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ORST

Oregon State 17 at Washington 41

WASH
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:04 · Nick Porebski punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior+46.2Home team on offense+0.6Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:35: Jake Browning 1 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +0.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:20: Dante Pettis 23 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:36: Myles Gaskin 9 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:55: Garrett Owens 29 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:50: Tim Cook 9 Yd Run (Garrett Owens Kick) — ORST win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:04ORST 4th & 17 at ORST 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:34ORST 4th & 3 at WASH 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:30ORST 4th & 6 at ORST 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:14WASH 4th & 11 at WASH 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:38ORST 4th & 6 at ORST 7, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:23ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 33, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:46WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 31, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00WASH 4th & 8 at ORST 8, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:55ORST 4th & 11 at WASH 11, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:15WASH 4th & 2 at ORST 33, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:01WASH 4th & 8 at ORST 8, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:59ORST 4th & 19 at WASH 32, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:25WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 37, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:47ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 46, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:19WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 49, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:17ORST 4th & 15 at WASH 44, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:22WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:35WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:20WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:36WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:56WASH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:43ORST Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:50ORST Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:2497% → 97%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
97.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+51
97.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 51 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
97.0%
Aaron Fuller 19 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:583% → 3%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.0%
Paul Lucas run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Paul LucasSimilar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
97.0%
OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Blake Brandel) to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-4
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 18 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Paul LucasSimilar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
96.9%
Nick Porebski punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:2097% → 97%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+44
96.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 44 yds to the OrgSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
96.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+10
96.8%
Jake Browning run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.0%
Jake Browning 1 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4DOWNS
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:493% → 3%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
97.0%
Paul Lucas run for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
97.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden Jr. for no gain to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+14
96.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 14 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.8%
Victor Bolden Jr. run for no gain to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
96.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden Jr. for 1 yd to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+16
96.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Paul Lucas for 16 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
96.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 19 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
96.6%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor Bolden Jr.Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
96.6%
Tim Cook run for 8 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 2
OPP 21
-1
96.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Paul Lucas for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 22Similar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 3
OPP 22
0
96.7%
Paul Lucas run for no gain to the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:1497% → 98%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
96.9%
OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kalani Vakameilalo) to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 5
OWN 27
+10
96.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 10 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
96.8%
Jake Browning run for 2 yds to the Wash 39 Jake Browning fumbled, forced by Xavier Crawford, recovered by WashSimilar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+10
96.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 10 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
96.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
96.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Darrell DanielsSimilar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+8
96.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 8 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
96.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+5
96.7%
Jomon Dotson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
97.9%
Dante Pettis 23 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:412% → 2%
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.2%
Tim Cook run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
98.0%
Tim Cook run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.2%
Tim Cook run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
98.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Victor Bolden Jr.Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
98.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Timmy Hernandez, broken up by Kevin KingSimilar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
98.2%
Nick Porebski punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:0898% → 98%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+31
98.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 31 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
50
0
98.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John Ross, broken up by Xavier CrawfordSimilar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
50
0
98.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 10
50
-1
98.1%
Jake Browning sacked by Caleb Saulo for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 11:14
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
98.0%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 48 yds, downed at the OrgSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:242% → 2%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
98.2%
Tim Cook run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 6Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+1
98.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ricky Ortiz for 1 yd to the OrgSt 7Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 6
OWN 7
0
98.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Victor Bolden Jr.Similar
Q2 9:38
4TH & 6
OWN 7
0
98.2%
Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the OrgSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:5498% → 99%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
98.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+11
98.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
98.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
98.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
98.3%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Pettis, Dante for 7 yards to the OREGONST0, PENALTY WASHINGTON ineligible downfield on pass (Adams, Trey) 5 yards to the OREGONST12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+3
98.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 9Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.1%
Myles Gaskin 9 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:591% → 1%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.4%
Tim Cook run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
99.4%
Paul Lucas run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+1
99.4%
Seth Collins run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Nick Porebski punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2999% → 99%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:300% → 1%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.6%
Tim Cook run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+6
99.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 6 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass intercepted for a 1ST down Darren Gardenhire return for 27 yds to the WASHINGTON 32 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13END OF HALF
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:04100% → 100%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Andre Baccellia, broken up by Rahmel DockerySimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+20
99.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 20 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.6%
Jake Browning run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 10Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+2
99.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Lavon ColemanSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
99.6%
Cameron Van Winkle 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:561% → 1%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.4%
Marcus McMaryion run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-5
99.4%
OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Seth Collins) to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+16
99.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden Jr. for 16 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.6%
Tim Cook run for 11 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
99.6%
Tim Cook run for 17 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
99.6%
Tim Cook run for 19 yds to the Wash 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.6%
Tim Cook run for 1 yd to the Wash 5Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.6%
Tim Cook run for 1 yd to the Wash 4Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-7
99.6%
Marcus McMaryion sacked by Connor O'Brien for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 11Similar
Q3 9:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
99.5%
Garrett Owens 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
99.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 26 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+41
99.8%
Dante Pettis 41 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.7%
Victor Bolden Jr. 75 Yd Run (Garrett Owens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:28100% → 100%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+12
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 12 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 15 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
99.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 2 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+17
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 17 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
99.9%
Jomon Dotson run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.8%
Jomon Dotson run for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 2:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
99.9%
Cameron Van Winkle 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18MISSED FG
13 plays · 42 yds · 3:490% → 0%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Tim Cook run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
Tim Cook run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden Jr. for 18 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Victor Bolden Jr.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Tim Cook run for no gain to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+23
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden Jr. for 23 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
Tim Cook run for 1 yd to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-5
99.9%
OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Blake Brandel) to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 14
OPP 27
-5
99.9%
OREGON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Marcus McMaryion) to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 19
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Timmy HernandezSimilar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 19
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 19
OPP 32
+50
99.9%
Garrett Owens 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Paul Lucas run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
McMaryion, Marcus pass incomplete to Wily-Matagi, Tuli, PENALTY WASHINGTON offside (Qualls, Elijah) 5 yards to the OREGONST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGONST.Similar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Tim Cook run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Hunter Jarmon, broken up by DJ BeaversSimilar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Paul LucasSimilar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Nick Porebski punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:19100% → 100%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 11 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+9
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 9 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 11 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to John GardnerSimilar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Ralph Kinne run for no gain to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to John GardnerSimilar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Tristan Vizcaino punt blocked by Jonathan Willis blocked by Jonathan Willis Drew Kell return for no gain to the Wash 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:230% → 1%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Victor Bolden Jr.Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-5
99.9%
Paul Lucas run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 15
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Paul LucasSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 15
OPP 44
+35
100.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 35 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.4%
Tim Cook 9 Yd Run (Garrett Owens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass intercepted Austin Joyner return for no gain to the Wash 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.5%
Ralph Kinne run for 5 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Ralph Kinne run for no gain to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+6
99.5%
Gavin McDaniel run for 6 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.6%
Gavin McDaniel run for 5 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
99.7%
Gavin McDaniel run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:20
Dante Pettis 23 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+1.1
TD · Q2 6:36
Myles Gaskin 9 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+0.7
TD · Q4 3:50
Tim Cook 9 Yd Run (Garrett Owens Kick)
-0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com