Try the model
COLO

Colorado 10 at Stanford 5

STAN
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Stanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:45 · Alex Kinney punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior+8.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:02: Phillip Lindsay run for 15 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST down — COLO win probability +7.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:34: Kyle Evans run for 16 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST down — COLO win probability +15.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:38: Kyle Evans run for 4 yds to the Stanf 16 — COLO win probability +13.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:13: Chris Graham 22 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +8.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:37: TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 8 — COLO win probability +10.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:45COLO 4th & 13 at COLO 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:33STAN 4th & 6 at COLO 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:33COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:53STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:59STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:46COLO 4th & 10 at STAN 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−5.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:04COLO 4th & 5 at STAN 44, up 4
    Close callPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    48.6%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:25STAN 4th & 8 at COLO 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    50.9%−0.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:48STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 14, up 4
    Close callPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:34COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:19COLO 4th & 1 at STAN 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.6%−5.9
    87% to make
    Punt
    55.4%−22.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:13COLO 4th & 5 at STAN 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−14.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:59COLO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
58.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
58.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-7
58.6%
Ryan Burns sacked by Jordan Carrell for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 29
+7
58.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 56 yds , Isaiah Oliver returns for 7 yds to the Colo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
58.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 9 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+2
58.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
58.6%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
58.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+6
58.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
58.4%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Peter Kalambayi and Solomon Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 40Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+8
58.6%
Sefo Liufau run for 8 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-6
58.5%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Joey Alfieri and Harrison Phillips for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 42Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
58.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 7:1959% → 60%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.8%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 3 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
58.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
58.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
59.0%
STANFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+5
58.7%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 5 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+21
58.9%
Bryce Love run for 21 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
59.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
59.4%
Ryan Burns pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+12
59.3%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 12 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
59.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+3
59.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Colo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
59.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Colo 11Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
59.5%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
59.3%
Ryan Burns pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
60.1%
Conrad Ukropina 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.9%
Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
59.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
60.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
60.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 33 yds, downed at the Stanf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
60.3%
Burns,R pass complete to Owusu,F for 9 yards to the STAN47 (Thompson, Tedri), PENALTY STAN IB (A.-Whiteside,JJ) 10 yards to the STAN28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+6
59.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+3
59.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
59.3%
Ryan Burns pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
58.9%
Jake Bailey punt for 36 yds, downed at the Colo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:0140% → 46%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
60.1%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
60.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 8 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+12
59.8%
Shay Fields run for 12 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
58.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 19 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
58.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+19
58.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 19 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
58.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Stanf 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
-4
58.0%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Solomon Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 15Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 13
OPP 15
+15
53.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 15 yds for a TD, (Chris Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7KICKOFF
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
54.4%
STANFORD Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.2%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
55.3%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 6 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
55.7%
Keller Chryst run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 32Similar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
54.5%
Jake Bailey punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 2:5846% → 48%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
54.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 8 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+8
53.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 8 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
53.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 8 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+26
53.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 26 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
52.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
52.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Lee Walker for 13 yds to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
51.6%
Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-3
51.6%
Sefo Liufau run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
52.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
52.2%
Chris Graham 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · -6 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
52.9%
Keller Chryst run for 3 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+25
52.2%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 25 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
55.6%
McCaffrey,C rush for 7 yards to the COLO38 (Fields, Shay;Bobo, Bryce), PENALTY STAN 0I 10 yards to the STAN45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+4
53.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 16
OWN 49
-10
53.3%
Burns,R rush for 2 yards to the COLO49, PENALTY STAN holding (Harrell,C) 10 yards to the STAN39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 26
OWN 39
+4
53.1%
Keller Chryst run for 4 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 22
OWN 43
-5
52.2%
STANFORD Penalty, delay of game (Ryan Burns) to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 27
OWN 38
-12
52.2%
Ryan Burns sacked by Timothy Coleman and N.J. Falo for a loss of 12 yards to the Stanf 19 Ryan Burns fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 46
OWN 19
0
50.9%
Jake Bailey punt for 44 yds, downed at the Colo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:3751% → 51%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
48.6%
Sefo Liufau run for 14 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
46.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete, broken up by Joey AlfieriSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-7
47.0%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Jordan Perez for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 17
OWN 44
+12
50.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 12 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
49.0%
Alex Kinney punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12INT
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:4350% → 49%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+16
50.2%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 16 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
50.8%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 5 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+7
51.2%
Ryan Burns run for 7 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
48.8%
Ryan Burns pass intercepted Tedric Thompson return for no gain to the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
48.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14MISSED FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 3:2751% → 53%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
49.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 11 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+23
48.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 23 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
46.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Kyle EvansSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
46.6%
Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+10
47.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 10 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
45.7%
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd to the Stanf 34Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+15
45.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 15 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
45.4%
Sefo Liufau run for 14 yds to the Stanf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
45.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-7
45.4%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Joey Alfieri for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 10Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
47.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Phillip Lindsay COLORADO Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 0
OPP 10
+28
47.4%
Chris Graham 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 1:5949% → 50%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
49.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+19
49.1%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 19 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-9
52.1%
Ryan Burns sacked by Josh Tupou and Jimmie Gilbert for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 32Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 19
OWN 32
+5
47.8%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Bryce Love for 5 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+14
46.9%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 14 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
52.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
52.9%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Colo 37Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+1
52.7%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 1 yd to the Colo 36Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
51.9%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
49.6%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 3:1458% → 62%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
41.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 15 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
39.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 18 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
38.2%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
37.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+9
40.1%
Sefo Liufau run for 9 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
37.7%
Kyle Evans run for 4 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+9
37.7%
Kyle Evans run for 9 yds to the Stanf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
37.7%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Stanf 5Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 0
OPP 5
-15
32.7%
Liufau, Sefo pass complete to Bobo, Bryce for 5 yards to the STAN0, clock 03:40, PENALTY COLO pass interference (Fields, Shay) 15 yards to the STAN20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 0
OPP 20
+5
33.3%
Sefo Liufau run for 5 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
37.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 0
OPP 15
+31
37.6%
Alex Kinney 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0042% → 39%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
41.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
42.3%
Ryan Burns run for 1 yd to the Stanf 25Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
40.8%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
39.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 61 yds , Isaiah Oliver returns for no gain to the Colo 25 COLORADO Penalty, IB (7 Yards) to the Colo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0062% → 60%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
38.2%
Kyle Evans run for no gain to the Colo 7Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 7
-4
38.7%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Devin Ross) to the Colo 3Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 14
OWN 3
+9
38.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 9 yds to the Colo 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+2
38.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 14
-4
40.2%
Alex Kinney punt for 48 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19FUMBLE
9 plays · 60 yds · 1:4741% → 48%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
41.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+9
44.7%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 9 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
46.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
46.0%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+31
41.2%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 16 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, H (15 Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
45.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Colo 6Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+2
45.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Colo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 0
OPP 4
-3
47.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 6 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Colo Kenneth OlugbodeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+16
32.3%
Kyle Evans run for 16 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
31.6%
Kyle Evans run for 10 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
30.1%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
30.3%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
30.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
33.1%
Alex Kinney punt for 59 yds, downed at the Stanf 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
34.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 9Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+26
33.8%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 26 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
36.5%
Love,B rush for 3 yards to the STAN38, out-of-bounds (Thompson, Tedri), PENALTY STAN illegal shift 5 yards to the STAN30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
35.5%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Trenton Irwin, broken up by Chidobe AwuzieSimilar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
35.2%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+30
33.3%
Ryan Burns pass intercepted George Frazier return for 30 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22FG
10 plays · 15 yds · 4:2580% → 90%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
19.8%
Kyle Evans run for 4 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-5
19.8%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+10
20.4%
Sefo Liufau run for 10 yds to the Stanf 11Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 1
OPP 11
0
21.3%
Sefo Liufau run for no gain to the Stanf 11Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+5
19.7%
Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the Stanf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
16.5%
Kyle Evans run for no gain to the Stanf 6Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
16.5%
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd to the Stanf 5Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
17.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q4 2:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
9.6%
Chris Graham 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
16.7%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 1 yd to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
17.0%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+14
15.9%
Ryan Burns pass intercepted Isaiah Oliver return for no gain to the Colo 36 COLORADO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (14 Yards) to the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25SF
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:3394% → 93%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
5.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 8Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 17
OWN 8
-4
6.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 4Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 21
OWN 4
-2
6.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 2Similar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 23
OWN 2
-2
6.6%
Solomon Thomas SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
12.0%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 8 yds to the Stanf 25 lat. to Christian McCaffrey for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 25 lat. to Bryce Love for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 10:34
Kyle Evans run for 16 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST down
-15.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:38
Kyle Evans run for 4 yds to the Stanf 16
-13.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com