watson run for 7 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
6.9%
Davis Webb pass intercepted, touchback. Sidney Jones return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:0596% → 98%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+34
4.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 34 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+36
4.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 36 yds to the Cal 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
3.8%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Cal 10Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
3.8%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete, PENALTY CALIFORNIA pass interference 8 yards to the CALIFORNIA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q3 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:213% → 3%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
3.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 11 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
3.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 15 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
3.6%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
3.4%
Davis Webb pass intercepted Sidney Jones return for no gain to the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:3498% → 99%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
2.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 13 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
1.9%
Jake Browning run for 5 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+32
1.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 32 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
1.1%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Cal 39Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
1.0%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Cal 40Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
1.0%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
0.9%
Dylan Klumph punt for 59 yds, downed at the Wash 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1399% → 99%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
1.0%
Jake Browning run for 2 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+3
0.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
1.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 5
OWN 6
+7
1.2%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 43 yds , Vic Wharton III returns for 7 yds to the Wash 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 26INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:381% → 1%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
0.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 8 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+11
0.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 11 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-2
0.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
0.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+27
0.5%
Davis Webb pass intercepted Ben Burr-Kirven return for 27 yds to the Wash 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 27FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 4:0299% → 100%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
0.6%
Chico McClatcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+4
0.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+10
0.5%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Pettis, Dante, PENALTY CALIFORNIA holding (Beck, Traveon) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
50
+4
0.5%
Chico McClatcher run for 4 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+8
0.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 8 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
0.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 6 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+15
0.4%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete, PENALTY CALIFORNIA pass interference (Psalms, Malik) 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
0.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
0.4%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Cal 17Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-2
0.4%
Jake Browning sacked by Evan Weaver for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 19Similar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
0.4%
Cameron Van Winkle 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 28TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:310% → 0%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
0.3%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+21
0.2%
Patrick Laird run for 6 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
0.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Patrick Laird for 2 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+9
0.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Brandon Singleton for 9 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
0.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Patrick Worstell for 3 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+8
0.2%
Patrick Laird run for 8 yds to the Wash 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q4 9:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.2%
Patrick Laird run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 29TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
0.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+17
0.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 17 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
0.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 49 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
0.2%
Billy McCrary III run for 6 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+9
0.2%
Billy McCrary III run for 9 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
0.2%
Billy McCrary III run for 5 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+5
0.1%
Dylan Klumph punt for 47 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 5 yds to the Wash 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 31END OF GAME
9 plays · 42 yds · 6:02100% → 100%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
0.2%
Jomon Dotson run for 7 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+8
0.2%
Jomon Dotson run for 8 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
0.2%
Jomon Dotson run for 2 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+7
0.2%
K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 7 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
0.1%
Jomon Dotson run for 4 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
0.1%
Jomon Dotson run for 7 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+3
0.1%
Jomon Dotson run for 3 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
0.1%
Jomon Dotson run for 5 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-1
0.1%
Jomon Dotson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:01
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q2 1:15
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q2 6:02
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com