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ARIZ

Arizona 7 at Washington State 69

WSU
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:13 · Josh Pollack punt for 23 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for 29 yds to the Ariz 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+26.7Home team on offense+16.8Score differential+13.3Blowout margin+7.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Garbage-time factor+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:37: Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 8 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:25: Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:19: Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:19: Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:30: Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ARIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 14:48ARIZ 4th & 8 at ARIZ 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:12WSU 4th & 5 at ARIZ 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:37ARIZ 4th & 12 at ARIZ 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:25ARIZ 4th & 4 at WSU 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%−0.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:13ARIZ 4th & 5 at WSU 48, down 31
    Close callPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:07WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 37, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:10ARIZ 4th & 18 at ARIZ 36, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:38ARIZ 4th & 12 at ARIZ 49, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:41WSU 4th & 6 at ARIZ 14, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:41ARIZ 4th & 3 at ARIZ 32, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:29ARIZ 4th & 8 at ARIZ 46, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9ARIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:37WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:25WSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:19WSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:19WSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:30WSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:55ARIZ Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:16WSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:45WSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:27WSU Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:19WSU Touchdown, up 61 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
87.5%
Dawkins, B. pass complete to Phillips, N. for 75 yards to the WSU0, clock 14:48, PENALTY ARIZ ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the ARIZ20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
87.5%
Samajie Grant run for 6 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
87.5%
Brandon Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 14:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-2
87.5%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Samajie Grant for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 27Similar
Q1 14:48
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+36
87.5%
Josh Pollack punt for 36 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for 36 yds to the Ariz 25 Jamal Morrow fumbled, forced by John Kenny,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:4287% → 87%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
87.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 9 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 1
OPP 16
-5
87.1%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Cracraft, River, PENALTY WSU ineligible downfield on pass (Lewis, Robert) 5 yards to the ARIZ21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+1
87.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the Ariz 20Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+8
87.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 8 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
87.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for no gain to the Ariz 12Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
87.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 5 yds to the Ariz 7Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
87.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River Cracraft, broken up by Jack BandaSimilar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+23
86.5%
Erik Powell 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
86.4%
Brandon Dawkins sacked by Nnamdi Oguayo for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+19
86.4%
Brandon Dawkins pass intercepted Shalom Luani return for 19 yds to the Ariz 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
87.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 8 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Shun Brown for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
86.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cam Denson for 17 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
86.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cam Denson for 5 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
86.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cam DensonSimilar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-7
86.7%
Anu Solomon sacked by Shalom Luani for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 45Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
87.0%
Josh Pollack punt for 40 yds, downed at the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:0687% → 90%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
86.7%
James Williams run for 15 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
86.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 2 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-5
86.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Andre Dillard) to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+14
86.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 14 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
87.0%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+23
87.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 8 yds to the WASHST 46 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, roughing passer (Sani Fuimaono) to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
87.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 19 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
87.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 11 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.1%
Samajie Grant run for 6 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
89.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+24
89.1%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Shun Brown for 24 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
88.8%
Anu Solomon run for 2 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
88.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 4 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
88.8%
Anu Solomon run for no gain to the WshSt 39 Anu Solomon fumbled,Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 4
OPP 39
-14
88.8%
Anu Solomon sacked by Nnamdi Oguayo for a loss of 14 yards to the Ariz 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:3590% → 93%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+28
90.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 28 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
90.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the Ariz 12Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 3
OPP 12
0
90.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+8
90.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 8 yds to the Ariz 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
90.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the Ariz 2Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 68 yds · 0:198% → 8%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.2%
Samajie Grant run for no gain to the Ariz 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+50
92.4%
Samajie Grant run for 50 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
91.6%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
91.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trevor Wood for 9 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+4
91.9%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
91.6%
Anu Solomon run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 16
+9
91.9%
Anu Solomon run for 9 yds to the WshSt 7 Anu Solomon fumbled, forced by Isaac Dotson, recovered by WshSt Peyton PelluerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 93 yds · 3:0394% → 97%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
93.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 2 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+2
93.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+18
93.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 18 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
93.8%
James Williams run for 9 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+53
94.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 53 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
94.0%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the Ariz 7Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
96.3%
Brandon Dawkins run for 8 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+3
95.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Shun Brown for 3 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
96.2%
Brandon Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+10
96.2%
Dawkins, B. pass incomplete to Phillips, N., PENALTY WSU holding (Thompson, Jalen) 10 yards to the ARIZ47, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.1%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
96.1%
Samajie Grant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 45Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+7
96.3%
Brandon Dawkins run for 7 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 5
OPP 48
+29
95.9%
Josh Pollack punt for 23 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for 29 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:5498% → 99%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
97.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 15 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
97.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 2 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-15
97.8%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Dimry, C.J., PENALTY WSU pass interference (Dimry, C.J.) 15 yards to the ARIZ44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 23
OPP 44
+8
97.8%
Luke Falk run for 8 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+16
97.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 16 yds to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
97.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 11 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
97.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 8 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.5%
James Williams run for no gain to the Ariz 1Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:351% → 1%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
98.9%
Brandon Dawkins run for 28 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
98.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cam Denson for 47 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:4399% → 99%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
98.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 16 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
98.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+1
98.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
98.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for no gain to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+58
98.7%
Kyle Sweet punt for 58 yds, downed at the WASHST 5 ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:4499% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-14
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the WshSt 11 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WshSt Luke FalkSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 11
-5
99.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Cody O'Connell) to the WshSt 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 29
OWN 6
+3
99.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 3 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 26
OWN 9
+15
99.0%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Martin Jr., Tav, PENALTY ARIZ pass interference (Whittaker, J.) 15 yards to the WSU24, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.0%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
99.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 4 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+11
98.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 11 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.0%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Marks, Gabe, PENALTY ARIZ pass interference (Cruikshank, D.) 15 yards to the ARIZ42, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 3 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+8
99.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 8 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 1 yd to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+12
99.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 12 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.1%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+11
99.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 11 yds to the Ariz 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
James Williams run for 4 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:001% → 0%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.5%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cam DensonSimilar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+15
99.5%
Grant, S. rush for no gain to the ARIZ19 (Mata'afa, Herc.), PENALTY WSU unsportsmanlike conduct (Mata'afa, Herc.) 15 yards to the ARIZ34, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
99.5%
Solomon, A. pass intercepted by Molton, Darrien at the ARIZ47, Molton, Darrien return to the ARIZ47, PENALTY WSU holding 10 yards to the ARIZ44, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.5%
Trevor Wood run for 3 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-4
99.5%
Samajie Grant run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 43Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 11
OWN 43
-7
99.5%
Anu Solomon sacked by Isaac Dotson and Frankie Luvu for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 36 ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 18
OWN 36
+26
99.6%
Josh Pollack punt for 45 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 26 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
99.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 11 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
99.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 7 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+7
99.7%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.7%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+19
99.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 19 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 5 yds to the Ariz 4Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 4 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+24
99.8%
Samajie Grant run for 24 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
99.8%
Samajie Grant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 48Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+8
99.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nate Phillips for 8 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 5
OPP 44
-7
99.8%
Anu Solomon sacked by Nnamdi Oguayo for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 3:38
4TH & 12
OWN 49
+14
99.8%
Matt Aragon punt for 32 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 14 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:46100% → 100%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to John Thompson for 6 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+12
99.8%
James Williams run for 12 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to C.J. Dimry for 12 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to C.J. DimrySimilar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 5 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+14
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 14 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-5
99.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Riley Sorenson) to the Ariz 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+7
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 7 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
99.9%
Erik Powell 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 24Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
99.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Cam Denson for 8 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shun BrownSimilar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Matt Aragon punt for 53 yds, downed at the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 84 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 14Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+15
99.9%
Hilinski, Tyler sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WSU5 (Kenny, J.), PENALTY ARIZ personal foul (Tharpe Jr., L.) 15 yards to the WSU29, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to River Cracraft for 71 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.9%
Khalil Tate run for 19 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Zach Green run for 2 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn Poindexter, broken up by Kirkland ParkerSimilar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Matt Aragon punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 6:54100% → 100%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+24
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to John Thompson for 9 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (Larry Tharpe Jr.) to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
99.9%
James Williams run for 9 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the Ariz 44Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Robert Lewis for 3 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Alijah Lee for no gain to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Keith Harrington for 9 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Keith Harrington run for 3 yds to the Ariz 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 14 yds to the Ariz 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.9%
Alijah Lee run for 2 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kainoa Wilson for 4 yds to the Ariz 9Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 9 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
100.0%
Zach Green run for 23 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
100.0%
Zach Green run for 1 yd to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+10
100.0%
Khalil Tate run for 10 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
100.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 15
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted, touchback. Treshon Broughton return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-5
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:19
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+3
TD · Q2 9:19
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q1 4:25
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com